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INNOVATE Corp (VATE)
NYSE:VATE

INNOVATE Corp (VATE) AI Stock Analysis

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INNOVATE Corp

(NYSE:VATE)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-6.72%Downside)
INNOVATE Corp's overall stock score reflects significant financial and technical challenges, including high leverage and bearish technical indicators. While recent earnings highlights and corporate events offer some positive developments, the broader financial health concerns dominate, resulting in a lower overall score.

INNOVATE Corp (VATE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

INNOVATE Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionINNOVATE Corp., through its subsidiaries, operates in infrastructure, life sciences, and spectrum areas in the United States. It provides industrial construction, structural steel, and facility maintenance services for use in commercial, industrial, and infrastructure construction projects, such as buildings and office complexes, hotels and casinos, convention centers, sports arenas and stadiums, shopping malls, hospitals, dams, bridges, mines, metal processing, refineries, pulp and paper mills, and power plants. The company also fabricates trusses and girders; and fabricates and erects water pipe, water storage tanks, tunnel liners, pressure vessels, strainers, filters, separators, and other customized products. In addition, it offers integrated solutions for digital engineering, modeling and detailing, construction, heavy equipment installation, and facility services; and steel and rebar detailing, and BIM modeling and management services, as well as equipment used in the oil, gas, petrochemical, and pipeline industries. Further, the company develops products for early osteoarthritis of the knee, and aesthetic and medical technologies for the skin. Additionally, it operates over-the-air broadcasting stations and Azteca America, a Spanish-language broadcast network. The company was formerly known as HC2 Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to INNOVATE Corp. in September 2021. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyINNOVATE Corp generates revenue through a combination of business operations and strategic investments. Its revenue streams primarily come from the sales of products and services in its technology and life sciences segments, as well as from infrastructure development and management. The company leverages its diverse portfolio to capitalize on synergies between its various business units, enhancing overall profitability. Significant partnerships with industry leaders and government entities also contribute to its earnings by providing additional opportunities and resources to scale its operations.

INNOVATE Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -14.10%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with strong performance and strategic achievements in the Life Sciences and Broadcasting segments, but was offset by significant revenue declines and increased debt levels affecting the overall financial health.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Segment Performance in Infrastructure and Life Sciences
DBM Global's revenues reached $264.9 million with adjusted EBITDA of $16.7 million, showing gross margin improvement by 110 basis points to 15.6%. Life Sciences revenue increased 210% to $3.1 million, driven by R2's performance with unit sales surging 163% year-over-year.
Significant Achievements in Life Sciences
MediBeacon received FDA approval for its transdermal GFR system and the National Medical Products Administration in China also approved it. The TGFR system is set for commercial sale in Q4 2025.
R2's Impressive Growth
R2 tripled its year-over-year revenue to $3.1 million in Q1 2025 with a 109% increase in North America and global unit sales up 163%. Social media engagement and website users also saw tremendous growth.
Strategic Developments in Broadcasting
Spectrum signed a contract with Marathon Ventures for new networks and filed a petition with the FCC for 5G broadcast technology, indicating forward-thinking strategies in the broadcasting segment.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue and Profit Decline
Consolidated total revenue decreased by 13% to $274.2 million, and the net loss increased to $24.8 million compared to the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA declined from $12.8 million to $7.2 million.
Challenges in Infrastructure Segment
Infrastructure revenue decreased by 14% due to the timing and size of projects, and adjusted EBITDA dropped from $18.3 million to $16.7 million.
Increased Debt Levels
Total principal outstanding indebtedness rose to $672 million, driven by increased debt in Infrastructure and R2, indicating potential financial strain.
Decreased Cash Position
Cash and cash equivalents fell to $33.3 million from $48.8 million at the end of 2024, reflecting a decrease in liquidity.
Company Guidance
During INNOVATE's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported consolidated revenues of $274.2 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $7.2 million. The Infrastructure segment, led by DBM Global, achieved revenues of $264.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $16.7 million, with a notable gross margin improvement of 110 basis points year-over-year to 15.6%. The Life Sciences segment saw revenues increase by 210% to $3.1 million, driven by R2's performance, which also showed a significant gross worldwide system unit sales surge of 163% over the previous year. Spectrum's revenues were $6.2 million with an adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 million, reflecting stable results year-over-year. The company also noted a reported backlog of $1.4 billion for DBM Global, with ongoing efforts to mitigate potential impacts from tariffs. INNOVATE ended the quarter with $33.3 million in cash and cash equivalents and a total outstanding indebtedness of $672 million.

INNOVATE Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
INNOVATE Corp displays operational strengths with consistent gross margins, yet faces significant financial challenges due to negative equity and high leverage. While the company manages to generate positive operating cash flow, revenue declines and net losses highlight the need for strategic adjustments.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company experiences negative net income with a negative net profit margin over the TTM period. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable, indicating some operational strength. The revenue has seen fluctuations, with recent declines, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company is highly leveraged with a negative stockholders' equity, posing a financial risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, and the overall equity ratio is concerning. These factors highlight a need for improved financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company has managed to generate positive operating cash flow in the TTM despite negative net income, showing operational cash generation capability. However, free cash flow growth fluctuates, indicating potential future cash constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B1.11B1.42B1.64B1.21B1.01B
Gross Profit201.30M208.80M216.00M221.40M183.70M167.30M
EBITDA74.60M-99.00M69.80M53.10M16.00M54.90M
Net Income-41.70M-35.80M-37.60M-40.80M-79.80M-46.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.68B891.10M1.04B1.15B1.08B6.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.93B48.80M80.80M80.40M45.50M4.69B
Total Debt762.00M719.20M771.90M714.40M626.30M561.50M
Total Liabilities6.34B1.03B1.18B1.18B1.07B6.14B
Stockholders Equity233.10M-180.40M-149.10M-103.70M-65.50M559.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.30M-9.90M8.10M-30.20M2.90M23.90M
Operating Cash Flow20.40M9.10M26.50M-9.50M27.00M41.70M
Investing Cash Flow-14.50M-13.90M39.10M-22.50M-223.20M162.30M
Financing Cash Flow-11.20M-26.50M-65.30M68.10M4.30M-204.60M

INNOVATE Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.36
Price Trends
50DMA
5.97
Negative
100DMA
7.46
Negative
200DMA
6.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Negative
RSI
44.12
Neutral
STOCH
33.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VATE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.46, below the 50-day MA of 5.97, and below the 200-day MA of 6.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VATE.

INNOVATE Corp Risk Analysis

INNOVATE Corp disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. INNOVATE Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

INNOVATE Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ECECG
71
Outperform
$3.15B20.8032.91%11.92%8.94%
ORORN
70
Outperform
$359.55M147.802.25%15.58%
70
Neutral
$158.65M8.6141.26%1.26%4.62%81.73%
65
Neutral
$10.56B15.495.57%1.96%2.71%-26.29%
57
Neutral
$205.19M-53.62%-20.63%-611.23%
47
Neutral
$70.00M17.11%-24.94%51.41%
46
Neutral
$55.25M-679.42%-18.08%-217.13%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VATE
INNOVATE Corp
5.36
-0.84
-13.55%
ESOA
Energy Services of America
9.49
2.56
36.94%
ORN
Orion Group Holdings
9.10
0.50
5.81%
SLND
Southland Holdings
4.21
-0.52
-10.99%
SHIM
Shimmick Corporation
1.71
0.12
7.55%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
63.42
13.42
26.84%

INNOVATE Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
INNOVATE Corp Annual Meeting Decisions Announced
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

INNOVATE Corp held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 12, 2025, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and executive compensation. Stockholders elected four directors to the board, approved the compensation of executive officers, decided to hold annual Say on Pay Votes, and ratified the appointment of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

Dividends
INNOVATE Corp’s DBM Global Announces Cash Dividend
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 23, 2025, INNOVATE Corp. announced that its subsidiary, DBM Global Inc., will distribute a cash dividend of approximately $5.5 million on June 16, 2025. As the largest stockholder, INNOVATE expects to receive $5 million of the payout, highlighting its significant stake in DBM Global and the financial benefits it stands to gain.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
INNOVATE Corp Secures $220M Credit Agreement
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, DBM Global Inc., a subsidiary of INNOVATE Corp., entered into an amended and restated credit agreement providing $220 million in senior secured debt financing, consisting of an $85 million term loan and a $135 million revolving credit facility. This agreement, led by UMB Bank, aims to repay existing debt and enhance working capital, supporting DBMG’s growth and operational flexibility, with the facility maturing in 2030.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
INNOVATE Corp Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 6, 2025

INNOVATE Corp announced its first quarter 2025 results, reporting a consolidated revenue of $274.2 million, a 13% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to declines in its infrastructure segment. Despite the revenue drop, the company achieved significant milestones, including FDA approval for the MediBeacon TGFR system in its life sciences segment and the expansion of its infrastructure backlog to $1.4 billion. The company also anticipates new revenue opportunities in datacasting by year-end, indicating a strategic focus on growth across its operating segments.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
INNOVATE Corp Reports 2024 Financial Results and Milestones
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

INNOVATE Corp. announced its fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results, highlighting significant developments across its segments. The infrastructure segment reported a decrease in revenue due to project timing, while the life sciences segment achieved a major milestone with FDA approval for MediBeacon’s TGFR system. The broadcasting segment experienced double-digit revenue growth, driven by new network launches and expanded coverage. Despite a decline in overall revenue, the company reduced its total debt by $54.5 million, positioning itself favorably for future projects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025