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Wolfspeed (WOLF)
NYSE:WOLF

Wolfspeed (WOLF) AI Stock Analysis

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Wolfspeed

(NYSE:WOLF)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(11.11%Upside)
Wolfspeed faces substantial financial challenges, with negative margins and significant debt, which are major concerns for long-term viability. Despite restructuring efforts and leadership changes, immediate financial health remains precarious. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics do not currently favor investment, resulting in a low overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Liquidity
WOLF has access to $2.5bn in funding to support their ongoing restructure, alleviating liquidity concerns.
Restructuring
Management was upbeat about the progress of restructuring actions announced last quarter.
Revenue Growth
EV revenue was up +90% YOY in the first two quarters of FY25, and management sees continued growth moving forward.
Negative Factors
Financial Challenges
Management may consider pursuing in-court options and thus would add 'going concern' to its 10-Q risks, perhaps a sign of looming liquidation.
Investor Confidence
Complex negotiations with lenders, including in-court and out-of-court options, impair equity investors’ confidence in Wolfspeed shares.
Management Changes
The departure of the CEO and now the CFO points to the multiple challenges the company is facing.

Wolfspeed (WOLF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wolfspeed Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWolfspeed, Inc. provides silicon carbide and gallium nitride (GaN) materials, power devices, and radio frequency (RF) devices based on wide bandgap semiconductor materials and silicon. The company's silicon carbide and GaN materials comprise silicon carbide bare wafers, epitaxial wafers, and GaN epitaxial layers on silicon carbide wafers. It offers silicon carbide materials for customers to manufacture products for RF, power, and other applications. The company's power devices include silicon carbide Schottky diodes, metal oxide semiconductor field effect transistors (MOSFETs), power modules, and gate driver boards for customers and distributors to use in applications, such as electric vehicles comprising charging infrastructure, server power supplies, solar inverters, uninterruptible power supplies, industrial power supplies, and other applications. Its RF devices comprise GaN-based die, high-electron mobility transistors, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and laterally diffused MOSFET power transistors for telecommunications infrastructure, military, and other commercial applications. The company's products are also used in transportation, fast charging, wireless systems, 5G, motor drives, renewable energy and storage, and aerospace and defense applications; and materials products and RF devices are used in military communications, radar, satellite, and telecommunication applications. It serves customers in North America, Asia, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Cree, Inc. and changed its name to Wolfspeed, Inc. in October 2021. Wolfspeed, Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyWolfspeed primarily generates revenue through the sale of its Silicon Carbide and Gallium Nitride semiconductor products. These products are used in power and RF applications, where they are valued for their superior efficiency and performance compared to traditional silicon-based semiconductors. Key revenue streams include the automotive sector, where their products are used in electric vehicles, and the telecommunications industry, where they are used in 5G infrastructure. Additionally, Wolfspeed partners with other technology and industrial companies to develop and supply customized semiconductor solutions, further expanding its revenue opportunities. The company's positioning in the growing markets of electric vehicles and renewable energy systems significantly contributes to its earnings.

Wolfspeed Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -79.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view, with notable achievements in revenue growth at Mohawk Valley and improvements in capital structure. However, challenges included negative free cash flow and ongoing debt negotiations. The strategic restructuring and focus on Silicon Carbide technology offer promising prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Mohawk Valley Revenue Growth
Mohawk Valley posted $78 million in revenue, showing a sequential growth of 50% and a year-over-year increase of over 175%.
Silicon Carbide Technology Leadership
Wolfspeed's silicon carbide technology is described as second to none, with a fully automated 200-millimeter manufacturing footprint established.
Capital Structure Improvements
Received approximately $192 million in cash tax refunds from the Section 48D Advanced Manufacturing Tax Credit, boosting liquidity.
Operational Restructuring
Significant cost-saving measures and a 30% reduction in senior leadership team to optimize operations and improve profitability.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $168 million, with operating cash flow at negative $142 million.
Decreased Industrial and Energy Revenues
Despite growth in automotive revenue, there was a decrease in industrial and energy revenues.
Debt Negotiations and Going Concern Language
Ongoing negotiations with lenders concerning capital structure, with potential in-court or out-of-court options being considered.
Company Guidance
During Wolfspeed's third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance emphasizing several key metrics and strategic developments. Wolfspeed reported third-quarter revenue of $185 million, achieving a 2.2% sequential increase, with Mohawk Valley contributing $78 million, marking a 50% sequential growth. The company highlighted its focus on enhancing financial performance, targeting an EBITDA break-even point of approximately $800 million annually and aspiring to achieve $200 million in positive unlevered operating cash flow by fiscal 2026. Wolfspeed also discussed its capital structure improvements, including receiving $192 million in cash tax refunds and planning to submit for a $600 million tax credit refund in fiscal year 2026. To further strengthen its financial position, the company aims to generate $150 million from non-core asset divestitures by calendar year 2025 and is engaged in lender negotiations to optimize its capital structure. Operationally, Wolfspeed is advancing its transition to a 200-millimeter silicon carbide production, closing its 150-millimeter facilities, and implementing cost-saving measures targeting $200 million in cash savings annually.

Wolfspeed Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wolfspeed's financial performance is under significant pressure, with declining revenues, substantial losses, and a high debt-to-equity ratio. The negative cash flow trends and shrinking equity base further highlight financial instability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Wolfspeed's income statement shows significant challenges. The TTM data reveals a negative gross profit margin and persistently negative net income, indicating operational difficulties. Revenue has declined compared to prior periods, and the company continues to report substantial EBIT and EBITDA losses, which raises concerns about profitability and long-term viability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting heavy reliance on debt financing, which poses financial risk. The equity ratio has dwindled over the periods, indicating a shrinking share of equity in total assets. Nevertheless, the company maintains a substantial asset base, although shareholder equity has seen a notable decline.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow statements show a negative trend, with operating cash flow and free cash flow deeply in the red. This trend, combined with ongoing capital expenditures, suggests liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting revenue into cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
761.30M807.20M921.90M746.20M525.60M470.70M
Gross Profit
-93.70M77.40M279.50M249.30M164.60M158.50M
EBIT
-958.00M-372.00M-380.60M-248.10M-238.40M-222.60M
EBITDA
-725.10M-145.20M-71.60M-131.20M-173.90M-73.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.11B-864.20M-329.90M-295.10M-341.30M-197.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.33B2.17B2.95B1.20B1.15B1.24B
Total Assets
7.57B7.98B6.62B3.92B3.45B3.23B
Total Debt
6.52B6.29B4.18B1.03B839.10M798.80M
Net Debt
5.79B5.25B4.19B582.20M460.10M350.00M
Total Liabilities
6.74B7.10B5.00B1.48B1.33B1.14B
Stockholders Equity
212.70M882.10M1.62B2.44B2.12B2.08B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.41B-3.01B-1.10B-804.80M-701.90M-263.30M
Operating Cash Flow
-708.70M-725.60M-142.60M-154.20M-125.50M-29.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-623.30M-1.94B-1.15B-391.00M-448.60M-486.90M
Financing Cash Flow
919.80M1.96B2.60B615.90M504.10M464.30M

Wolfspeed Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.90
Price Trends
50DMA
2.45
Negative
100DMA
3.89
Negative
200DMA
6.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Negative
RSI
31.14
Neutral
STOCH
5.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.35, below the 50-day MA of 2.45, and below the 200-day MA of 6.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WOLF.

Wolfspeed Risk Analysis

Wolfspeed disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wolfspeed reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wolfspeed Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$11.89B9.95-7.22%4.98%7.31%-8.91%
61
Neutral
$860.25M-24.12%2.66%-11.35%
58
Neutral
$1.34B-26.43%-16.95%-2.47%
56
Neutral
$426.57M-16.06%7.90%74.69%
55
Neutral
$493.63M-2.51%13.09%46.89%
54
Neutral
$682.17M-32.43%-7.09%-53.23%
45
Neutral
$135.89M-180.49%-9.62%-30.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOLF
Wolfspeed
0.90
-22.05
-96.08%
CEVA
Ceva
20.64
2.12
11.45%
LASR
nLIGHT
17.40
6.13
54.39%
INDI
indie Semiconductor
3.17
-2.91
-47.86%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
7.01
3.01
75.25%
SKYT
SkyWater Technology
8.85
1.61
22.24%

Wolfspeed Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Appoints Kevin Speirits as Interim CFO
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced the appointment of Kevin Speirits as Interim Chief Financial Officer, effective May 30, 2025, following the departure of Neill P. Reynolds. Speirits, who has been with the company since 2020, will receive additional compensation under a retention agreement, which includes milestone-based payments and severance benefits. This strategic move is part of Wolfspeed’s efforts to maintain financial stability and continuity during the transition period.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Appoints New COO to Boost Operations
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Wolfspeed appointed David Emerson, Ph.D., as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective no later than June 30, 2025. Dr. Emerson, who previously held various roles at Wolfspeed, including EVP of LED Products, will oversee operations, supply chain, and quality divisions, focusing on operational excellence and the company’s transition to 200-millimeter silicon carbide production. This strategic appointment aims to enhance Wolfspeed’s market position by reducing customer lead times and improving manufacturing efficiency. The company also announced its financial targets, including achieving positive cash flow by FY2026 and FY2027, as part of its operational restructuring and debt refinancing efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (WOLF) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wolfspeed stock, see the WOLF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Wolfspeed Appoints New Board Members Amid Financial Talks
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced the appointment of Mark Jensen and Paul Walsh to its Board of Directors, with both joining the Audit Committee. These appointments bring significant expertise in finance, accounting, and restructuring, crucial for Wolfspeed’s ongoing negotiations with lenders to improve its capital structure. The company also announced that Stacy J. Smith will not seek re-election and will leave the Board before the 2025 Annual Meeting. These changes are expected to strengthen Wolfspeed’s board as it navigates financial challenges and aims for long-term success.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Wolfspeed Enters Confidentiality Agreement, Discloses Financial Info
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. entered into a confidentiality agreement with a holder of its 1.75% convertible senior notes due 2026 to discuss potential transactions. However, the potential transaction was deemed not actionable, and the company decided not to pursue it further. As part of the agreement, Wolfspeed disclosed certain confidential information to the public. The release also included cautionary notes about the company’s financial projections, which were not prepared for public disclosure and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. The announcement highlights the company’s transparency in handling financial matters and its cautious approach to future projections amidst various economic and geopolitical uncertainties.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Adopts 2025 Inducement Award Plan
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. adopted the 2025 Inducement Award Plan, reserving 2,000,000 shares of common stock for equity awards. This plan is designed to attract new talent and facilitate corporate acquisitions or mergers by offering stock options and other equity-based awards, aligning with the New York Stock Exchange’s Inducement Listing Rule.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed CFO Neill Reynolds to Step Down
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Wolfspeed announced that Neill P. Reynolds will step down as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on May 30, 2025, following a mutual agreement to pursue another opportunity. Reynolds will remain with the company until his departure to ensure a smooth transition and assist in ongoing lender negotiations. The company has initiated a search for a new CFO and reaffirmed its fiscal third-quarter guidance for 2025, highlighting its commitment to strengthening its capital structure and balance sheet.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Appoints Robert Feurle as New CEO
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced the appointment of Robert Feurle as the new Chief Executive Officer, effective May 1, 2025. Feurle, a veteran in the semiconductor industry, is expected to drive operational excellence and enhance profitability at Wolfspeed. His extensive experience in managing large business units and strategic initiatives in the semiconductor sector aligns with Wolfspeed’s strategic vision for long-term value creation. This leadership change is anticipated to bolster Wolfspeed’s market position and financial performance, as the company aims to accelerate its path to positive free cash flow and strengthen its balance sheet.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.