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Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF)
NYSE:WOLF

Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF) AI Stock Analysis

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WOLF

Wolfspeed Inc

(NYSE:WOLF)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▼(-3.54% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (large losses, high leverage, and significant cash burn) and bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings-call updates provide some offset via improved liquidity and cost/CapEx discipline, but near-term guidance still points to declining revenue and persistently negative margins, limiting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Technology & manufacturing leadership
A 300mm SiC wafer milestone plus continued 200mm materials leadership indicate sustainable technology differentiation and scale advantages. These capabilities support cost reduction, higher yields and stronger design-win potential across EV, renewables and industrial power over coming quarters.
AI data-center demand traction
Rapid, consistent AI data-center adoption shows product-market fit in a durable, high-growth end market. Diversification into AI power and 800V architecture transitions reduces dependence on cyclical EV demand and creates higher long-term revenue visibility and partner-led design wins.
Strengthened liquidity and balance-sheet actions
The sizable cash balance, tax refund proceeds and targeted debt retirements materially extend runway and reduce immediate refinancing needs. Combined with fresh-start accounting gains and lower planned CapEx, this improves financial flexibility to execute ramp plans over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative gross margins
Deeply negative gross margins reflect structural cost and underutilization pressures. Persistent negative margins erode the firm's ability to self-fund growth, signal scale inefficiencies in fabs, and imply margins may remain impaired until utilization, pricing or cost structure materially improve.
Poor cash generation and heavy cash burn
Significant negative operating and free cash flow indicate the business currently consumes capital rather than generating it. This structural cash deficit increases reliance on external financing and may constrain investment in capacity, R&D, or customer programs if liquidity tightens.
High leverage and refinancing risk
Elevated absolute debt and a weakened equity cushion raise refinancing and interest-cost risk, especially with a first‑lien rate step-up planned. If operating losses persist, refinancing at higher cost or tighter terms could limit strategic flexibility and strain cash available for growth.

Wolfspeed Inc (WOLF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wolfspeed Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWolfspeed, Inc. provides silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) materials, power devices, and radio frequency (RF) devices based on wide bandgap semiconductor materials and silicon. The company's silicon carbide and GaN materials comprise silicon carbide bare wafers, epitaxial wafers, and GaN epitaxial layers on silicon carbide wafers. It offers silicon carbide materials for customers to manufacture products for RF, power, and other applications. The company's power devices include silicon carbide Schottky diodes, metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistors (MOSFETs), power modules, and gate driver boards for customers and distributors to use in applications, such as electric vehicles comprising charging infrastructure, server power supplies, solar inverters, uninterruptible power supplies, industrial power supplies, and other applications. Its RF devices comprise GaN-based die, high-electron mobility transistors, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and laterally diffused MOSFET power transistors for telecommunications infrastructure, military, and other commercial applications. The company's products are also used in transportation, fast charging, wireless systems, 5G, motor drives, renewable energy and storage, and aerospace and defense applications; and materials products and RF devices are used in military communications, radar, satellite, and telecommunication applications. It serves customers in North America, Asia, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Cree, Inc. and changed its name to Wolfspeed, Inc. in October 2021. Wolfspeed, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyWolfspeed generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of silicon carbide and gallium nitride products. The company sells its semiconductor products to a diverse range of customers in automotive, industrial, and telecommunications sectors. Key revenue streams include direct sales of SiC substrates, power devices, and RF devices, as well as long-term supply agreements with major automotive manufacturers and technology companies. Additionally, Wolfspeed benefits from partnerships and collaborations that enhance its market presence and drive innovation. The increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions and the growth of electric vehicles further contribute to its revenue growth.

Wolfspeed Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Balanced/Neutral. The call highlighted important strategic and operational progress — notably strong AI data center revenue growth, a major 300mm materials milestone, substantial liquidity improvements ($1.3B cash, $700M tax refund), early cost and CapEx reductions, and regulatory clearance — but the company still faces pronounced near-term financial and operational challenges including a negative 34% gross margin, negative adjusted EBITDA (-$82M), negative operating cash flow (-$43M), underutilization costs (~$48M), materials demand pressure, and a Q3 revenue decline guide. Management emphasized execution, cost discipline, and long-term opportunity while acknowledging ongoing risks around demand visibility and refinancing timing.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong AI Data Center Momentum
AI data center revenue doubled over the last three quarters with 50% quarter-over-quarter growth from Q1 to Q2, driven by traction in AI power, collaborations to support transition from 400V to 800V architectures, and multiple partner engagements.
Materials Technology Milestone — 300mm Wafer
Produced a single-crystal 300-millimeter silicon carbide wafer (important R&D/technology milestone) while continuing to scale 200mm materials leadership for power devices.
Improved Liquidity and Balance Sheet Actions
Ended Q2 with $1.3 billion in cash and short-term investments, collected ~$700 million in 48D cash tax refunds, reduced net debt to approximately $600 million, and used part of cash to retire $175 million of first-lien debt.
Revenue and Segment Results In Line with Guidance
Total Q2 revenue was $168 million (in line with the midpoint of prior guidance). Power revenue was $118 million (Mohawk Valley contributed ~ $75 million) and materials revenue was $50 million.
Operational and Cost Discipline
Completed shutdown of 150mm device production ~1 month ahead of schedule (transitioning to 200mm), reduced CapEx to $31 million in Q2 versus ~ $400 million in Q2 last year (≈92% YoY decline in CapEx for the quarter), and lowered non-GAAP operating expenses by ~$200 million on a run-rate basis versus last year.
Fresh-Start / Restructuring Benefits and Regulatory Clearance
Adopted fresh start accounting with a $1.1 billion gain from emergence (reflecting debt forgiveness), received final CFIUS clearance enabling release of ~16.85 million shares to Renesas and distribution of ~871,000 shares to legacy shareholders; shares outstanding now ~45.1 million.
Future P&L Tailwinds from Accounting Adjustments
Fresh-start fair value adjustments include a $70 million step-down related to raw materials that will be realized in P&L over upcoming quarters and an expected net reduction of ~ $30 million per quarter in depreciation and amortization vs. pre-emergence levels.
Negative Updates
Negative Gross Margin and One-Time Accounting Headwinds
Non-GAAP gross margin was negative 34% in Q2. Drivers included a $39 million fresh-start accounting drag (including a $23 million inventory step-up recognized in COGS), a recurring ~$60 million increase in amortization for intangible assets, and $14 million of inventory reserves.
Profitability and Cash Flow Shortfalls
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $82 million and operating cash flow for the successor period was negative $43 million, reflecting continued near-term unprofitability.
Underutilization Costs and Manufacturing Headwinds
Manufacturing underutilization cost approximately $48 million in Q2. Company continues to face utilization headwinds while demand and fab ramp timing remain uncertain.
Materials Segment Pressure
Materials revenue of $50 million was impacted by a tightening demand environment and increased competition, limiting near-term performance in the materials business.
Near-Term Revenue Decline and Negative Margin Outlook
Company expects Q3 revenue between $140 million and $160 million (a sequential decline from Q2) driven by prior customer pull-ins, second-sourcing, and weak EV demand. Management does not provide numeric gross margin guidance and expects gross margin to remain negative in fiscal Q3.
Debt Cost and Refinancing Risk
While some first-lien debt was retired, the first-lien interest rate is set to step up around mid-calendar 2026 and the convert/other refinancing options remain under active review — raising cost-of-capital and refinancing execution risk.
Company Guidance
The company guided fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue of $140 million to $160 million (after Q2 revenue of $168 million), said gross margin will remain negative in Q3 but improve quarter‑over‑quarter (Q2 non‑GAAP gross margin was negative 34%, including a $39 million fresh‑start drag — ~$23 million inventory step‑up — plus $14 million inventory reserves, a recurring ~$60 million intangible amortization increase, and ~ $48 million of underutilization; Durham 150mm shutdown improved Q2 gross margin by ~$5 million), and expects non‑GAAP operating expense to be flat to slightly down sequentially (Q2 GAAP OpEx $83 million; non‑GAAP OpEx run‑rate down ~$200 million year‑over‑year). Management reaffirmed tight capital discipline: Q2 CapEx was $31 million (versus ~ $400 million a year ago) and they expect to drive CapEx lower over time, operating cash flow was negative $43 million in Q2, adjusted EBITDA was negative $82 million, cash ended Q2 at $1.3 billion, net debt is ~ $600 million, they collected a $700 million 48D tax refund (used $175 million to pay down first‑lien debt and converted ~1.5 million shares to reduce ~$18 million of debt), total shares outstanding are ~45.1 million, fresh‑start accounting will yield ~ $30 million per quarter lower depreciation & amortization versus pre‑emergence, a $70 million raw‑materials step‑down will be realized over coming quarters, and first‑lien interest steps up around mid‑calendar 2026.

Wolfspeed Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials appear stressed: TTM profitability is severely negative (gross margin -27%, net margin about -234%), leverage is high with a weakened/negative equity cushion in the latest annual view, and cash generation is poor (TTM operating cash flow -$450M; free cash flow -$1.02B), implying ongoing reliance on external funding/liquidity.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a sharp deterioration in profitability: revenue is slightly down (-1.6%), gross profit is negative (gross margin -27%), and losses are very large (net margin about -234%). While revenue has grown meaningfully over the last few years (2022–2024), the most recent periods show weakening growth and a major margin collapse versus 2023/2024, indicating significant cost pressure and/or underutilization impacting earnings power.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Leverage is a key concern. Total debt remains high ($2.0B in TTM, and over $6.5B in the latest annual snapshot) and debt relative to equity is elevated (about 3.1x in TTM, and distorted/negative in the latest annual period due to negative equity). Total assets are sizable, but the equity cushion has weakened materially versus prior years, which reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing/solvency risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak: TTM operating cash flow is negative (-$450M) and free cash flow is deeply negative (-$1.02B), with free cash flow also declining versus the prior period. The company is consuming cash rather than funding operations internally, implying continued reliance on financing or balance-sheet liquidity to support investment and ongoing losses.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue747.70M757.60M807.20M758.50M572.10M525.60M
Gross Profit-203.60M-121.60M77.40M242.90M208.10M164.60M
EBITDA-1.31B-1.05B-145.20M-2.30M-10.40M-93.80M
Net Income-1.75B-1.61B-864.20M-329.90M-200.90M-523.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.45B6.85B7.98B6.59B3.92B3.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.29B1.06B2.17B2.95B1.20B1.15B
Total Debt1.97B6.55B6.29B4.30B1.08B851.10M
Total Liabilities2.82B7.30B7.10B4.96B1.48B1.33B
Stockholders Equity627.40M-447.10M882.10M1.62B2.44B2.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.02B-1.99B-3.01B-1.10B-795.80M-701.90M
Operating Cash Flow-449.60M-711.70M-725.60M-142.60M-154.20M-125.50M
Investing Cash Flow1.08B-268.10M-1.94B-1.15B-391.00M-448.60M
Financing Cash Flow-216.90M400.10M1.96B2.60B615.90M504.10M

Wolfspeed Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.66
Price Trends
50DMA
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
7.37
Negative
RSI
51.83
Neutral
STOCH
24.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.66 is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of ―, equal to the 50-day MA of ―, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 7.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WOLF.

Wolfspeed Inc Risk Analysis

Wolfspeed Inc disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wolfspeed Inc reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The capped call transactions may not prevent dilution of our common stock upon conversion of the 2028 Notes or the 2029 Notes. Q1, 2025
2.
Risks associated with our capital structure Q1, 2025
3.
Risks associated with our strategic transactions Q1, 2025

Wolfspeed Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.51B36.3315.25%2.22%-2.26%9.74%
67
Neutral
$6.77B-5.97%47.10%64.29%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$5.82B178.221.50%-7.49%
56
Neutral
$2.84B-35.19-13.92%48.08%51.23%
48
Neutral
$1.86B-12.63-33.25%-38.06%-50.14%
44
Neutral
$883.29M-1.19-349.80%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc
18.66
-9.94
-34.76%
IPGP
IPG Photonics
133.62
70.73
112.47%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
204.64
53.21
35.14%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
134.88
79.46
143.37%
AMBA
Ambarella
68.01
-7.83
-10.32%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
7.88
4.99
172.66%

Wolfspeed Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wolfspeed completes equity issuance and board reshaping post-restructuring
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 29–30, 2026, Wolfspeed completed a key step in its court-approved Chapter 11 restructuring by issuing 16,852,372 shares of common stock to Renesas Electronics America and distributing 871,287 shares to pre-petition shareholders, representing the final 2% of a 5% equity recovery for legacy equity holders. These issuances followed formal clearance from the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) for Renesas’s substantial equity stake and board representation, triggering the exercisability of Renesas’s warrant for 4,943,555 shares and the convertibility of its 2.5% Convertible Second-Lien Senior Secured Notes due 2031; Wolfspeed’s total common shares outstanding rose to about 45.1 million, and Renesas executive Aris Bolisay was appointed to Wolfspeed’s board effective February 2, 2026, cementing Renesas’s role as a strategic creditor-turned-shareholder and reshaping Wolfspeed’s capital structure and governance as it exits its prepackaged restructuring.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wolfspeed Updates CFO Employment Agreement and Compensation Terms
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Wolfspeed, Inc. entered into a new employment agreement with its Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Gregor van Issum, effective January 1, 2026, replacing prior arrangements dated July 6, 2025 and December 12, 2025. The updated contract largely maintains previously disclosed terms but adds company-funded access to the Duke Executive Health program, and reiterates that van Issum must repay a $450,000 sign-on bonus if he resigns for any reason or is terminated for cause within one year of September 1, 2025, with “Cause” tightly defined around performance failures, legal violations, dishonesty, damaging felony convictions, or material breaches of confidentiality and noncompete obligations. The agreement confirms van Issum’s at-will employment status while detailing standard post-termination entitlements, including unpaid salary, expenses, unused vacation, remaining health-program payments, and applicable benefit-plan amounts, alongside his eligibility under Wolfspeed’s senior leadership severance plan, underscoring the company’s effort to formalize executive employment terms and retention mechanisms for a key financial leader.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Wolfspeed Updates CFO Employment Agreement and Compensation Terms
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Wolfspeed, Inc. entered into a new employment agreement with its Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Gregor van Issum, effective January 1, 2026, replacing prior arrangements dated July 6, 2025 and December 12, 2025. The updated contract largely maintains previously disclosed terms but adds company-funded access to the Duke Executive Health program, and reiterates that van Issum must repay a $450,000 sign-on bonus if he resigns for any reason or is terminated for cause within one year of September 1, 2025, with “Cause” tightly defined around performance failures, legal violations, dishonesty, damaging felony convictions, or material breaches of confidentiality and noncompete obligations. The agreement confirms van Issum’s at-will employment status while detailing standard post-termination entitlements, including unpaid salary, expenses, unused vacation, remaining health-program payments, and applicable benefit-plan amounts, alongside his eligibility under Wolfspeed’s senior leadership severance plan, underscoring the company’s effort to formalize executive employment terms and retention mechanisms for a key financial leader.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Wolfspeed Inc Stockholders Approve Key Governance Proposals
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

At its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on December 16, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. saw stockholders approve three significant proposals. These included the election of seven directors, an advisory vote in favor of executive compensation, and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent auditors for fiscal year 2026. These approvals reflect the company’s efforts to maintain strong governance practices and align operational decisions with stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Wolfspeed Amends Executive Employment Agreements for 2025
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced amendments to the employment agreements of its CEO, CFO, and COO, involving significant equity awards. These amendments include restricted stock units and performance stock units, with vesting schedules and performance targets set to incentivize and retain the executives. The awards are part of the company’s 2025 Management Incentive Compensation Plan, aiming to align executive compensation with company performance metrics such as total shareholder return, revenue, and leveraged free cash flow, potentially impacting the company’s leadership stability and strategic execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wolfspeed Inc Receives $698.6M IRS Tax Refund
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced the receipt of $698.6 million in cash tax refunds from the IRS under the Advanced Manufacturing Investment Credit, significantly enhancing its financial flexibility. This cash infusion supports Wolfspeed’s strategic evolution, allowing it to retire $175 million of outstanding debt and continue its expansion into key growing segments while advancing its 200mm silicon carbide manufacturing capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Sell with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed Inc stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026