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Vera Bradley (VRA)
NASDAQ:VRA

Vera Bradley (VRA) AI Stock Analysis

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VRA

Vera Bradley

(NASDAQ:VRA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance—declining revenue and margins alongside weak/negative cash flow. Technicals are moderately supportive with the stock above key moving averages, but momentum is mixed. The earnings call and recent leadership appointments add some turnaround optimism, yet losses, write-downs, and segment weakness keep the overall outlook restrained.
Positive Factors
Inventory reduction (working capital improvement)
A 24.3% YoY inventory reduction to $82.9M materially lowers working capital needs and markdown risk. Sustained lower inventory supports margin recovery and cash conversion over months, improving liquidity and giving management flexibility to reinvest in higher-return product initiatives.
Product innovation driving younger cohort penetration
Strong sell-through and >2x Gen Z penetration signal product-market fit with younger cohorts, a durable repositioning benefit. Winning younger customers can raise lifetime value, support channel diversification, and help revitalize brand relevance over 2–6 months and beyond if new assortments sustain demand.
Credit agreement amendments improve strategic flexibility
The credit amendments expand ability to monetize real estate, pursue sale-leaseback transactions and dispose of assets, and accept IP liens. This structural financing flexibility enhances liquidity options during transformation and reduces need for emergency capital, supporting execution of strategic turnaround plans.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and margins
Ongoing revenue declines and negative operating margins weaken the company's earnings power and limit reinvestment capacity. Persistent margin erosion reduces buffer for pricing pressure or promotional activity, making sustained recovery reliant on meaningful structural improvements to product mix and distribution.
Weak cash generation and negative free cash flow
Negative operating cash flow and absent free cash flow constrain capital allocation, debt servicing, and inventory investment. Over a multi-month horizon this raises dependence on external financing or asset sales, reducing resilience to demand shocks and limiting the company’s ability to fund a sustained turnaround.
Material inventory write-downs indicating merchandising risk
A $5.9M write-down reflects prior assortment or forecasting failures and increases operating losses while eroding equity. Repeated write-downs signal structural merchandising and demand-planning deficiencies that can depress margins and cash flow over several quarters unless inventory and product strategies are materially improved.

Vera Bradley (VRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vera Bradley Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVera Bradley, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells women's handbags, luggage and travel items, fashion and home accessories, and gifts. It operates through three segments: Vera Bradley Direct, Vera Bradley Indirect, and Pura Vida. The company offers bag products, such as totes, crossbodies, satchels, clutches, backpacks, baby bags, and lunch bags; accessories, including wallets, wristlets, eyeglass cases, scarves, and various technology accessories; bracelets, rings, and necklaces under Pura Vida brand name; and travel products consisting of rolling luggage, cosmetics, and travel and packing accessories, as well as travel bags comprising duffel and weekend bags. It also provides home products that include throw blankets, beach towels, and comforters, as well as items, such as mugs and tumblers; apparel/footwear comprising sleepwear, footwear, cotton face masks, outerwear, socks, and scarves; and stationery and merchandising products, as well as freight, licensing, and gift card breakage services. The company sells its Vera Bradley branded products through its full-line and factory outlet stores in the United States; and verabradley.com, an online outlet site, as well as its annual outlet sale in Fort Wayne, Indiana. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 70 full-line and 75 factory outlet stores. The company sells its Pura Vida branded products through wholesale retailers, as well as through Pura Vida websites, including www.puravidabracelets.com, www.puravidabracelets.eu, and www.puravidabracelets.ca. It also sells its Vera Bradley branded products to approximately 1,800 specialty retail locations, department stores, national accounts, third party e-commerce sites, and third-party inventory liquidators, as well as through licensing agreements. Vera Bradley, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Roanoke, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyVera Bradley generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of its handbags, luggage, and accessories. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model through its own retail stores and its e-commerce website, which allows it to capture higher profit margins. Wholesale distribution to department stores and specialty retailers also contributes to its revenue. Additionally, Vera Bradley engages in seasonal promotions and collaborates with other brands for limited-edition collections, enhancing brand visibility and driving sales. The company also leverages its strong brand identity and loyal customer base to introduce new product lines and expand its market reach, ensuring a steady flow of income.

Vera Bradley Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Vera Bradley Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a period of transformation for Vera Bradley, Inc. with several positive developments such as improvements in the direct business segment, inventory management, and successful product launches. However, significant challenges remain, including revenue declines, increased net loss, and issues in the indirect segment. The company is making strategic efforts to improve outcomes through initiatives like Project Sunshine and Outlet 2.0, but the financial setbacks present considerable hurdles.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Direct Business Segment
Revenues in the direct business segment were $49.7 million, 5.3% below prior year compared to a decline of 16.2% in the second quarter, showing sequential improvement.
Progress in Inventory Management
Third quarter inventory decreased year over year by 24.3% to $82.9 million compared to $109.6 million at the end of third quarter last year.
Successful Product Launches
Initial orders of the original 100 bag sold through across the majority of SKUs, attracting a younger customer base with more than twice the penetration of Gen Z customers.
Outlet 2.0 Initiative Success
Qualitative feedback from Outlet 2.0 pilot stores has been positive, with improved customer experience and profitability per customer.
Negative Updates
Decline in Overall Revenue
For the third quarter, revenues were $62.3 million, 11.7% below prior year, compared to $70.5 million in the prior year third quarter.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss from continuing operations for the third quarter totaled negative $8.3 million compared to negative $3.7 million last year.
Inventory Write-Downs
Results were impacted by a $5.9 million inventory write down related to strategic product shifts.
Challenges in Indirect Segment
Indirect segment revenues for the third quarter totaled $12.6 million, a 30.2% decrease from $18 million in the prior year third quarter.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, Vera Bradley, Inc. provided significant guidance on their ongoing transformation strategy, dubbed Project Sunshine. The company reported a decrease in revenues to $62.3 million, down 11.7% from the previous year, but highlighted a sequential improvement from a 24.6% decline in the second quarter. The direct business segment saw revenues of $49.7 million, a 5.3% drop from the prior year, yet an improvement from the 16.2% decline in the second quarter. Notably, Vera Bradley achieved positive comparable channel sales, driven by product-led initiatives extending from back-to-school through Black Friday. The company emphasized a focus on brand storytelling, product innovation, and operational excellence, supported by a reduction in inventory levels by 24.3% year-over-year to $82.9 million. Despite a net loss from continuing operations of $8.3 million, Vera Bradley stressed disciplined pricing and promotional strategies as key to their path towards improved profitability and sustainable growth.

Vera Bradley Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals overall: revenue and profitability are declining with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins, and cash generation is a major concern given negative operating cash flow dynamics and recently negative free cash flow. The balance sheet is somewhat steadier with manageable leverage, but equity and assets have been trending down.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Vera Bradley's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM revenue has decreased compared to the previous year, with revenue growth rate being negative. Gross and net profit margins have deteriorated, reflecting operational challenges. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a moderate financial position with some concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, showing manageable leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity and total assets over time suggest reduced financial stability. The equity ratio remains adequate but has been decreasing, indicating potential risk if trends continue.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, implying operational cash flow issues. Free cash flow has declined, and the company has been unable to generate positive free cash flow recently, raising concerns about liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue292.96M371.97M470.79M499.96M540.45M468.27M
Gross Profit141.64M186.84M256.41M238.94M287.94M265.52M
EBITDA-14.99M-3.22M47.78M9.48M59.82M56.69M
Net Income-97.91M-62.19M7.84M-59.73M17.84M8.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets266.18M306.69M380.79M404.50M517.55M513.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.18M30.37M77.30M46.59M88.44M65.47M
Total Debt85.73M89.64M81.00M94.38M99.56M113.86M
Total Liabilities125.69M127.73M120.86M142.41M159.13M169.07M
Stockholders Equity140.49M178.96M259.93M251.38M327.44M314.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.59M-24.48M44.22M-21.66M34.37M14.96M
Operating Cash Flow-24.25M-14.10M47.99M-13.42M39.86M20.70M
Investing Cash Flow-8.30M-10.37M-13.77M-8.24M-4.15M17.68M
Financing Cash Flow3.64M-22.52M-3.55M-20.11M-11.41M-24.15M

Vera Bradley Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.88
Price Trends
50DMA
2.52
Positive
100DMA
2.38
Positive
200DMA
2.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
57.20
Neutral
STOCH
73.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.72, above the 50-day MA of 2.52, and above the 200-day MA of 2.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VRA.

Vera Bradley Risk Analysis

Vera Bradley disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vera Bradley reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vera Bradley Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$249.31M12.088.67%2.08%4.13%53.56%
70
Outperform
$315.10M12.599.57%9.66%-3.64%-16.12%
64
Neutral
$2.82B53.626.68%1.97%6.26%-66.51%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$1.49B16.7725.57%2.28%3.61%
46
Neutral
$76.88M-0.93-46.60%-29.74%-405.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRA
Vera Bradley
2.75
-0.87
-24.03%
RCKY
Rocky Brands
33.27
10.10
43.59%
SHOO
Steven Madden
38.76
2.17
5.93%
WEYS
Weyco Group
33.00
-1.62
-4.68%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
18.18
-3.53
-16.26%

Vera Bradley Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vera Bradley Increases Executive Chairman’s Compensation Package
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Vera Bradley, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors approved an increase in the compensation of Ian Bickley, the Executive Chairman, to $60,000 per month starting in December. Additionally, the Board approved a one-time bonus of $30,000 and a restricted stock unit grant valued at $900,000, which will vest over three years, contingent on Mr. Bickley’s continued membership on the Board.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRA) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vera Bradley stock, see the VRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vera Bradley Appoints Ivan Brockman to Board
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Vera Bradley announced the appointment of Ivan Brockman to its Board of Directors, effective November 17, 2025. Mr. Brockman, a seasoned investment banker with extensive experience in strategic advisory roles, is expected to bring valuable insights to the company during its strategic transformation. His appointment reflects Vera Bradley’s commitment to strengthening its leadership team and enhancing its strategic decision-making capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRA) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vera Bradley stock, see the VRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026