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Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF)
NYSE:WOLF

Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF) AI Stock Analysis

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WOLF

Wolfspeed Inc

(NYSE:WOLF)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(14.01% Upside)
Wolfspeed's overall stock score is heavily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and significant cash flow issues. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, with high volatility and overbought conditions. The valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings and lack of dividends.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Wolfspeed's leadership in SiC and GaN technologies positions it well in the growing semiconductor market, especially for electric vehicles and renewable energy.
Revenue Streams
Diverse revenue streams across multiple sectors provide Wolfspeed with resilience against sector-specific downturns, supporting long-term stability.
Industry Trends
Rising demand for energy-efficient solutions and EVs supports Wolfspeed's growth prospects, aligning with structural industry trends.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Significant revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share or adapting to competitive pressures, impacting long-term growth.
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity suggest financial distress, limiting Wolfspeed's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flows indicate poor cash management, potentially hindering Wolfspeed's operational flexibility and investment capacity.

Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wolfspeed Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWolfspeed, Inc. provides silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) materials, power devices, and radio frequency (RF) devices based on wide bandgap semiconductor materials and silicon. The company's silicon carbide and GaN materials comprise silicon carbide bare wafers, epitaxial wafers, and GaN epitaxial layers on silicon carbide wafers. It offers silicon carbide materials for customers to manufacture products for RF, power, and other applications. The company's power devices include silicon carbide Schottky diodes, metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistors (MOSFETs), power modules, and gate driver boards for customers and distributors to use in applications, such as electric vehicles comprising charging infrastructure, server power supplies, solar inverters, uninterruptible power supplies, industrial power supplies, and other applications. Its RF devices comprise GaN-based die, high-electron mobility transistors, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and laterally diffused MOSFET power transistors for telecommunications infrastructure, military, and other commercial applications. The company's products are also used in transportation, fast charging, wireless systems, 5G, motor drives, renewable energy and storage, and aerospace and defense applications; and materials products and RF devices are used in military communications, radar, satellite, and telecommunication applications. It serves customers in North America, Asia, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Cree, Inc. and changed its name to Wolfspeed, Inc. in October 2021. Wolfspeed, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyWolfspeed generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of silicon carbide and gallium nitride products. The company sells its semiconductor products to a diverse range of customers in automotive, industrial, and telecommunications sectors. Key revenue streams include direct sales of SiC substrates, power devices, and RF devices, as well as long-term supply agreements with major automotive manufacturers and technology companies. Additionally, Wolfspeed benefits from partnerships and collaborations that enhance its market presence and drive innovation. The increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions and the growth of electric vehicles further contribute to its revenue growth.

Wolfspeed Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Wolfspeed's strategic restructuring efforts, revenue growth from key segments, and improvements in capital structure and liquidity. However, these positive aspects are tempered by significant restructuring charges, negative free cash flow, and the inclusion of going concern language in financial statements, indicating potential financial uncertainties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Performance
Wolfspeed generated revenue of $185 million, in line with guidance and up 2.2% sequentially. Mohawk Valley posted $78 million in revenue, with a sequential growth of 50% and over 175% year-over-year growth.
Capital Structure and Liquidity Improvements
Approximately $192 million in cash tax refunds from the Section 48D Advanced Manufacturing Tax Credit was received, boosting liquidity. Over $1.3 billion of cash and liquidity was available at the end of the quarter.
Strategic Restructuring and Cost Savings
Initiatives targeting $200 million in annual cash savings and $150 million from non-core asset divestitures are underway, including a reduction in the senior leadership team by 30% and a 25% reduction in total company employment.
200-Millimeter Manufacturing Transition
Wolfspeed completed its fully automated 200-millimeter facility footprint, focusing on higher quality and lower cost wafers, with plans to exit the 150-millimeter device market.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $168 million, comprised of negative $142 million of operating cash flow and $26 million of capital expenditures.
Restructuring Charges
Restructuring charges for fiscal 2025 are projected at $400 million to $450 million, with $57 million incurred this quarter, primarily reflecting severance, asset impairments, accelerated depreciation, and related expenses.
Negative Adjusted EPS
Adjusted EPS was negative $0.72 per share, though it was above the high end of the guidance range.
Going Concern Language in Financial Statements
Due to potential in-court or out-of-court options related to debt negotiations, going concern language is expected to be included in the financial statements' footnotes.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 earnings call, Wolfspeed, Inc. provided guidance focusing on their strategic initiatives and financial performance. The company reported a revenue of $185 million, with Mohawk Valley contributing $78 million, reflecting a 50% sequential growth. Non-GAAP gross margin was noted at 2.2%, and adjusted EPS stood at negative $0.72 per share. The company aims to achieve $200 million in annual cash savings and expects to generate $150 million from non-core asset divestitures. Wolfspeed is targeting a reduction in their non-GAAP EBITDA break-even point to approximately $800 million annually and anticipates generating $200 million of positive unlevered operating cash flow by fiscal 2026. Additionally, they concluded the quarter with $1.3 billion in cash and liquidity, benefiting from $192 million in Section 48D cash tax refunds. The company plans to accelerate its transition to a 200-millimeter silicon carbide production, aiming to capitalize on high-growth markets such as AI data centers, energy storage, EVs, aerospace, and defense.

Wolfspeed Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wolfspeed is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability margins. The cash flow issues further exacerbate the situation, indicating potential liquidity problems.
Income Statement
Wolfspeed's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a substantial decline in revenue, with a negative growth rate of 48.6% in the most recent year. Profitability metrics are concerning, with negative gross and net profit margins, indicating the company is struggling to cover its costs and generate profit. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high expenses relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a precarious financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has deteriorated significantly, reaching -14.64, indicating high leverage and potential solvency issues. The negative stockholders' equity suggests financial distress. Return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity, and the equity ratio is negative, highlighting a weak capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates severe cash management issues. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, with declining free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow problems. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but reflects the company's inability to generate cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue759.70M757.60M807.20M758.50M572.10M525.60M
Gross Profit-162.50M-121.60M77.40M242.90M208.10M164.60M
EBITDA-1.48B-1.05B-145.20M-2.30M-10.40M-93.80M
Net Income-1.97B-1.61B-864.20M-329.90M-200.90M-523.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.55B6.85B7.98B6.59B3.92B3.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments926.00M1.06B2.17B2.95B1.20B1.15B
Total Debt7.32B6.55B6.29B4.30B1.08B851.10M
Total Liabilities7.63B7.30B7.10B4.96B1.48B1.33B
Stockholders Equity-1.08B-447.10M882.10M1.62B2.44B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.52B-1.99B-3.01B-1.10B-795.80M-701.90M
Operating Cash Flow-574.00M-711.70M-725.60M-142.60M-154.20M-125.50M
Investing Cash Flow61.80M-268.10M-1.94B-1.15B-391.00M-448.60M
Financing Cash Flow356.30M400.10M1.96B2.60B615.90M504.10M

Wolfspeed Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.42
Price Trends
50DMA
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
7.37
Negative
RSI
51.83
Neutral
STOCH
24.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.42 is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of ―, equal to the 50-day MA of ―, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WOLF.

Wolfspeed Inc Risk Analysis

Wolfspeed Inc disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wolfspeed Inc reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The capped call transactions may not prevent dilution of our common stock upon conversion of the 2028 Notes or the 2029 Notes. Q1, 2025
2.
Risks associated with our capital structure Q1, 2025
3.
Risks associated with our former RF Business Q1, 2025

Wolfspeed Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.84B38.9311.88%2.22%-2.26%9.74%
68
Neutral
$4.80B-54.90-8.00%47.10%64.29%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$3.21B126.681.22%-7.49%
56
Neutral
$2.98B-13.92%48.08%51.23%
48
Neutral
$2.32B-16.31-33.25%-38.06%-50.14%
41
Neutral
$481.60M-1.40
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc
18.42
-10.18
-35.59%
IPGP
IPG Photonics
76.12
3.24
4.45%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
145.12
11.93
8.96%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
115.32
66.42
135.83%
AMBA
Ambarella
68.57
-5.33
-7.21%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
10.43
7.34
237.54%

Wolfspeed Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Wolfspeed Inc Stockholders Approve Key Governance Proposals
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on December 16, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. saw stockholders approve three significant proposals. These included the election of seven directors, an advisory vote in favor of executive compensation, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent auditors for fiscal year 2026. These approvals reflect the company’s efforts to maintain strong governance practices and align operational decisions with stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Wolfspeed Amends Executive Employment Agreements for 2025
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced amendments to the employment agreements of its CEO, CFO, and COO, involving significant equity awards. These amendments include restricted stock units and performance stock units, with vesting schedules and performance targets set to incentivize and retain the executives. The awards are part of the company’s 2025 Management Incentive Compensation Plan, aiming to align executive compensation with company performance metrics such as total shareholder return, revenue, and leveraged free cash flow, potentially impacting the company’s leadership stability and strategic execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wolfspeed Inc Receives $698.6M IRS Tax Refund
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced the receipt of $698.6 million in cash tax refunds from the IRS under the Advanced Manufacturing Investment Credit, significantly enhancing its financial flexibility. This cash infusion supports Wolfspeed’s strategic evolution, allowing it to retire $175 million of outstanding debt and continue its expansion into key growing segments while advancing its 200mm silicon carbide manufacturing capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Sell with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Wolfspeed Inc Implements Fresh Start Accounting Post-Reorganization
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Wolfspeed, Inc. disclosed unaudited pro forma consolidated financial information following its prepackaged plan of reorganization, effective September 29, 2025, and adoption of fresh start accounting. The plan, confirmed by the Bankruptcy Court on September 8, 2025, involved significant restructuring, including the issuance of new notes and the cancellation of old equity, impacting various stakeholders and altering the company’s financial landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Sell with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 30, 2025