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Wolfspeed (WOLF)
NYSE:WOLF
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Wolfspeed (WOLF) AI Stock Analysis

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WOLF

Wolfspeed

(NYSE:WOLF)

Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-15.97% Downside)
Wolfspeed's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its precarious financial performance and valuation challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while recent corporate events, including bankruptcy filing, add to the risk. Despite some positive strategic initiatives, the overall outlook remains concerning.
Positive Factors
Automotive Revenue
Mohawk Valley was better in the quarter, driven by strong Auto revenue.
Earnings
Top-line results were slightly better, driven by strength in Mohawk Valley.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Pressure on the Materials business is due to mounting competitive threats from state-subsidized materials players in China.
Financial Challenges
Wolfspeed faces significant financial challenges in a sluggish macro environment with financial losses, high leverage, CHIPS Act funding challenges underpinning doubts over going concern.
Financial Performance
Gross margins were actually negative and worse than previously implied, primarily due to underutilization costs at Mohawk Valley.

Wolfspeed (WOLF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wolfspeed Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWolfspeed, Inc. provides silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) materials, power devices, and radio frequency (RF) devices based on wide bandgap semiconductor materials and silicon. The company's silicon carbide and GaN materials comprise silicon carbide bare wafers, epitaxial wafers, and GaN epitaxial layers on silicon carbide wafers. It offers silicon carbide materials for customers to manufacture products for RF, power, and other applications. The company's power devices include silicon carbide Schottky diodes, metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistors (MOSFETs), power modules, and gate driver boards for customers and distributors to use in applications, such as electric vehicles comprising charging infrastructure, server power supplies, solar inverters, uninterruptible power supplies, industrial power supplies, and other applications. Its RF devices comprise GaN-based die, high-electron mobility transistors, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and laterally diffused MOSFET power transistors for telecommunications infrastructure, military, and other commercial applications. The company's products are also used in transportation, fast charging, wireless systems, 5G, motor drives, renewable energy and storage, and aerospace and defense applications; and materials products and RF devices are used in military communications, radar, satellite, and telecommunication applications. It serves customers in North America, Asia, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Cree, Inc. and changed its name to Wolfspeed, Inc. in October 2021. Wolfspeed, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyWolfspeed generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of silicon carbide and gallium nitride products. The company sells its semiconductor products to a diverse range of customers in automotive, industrial, and telecommunications sectors. Key revenue streams include direct sales of SiC substrates, power devices, and RF devices, as well as long-term supply agreements with major automotive manufacturers and technology companies. Additionally, Wolfspeed benefits from partnerships and collaborations that enhance its market presence and drive innovation. The increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions and the growth of electric vehicles further contribute to its revenue growth.

Wolfspeed Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Wolfspeed's strategic restructuring efforts, revenue growth from key segments, and improvements in capital structure and liquidity. However, these positive aspects are tempered by significant restructuring charges, negative free cash flow, and the inclusion of going concern language in financial statements, indicating potential financial uncertainties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Performance
Wolfspeed generated revenue of $185 million, in line with guidance and up 2.2% sequentially. Mohawk Valley posted $78 million in revenue, with a sequential growth of 50% and over 175% year-over-year growth.
Capital Structure and Liquidity Improvements
Approximately $192 million in cash tax refunds from the Section 48D Advanced Manufacturing Tax Credit was received, boosting liquidity. Over $1.3 billion of cash and liquidity was available at the end of the quarter.
Strategic Restructuring and Cost Savings
Initiatives targeting $200 million in annual cash savings and $150 million from non-core asset divestitures are underway, including a reduction in the senior leadership team by 30% and a 25% reduction in total company employment.
200-Millimeter Manufacturing Transition
Wolfspeed completed its fully automated 200-millimeter facility footprint, focusing on higher quality and lower cost wafers, with plans to exit the 150-millimeter device market.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $168 million, comprised of negative $142 million of operating cash flow and $26 million of capital expenditures.
Restructuring Charges
Restructuring charges for fiscal 2025 are projected at $400 million to $450 million, with $57 million incurred this quarter, primarily reflecting severance, asset impairments, accelerated depreciation, and related expenses.
Negative Adjusted EPS
Adjusted EPS was negative $0.72 per share, though it was above the high end of the guidance range.
Going Concern Language in Financial Statements
Due to potential in-court or out-of-court options related to debt negotiations, going concern language is expected to be included in the financial statements' footnotes.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 earnings call, Wolfspeed, Inc. provided guidance focusing on their strategic initiatives and financial performance. The company reported a revenue of $185 million, with Mohawk Valley contributing $78 million, reflecting a 50% sequential growth. Non-GAAP gross margin was noted at 2.2%, and adjusted EPS stood at negative $0.72 per share. The company aims to achieve $200 million in annual cash savings and expects to generate $150 million from non-core asset divestitures. Wolfspeed is targeting a reduction in their non-GAAP EBITDA break-even point to approximately $800 million annually and anticipates generating $200 million of positive unlevered operating cash flow by fiscal 2026. Additionally, they concluded the quarter with $1.3 billion in cash and liquidity, benefiting from $192 million in Section 48D cash tax refunds. The company plans to accelerate its transition to a 200-millimeter silicon carbide production, aiming to capitalize on high-growth markets such as AI data centers, energy storage, EVs, aerospace, and defense.

Wolfspeed Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wolfspeed is facing significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability margins. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the situation, indicating potential liquidity problems.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Wolfspeed's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a substantial decline in revenue, with a negative growth rate of 48.6% in the most recent year. Profitability metrics are concerning, with negative gross and net profit margins, indicating the company is struggling to cover its costs and generate profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high expenses relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a precarious financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has deteriorated significantly, reaching -14.64, indicating high leverage and potential solvency issues. The negative stockholders' equity suggests financial distress. Return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is negative, highlighting a weak capital structure.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates severe cash management issues. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, with declining free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow problems. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but reflects the company's inability to generate cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue757.60M757.60M807.20M758.50M572.10M525.60M
Gross Profit-121.60M-121.60M77.40M242.90M249.30M164.60M
EBITDA-1.05B-1.05B-145.20M-71.60M-10.40M-173.90M
Net Income-1.61B-1.61B-864.20M-329.90M-200.90M-341.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.85B6.85B7.98B6.62B3.92B3.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06B1.06B2.17B2.95B1.20B1.15B
Total Debt6.55B6.55B6.29B4.18B1.08B851.10M
Total Liabilities7.30B7.30B7.10B5.00B1.48B1.33B
Stockholders Equity-447.10M-447.10M882.10M1.62B2.44B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.99B-1.99B-3.01B-1.10B-795.80M-701.90M
Operating Cash Flow-711.70M-711.70M-725.60M-142.60M-154.20M-125.50M
Investing Cash Flow-268.10M-268.10M-1.94B-1.15B-391.00M-448.60M
Financing Cash Flow400.10M400.10M1.96B2.60B615.90M504.10M

Wolfspeed Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.19
Price Trends
50DMA
1.34
Negative
100DMA
1.92
Negative
200DMA
4.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
38.40
Neutral
STOCH
20.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.39, below the 50-day MA of 1.34, and below the 200-day MA of 4.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WOLF.

Wolfspeed Risk Analysis

Wolfspeed disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wolfspeed reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The capped call transactions may not prevent dilution of our common stock upon conversion of the 2028 Notes or the 2029 Notes. Q1, 2025
2.
Risks associated with our capital structure Q1, 2025
3.
Risks associated with our strategic transactions Q1, 2025

Wolfspeed Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$1.45B-20.63%9.79%10.28%
61
Neutral
$36.05B6.66-10.61%1.86%8.68%-8.81%
59
Neutral
$581.00M-34.11%-10.53%36.86%
55
Neutral
$1.00B-36.20%-7.49%-64.33%
52
Neutral
$1.30B-32.05%-25.65%-130.95%
50
Neutral
$548.58M-3.81%7.71%-44.25%
41
Neutral
$206.98M-739.86%-6.14%-63.68%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOLF
Wolfspeed
1.19
-9.44
-88.81%
CEVA
Ceva
22.93
-1.04
-4.34%
LASR
nLIGHT
29.83
17.94
150.88%
INDI
indie Semiconductor
4.72
0.58
14.01%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
6.04
2.94
94.84%
SKYT
SkyWater Technology
12.30
3.15
34.43%

Wolfspeed Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Appoints New CFO Gregor van Issum
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Wolfspeed announced the appointment of Gregor van Issum as Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, effective September 1, 2025. Van Issum, with over 20 years of experience in transformational restructuring and strategic financing, will succeed Kevin Speirits, who served as interim CFO. This appointment is part of Wolfspeed’s strategy to enhance its leadership team as it aims for long-term growth and profitability in high-growth markets. Van Issum’s expertise in navigating dynamic business cycles and his background in mergers and acquisitions are expected to support Wolfspeed’s strategic focus on improving profitability and expanding its leadership in silicon carbide technologies.

Legal Proceedings
Wolfspeed Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
Negative
Jul 1, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Wolfspeed filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in the Southern District of Texas to implement a prepackaged reorganization plan. The company will operate as a debtor-in-possession, ensuring business continuity and payment to employees, vendors, and customers. The filing triggers defaults on several debt instruments, but creditor actions are stayed under court jurisdiction.

Private Placements and FinancingLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Announces Restructuring Support Agreement
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 22, 2025, Wolfspeed announced a Restructuring Support Agreement with key lenders, including holders of senior secured notes, Renesas Electronics, and convertible debtholders. The agreement aims to reduce Wolfspeed’s debt by approximately 70% and annual cash interest payments by 60%, positioning the company for long-term growth and profitability. The restructuring involves a pre-packaged plan of reorganization under Chapter 11, expected to be completed by the end of the third quarter of 2025. Wolfspeed will continue its operations, serving customers and paying vendors as usual, with existing equity holders receiving a small percentage of new common equity.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025