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WildBrain (TSE:WILD)
TSX:WILD
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WildBrain (WILD) AI Stock Analysis

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WildBrain

(TSX:WILD)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▼(-3.38%Downside)
WildBrain's score is primarily influenced by its financial instability due to net losses and negative equity, posing significant risks. Positive factors include technical momentum and strong earnings call performance, but valuation concerns weigh heavily. Strategic growth in content and licensing offers potential, but financial health remains a critical concern.
Positive Factors
Analyst Confidence
Analyst recommends a buy rating for WildBrain Ltd., indicating confidence in the company's future performance.
Content Creation
Content Creation returned to growth, alleviating fears about declining demand in WildBrain's content.
Global Licensing Growth
Global licensing revenue increased 44% to $71mm, highlighting the focus on core IP including Strawberry Shortcake and Teletubbies.
Negative Factors
Fundamental Challenges
WildBrain faces fundamental challenges as streamers and cable channel operators focus on cash flow over volume growth.
Margin Weakness
Margins decreased ~250bps to 12.4% against BMOe of 17.2% reflecting weaker gross margins and slightly higher proportional NCI.
Negotiation Challenges
The company was unable to negotiate a new carriage agreement with BCE, who has a ~30% share of Canada's BDU market.

WildBrain (WILD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

WildBrain Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWildBrain (WILD) is a leading Canadian media, entertainment, and content company that specializes in the development, production, distribution, and licensing of children's and family content. The company operates across multiple sectors, including television, digital networks, and consumer products, and is known for its extensive library of beloved shows and characters. WildBrain is also a prominent player in the digital space, with a strong presence on platforms like YouTube where it manages a large network of kids' content channels.
How the Company Makes MoneyWildBrain generates revenue through a diverse array of streams. The company's primary revenue sources include content production and distribution, where it sells and licenses its extensive library of children's programming to broadcasters and streaming platforms globally. Additionally, WildBrain earns money from its digital network WildBrain Spark, which monetizes content through advertising on platforms like YouTube. The company also benefits from consumer products and licensing deals, leveraging its popular characters and IPs to create toys, merchandise, and other branded products. Strategic partnerships and co-productions with other content creators and distributors further enhance WildBrain's revenue generation capabilities.

WildBrain Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in licensing revenue and content engagement, underpinned by successful brand activations and solid cash flow. However, there were concerns about economic uncertainties and slight declines in certain revenue streams due to timing issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Licensing Revenue Growth
Licensing revenue increased by 44% year-over-year, driven by key franchises like Peanuts, Strawberry Shortcake, and Teletubbies.
Strawberry Shortcake's Impressive Performance
Strawberry Shortcake's revenue surged over 200%, surpassing US$150 million in retail sales over the last 12 months.
Strong Content Creation and Audience Engagement
Content Creation and Audience Engagement revenue grew by 40% year-over-year, with production commencing on a new teen live-action series for Netflix and continued growth in FAST viewership.
Global Peanuts and Starbucks Collaboration
A successful global licensing activation with Starbucks led to Peanuts-themed merchandise selling out in the first week in most markets.
Yo Gabba Gabba! Impact at Coachella
Live performances at Coachella generated over 35 million impressions, indicating strong brand engagement.
Solid Free Cash Flow
The company reported a positive free cash flow of $13 million for the quarter and $67 million year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Slight Decline in FAST Revenue
FAST revenue was slightly down in the quarter due to timing impacts, despite underlying growth being strong.
Impact of Mixed Revenue on Margins
Gross margin percentage was lower due to a mix shift in revenues and higher participation costs in the quarter.
Economic Uncertainty and Tariffs
Potential impacts of U.S. tariffs and economic conditions were noted as uncertainties that could affect future performance.
Company Guidance
During WildBrain's Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported significant growth across various metrics. Notably, the global licensing business saw a 44% year-over-year increase, driven by key franchises like Peanuts, Strawberry Shortcake, and Teletubbies. Strawberry Shortcake's revenue soared by over 200%, with retail sales exceeding US$150 million in the past year. The company also experienced a 50% increase in minutes viewed on FAST platforms year-to-date and positive free cash flow of $13 million in the quarter. Revenue from continuing operations reached $128 million, a 42% year-over-year rise. Despite the positive performance, adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations is now expected to grow by 5% to 10%, down from the previous 12.5% to 17.5% forecast, due to timing impacts of higher-margin distribution deals. Overall, WildBrain's strategic focus on its core brands and licensing business continues to yield strong results, setting the stage for sustainable growth and cash generation.

WildBrain Financial Statement Overview

Summary
WildBrain's financial performance is characterized by inconsistent revenue growth, negative net profit margins, and a negative equity position, indicating high financial risk. While cash flow from operations has improved, the sustainability of these cash flows is questionable due to recurring net losses and heavy debt reliance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
WildBrain has experienced inconsistent revenue growth with a notable decline in the latest TTM. Gross profit margins remain relatively stable, but the net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing net losses. The negative EBITDA margin in the latest TTM indicates operational challenges in generating earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company is operating with negative stockholders' equity in the latest TTM, indicating a high leverage position with a debt-to-equity ratio that cannot be calculated due to negative equity. This poses a significant financial risk. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow from operations has improved in the latest TTM, resulting in a positive free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash conversion despite net losses. However, the sustainability of cash flows given the recurring net losses remains a concern.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue461.82M532.87M507.22M452.53M425.63M
Gross Profit221.11M241.53M221.56M194.89M187.84M
EBITDA-11.47M78.08M107.04M94.50M-127.94M
Net Income-105.97M-45.55M5.64M-7.08M-235.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.05B1.21B1.22B1.13B1.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.72M80.35M59.90M78.43M67.89M
Total Debt607.59M619.92M633.70M591.63M629.52M
Total Liabilities806.71M888.66M903.77M824.99M804.82M
Stockholders Equity-10.74M76.04M79.43M68.59M81.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow70.98M85.78M22.56M99.43M123.29M
Operating Cash Flow73.60M94.19M33.10M105.68M130.75M
Investing Cash Flow-6.14M-8.40M-10.84M-15.16M-7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-98.13M-73.27M-46.13M-79.24M-80.18M

WildBrain Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.07
Price Trends
50DMA
2.04
Negative
100DMA
1.91
Positive
200DMA
1.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
44.17
Neutral
STOCH
45.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WILD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.07, above the 50-day MA of 2.04, and above the 200-day MA of 1.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:WILD.

WildBrain Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$717.13M19.4914.14%2.88%12.00%
73
Outperform
C$73.99M12.079.94%25.69%
TSCGX
58
Neutral
$714.94M94.91%-3.18%-139.12%
56
Neutral
$424.76M-3581.90%8.40%-137.80%
55
Neutral
HK$66.95B-2.16-3.62%5.80%-4.24%-17.51%
52
Neutral
C$52.36M-49.83%-58.70%-711.28%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:WILD
WildBrain
2.07
0.82
65.60%
TSE:CGX
Cineplex
11.10
2.17
24.30%
TSE:RAY.A
Stingray Digit SV
10.41
2.89
38.43%
TSE:TBRD
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc
1.70
-0.13
-7.10%
TSE:BRMI
Boat Rocker Media
0.94
0.06
6.82%

WildBrain Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
WildBrain Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Strategic Focus on Key Franchises
Positive
May 14, 2025

WildBrain Ltd. reported a strong third quarter for 2025, with significant growth in global licensing, driven by its premium franchises and strategic partnerships like the one with Starbucks for Peanuts. The company is simplifying its operations by selling its television broadcast business and focusing on high-growth areas, which has resulted in improved financial metrics, including a 42% increase in revenue from continuing operations and a positive free cash flow. The company maintains a positive outlook for fiscal year 2025, expecting revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, although the sale of its television business may impact these projections.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WILD) stock is a Hold with a C$1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on WildBrain stock, see the TSE:WILD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 22, 2025