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Upwork (UPWK)
NASDAQ:UPWK
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Upwork (UPWK) AI Stock Analysis

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UPWK

Upwork

(NASDAQ:UPWK)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$22.00
▲(7.16% Upside)
Upwork's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, reflecting robust growth prospects and market momentum. Financial performance is solid but tempered by concerns over declining revenue growth and cash flow challenges. Valuation is reasonable, supporting the stock's attractiveness in the current market environment.
Positive Factors
AI-Driven Growth
AI initiatives are significantly boosting Upwork's growth, enhancing its competitive edge in the freelance market by leveraging technology to improve service offerings and client engagement.
International Expansion
The new hub in Portugal will facilitate global expansion, diversify operations, and enhance product development, strengthening Upwork's international presence and market reach.
Positive Financial Guidance
Raising revenue guidance reflects strong business fundamentals and confidence in future growth, driven by strategic initiatives and market demand.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A significant decline in revenue growth poses challenges for sustaining long-term business expansion and could impact investor confidence.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Declining free cash flow growth could affect liquidity and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Seasonal and Integration Challenges
Seasonal and integration challenges may impact short-term financial performance, requiring careful management to mitigate potential disruptions.

Upwork (UPWK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Upwork Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUpwork Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a work marketplace that connects businesses with various independent professionals and agencies in the United States, India, the Philippines, and internationally. The company's work marketplace provides access to talent with various skills across a range of categories, including sales and marketing, customer service, data science and analytics, design and creative, web, mobile, and software development. Its work marketplace also enables clients to streamline workflows, such as talent sourcing, outreach, and contracting. The company's work marketplace offers access to various functionalities for remote engagements with talent, including communication and collaboration, ability to receive talent invoices through their work marketplace, and payment protection. Its marketplace offerings include Upwork Basic, Upwork Plus, Upwork Enterprise, and Upwork Payroll, as well as managed and internet escrow agency services. The company was formerly known as Elance-oDesk, Inc. and changed its name to Upwork Inc. in May 2015. Upwork Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyUpwork generates revenue primarily through a service fee model, where it charges freelancers a percentage of their earnings for each contract completed on the platform. This fee structure is tiered based on the total billings a freelancer has with a client, incentivizing long-term relationships. Additionally, Upwork earns revenue from premium memberships that provide enhanced visibility and features for freelancers and clients. The company also offers enterprise solutions and talent sourcing services for larger organizations, which contribute to its earnings. Key partnerships with payment processors and integration of tools for project management further facilitate its revenue model.

Upwork Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Active Clients
Active Clients
Measures the number of clients engaging with Upwork's platform, indicating user retention, platform appeal, and potential for recurring revenue.
Chart InsightsUpwork's active clients have seen a decline in 2025, reversing previous growth trends. Despite this, the earnings call reveals strong financial performance driven by AI-related work and strategic acquisitions. The company raised its full-year guidance, highlighting robust revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth. However, challenges persist with enterprise revenue pressures and macroeconomic uncertainties impacting client metrics. Upwork's focus on AI and Business Plus offerings positions it well for future growth, but the decline in active clients suggests potential headwinds in maintaining user engagement.
Data provided by:The Fly

Upwork Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record-breaking revenue, profitability, and significant growth driven by AI and new business initiatives. Despite some seasonal and integration challenges, the company's positive outlook and strategic advancements contribute to a favorable sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Profitability
Upwork exceeded $200 million in quarterly revenue for the first time with $201.7 million, and achieved a GAAP net income of $29.3 million in Q3. Adjusted EBITDA reached an all-time high of $59.6 million with a margin of 29.6%.
AI-Driven Growth
The adoption of AI technologies led to significant growth, including a 45% increase in clients engaging in AI-related projects and a 53% increase in GSV from AI-related work year-over-year. AI-driven search and recommendations are expected to contribute an additional $100 million in GSV for 2025.
Expansion in SMB and Enterprise Segments
The Upwork Business Plus saw active client growth of 36% quarter-over-quarter. The launch of the new enterprise subsidiary, Lifted, is expected to unlock significant potential in the $650 billion contingent work market.
Positive Financial Guidance
Upwork increased its full-year revenue guidance to $782 million to $787 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $222 million to $225 million, reflecting a more than 6-point margin expansion versus 2024.
Negative Updates
Seasonal and Integration Challenges
Fourth-quarter revenue is expected to be lower due to seasonal variations and integration costs related to acquisitions and new initiatives like Lifted.
Slowdown in Legacy Enterprise Business
The legacy enterprise solution stopped selling early in the year, affecting the regular coverage of GSV and revenue from new accounts.
Company Guidance
In Upwork's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics reflecting its strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. Upwork achieved a record $201.7 million in quarterly revenue, marking a significant milestone as it surpassed $200 million for the first time. The company also reported a GAAP net income of $29.3 million and an all-time high adjusted EBITDA of $59.6 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.6%. Gross Services Volume (GSV) grew by 2% year-over-year, reaching $1.02 billion, driven by growth in both marketplace and enterprise businesses. The marketplace take rate increased to 18.9%, and the company ended the quarter with 794,000 active clients. AI-driven initiatives contributed substantially, with GSV from AI-related work increasing by 53% year-over-year. As a result of this robust performance, Upwork raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $782 million to $787 million and increased its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $222 million and $225 million. The company also reported record free cash flow of $69.4 million for the quarter. Looking ahead, Upwork expressed confidence in continued GSV growth, underpinned by advancements in AI, the launch of its new enterprise subsidiary Lifted, and expanding its SMB offerings.

Upwork Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Upwork demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with significant improvements in net profit margin and return on equity. However, the sharp decline in revenue growth and recent negative free cash flow growth highlight potential challenges. The company's leverage is under control, but past high debt levels should be monitored. Overall, Upwork is financially stable but must address growth and cash flow concerns to sustain its performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Upwork's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin consistently above 75%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly to 31.75% in TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the revenue growth rate has sharply declined by 75.22% in TTM, which is a concern for future revenue prospects. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, showing better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61 in TTM, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity has improved to 44.83%, showcasing strong profitability relative to shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 47.91%, reflecting a stable capital structure. However, past high leverage ratios pose a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 11.28% in TTM, which could impact liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.94, suggesting efficient cash flow management. However, the recent decline in free cash flow growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue780.86M769.33M689.14M618.32M502.80M373.63M
Gross Profit607.14M595.23M518.69M457.92M367.29M269.36M
EBITDA141.71M82.86M1.46M-81.49M-40.13M-7.91M
Net Income246.96M215.59M46.89M-89.89M-56.24M-22.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31B1.21B1.04B1.08B1.08B529.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments643.10M622.10M550.10M686.61M684.77M169.65M
Total Debt371.10M369.12M367.86M581.94M584.37M34.95M
Total Liabilities683.08M636.24M656.47M831.37M821.54M229.92M
Stockholders Equity628.13M575.38M381.07M248.88M259.52M299.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow174.98M139.12M36.36M2.76M4.70M8.00M
Operating Cash Flow193.05M153.56M52.71M11.50M10.84M22.36M
Investing Cash Flow-159.21M137.57M88.27M-69.47M-428.98M-4.15M
Financing Cash Flow-64.69M-81.96M-139.79M1.14M537.74M54.64M

Upwork Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.53
Price Trends
50DMA
17.54
Positive
100DMA
16.14
Positive
200DMA
15.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Negative
RSI
60.57
Neutral
STOCH
79.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UPWK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.01, above the 50-day MA of 17.54, and above the 200-day MA of 15.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UPWK.

Upwork Risk Analysis

Upwork disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Upwork reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Upwork Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.60B11.3647.52%2.50%187.92%
66
Neutral
$587.36M14.1127.19%6.13%-5.91%-23.01%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
55
Neutral
$423.52M-10.14%-1381.34%
50
Neutral
$90.74M-9.17-12.89%-9.13%-1032.39%
46
Neutral
$307.52M-13.11%3.44%0.46%-477.90%
42
Neutral
$9.32M-78.12%-7.26%-1.37%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UPWK
Upwork
19.73
2.28
13.07%
DHX
DHI Group
1.69
-0.01
-0.59%
KELYA
Kelly Services
8.75
-5.29
-37.68%
KFRC
Kforce
30.08
-29.39
-49.42%
IPDN
Professional Diversity
1.86
-4.84
-72.24%
ZIP
ZipRecruiter
5.40
-2.85
-34.55%

Upwork Corporate Events

Upwork Inc. Reports Record Earnings and AI Growth
Nov 5, 2025

The recent earnings call for Upwork Inc. was marked by a strong performance, showcasing record-breaking revenue and profitability. The company reported significant growth driven by AI and new business initiatives, despite facing some seasonal and integration challenges. The overall sentiment was favorable, reflecting a positive outlook and strategic advancements.

Upwork Inc. Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

Upwork Inc., a leading global work marketplace, connects businesses with skilled talent through its AI-powered platform, catering to freelance, fractional, and payrolled work across various sectors. In its third quarter of 2025, Upwork achieved record revenue of $201.7 million, marking a 4% year-over-year growth, alongside a GAAP net income of $29.3 million and a record adjusted EBITDA of $59.6 million, reflecting a 30% margin. The company also announced a $100 million share repurchase authorization, demonstrating confidence in its financial health and future prospects.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Upwork Announces $100 Million Share Buyback Program
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Upwork Inc. announced a new $100 million share repurchase program, marking the third such authorization since November 2023. This move reflects the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to enhancing shareholder value, as it continues to grow its market share and global service volume.

The most recent analyst rating on (UPWK) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Upwork stock, see the UPWK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025