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Vistra Corp. (VST)
NYSE:VST
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Vistra Corp (VST) Price & Analysis

8,322 Followers

VST Stock Chart & Stats

$163.46
-$7.38(-4.52%)
At close: 4:00 PM EST
$163.46
-$7.38(-4.52%)

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls Say
Operating Cash GenerationSustained high operating cash flow (TTM $4.67B) indicates durable core cash generation from generation and retail operations. That level of OCF supports recurring capex, debt servicing, buybacks and dividends, increasing strategic optionality through commodity cycles and funding growth without reliance on equity issuance.
Fleet Diversity & AvailabilityHigh commercial availability across gas and nuclear units and strong generation EBITDA reflect operational reliability and multi-fuel diversification. Consistent fleet performance reduces outage risk, sustains margins and strengthens the company’s ability to meet long-term wholesale and contracted obligations across variable market conditions.
Scale Via M&A & Development PipelineA combined approach of a large pending Cogentrix acquisition plus long-term PPAs and ~4,500 MW organic pipeline increases scale and contracted cash flows. This expands earnings visibility, improves asset mix, and provides a durable platform for accretive growth and targeted mid-teens levered returns on new investments.
Bears Say
Elevated LeverageHistorically high debt-to-equity (roughly 2.7–4.0x) constrains financial flexibility in a cyclical, capital-intensive industry. Elevated leverage amplifies earnings volatility, increases refinancing and covenant risk, and limits the company’s ability to absorb project delays or lower commodity spreads without pressuring credit metrics.
Free Cash Flow VolatilityMaterial swings in free cash flow (sharp 2025 dip) and moderate conversion (~43% of net income TTM) indicate variability from working-capital, commodity cycles or timing of receipts. This undermines predictability for shareholder returns and reinvestment, and complicates multi-year planning for capex and M&A.
Regulatory & Interconnection RiskOngoing PJM market-design and interconnection-rule uncertainty can delay project energization and contract realization. Persistent queue opacity and evolving FERC/PJM rules raise the risk that expected load growth, contracted PPAs or uprates are delayed or re-scoped, impairing revenue timing and project IRRs over the medium term.

Vistra Corp News

VST FAQ

What was Vistra Corp.’s price range in the past 12 months?
Vistra Corp. lowest stock price was $132.66 and its highest was $219.82 in the past 12 months.
    What is Vistra Corp.’s market cap?
    Vistra Corp.’s market cap is $49.91B.
      When is Vistra Corp.’s upcoming earnings report date?
      Vistra Corp.’s upcoming earnings report date is Aug 06, 2026 which is in 51 days.
        How were Vistra Corp.’s earnings last quarter?
        Vistra Corp. released its earnings results on May 07, 2026. The company reported $1.461 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $1.322 by $0.139.
          Is Vistra Corp. overvalued?
          According to Wall Street analysts Vistra Corp.’s price is currently Undervalued. Get more investment ideas with TipRanks Premium
            Does Vistra Corp. pay dividends?
            Vistra Corp. pays a Quarterly dividend of $0.229 which represents an annual dividend yield of 0.56%. See more information on Vistra Corp. dividends here
              What is Vistra Corp.’s EPS estimate?
              Vistra Corp.’s EPS estimate is 1.95.
                How many shares outstanding does Vistra Corp. have?
                Vistra Corp. has 337,182,460 shares outstanding.
                  What happened to Vistra Corp.’s price movement after its last earnings report?
                  Vistra Corp. reported an EPS of $1.461 in its last earnings report, beating expectations of $1.322. Following the earnings report the stock price went down -2.742%.
                    Which hedge fund is a major shareholder of Vistra Corp.?
                    Currently, no hedge funds are holding shares in VST
                    What is the TipRanks Smart Score and how is it calculated?
                    Smart Score combines eight research factors - such as analyst recommendations, hedge fund trends, and technical indicators - to measure a stock’s outlook. These signals are unified into a single score that reflects bullish or bearish momentum. See detailed methodology

                      Company Description

                      Vistra Corp.

                      Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation. The company organizes its operations across six distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It directly provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients throughout 20 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Beyond its retail endeavors, Vistra also participates in generating electricity, facilitating wholesale energy transactions, managing commodity-related risks, producing fuel, and overseeing fuel logistics. With approximately 4.3 million customers, Vistra commands an impressive generation capacity of about 38,700 megawatts. This capacity is sustained by a diverse portfolio of facilities, including those powered by natural gas, nuclear energy, coal, solar, and advanced battery energy storage systems. The enterprise, initially known as Vistra Energy Corp., adopted its current name, Vistra Corp., in July 2020. Tracing its origins back to 1882, Vistra Corp. maintains its corporate headquarters in Irving, Texas.

                      Vistra Corp (VST) Earnings & Revenues

                      VST Company Deck

                      VST Earnings Call

                      Q1 2026
                      0:00 / 0:00
                      Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
                      The call was largely positive: management reported a record Q1 adjusted EBITDA ($1.494B, +20% YoY), strong generation availability (97% gas, 100% nuclear), a sizable development pipeline (~4,500 MW), aggressive capital returns (~$600M YTD), a major pending acquisition (5,500 MW Cogentrix) and a credit rating upgrade to investment-grade. Key risks center on policy and interconnection uncertainty (particularly in PJM and ERCOT batch processes), mild weather pressure on retail and challenging short-term storage economics. On balance, the operational and financial strengths and visible cash generation and capital deployment plans significantly outweigh the execution and regulatory timing risks.View all VST earnings summaries

                      VST Stock 12 Month Forecast

                      Average Price Target

                      $229.27
                      ▲(40.26% Upside)
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<span style=\"color:#199ca5\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Strong Buy</span>\n            <div class=\"flexrcb px3 displayflex fonth9_semibold\"><span  style=\"color:#199ca5\">Buy 19,\t&nbsp; </span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#828080\">Hold 3, \t&nbsp;</span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#912767\">Sell 0</span>\n      ","marker":{"lineColor":"#199ca5","enabled":true,"symbol":"circle"}},{"y":184.391,"date":1751328000000,"info":" <span style=\"color:#199ca5\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Strong Buy</span>\n            <div class=\"flexrcb px3 displayflex fonth9_semibold\"><span  style=\"color:#199ca5\">Buy 19,\t&nbsp; </span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#828080\">Hold 2, \t&nbsp;</span>\n              <span  style=\"color:#912767\">Sell 0</span>\n      ","marker":{"lineColor":"#199ca5","enabled":true,"symbol":"circle"}},{"y":207.254,"date":1754006400000,"info":" <span style=\"color:#199ca5\" class=\"mb3 mt2 fonth8_semibold\"> Strong Buy</span>\n       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