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Yellow Pages (TSE:Y)
TSX:Y

Yellow Pages (Y) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:Y

Yellow Pages

(TSX:Y)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$15.00
▲(32.98% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/14/26
The score is driven by strong cash generation and attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technicals are supportive with an uptrend and positive momentum. The main constraint is financial trajectory risk: ongoing revenue/profit decline and rising leverage increase sensitivity if contraction continues.
Positive Factors
High free cash flow generation
Consistent, high free cash flow that exceeded net income and grew ~12% in 2025 provides durable financial flexibility. Strong FCF funds dividends, debt service, and reinvestment, giving the company time and resources to address top-line challenges without immediate financing stress.
Recurring SMB-focused revenue model
A recurring, contract-oriented model selling digital presence and advertising to SMBs creates predictable cash flows and customer lock-in. Owned digital properties enable cross-sell and up-sell, supporting steady revenue retention and slower churn compared with one-off services.
Sustained margin profile
Relatively healthy EBITDA and net margins give a structural buffer against revenue softness. Higher operating leverage in digital services allows margins to support positive free cash flow, enabling the business to sustain operations, dividend payments and strategic investments during recovery.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue and profitability decline
A persistent multi-year decline in revenue and profits erodes the core monetization base. Continued top-line contraction reduces long-term growth prospects, pressures customer acquisition economics, and risks turning temporary weakness into structural market share loss if not reversed.
Rising financial leverage
Higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.3x) reduces balance-sheet flexibility and increases interest obligations. If revenues continue to decline, elevated debt amplifies downside risk, constrains strategic investments, and limits the company's ability to respond to competitive or market shifts without external financing.
Operating cash flow trending down
A downward trend in operating cash flow signals weakening core cash generation despite strong FCF in the latest year. If the trend persists it could impair reinvestment capacity, dividend sustainability, and ability to service debt, making current strengths harder to maintain over months.

Yellow Pages (Y) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Yellow Pages Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYellow Pages Limited operates as a digital media and marketing solutions company in Canada. The company provides digital and traditional marketing solutions, including online and mobile priority placement on Yellow Pages digital media properties, content syndication, search engine solutions, website fulfillment, social media campaign management, digital display advertising, video production, e-commerce, and print advertising to small and medium-sized enterprises. Its online properties include YP.ca that allows users to discover and transact within their local neighborhoods through merchant profiles, editorial content, reviews, and booking functionalities; Canada411 for personal and local business information; and 411.ca, a digital directory service. The company also operates as a directory publisher for Bell, Telus, Bell Aliant, MTS Allstream, and other telephone companies; and holds the YP, Canada411, and 411 mobile applications. Yellow Pages Limited was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyYellow Pages makes money primarily by selling advertising and digital marketing services to businesses. Its core revenue stream is from commercial customers (typically SMBs) that pay for placements and promotion across Yellow Pages’ owned and operated digital properties (such as online directory/listing environments) and for broader digital presence products. Revenue is generally generated through recurring or contract-based fees for services that can include enhanced business listings, search and display-style advertising on its platforms, and other managed digital marketing solutions intended to drive calls, leads, or visits for advertisers. Additional monetization can come from performance-oriented lead generation arrangements where applicable (i.e., fees tied to consumer inquiries or engagements), but specific product-level mix, pricing structure, and partner arrangements are null if not publicly detailed in the provided context.

Yellow Pages Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected both positive financial management through strong cash reserves and dividend maintenance, alongside significant challenges with declining revenues and net income, impacted by external factors like labor disruptions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was 20.6% of revenue, despite revenue pressures and changes in product mix.
Cash Balance and Dividend Declaration
Healthy cash balance of approximately $59 million at the end of October, and a dividend of $0.25 per common share declared for December 15, 2025.
Pension Plan Contribution
Completed a $2 million voluntary cash contribution to the defined benefit pension plan, aligning with the company's strategic financial commitments.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenues decreased by 8.1% year-over-year to $48.3 million, mainly due to declines in higher-margin digital media and print products.
Digital and Print Revenue Challenges
Digital revenues decreased by 6.2% year-over-year, while print revenues decreased by 16.3% year-over-year, with impacts from Canada Post labor disruption.
Net Income Decrease
Net income decreased to $4 million for the third quarter of 2025 compared to $6.3 million for the same period last year, driven by lower adjusted EBITDA and increased restructuring and financial charges.
Company Guidance
During Yellow Pages' third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported an 8.1% decline in total revenue, amounting to $48.3 million. This decrease was largely attributed to a decline in both digital media and print products. Notably, the Canada Post labor disruption deferred approximately $0.5 million in print revenues, affecting the quarter's results. Without this disruption, the revenue decline would have been 7.3%. Digital revenues fell by 6.2% to $40 million, while print revenues decreased by 16.3% to $8.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA dropped by 20.3% to $10 million, with a margin reduction to 20.6% from 23.8% the previous year. The company completed a $2 million voluntary pension contribution and maintained a healthy cash balance of $59 million. A dividend of $0.25 per share was declared, with a payment scheduled for December 15, 2025. Despite revenue pressures, the company remains optimistic about its strategic positioning and future outlook.

Yellow Pages Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is the key strength (strong operating cash flow and free cash flow, with FCF exceeding net income), supporting durability. Offsetting this, revenue and profitability have been trending down for multiple years, and leverage has increased (debt-to-equity around 1.3x), reducing flexibility if the top-line decline persists.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability remains solid, with 2025 net margin around 9% and EBITDA margin ~22%, but earnings power has stepped down materially from 2022–2023 (when margins were significantly higher). The key issue is trajectory: revenue has been shrinking each year (2025 revenue down ~1.7% vs. 2024), and profits have followed that downward trend, indicating ongoing top-line pressure despite still-positive margins.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage has become a more notable constraint. Total debt rose to ~$68M in 2025 while equity is ~$52M, pushing debt-to-equity to ~1.3x (weaker than 2024 and higher than most of the prior period). Assets are relatively stable, but the increasing leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility and raises risk if operating results continue to soften.
Cash Flow
73
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: 2025 operating cash flow (~$35M) and free cash flow (~$33.5M) are strong relative to reported earnings, with free cash flow exceeding net income (about 96%+ conversion). Free cash flow also grew meaningfully in 2025 (~12%), supporting resilience; however, operating cash flow has trended down from earlier years, consistent with the broader earnings decline.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue198.88M214.83M239.43M268.28M287.65M
Gross Profit186.56M50.84M76.86M96.57M102.00M
EBITDA43.04M50.34M77.09M95.23M89.62M
Net Income18.11M24.98M47.40M73.43M70.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets162.59M163.87M167.51M207.30M305.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.68M46.46M23.23M45.61M125.04M
Total Debt68.33M39.94M43.91M47.13M49.88M
Total Liabilities110.75M110.07M125.26M141.52M189.10M
Stockholders Equity51.84M53.80M42.26M65.78M116.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.54M36.54M42.81M44.50M99.50M
Operating Cash Flow35.05M39.02M46.77M49.50M104.58M
Investing Cash Flow713.00K-513.00K-2.50M-3.67M-4.48M
Financing Cash Flow-17.28M-17.54M-64.94M-125.49M-130.03M

Yellow Pages Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.28
Price Trends
50DMA
12.30
Positive
100DMA
11.66
Positive
200DMA
11.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Positive
RSI
66.72
Neutral
STOCH
90.23
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:Y, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.45, below the 50-day MA of 12.30, and above the 200-day MA of 11.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.23 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:Y.

Yellow Pages Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$186.29M8.2923.61%8.77%-7.80%-58.83%
67
Neutral
C$98.78M10.5772.44%50.79%213.45%
61
Neutral
C$65.91M-6.14-10.35%-4.04%-297.93%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
51
Neutral
C$40.65M0.83-63.79%-3.78%78.12%
41
Neutral
C$94.57M-1.2219.06%8.98%-55.35%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:Y
Yellow Pages
13.49
4.17
44.76%
TSE:GVC
Glacier Media
0.31
0.17
121.43%
TSE:PNC.A
Postmedia Ntwrk C J
0.90
-0.07
-7.73%
TSE:PNC.B
Postmedia Network Canada
0.96
-0.06
-5.45%
TSE:ZOMD
Zoomd Technologies
0.95
0.25
35.71%
TSE:FORA
VerticalScope Holdings
3.03
-6.46
-68.07%

Yellow Pages Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Yellow Pages Posts Solid Profit and Cash Despite Ongoing Revenue Declines
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Yellow Pages Limited reported fourth quarter 2025 revenue of $48.0 million, down 6.5% year over year, as ongoing declines in higher‑margin digital media and print products continued to weigh on sales, though the pace of annual revenue erosion improved to 7.4% from 10.3% in 2024. Profitability remained solid, with adjusted EBITDA margins of 21.8% for the quarter and 21.6% for the year, net income rising to $7.6 million in the quarter, a strong cash balance of about $64 million at the end of January, and the board approving the final $2 million of a voluntary pension contribution and declaring a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, underscoring continued emphasis on balance sheet strength and shareholder returns.

The company’s cash generation stayed healthy, as adjusted EBITDA less CAPEX reached $10.1 million in the quarter and $41.5 million for 2025, despite lower full‑year revenue of $198.9 million versus $214.8 million in 2024. Management highlighted that the revenue trend benefited from improving decline rates, while the pension top‑up and sustained dividend signal confidence in financial resilience even as structural headwinds from the shrinking print and digital directory markets continue to shape Yellow Pages’ long‑term trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:Y) stock is a Hold with a C$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Yellow Pages stock, see the TSE:Y Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026