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Vera Bradley (VRA)
NASDAQ:VRA

Vera Bradley (VRA) AI Stock Analysis

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VRA

Vera Bradley

(NASDAQ:VRA)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(4.17% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance—declining revenue and margins alongside weak/negative cash flow. Technicals are moderately supportive with the stock above key moving averages, but momentum is mixed. The earnings call and recent leadership appointments add some turnaround optimism, yet losses, write-downs, and segment weakness keep the overall outlook restrained.
Positive Factors
Direct-to-Consumer Resilience
Improving performance in the direct channel demonstrates durable advantages from owning retail and e‑commerce distribution. Greater control over pricing, promotions and customer data supports margin recovery, faster product iterations and higher lifetime value versus third‑party dependence.
Inventory Reduction
A 24% inventory cut materially lowers working capital needs and markdown risk, improving cash conversion and preserving gross margins. Sustained inventory discipline supports operational flexibility and reduces the need for emergency discounting over the next several quarters.
Strengthened Leadership
Hiring an experienced CBO (plus recent board additions) increases strategic and merchandising capability, aiding product innovation and brand repositioning. Strong management upgrades increase the likelihood of executing long‑term turnaround initiatives and improving customer relevance.
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Decline
Ongoing top‑line decline erodes scale and operating leverage, making fixed costs harder to absorb and pressuring margins. If revenues remain below prior peaks, the company faces lasting profitability and growth challenges that complicate capital allocation and strategic investments.
Weak Cash Generation
Negative operating cash flow and falling free cash flow reduce liquidity and limit the firm's ability to self‑fund inventory, marketing, or store investments. Prolonged cash deficits raise reliance on credit, heightening refinancing and covenant risks over the medium term.
Channel & Inventory Stress
A sharp drop in wholesale/indirect sales plus inventory write‑downs signal product/placement mismatches and channel execution issues. These structural weaknesses increase markdowns and margin erosion risk, complicating omnichannel recovery and sustainable revenue diversification.

Vera Bradley (VRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vera Bradley Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVera Bradley, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells women's handbags, luggage and travel items, fashion and home accessories, and gifts. It operates through three segments: Vera Bradley Direct, Vera Bradley Indirect, and Pura Vida. The company offers bag products, such as totes, crossbodies, satchels, clutches, backpacks, baby bags, and lunch bags; accessories, including wallets, wristlets, eyeglass cases, scarves, and various technology accessories; bracelets, rings, and necklaces under Pura Vida brand name; and travel products consisting of rolling luggage, cosmetics, and travel and packing accessories, as well as travel bags comprising duffel and weekend bags. It also provides home products that include throw blankets, beach towels, and comforters, as well as items, such as mugs and tumblers; apparel/footwear comprising sleepwear, footwear, cotton face masks, outerwear, socks, and scarves; and stationery and merchandising products, as well as freight, licensing, and gift card breakage services. The company sells its Vera Bradley branded products through its full-line and factory outlet stores in the United States; and verabradley.com, an online outlet site, as well as its annual outlet sale in Fort Wayne, Indiana. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 70 full-line and 75 factory outlet stores. The company sells its Pura Vida branded products through wholesale retailers, as well as through Pura Vida websites, including www.puravidabracelets.com, www.puravidabracelets.eu, and www.puravidabracelets.ca. It also sells its Vera Bradley branded products to approximately 1,800 specialty retail locations, department stores, national accounts, third party e-commerce sites, and third-party inventory liquidators, as well as through licensing agreements. Vera Bradley, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Roanoke, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyVera Bradley generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of its handbags, luggage, and accessories. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model through its own retail stores and its e-commerce website, which allows it to capture higher profit margins. Wholesale distribution to department stores and specialty retailers also contributes to its revenue. Additionally, Vera Bradley engages in seasonal promotions and collaborates with other brands for limited-edition collections, enhancing brand visibility and driving sales. The company also leverages its strong brand identity and loyal customer base to introduce new product lines and expand its market reach, ensuring a steady flow of income.

Vera Bradley Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Vera Bradley Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 11, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a period of transformation for Vera Bradley, Inc. with several positive developments such as improvements in the direct business segment, inventory management, and successful product launches. However, significant challenges remain, including revenue declines, increased net loss, and issues in the indirect segment. The company is making strategic efforts to improve outcomes through initiatives like Project Sunshine and Outlet 2.0, but the financial setbacks present considerable hurdles.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Direct Business Segment
Revenues in the direct business segment were $49.7 million, 5.3% below prior year compared to a decline of 16.2% in the second quarter, showing sequential improvement.
Progress in Inventory Management
Third quarter inventory decreased year over year by 24.3% to $82.9 million compared to $109.6 million at the end of third quarter last year.
Successful Product Launches
Initial orders of the original 100 bag sold through across the majority of SKUs, attracting a younger customer base with more than twice the penetration of Gen Z customers.
Outlet 2.0 Initiative Success
Qualitative feedback from Outlet 2.0 pilot stores has been positive, with improved customer experience and profitability per customer.
Negative Updates
Decline in Overall Revenue
For the third quarter, revenues were $62.3 million, 11.7% below prior year, compared to $70.5 million in the prior year third quarter.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss from continuing operations for the third quarter totaled negative $8.3 million compared to negative $3.7 million last year.
Inventory Write-Downs
Results were impacted by a $5.9 million inventory write down related to strategic product shifts.
Challenges in Indirect Segment
Indirect segment revenues for the third quarter totaled $12.6 million, a 30.2% decrease from $18 million in the prior year third quarter.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, Vera Bradley, Inc. provided significant guidance on their ongoing transformation strategy, dubbed Project Sunshine. The company reported a decrease in revenues to $62.3 million, down 11.7% from the previous year, but highlighted a sequential improvement from a 24.6% decline in the second quarter. The direct business segment saw revenues of $49.7 million, a 5.3% drop from the prior year, yet an improvement from the 16.2% decline in the second quarter. Notably, Vera Bradley achieved positive comparable channel sales, driven by product-led initiatives extending from back-to-school through Black Friday. The company emphasized a focus on brand storytelling, product innovation, and operational excellence, supported by a reduction in inventory levels by 24.3% year-over-year to $82.9 million. Despite a net loss from continuing operations of $8.3 million, Vera Bradley stressed disciplined pricing and promotional strategies as key to their path towards improved profitability and sustainable growth.

Vera Bradley Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vera Bradley is experiencing financial difficulties with declining revenues, profitability, and cash flows. The balance sheet shows manageable leverage but diminishing equity and asset bases, indicating potential financial instability.
Income Statement
Vera Bradley's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM revenue has decreased compared to the previous year, with revenue growth rate being negative. Gross and net profit margins have deteriorated, reflecting operational challenges. The negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates a moderate financial position with some concerns. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, showing manageable leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity and total assets over time suggest reduced financial stability. The equity ratio remains adequate but has been decreasing, indicating potential risk if trends continue.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, implying operational cash flow issues. Free cash flow has declined, and the company has been unable to generate positive free cash flow recently, raising concerns about liquidity and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue292.96M371.97M470.79M499.96M540.45M468.27M
Gross Profit141.64M186.84M256.41M238.94M287.94M265.52M
EBITDA-14.99M-3.22M47.78M9.48M59.82M56.69M
Net Income-97.91M-62.19M7.84M-59.73M17.84M8.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets266.18M306.69M380.79M404.50M517.55M513.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.18M30.37M77.30M46.59M88.44M65.47M
Total Debt85.73M89.64M81.00M94.38M99.56M113.86M
Total Liabilities125.69M127.73M120.86M142.41M159.13M169.07M
Stockholders Equity140.49M178.96M259.93M251.38M327.44M314.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.59M-24.48M44.22M-21.66M34.37M14.96M
Operating Cash Flow-24.25M-14.10M47.99M-13.42M39.86M20.70M
Investing Cash Flow-8.30M-10.37M-13.77M-8.24M-4.15M17.68M
Financing Cash Flow3.64M-22.52M-3.55M-20.11M-11.41M-24.15M

Vera Bradley Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.88
Price Trends
50DMA
2.50
Positive
100DMA
2.31
Positive
200DMA
2.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
66.72
Neutral
STOCH
86.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.55, above the 50-day MA of 2.50, and above the 200-day MA of 2.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VRA.

Vera Bradley Risk Analysis

Vera Bradley disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vera Bradley reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vera Bradley Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$226.31M11.818.67%2.08%4.13%53.56%
70
Outperform
$294.66M12.149.57%9.66%-3.64%-16.12%
64
Neutral
$3.28B58.266.68%1.97%6.26%-66.51%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
$1.54B17.9225.57%2.28%3.61%
46
Neutral
$87.22M-1.05-46.60%-29.74%-405.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRA
Vera Bradley
3.11
-0.68
-17.94%
RCKY
Rocky Brands
32.33
9.41
41.06%
SHOO
Steven Madden
45.87
5.79
14.43%
WEYS
Weyco Group
30.78
-3.89
-11.22%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
18.79
-3.74
-16.60%

Vera Bradley Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vera Bradley Increases Executive Chairman’s Compensation Package
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Vera Bradley, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors approved an increase in the compensation of Ian Bickley, the Executive Chairman, to $60,000 per month starting in December. Additionally, the Board approved a one-time bonus of $30,000 and a restricted stock unit grant valued at $900,000, which will vest over three years, contingent on Mr. Bickley’s continued membership on the Board.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRA) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vera Bradley stock, see the VRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vera Bradley Appoints Ivan Brockman to Board
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Vera Bradley announced the appointment of Ivan Brockman to its Board of Directors, effective November 17, 2025. Mr. Brockman, a seasoned investment banker with extensive experience in strategic advisory roles, is expected to bring valuable insights to the company during its strategic transformation. His appointment reflects Vera Bradley’s commitment to strengthening its leadership team and enhancing its strategic decision-making capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRA) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vera Bradley stock, see the VRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vera Bradley Appoints Melinda Paraie as Chief Brand Officer
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Vera Bradley announced the appointment of Melinda Paraie as Chief Brand Officer, effective November 1, 2025. Paraie, who has a robust background in merchandising and brand management from her previous roles at Cath Kidston and Tapestry, Inc., is expected to play a crucial role in revitalizing Vera Bradley’s market position. Her appointment is seen as a strategic move to enhance product innovation and expand the brand’s market reach, leveraging her expertise to strengthen consumer engagement and drive growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRA) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vera Bradley stock, see the VRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Vera Bradley Amends Credit Agreement with JP Morgan
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Vera Bradley, Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a Fifth Amendment to their Credit Agreement and a Second Amendment to their Pledge and Security Agreement with JP Morgan Chase Bank. The amendments allow the sale of certain real property assets without repayment obligations, remove restrictions on sale and leaseback transactions, and increase the asset disposal limit outside the ordinary course of business. Additionally, they grant security interests in intellectual property to JP Morgan Chase, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and potentially impacting its operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRA) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vera Bradley stock, see the VRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Vera Bradley Extends Shareholder Rights Plan to 2026
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Vera Bradley announced an extension of its shareholder rights plan, originally set to expire on October 11, 2025, now extended to October 11, 2026. This move, approved unanimously by the Board of Directors, aims to protect shareholders’ interests and prevent hostile takeovers, ensuring the company can make informed decisions for long-term value.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRA) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vera Bradley stock, see the VRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026