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INNOVATE Corp (VATE)
:VATE

INNOVATE Corp (VATE) AI Stock Analysis

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VATE

INNOVATE Corp

(NYSE:VATE)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-0.99% Downside)
The overall stock score of 48 reflects significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and high leverage, which are the most impactful factors. While there are positive developments in revenue growth and strategic advancements, these are overshadowed by the company's financial instability and valuation concerns. Technical indicators also suggest caution, contributing to the overall cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates robust demand for INNOVATE Corp's offerings, suggesting strong market positioning and potential for continued expansion.
MediBeacon Regulatory Approval
Regulatory approval in China opens a vast market for MediBeacon's products, enhancing INNOVATE's global footprint and long-term growth prospects in healthcare.
DBM Global Backlog Increase
A substantial backlog increase for DBM Global indicates strong future revenue streams and operational stability, supporting sustained business growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Indebtedness
Rising debt levels can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting INNOVATE's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Gross and EBITDA Margin Compression
Margin compression suggests cost pressures and competitive challenges, which could affect profitability and require strategic adjustments to maintain margins.
Negative Profitability
Persistent negative profitability undermines financial health, necessitating improvements in cost management and revenue generation to achieve sustainable growth.

INNOVATE Corp (VATE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

INNOVATE Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionINNOVATE Corp (VATE) is a forward-thinking technology company specializing in cutting-edge solutions across various sectors including artificial intelligence, renewable energy, and advanced manufacturing. The company focuses on developing innovative products and services that enhance efficiency and sustainability for businesses and consumers alike, leveraging its expertise in software development, hardware integration, and data analytics.
How the Company Makes MoneyINNOVATE Corp generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling proprietary software solutions and hardware products designed for industrial automation and energy management. The company also offers consulting services to help clients implement its technologies and optimize their operations. Additionally, INNOVATE Corp has established significant partnerships with key players in the tech and energy sectors, enabling joint ventures and collaborative projects that further drive income. Revenue is supplemented by licensing agreements and maintenance contracts for ongoing support and updates, ensuring a steady cash flow from existing customers.

INNOVATE Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic advancements in various segments, such as significant backlog increases and regulatory approvals. However, there were challenges such as margin compression, declines in Spectrum revenue, and increased indebtedness.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Consolidated total revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $347.1 million, an increase of 43.3% compared to $242.2 million in the prior year period.
DBM Global Backlog Increase
DBM Global's adjusted backlog increased by approximately $500 million to just over $1.6 billion since the end of 2024.
MediBeacon Regulatory Approval
MediBeacon received full regulatory approval from China's National Medical Products Administration for its Lumitrace injection, unlocking access to a critical healthcare market.
R2 Revenue and Sales Growth
R2's year-to-date revenues increased by 65% over the same period last year, with outside North America revenue surging 206% and system sales increasing by 392%.
Spectrum Content Portfolio Expansion
Spectrum strengthened its content portfolio with new network launches, including Lionsgate's MovieSphere Gold Channel and Sports First, reaching 45 U.S. markets.
Negative Updates
Gross and EBITDA Margin Compression
DBM Global experienced gross margin compression of approximately 510 basis points to 13.6% and adjusted EBITDA margin compression of approximately 200 basis points to 6.9% year-over-year.
Spectrum Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Spectrum segment revenue decreased by $800,000 to $5.6 million, and adjusted EBITDA decreased by $700,000 to $1 million, primarily due to the termination of certain customers and downturn in the advertising market.
Increased Indebtedness
Total principal outstanding indebtedness increased by $32.1 million to $700.4 million as of September 30, 2025, due to refinancing transactions.
Decrease in Cash and Cash Equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $35.5 million as of September 30, 2025, from $48.8 million at the end of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025 earnings call, INNOVATE Corp reported consolidated revenues of $347.1 million, marking a 43.3% increase from the previous year, driven primarily by the Infrastructure segment. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $19.8 million, up from $16.8 million in the prior year. The Infrastructure segment, with revenues of $338.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $23.5 million, experienced gross margin compression of 510 basis points to 13.6% and adjusted EBITDA margin compression of 200 basis points year-over-year. DBM Global's backlog increased by $500 million, reaching $1.6 billion. In Life Sciences, MediBeacon received regulatory approval in China for its Lumitrace injection, while R2's revenues grew to $3.1 million with a 65% year-over-year increase. Spectrum's revenues decreased to $5.6 million, with adjusted EBITDA dropping to $1 million due to challenges in the advertising market. The company ended the quarter with $35.5 million in cash and $700.4 million in total principal outstanding indebtedness.

INNOVATE Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
INNOVATE Corp faces significant financial challenges, particularly with profitability and leverage. While revenue growth has improved, the company struggles with negative net income and high debt levels. Cash flow shows signs of recovery, but overall financial health is precarious. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and reducing leverage to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
INNOVATE Corp's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate is positive at 10.54%, indicating a recovery from previous declines. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -7.63% and a low EBIT margin of 1.90%. The gross profit margin is moderate at 18.66%, suggesting some efficiency in cost management, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -3.07, indicating high debt levels relative to negative equity. This poses a risk to financial stability. The return on equity is positive at 40.14%, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting the company's financial distress and potential solvency issues.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement, with a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 235.71% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 2.65%, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 9.09%, suggesting some ability to generate cash despite net losses. Overall, cash flow management shows signs of recovery but remains a challenge.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.10B1.11B1.42B1.64B1.21B716.90M
Gross Profit187.20M208.80M216.00M221.40M183.70M128.40M
EBITDA45.20M72.90M63.10M62.80M31.80M54.90M
Net Income-84.70M-34.60M-35.20M-35.90M-227.50M-92.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets913.20M891.10M1.04B1.15B1.08B6.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.50M48.80M80.80M80.40M45.50M45.30M
Total Debt723.70M719.20M771.90M785.30M684.80M604.30M
Total Liabilities1.12B1.05B1.20B1.18B1.09B6.11B
Stockholders Equity-224.20M-180.40M-165.50M-103.70M-84.30M570.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.10M-9.90M8.10M-30.20M65.40M23.30M
Operating Cash Flow86.90M9.10M26.50M-9.50M89.50M41.10M
Investing Cash Flow-25.00M-13.90M23.20M-22.50M-299.20M99.20M
Financing Cash Flow-77.00M-26.50M-49.40M68.10M17.80M-141.60M

INNOVATE Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.05
Price Trends
50DMA
5.04
Positive
100DMA
5.00
Positive
200DMA
5.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
60.70
Neutral
STOCH
50.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VATE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.88, above the 50-day MA of 5.04, and below the 200-day MA of 5.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VATE.

INNOVATE Corp Risk Analysis

INNOVATE Corp disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. INNOVATE Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

INNOVATE Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$140.53M367.980.64%1.07%16.80%-98.32%
48
Neutral
$61.58M-0.97-10.69%-81.71%
45
Neutral
$97.78M-1.58-3.64%53.82%
44
Neutral
$3.78M>-0.01-116.57%-1.41%98.90%
38
Underperform
$13.36M-19.93-578.91%23.25%-343.35%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VATE
INNOVATE Corp
5.38
0.27
5.28%
SUNE
SUNation Energy
1.10
-533.42
-99.79%
ESOA
Energy Services of America
8.06
-7.56
-48.40%
SHIM
Shimmick Corporation
2.82
0.39
16.05%
SKK
SKK Holdings Limited
0.29
-0.39
-57.94%
MSW
Ming Shing Group Holdings Limited
1.13
-3.21
-73.96%

INNOVATE Corp Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
INNOVATE Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

INNOVATE Corp announced its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting significant achievements across its business segments. DBM Global reported strong revenue growth and an increased backlog, while MediBeacon received regulatory approval to sell its Transdermal GFR System in China, expanding its market reach. The Spectrum segment is showing signs of recovery in advertising sales and is exploring new datacasting opportunities. The company also completed refinancing transactions to extend debt maturities and initiated strategic processes to comply with milestone covenants, impacting its operations and strategic positioning.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
INNOVATE Corp Gains China Approval for GFR System
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, INNOVATE Corp. announced that MediBeacon Inc. received regulatory approval from China’s National Medical Products Administration to sell the Transdermal GFR System, including the Lumitrace injection, in China. This system allows for point-of-care assessment of kidney function, addressing the needs of patients with chronic kidney disease, which affects 11% of China’s population. The approval marks a significant step in MediBeacon’s global expansion, providing an innovative solution to improve kidney disease management and patient outcomes.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
INNOVATE Corp Subsidiary Announces $8.8M Dividend
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, INNOVATE Corp. announced that its subsidiary, DBM Global Inc., will distribute a cash dividend of approximately $8.8 million on November 10, 2025, with INNOVATE set to receive about $8 million as the largest stockholder. This dividend reflects DBM Global’s robust financial performance and strengthens INNOVATE’s position in the steel construction industry, although individual INNOVATE stockholders are not eligible for the dividend.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025