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Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF)
NYSE:WOLF
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Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF) AI Stock Analysis

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WOLF

Wolfspeed Inc

(NYSE:WOLF)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(64.32% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/13/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (negative gross margin, large losses, and significant ongoing operating/free-cash-flow burn). The earnings call provides partial offset due to meaningful balance-sheet actions, strong liquidity, and some end-market traction, but near-term guidance still points to continued negative margins. Technicals and valuation remain mixed-to-weak, with short-term price weakness and a negative P/E reflecting unprofitability.
Positive Factors
Technology & Product Leadership
Delivering the first commercially available 10 kV SiC MOSFET and a next-gen TOLT portfolio demonstrates durable technology leadership in wide‑bandgap semiconductors. These milestones expand addressable high-voltage markets (EV, charging, industrial, aerospace) and strengthen long-term design-win potential and differentiation.
Negative Factors
Negative Gross Margin & Underutilization
Sustained negative gross margins (−20.6%) driven largely by underutilized manufacturing depress profitability until volumes rise. A ~$46M underutilization drag shows margins rely on higher factory throughput and product mix shifts, making profitability sensitive to durable demand and utilization improvement.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Technology & Product Leadership
Delivering the first commercially available 10 kV SiC MOSFET and a next-gen TOLT portfolio demonstrates durable technology leadership in wide‑bandgap semiconductors. These milestones expand addressable high-voltage markets (EV, charging, industrial, aerospace) and strengthen long-term design-win potential and differentiation.
Read all positive factors

Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wolfspeed Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Wolfspeed, Inc. stands as a key innovator in wide bandgap semiconductor technology, focusing on silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN). The company engineers and produces a diverse array of advanced materials, power components, and radio ...
How the Company Makes Money
Wolfspeed primarily makes money by selling wide-bandgap semiconductor products to electronics manufacturers and system suppliers, generating revenue largely from (1) silicon carbide materials and (2) silicon carbide power devices. In its materials...

Wolfspeed Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed clear strategic and operational progress — including product launches (10kV MOSFET, TOLT), notable sequential AI/data center growth (~30% Q2→Q3), successful refinancing actions (≈$476M proceeds, ~43% reduction of first-lien balance, ~$62M expected annual interest savings) and a strong cash position (~$1.2B). However, results remain constrained by a materially negative gross margin (−20.6%), significant underutilization impact (~$46M), negative adjusted EBITDA (−$62M) and negative operating cash flow (−$84M). Management emphasized that margin expansion depends on improved factory utilization and that 300mm and some AI opportunities are longer-term. Given the balance of meaningful strategic/financial progress against continued operating losses and capital structure work still required, the overall tone is mixed but steady execution is evident.
Positive Updates
Revenue in Line with Guidance
Total revenue of $150 million in Q3 FY2026, which was in line with the midpoint of company guidance.
Negative Updates
Negative Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin was negative 20.6% in Q3; management noted a double-digit percentage point improvement versus the prior quarter but gross margin remains materially negative.
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Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue in Line with Guidance
Total revenue of $150 million in Q3 FY2026, which was in line with the midpoint of company guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Wolfspeed guided Q4 FY26 revenue of $140–$160 million, said non‑GAAP gross margin is expected to remain negative and that operating expenses should be roughly flat quarter‑over‑quarter; this follows Q3 results of $150 million revenue (in line with the midpoint), power revenue of ~$100 million (≈90% from Mohawk Valley 200‑mm, ≈10% 150‑mm last‑time buys), materials revenue of ~$50 million (flat sequentially), Q3 non‑GAAP gross margin of -20.6% (double‑digit percentage‑point improvement QoQ) with underutilization impacting results by ~ $46 million, non‑GAAP OpEx of $61 million, adjusted EBITDA of -$62 million, operating cash flow of -$84 million, net CapEx of ~$5 million (gross $38 million offset by $33 million of NY incentives), and cash & short‑term investments of ~ $1.2 billion; management reiterated the longer‑term objective to return to above‑market revenue growth and achieve EBITDA and cash‑flow profitability and highlighted balance‑sheet actions that generated ~$476 million gross proceeds, reduced first‑lien debt by ~43% (≈$97 million principal), are expected to lower annual interest expense by ≈$62 million, and drove an equity increase of more than $400 million, with the first debt maturity in 2030.

Wolfspeed Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are very weak: revenue is down ~4.7% TTM and profitability deteriorated to negative gross margin with deeply negative EBIT/EBITDA and very large net losses (net margin ~-222%). Cash generation is a major risk with negative operating cash flow (~-$363M TTM) and deeply negative free cash flow (~-$750M TTM). Balance sheet stability improved (back to positive equity), but leverage remains meaningful (debt-to-equity ~1.69) and returns are severely negative.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
9
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue712.50M757.60M807.20M758.50M572.10M525.60M
Gross Profit-221.10M-121.60M77.40M242.90M208.10M150.10M
EBITDA-1.20B-1.05B-145.20M-71.60M-105.30M-173.90M
Net Income-1.58B-1.61B-864.20M-329.90M-200.90M-523.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.15B6.85B7.98B6.59B3.92B3.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.06B2.17B2.95B1.20B1.15B
Total Debt1.82B6.55B6.17B4.18B1.03B858.60M
Total Liabilities2.13B7.30B7.10B4.96B1.48B1.33B
Stockholders Equity1.02B-447.10M882.10M1.62B2.44B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-750.30M-1.99B-3.01B-1.10B-795.80M-696.00M
Operating Cash Flow-363.20M-711.70M-725.60M-142.60M-154.20M-125.50M
Investing Cash Flow699.30M-268.10M-1.94B-1.15B-391.00M-448.60M
Financing Cash Flow-282.10M400.10M1.96B2.60B615.90M504.10M

Wolfspeed Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.56
Price Trends
50DMA
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
7.37
Negative
RSI
51.83
Neutral
STOCH
24.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.56 is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of ―, equal to the 50-day MA of ―, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WOLF.

Wolfspeed Inc Risk Analysis

Wolfspeed Inc disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wolfspeed Inc reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The capped call transactions may not prevent dilution of our common stock upon conversion of the 2028 Notes or the 2029 Notes. Q1, 2025
2.
Risks associated with our capital structure Q1, 2025
3.
Risks associated with our strategic transactions Q1, 2025

Wolfspeed Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$9.41B13.8920.24%2.22%36.05%80.83%
65
Neutral
$7.24B-4.66%25.14%70.00%
63
Neutral
$2.97B-42.45-11.77%28.12%34.98%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$4.87B167.461.37%9.29%
56
Neutral
$5.47B-38.84-32.99%-45.38%-19.24%
46
Neutral
$2.09B-1.42-5208.55%-6.41%-106.57%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc
43.14
21.04
95.20%
IPGP
IPG Photonics
114.65
46.55
68.36%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
219.51
76.28
53.26%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
280.49
211.94
309.19%
AMBA
Ambarella
67.78
15.39
29.38%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
23.39
16.20
225.31%

Wolfspeed Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wolfspeed Releases Pro Forma Financials After Reorganization Plan
Neutral
Jun 9, 2026
On June 9, 2026, Wolfspeed disclosed unaudited pro forma consolidated financial information reflecting the impact of its prepackaged plan of reorganization, which became effective on September 29, 2025, its adoption of fresh start accounting on th...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Wolfspeed Strengthens Balance Sheet With Convertible Notes Refinancing
Positive
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Wolfspeed closed a series of private placements, issuing $379 million of 3.5% Convertible 1.5 Lien Senior Secured Notes due 2031 and approximately $96.9 million of common stock and pre-funded warrants, both sold at a premium to ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Wolfspeed Announces New Convertible Notes and Equity Financing
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Wolfspeed, Inc. entered into private agreements to issue $379 million of 3.5% Convertible 1.5 Lien Senior Secured Notes due 2031 and approximately $96.9 million of equity through common stock and pre-funded warrants. The deal, e...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2026