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Venus Concept (VERO)
NASDAQ:VERO

Venus Concept (VERO) AI Stock Analysis

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Venus Concept

(NASDAQ:VERO)

39Underperform
Venus Concept is facing financial instability due to high leverage and negative cash flows, which are significant risks to its sustainability. Despite strategic efforts and some operational improvements, the company's challenges overshadow its achievements. Technical indicators show upward price trends, but the lack of supporting data increases uncertainty. Valuation metrics indicate potential risk with limited immediate investor returns. Recent corporate actions, while positive, are insufficient to offset the broader financial challenges.
Positive Factors
International Sales
International restructuring initiatives, which involved transitioning to a distributor-based sales model and exiting unprofitable markets, are beginning to yield promising results, with 4Q24 international distributor sales up roughly 100% year over year.
Market Expansion
Recently, the company expanded its distribution network through new agreements in Asia and South America, received marketing clearance for Bliss MAX in Australia, as well as several products in India.
Product Development
Despite the topline miss, progress on the cash-sales strategy is encouraging, and the company plans to launch its next-gen body device in the third quarter of 2025.
Negative Factors
Capital Structure
There are concerns about the company's capital structure and its associated constraints, particularly after the recent 1-for-11 reverse split, which may limit further reverse split actions necessary for compliance with listing requirements.
Financial Health
The company’s cash position is a concern, with cash of $4.3M and debt of $39.7M, and a cash burn expected to average $3.8M per quarter through 2025.
Revenue Performance
VERO reported lower-than-expected 4Q24 revenue, which was largely attributable to the company’s ongoing shift away from its subscription-based sales model toward a cash system sales strategy, along with higher interest rates perpetuating weak demand for capital equipment.

Venus Concept (VERO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Venus Concept Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVenus Concept Inc. (VERO) is a global medical technology company that specializes in the development and commercialization of minimally invasive aesthetic and medical solutions. The company operates within the medical aesthetics industry, offering a broad range of devices designed for non-invasive and minimally invasive procedures, including body contouring, skin tightening, and hair restoration. Venus Concept's products are used by physicians and aesthetic and beauty professionals worldwide to deliver safe, effective, and innovative treatments.
How the Company Makes MoneyVenus Concept generates revenue primarily through the sale and lease of its medical aesthetic devices to healthcare providers and beauty professionals. The company's revenue model includes direct sales of devices and consumables, as well as recurring revenue from leasing agreements and service contracts. Significant partnerships with key industry players and distributors also contribute to its earnings, enabling the company to expand its market reach and customer base. Venus Concept's innovative subscription-based business model, which bundles device usage with maintenance and marketing support, further supports its revenue streams by providing predictable, recurring income.

Venus Concept Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Venus Concept faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, high leverage, and negative cash flow trends. The company's financial health is under strain, requiring strategic interventions to improve operational efficiency and financial stability. The income statement score is 35 due to declining revenue and profitability. The balance sheet score is 40 because of high leverage and potential financial risk. The cash flow score is 30, highlighting liquidity constraints and negative cash flow trends.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Venus Concept's income statement reveals declining revenue and profitability. The TTM revenue decreased by 18.6% compared to the previous year, and the consistent negative net income indicates ongoing operational challenges. Margins are under pressure, with a net profit margin of -80.7% in the TTM period, reflecting inefficient cost management and high operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a weak equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.79 in the TTM period, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk. The equity ratio stands at 14%, highlighting limited asset backing for creditors. Return on equity is negative due to consistent losses, suggesting inefficiencies in utilizing shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative trends, with operating and free cash flows both in deficit, indicating liquidity constraints. The TTM free cash flow deteriorated compared to previous years, and the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting challenges in converting earnings into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
62.11M76.35M99.50M105.62M78.01M110.41M
Gross Profit
45.48M52.17M65.97M74.09M51.39M76.65M
EBIT
-28.15M-28.31M-34.88M-17.54M-40.45M-20.29M
EBITDA
-37.80M-26.11M-35.28M-13.04M-68.49M-30.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-50.16M-37.25M-43.58M-22.14M-82.82M-42.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.50M5.40M11.57M30.88M34.30M15.67M
Total Assets
13.48M93.65M125.38M153.87M160.53M191.13M
Total Debt
18.61M79.70M83.77M77.87M79.60M69.02M
Net Debt
12.11M74.30M72.20M46.99M45.30M53.35M
Total Liabilities
26.41M107.10M116.64M112.27M116.76M114.45M
Stockholders Equity
-12.93M-14.02M8.09M40.94M44.23M74.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-8.10M-12.97M-27.32M-20.28M-28.94M-40.72M
Operating Cash Flow
-8.03M-12.86M-26.98M-19.77M-28.65M-39.59M
Investing Cash Flow
-70.00K-116.00K-336.00K-552.00K-2.39M6.38M
Financing Cash Flow
7.67M6.80M8.01M16.82M49.67M42.20M

Venus Concept Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.31
Price Trends
50DMA
3.40
Positive
100DMA
3.60
Positive
200DMA
4.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
42.82
Neutral
STOCH
18.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VERO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.29, above the 50-day MA of 3.40, and below the 200-day MA of 4.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VERO.

Venus Concept Risk Analysis

Venus Concept disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Venus Concept reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Venus Concept Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$980.78M6.3624.31%-19.76%0.38%
57
Neutral
$139.32M-72.60%-29.11%-219.44%
54
Neutral
$704.62M-9.99%17.81%54.69%
51
Neutral
$598.67M-913.07%31.76%24.85%
48
Neutral
$6.35B1.19-46.26%2.67%19.24%1.75%
39
Underperform
$3.06M-496.27%-15.09%-2.50%
36
Underperform
$201.86K
-32.57%-15.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VERO
Venus Concept
4.31
-2.40
-35.77%
CUTRQ
Cutera
0.01
-2.20
-99.55%
AXGN
AxoGen
15.89
8.86
126.03%
EOLS
Evolus
9.54
-2.35
-19.76%
INMD
InMode
14.88
-2.81
-15.88%
DERM
Journey Medical Corp
6.03
2.01
50.00%

Venus Concept Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 31, 2025 | % Change Since: 56.73% | Next Earnings Date: May 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in cash system sales and significant debt reduction, demonstrating effective strategic shifts. However, the overall revenue decline, increased cash usage, and macroeconomic challenges present ongoing hurdles. The sentiment is balanced with notable achievements and persistent challenges.
Highlights
Increase in Cash System Sales in the U.S.
Cash system sales in the U.S. increased 27% year-over-year and represented 87% of total U.S. system sales in Q4, up from 58% last year.
Reduction in Total Debt Obligations
The company reduced total debt obligations by 47%, from $74.9 million in 2023 to $39.7 million at the end of 2024.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
Sales through distributors more than doubled year-over-year in Q4, driven by demand in APAC and EMEA regions.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 69.1% from 66.5% year-over-year, driven by margin management and product mix.
Management Restructuring
Several leadership changes were announced to streamline decision-making and position for future growth.
Amendment to Bridge Loan Agreement
An amendment to the bridge loan agreement with Madryn Asset Management increased financing capacity by $10 million.
Lowlights
Overall Revenue Decline
Fourth quarter revenue declined by $2.4 million or 13% year-over-year, driven by a decline in systems revenue and procedure-related products and service revenue.
Decline in Lease Revenue
Lease revenue declined by $3.5 million or 58% year-over-year in Q4.
Macroeconomic Headwinds
Global systems adoption was impacted by economic uncertainty, higher interest rates, tighter credit markets, and supply-related inventory shortfalls.
Increased Cash Used in Operations
Cash used in operations for Q4 was $3.8 million compared to $0.8 million last year, driven by changes in net working capital.
Net Loss Attributable to Stockholders
Net loss attributable to stockholders for Q4 was $8 million or $11.23 per share, compared to $11.1 million or $20.14 per share last year.
Company Guidance
During the Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call for Venus Concept Inc., CEO Rajiv De Silva and CFO Domenic Della Penna provided guidance indicating a focus on prioritizing cash system sales over subscription models. They reported a 13% year-over-year decline in fourth-quarter revenue to $15.8 million, primarily due to a 58% decrease in lease revenue, despite a 27% increase in U.S. cash system sales. The strategic shift led to a 47% reduction in total debt obligations by year-end, down to $39.7 million. The company emphasized improvements in cash used in operations, which decreased by 14% year-over-year, aligning with their transformation strategy. Additionally, they projected total revenue of at least $14 million for the first quarter of 2025, without providing full-year guidance due to ongoing strategic evaluations.

Venus Concept Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Venus Concept Completes Debt-to-Equity Exchange with Madryn
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Venus Concept Inc. completed an $11 million debt-to-equity exchange with Madryn Health Partners, reducing its debt obligations significantly. This transaction, which involved the conversion of subordinated convertible notes into Series Y preferred stock, is part of the company’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and enhance financial flexibility, supporting its long-term growth and profitability goals.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Venus Concept Secures Funding Amid Executive Resignation
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

On February 21, 2025, Venus Concept Inc. received a seventh delayed drawdown of $2,300,000 under its Loan and Security Agreement with Madryn Health Partners, with $2,000,000 funded immediately and the remainder to be funded later. The funds are intended for general working capital purposes. Additionally, Hemanth Varghese, the company’s President and COO, announced his resignation effective March 28, 2025, citing personal reasons unrelated to company disagreements.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.