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Velo3D
(NASDAQ:VELO)
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Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(18.92% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—especially heavy cash burn and persistent losses—despite modest revenue growth. The earnings call was a meaningful positive (improving margins, strong YoY growth, reiterated guidance, and added liquidity via an equity raise), but technicals remain weak with price below key longer-term averages and negative MACD, and valuation signals are constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth
Sustained double-digit revenue acceleration reflects growing adoption of Velo3D’s systems and services in aerospace, defense and industrial markets. Rising bookings and a $30M backlog improve multi‑month demand visibility and support scaling of recurring consumables and software revenue as fleets expand.
Negative Factors
Severe cash burn and negative FCF
Very large negative operating and free cash flows dwarf current revenue and constrain organic reinvestment. Persistent cash burn forces ongoing external financing, reducing financial flexibility and increasing execution risk if capital access tightens during the multi‑quarter ramp to scale.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth
Sustained double-digit revenue acceleration reflects growing adoption of Velo3D’s systems and services in aerospace, defense and industrial markets. Rising bookings and a $30M backlog improve multi‑month demand visibility and support scaling of recurring consumables and software revenue as fleets expand.
Read all positive factors
Velo3D (VELO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$519.53M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)3.18M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)-3.94
Revenue Growth31.52%
EPS Growth95.47%
CountryUS
Employees105
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryComputer Hardware
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.39
Shares Outstanding32,149,117
10 Day Avg. Volume1,787,223
30 Day Avg. Volume3,181,101
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)5.94
Price to Sales (P/S)4.93
P/FCF Ratio-7.54
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$24.33Price Target Upside151.64% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.91
Revenue Forecast (FY)$64.40M
Velo3D Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) is an advanced manufacturing company in the industrial technology sector focused on metal additive manufacturing (3D printing). The company develops and sells integrated solutions for printing complex metal parts, centered on i...
How the Company Makes Money
Velo3D primarily makes money by selling metal additive manufacturing systems and associated offerings to industrial customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Sales of 3D printing hardware (primarily its Sapphire-series printers), which typically...
Velo3D Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed significant operational and commercial progress: strong revenue growth (+48% YoY), meaningful gross margin recovery (17.2% in Q1 versus negative prior quarter), expanding RPS mix (≈25% of revenue) and major defense awards that validate product-market fit. Financially, the company improved losses, reduced debt by ~70%, and secured a $50M equity raise after quarter-end to bolster liquidity. Key risks remain: a modest cash position at quarter end, ongoing negative EBITDA (improving), substantial planned CapEx ($40M–$50M), and execution/scale and procurement timing risks. Overall, the positives (revenue acceleration, margin expansion, strategic contracts, balance sheet repair) materially outweigh the remaining execution and funding risks.Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Q1 2026 revenue was $13.8M, up 48% year-over-year (from $9.3M) and up 46% sequentially (from $9.4M), driven by higher average selling prices, more systems sold and increased RPS revenue.
Negative Updates
Low Cash Balance at Quarter End
Cash and cash equivalents were $16.6M as of March 31, 2026, down from $39M at the end of 2025, creating near-term liquidity pressure until the subsequent $50M equity raise was completed after quarter-end.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Q1 2026 revenue was $13.8M, up 48% year-over-year (from $9.3M) and up 46% sequentially (from $9.4M), driven by higher average selling prices, more systems sold and increased RPS revenue.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 guidance calling for $60–$70 million of revenue, sequential gross margin improvement with margins projected to exceed 30% in H2 2026, non‑GAAP adjusted operating expenses of $45–$55 million, and capital expenditures of $40–$50 million; subject to sufficient funding they expect to reach EBITDA profitability in H2 2026. Operationally they plan to have 40+ production machines generating revenue by year‑end (building ~20 machines this year from a ~15‑machine base now), are opening a California Phase‑1 site to host up to 100 machines within ~2.5 years, and maintain a long‑term target of ~400 production systems over the next decade. Current business and balance‑sheet metrics cited include Q1 revenue of $13.8M (up 48% YoY) with Q1 gross margin 17.2%, backlog of ~$30M (Q1 bookings ≈ $12M), RPS ≈25% of Q1 revenue and roughly half (~$15M) of backlog, Q1 GAAP net loss $7M / non‑GAAP net loss $5.1M / adjusted EBITDA -$3.6M, cash $16.6M at 3/31/26, debt reduced to ~ $9M after ~$15M of debt‑to‑equity conversions (including $5M at a premium), and a subsequent April 27, 2026 equity raise of approximately $50M gross proceeds.Velo3D Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
9
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 57.56M | 45.97M | 41.00M | 77.44M | 78.71M | 27.44M |
| Gross Profit | 310.00K | -7.40M | -2.08M | -26.27M | 843.00K | 4.96M |
| EBITDA | -45.80M | -66.88M | -74.02M | -116.11M | -101.02M | -102.18M |
| Net Income | -50.70M | -71.36M | -69.74M | -135.14M | 7.97M | -107.09M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 200.15M | 105.35M | 89.18M | 153.80M | 223.06M | 302.72M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 91.14M | 40.74M | 1.21M | 31.11M | 80.20M | 223.09M |
| Total Debt | 3.20M | 40.23M | 15.92M | 45.57M | 22.85M | 19.51M |
| Total Liabilities | 53.61M | 67.19M | 49.52M | 85.46M | 84.27M | 192.30M |
| Stockholders Equity | 146.54M | 38.16M | 39.66M | 68.34M | 138.79M | 110.42M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -58.67M | -30.04M | -32.69M | -108.85M | -143.38M | -74.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -53.30M | -27.33M | -32.68M | -105.64M | -123.96M | -56.40M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.37M | -2.71M | 7.77M | 38.89M | -53.02M | -33.59M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 152.30M | 67.83M | 1.46M | 59.26M | 1.34M | 282.89M |
Velo3D Technical Analysis
Positive
9.67
Price Trends
15.65
Positive
15.32
Positive
13.24
Positive
Market Momentum
0.23
Negative
60.00
Neutral
71.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VELO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.90, below the 50-day MA of 15.65, and below the 200-day MA of 13.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VELO.
Velo3D Risk Analysis
Velo3D disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Velo3D reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Velo3D Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $27.54B | 10.99 | -473.44% | 4.62% | 7.20% | 4.12% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
56 Neutral | $343.26M | -2.14 | -30.81% | ― | 73.04% | 24.91% | |
55 Neutral | $781.33M | -6.67 | -13.44% | ― | -3.05% | -0.01% | |
53 Neutral | $616.41M | -9.13 | -22.63% | ― | -6.22% | 61.98% | |
48 Neutral | $519.53M | -7.66 | -9999.00% | ― | 31.52% | 95.47% |
* Technology Sector Average
VELO
Velo3D
16.16
10.26
173.90%
DDD
3D Systems
3.71
1.62
77.51%
HPQ
HP
30.11
4.59
17.99%
SSYS
Stratasys
9.00
-0.32
-3.43%
NNDM
Nano Dimension
1.63
0.25
18.12%
Velo3D Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Velo3D Grants Registration Rights on Converted Shares
Neutral
Jul 15, 2026
On July 13, 2026, Velo3D entered into registration rights agreements with Arrayed Notes Acquisition Corp. and Thieneman Construction, Inc., following the prior conversion of senior secured convertible promissory notes issued in early 2025. After t...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Velo3D Grants CEO Performance Options, Updates CIC Agreements
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
On June 29, 2026, Velo3D’s board compensation committee granted CEO Arun Jeldi a performance‑based stock option award covering 964,474 shares at an exercise price of $18.40 under the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan. The options vest over fi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Velo3D Shareholders Expand Equity Plan, Elect New Directors
Positive
Jun 15, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Velo3D, Inc. shareholders approved an amendment to the company’s 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the pool of common stock available for issuance by 2,860,000 shares and raising the maximum number of incentive stock o...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Velo3D Refreshes At-the-Market Equity Sales Program
Neutral
May 15, 2026
On May 15, 2026, Velo3D, Inc. entered into a new sales agreement with Needham Company, Cantor Fitzgerald Co. and Craig‑Hallum Capital Group, allowing it to issue up to $100 million of common stock from time to time under an existing shelf ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Velo3D Reports Strong Q1 Growth and Improved Profitability
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Velo3D reported first‑quarter 2026 results showing a 48% year‑on‑year revenue jump to $13.8 million, driven by higher 3D printer and parts sales and improved pricing, while gross margin turned positive at 17.2%. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.