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Ambarella (AMBA)
NASDAQ:AMBA
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Ambarella (AMBA) AI Stock Analysis

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AMBA

Ambarella

(NASDAQ:AMBA)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(29.72% Upside)
Ambarella's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with positive revenue growth but significant profitability challenges. Technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, which is a positive sign. However, the negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on the score. The earnings call provided strong guidance, but its exclusion from the score calculation means it does not impact the final score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Ambarella's increased revenue guidance indicates strong demand for its products, particularly in Edge AI, suggesting a solid growth trajectory.
Edge AI Product Success
The significant contribution of Edge AI products to revenue highlights Ambarella's competitive advantage in AI-driven solutions, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Robust free cash flow generation enhances Ambarella's ability to invest in R&D and new product development, supporting future innovation and expansion.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues could hinder Ambarella's ability to reinvest in the business and compete effectively, impacting long-term sustainability.
Gross Margin Pressure
Declining gross margins may reduce Ambarella's profitability, limiting its ability to withstand competitive pressures and invest in growth initiatives.
Consumer Market Volatility
Volatility in the consumer market could lead to unpredictable revenue streams, affecting Ambarella's financial stability and planning capabilities.

Ambarella (AMBA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ambarella Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmbarella (AMBA) is a technology company specializing in advanced video compression and image processing solutions. Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Ambarella develops a range of semiconductor products that are primarily used in high-definition video applications, including security cameras, drones, automotive cameras, and consumer electronics. The company operates in diverse sectors such as security, automotive, and consumer markets, offering innovative solutions that leverage artificial intelligence and machine learning for enhanced video analytics and processing capabilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmbarella generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which includes system-on-chip (SoC) solutions designed for video and image processing. The company has established significant partnerships with leading manufacturers in the security, automotive, and consumer electronics industries, which help drive demand for its products. Key revenue streams include sales from its core video processing chipsets, royalties from licensing its intellectual property, and ongoing support and development services for its technology. Additionally, the increasing trend towards security and surveillance, as well as the growth of autonomous vehicles, contributes to Ambarella's earnings potential by expanding its customer base and product applications.

Ambarella Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Ambarella is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAmbarella's revenue in the United States has been volatile, with recent declines, while Europe and Taiwan show strong recovery, particularly in 2025. The earnings call highlights robust growth driven by AI, with AGI revenue making up a significant portion. Despite geopolitical uncertainties, the company raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance, reflecting confidence in its AI strategy and diversified product offerings. This suggests a strategic pivot towards AI-driven solutions, which could mitigate regional revenue fluctuations and drive long-term growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Ambarella Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record revenue and robust growth in Edge AI, yet anticipates a seasonal decline in Q4 revenue and continued gross margin pressure due to high-volume customer sales.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Achieved record quarterly revenue of $108.5 million, slightly above the high end of the guidance range, marking a 31.2% year-over-year increase.
Edge AI Revenue Growth
Edge AI products accounted for about 80% of total revenue, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of record Edge AI revenue.
Increased Fiscal 2026 Revenue Guidance
Fiscal 2026 revenue growth guidance raised to a range of 36% to 38%, or approximately $390 million at midpoint, up from 31% to 35%.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Cumulative year-to-date free cash flow was almost 14.8%.
New Customer Wins in Multiple Markets
Significant customer engagements in enterprise security, automotive safety, and portable video markets, including partnerships with Sparsh, Infinity, and Motorola.
Negative Updates
Expected Seasonal Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue forecasted to decrease to a range of $97 million to $103 million due to seasonality, with a mid to high single-digit decline in automotive and IoT businesses.
Gross Margin Pressure
Non-GAAP gross margin guidance for Q4 expected to decline to 59% to 60.5%, influenced by the composition of high-volume customer revenue.
Consumer Market Volatility
Increased exposure to the consumer market, which historically has shown volatility, could impact future performance.
Company Guidance
During Ambarella's Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a record quarterly revenue of $108.5 million, exceeding their guidance range and achieving a 31.2% year-over-year growth. The company's Edge AI products, which constituted approximately 80% of total revenue, have seen six consecutive quarters of record revenue. For fiscal 2026, Ambarella increased its revenue growth guidance to a range of 36% to 38%, projecting a midpoint revenue of approximately $390 million. The non-GAAP gross margin for the quarter was 60.9%, and operating expenses were $55.3 million. Despite a projected seasonal decline in both automotive and IoT businesses, the company anticipates a fourth-quarter revenue in the range of $97 million to $103 million. Additionally, the company highlighted the robust demand for its Edge AI solutions across various markets, including enterprise security, automotive safety, and portable video markets, and emphasized its commitment to advancing its AI technology and product offerings.

Ambarella Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ambarella's financial performance is mixed. Revenue growth is positive at 10.05%, but profitability is a concern with negative net profit margins and returns on equity. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but cash flow is declining, which could impact future investments.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ambarella's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a positive revenue growth rate of 10.05% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 59.82%, but the negative net profit margin of -25.46% highlights significant cost pressures or inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Ambarella is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.006, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. However, the return on equity is negative at -15.65%, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure, but the negative ROE points to profitability issues.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Ambarella's cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -8.24% in the TTM, which could impact future investments or debt repayments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.50, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, suggesting that the company is managing to convert a significant portion of its net income into free cash flow despite profitability challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue348.05M284.87M226.47M337.61M331.86M222.99M
Gross Profit208.20M172.33M136.82M208.93M208.13M135.57M
EBITDA-76.41M-100.53M-129.75M-54.32M-15.64M-49.20M
Net Income-88.63M-117.13M-169.42M-65.39M-26.41M-59.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets706.43M688.97M657.65M710.20M657.54M573.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments261.18M250.26M219.93M206.86M171.04M440.71M
Total Debt3.44M5.26M5.34M8.64M11.71M10.44M
Total Liabilities129.91M127.56M97.78M104.11M110.37M98.30M
Stockholders Equity576.52M561.41M559.87M606.09M547.18M474.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.67M23.45M7.05M29.04M29.12M25.86M
Operating Cash Flow52.36M33.84M19.02M44.09M38.80M30.80M
Investing Cash Flow-67.38M-40.53M7.84M-107.30M-119.55M-31.32M
Financing Cash Flow4.28M6.40M4.51M5.70M10.53M10.40M

Ambarella Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price70.92
Price Trends
50DMA
84.64
Negative
100DMA
78.21
Negative
200DMA
67.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.05
Positive
RSI
35.27
Neutral
STOCH
4.34
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMBA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 70.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.88, below the 50-day MA of 84.64, and above the 200-day MA of 67.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.34 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMBA.

Ambarella Risk Analysis

Ambarella disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ambarella reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ambarella Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.82B119.268.76%21.12%-54.97%
72
Outperform
$3.01B30.5311.88%1.93%-2.26%9.74%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$1.86B107.332.53%2.49%10.50%-52.00%
56
Neutral
$4.19B-8.00%47.10%64.29%
55
Neutral
$3.03B-13.92%48.08%51.23%
52
Neutral
$2.62B-3.16%13.24%-129.14%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMBA
Ambarella
70.92
-0.16
-0.23%
CAMT
Camtek
105.40
29.73
39.29%
POWI
Power Integrations
33.69
-29.03
-46.29%
SLAB
Silicon Laboratories
126.64
15.10
13.54%
SIMO
Silicon Motion
88.71
34.22
62.80%
SYNA
Synaptics
67.29
-14.34
-17.57%

Ambarella Corporate Events

Ambarella Inc. Reports Strong Q3 Revenue Growth
Nov 26, 2025

Ambarella Inc., a leading edge AI semiconductor company, specializes in developing low-power systems-on-chip (SoCs) for various applications including video security, advanced driver assistance systems, and autonomous driving. The company is renowned for its high-resolution video compression and advanced image processing capabilities.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Ambarella CTO Leslie Kohn Resigns, Shifts to Advisory Role
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Leslie Kohn resigned from his roles as a director and Chief Technology Officer at Ambarella for personal reasons, transitioning to a part-time role as Chief Technology Advisor. Ambarella reported a significant financial performance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, with a 31.2% increase in revenue compared to the previous year, and a notable improvement in non-GAAP net profit. The company also provided optimistic guidance for the fourth quarter, highlighting strong growth and a promising outlook for edge AI applications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMBA) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ambarella stock, see the AMBA Stock Forecast page.

Ambarella Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Sep 1, 2025

Ambarella Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment driven by strong revenue growth and record performance in edge AI. The company has successfully penetrated new markets and experienced increased demand, despite facing challenges in the automotive sector and margin pressures. The outlook remains optimistic due to expansion into new markets and rising average selling prices (ASPs).

Ambarella Reports Strong Q2 Revenue Growth
Aug 29, 2025

Ambarella, Inc. is a semiconductor company specializing in edge AI technology, providing solutions for video security, automotive, and robotics applications.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025