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Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR (VTMX)
NYSE:VTMX
US Market

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR (VTMX) AI Stock Analysis

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VTMX

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR

(NYSE:VTMX)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▼(-11.09% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:10/28/25
The overall stock score of 68 reflects a combination of strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, tempered by technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions and concerns over high valuation. The company's strategic initiatives and improved guidance are positive, but the high P/E ratio and potential for a technical pullback are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Vesta's properties, supporting long-term financial stability and expansion potential.
Strategic Land Acquisition
Strategic land acquisitions enhance Vesta's market position and provide opportunities for future development, supporting long-term growth.
Debt Management
The bond issuance strengthens Vesta's financial flexibility and supports its strategic initiatives, ensuring sustainable growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Profit Margins
Decreasing net profit margins may indicate challenges in cost control, potentially impacting long-term profitability if not addressed.
Occupancy Dip
A dip in occupancy rates can affect rental income stability, highlighting the need for effective tenant acquisition strategies.
High Vacancy in Tijuana
High vacancy rates in Tijuana could pressure rental yields and require strategic efforts to attract tenants and stabilize occupancy.

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR (VTMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCorporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates, and leases industrial buildings and distribution centers in Mexico. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyCorporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its industrial properties to various businesses, which provides a stable and recurring income stream. The company typically enters into long-term lease agreements with its tenants, ensuring a predictable cash flow. Additionally, Vesta may earn revenue from property management services and ancillary services associated with its real estate holdings. Significant revenue growth can also stem from the acquisition of new properties and the development of additional industrial spaces, which expand its portfolio and increase rental income. Partnerships with logistics companies and service providers further enhance its operational capabilities and attractiveness to potential tenants, contributing positively to its earnings.

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong top-line growth, margin expansion, FFO improvement, accelerating leasing momentum in H2 2025, strategic land acquisitions and balance sheet actions (elimination of secured debt). Headwinds include elevated interest expense, FX-driven tax volatility, moderated total occupancy due to tenant rotation and near-term margin pressures expected in 2026. On balance, the company is positioned for recovery and growth into 2026–2027 but remains exposed to cyclical leasing timing and currency/interest-rate dynamics.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Rental Revenue Growth
Rental revenues grew 11.8% year-over-year to $273.6 million for FY2025, exceeding guidance (10%-11%), with total rental income of $283.2 million.
Margin Expansion and Profitability
Adjusted NOI margin reached 94.8% for FY2025 (above revised guidance of 94.5%) and adjusted EBITDA margin was 84.4% for the year; Q4 adjusted NOI rose 17.2% to $69.4 million and adjusted EBITDA increased 18.2% to $61.1 million.
FFO Growth
FFO for 2025 was $174.9 million, up 9.2% year-over-year from $160.1 million, demonstrating solid cash-flow generation.
Leasing Momentum and Portfolio Activity
Full-year leasing reached 6.9 million sq ft with a 7-year weighted average lease term; leasing accelerated in H2 (≈1.4M sq ft vs 0.5M in H1) and Q4 leasing was 1.9M sq ft (770k new leases, 1.2M renewals). Trailing 12-month weighted average leasing spread was 10.8%.
Manufacturing Demand Shift
86% of 2025 new leases were manufacturing-related (electronics leading), signaling a structural shift toward advanced manufacturing and data center/peripheral equipment demand.
Targeted Development and Land Strategy
Invested ≈$330 million in projects on a cash-basis in 2025; 800k sq ft under construction with estimated investment ≈$60 million and expected yield on cost of 9.9%. Strategic land acquisitions include 330 acres in Apodaca (Monterrey) with seller financing to support Route 2030.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Strengthening
Ended year with $337 million in cash, total debt $1.28 billion, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x and loan-to-value 28.1%; subsequently prepaid $118 million MetLife III facility, eliminating secured debt and moving to a fully unsecured capital structure.
Industry Recognition
Vesta Park Apodaca Building 8 won first place in GRI Global Awards 2025 Industrial & Logistics Project of the Year, highlighting excellence in design, sustainability and innovation.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Moderation and Vacant Space
Total portfolio occupancy was 89.7% at quarter-end (stabilized 93.6%, same-store 95%), with moderation in certain submarkets due to tenant rotation and isolated shutdowns, implying short-term leasing/marketer effort is required.
Higher Interest Expense and Q4 FFO Impact
FFO excluding current tax in Q4 fell to $39.3 million from $41.1 million a year earlier, primarily due to higher interest expense tied to an increased debt balance.
Income Tax Volatility Due to FX
Significant Q4 income tax expense (~$36 million) driven by peso appreciation effects (exchange gains and dollar-denominated debt revaluation), introducing volatility in reported tax and earnings.
Leverage and Debt-Related Pressure
Net debt/EBITDA of 4.4x reflects elevated leverage relative to peers; higher interest costs were called out as a drag in the quarter despite subsequent unsecured refinancing improvements.
Early-2025 Leasing Slowdown
Decision-making uncertainty slowed leasing in early 2025 (H1 leasing ~0.5M sq ft), reflecting cyclical risk that required operational patience and could reoccur under macro uncertainty.
Guidance Shows Slight Margin Compression
2026 guidance expects rental revenue growth of 10%-11% but slightly lower margins (93.5% adjusted NOI, 83% adjusted EBITDA versus FY2025 94.8% and 84.4%), with management citing operating cost pressure (strong peso) and FX sensitivities.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 rental revenues to grow 10–11% year‑over‑year, with an expected adjusted NOI margin of 93.5% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 83% for the full year; the outlook is framed against 2025 results (rental revenues $273.6M, total rental income $283.2M, adjusted NOI margin 94.8%, adjusted EBITDA margin 84.4%, and FFO $174.9M) and assumes leased buildings beginning to pay in early 2026 and continued stabilization/leasing activity (budget FX assumption ~MXN17.50/$). Management reiterated disciplined capital allocation — including the $0.38/share Q4 dividend paid Jan 15, 2026 — and highlighted balance‑sheet flexibility (cash $337M, total debt $1.28B, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x, LTV 28.1% and the subsequent $118M MetLife III prepayment leaving no secured debt).

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR exhibits strong profitability and cash flow management, with consistent gross profit margins and positive cash flow growth. However, declining net profit margins and return on equity in the TTM period highlight areas for improvement. The company's financial position is stable, with a balanced approach to leveraging and a strong equity base. Continued focus on improving net margins and returns on equity will be essential for sustaining long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows strong gross profit margins consistently above 90%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has significantly decreased in the TTM period compared to previous years, suggesting potential challenges in controlling expenses or other financial factors. Revenue growth is steady but modest, with a 4.25% increase in the TTM period. Overall, the income statement reflects solid profitability but highlights a need to address declining net margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively stable and moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity has decreased in the TTM period, indicating reduced profitability from shareholder investments. The equity ratio remains healthy, showing a strong capital structure. The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position but points to a need for improved returns on equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow and free cash flow have shown positive growth in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable, reflecting robust cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow statement demonstrates strong liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.14M251.29M214.47M178.03M160.79M149.86M
Gross Profit263.75M225.39M196.23M166.60M150.06M139.70M
EBITDA52.99M194.17M429.51M339.71M302.30M168.03M
Net Income4.81M222.43M316.64M243.62M173.94M66.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.60B3.96B3.79B2.95B2.76B2.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments587.07M184.11M501.09M139.06M452.80M120.42M
Total Debt1.45B847.54M916.08M932.00M934.91M840.49M
Total Liabilities2.03B1.36B1.31B1.31B1.31B1.15B
Stockholders Equity2.57B2.60B2.49B1.64B1.45B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow153.81M86.67M142.72M57.51M106.95M99.75M
Operating Cash Flow154.87M87.26M144.80M57.73M107.17M100.57M
Investing Cash Flow-309.24M-225.73M-223.07M-254.67M16.71M-73.35M
Financing Cash Flow457.29M-183.05M444.74M-119.78M212.54M16.91M

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.99
Price Trends
50DMA
31.91
Positive
100DMA
30.49
Positive
200DMA
28.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.11
Negative
RSI
78.23
Negative
STOCH
91.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.05, above the 50-day MA of 31.91, and above the 200-day MA of 28.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTMX.

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$142.66M13.408.04%-27.32%-15.12%
68
Neutral
$3.27B12.880.22%2.29%13.04%-98.33%
68
Neutral
$603.11M6.9812.52%-1.52%81.35%
66
Neutral
$1.48B8.909.82%10.13%-18.11%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
53
Neutral
$280.88M49.330.95%-0.58%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTMX
Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR
36.62
13.31
57.11%
ARL
American Realty Investors
17.59
3.49
24.75%
AXR
Amrep
26.21
-0.11
-0.42%
FOR
Forestar Group
28.24
5.33
23.26%
FPH
Five Point Holdings
5.60
-0.12
-2.10%
OZ
Belpointe PREP
49.50
-12.00
-19.51%

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR Corporate Events

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta Sets January 19, 2026 Payment for Fourth Dividend Installment
Jan 5, 2026

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., a Mexican industrial real estate developer and operator, announced that it will pay the fourth installment of a previously approved dividend on January 19, 2026. The payment, authorized at the Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting held on March 19, 2025, totals US$17.38 million, equivalent to US$0.0203418898196275 per eligible share, and will be paid in Mexican pesos through Indeval using the Bank of Mexico’s exchange rate published on January 16, 2026, underscoring Vesta’s ongoing cash returns to shareholders and providing clarity on timing and mechanics for investors and depository institutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTMX) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR stock, see the VTMX Stock Forecast page.

Vesta Secures Major Leases, Fully Occupies Tijuana Park
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Vesta announced the signing of three new lease agreements totaling over 550,000 square feet, marking significant progress in its Route 2030 strategic growth plan. Two of these leases were executed at Vesta Park Mega Region in Tijuana, fully leasing the park with tenants from the electronics sector, while the third lease in Queretaro involved a build-to-suit facility for a major aerospace company. These agreements highlight the robust demand for industrial real estate in Mexico, driven by strong infrastructure and a skilled labor force, reinforcing Mexico’s position as a cost-competitive location for production and logistics.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTMX) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR stock, see the VTMX Stock Forecast page.

Vesta Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings and Strategic Land Acquisition
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Vesta announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings results, highlighting a strong financial performance with a 13.7% year-over-year increase in total income to $72.4 million. The company also reported a 16.5% increase in funds from operations (FFO) to $47.4 million. Vesta’s strategic activities included the successful issuance of $500 million in senior unsecured notes, the acquisition of 330 acres of land in Monterrey, and the sale of a building in Ciudad Juarez, all contributing to its long-term growth strategy. These developments are expected to enhance Vesta’s market positioning and provide financial flexibility for future expansions.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTMX) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. ADR stock, see the VTMX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025