tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TSE:TBRD)
:TBRD

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
16 Followers

Top Page

TSE:TBRD

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc

(TBRD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▼(-1.32% Downside)
Overall score reflects mixed financial performance—especially weak free cash flow trends and revenue contraction—balanced by a strong balance sheet and improving technical setup with price holding above key long-term moving averages. Valuation is moderate (P/E 18.60) without dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without excessive financial strain.
Operational Efficiency
High operational efficiency, as indicated by a strong EBITDA margin, allows the company to maintain profitability even in challenging market conditions, supporting long-term sustainability.
Diverse Revenue Streams
Diverse revenue streams reduce dependency on a single source of income, enhancing resilience against market fluctuations and supporting steady financial performance over time.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining growth, which could impact the company's ability to invest in new projects and sustain its market position over the long term.
Weak Cash Flow
Weak cash flow generation limits the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives internally, potentially increasing reliance on external financing.
Low Profit Margins
Low profit margins can restrict the company's ability to reinvest in its business and weather economic downturns, potentially impacting long-term growth and competitiveness.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. (TBRD) is a Canadian media company that specializes in the production and distribution of television and film content. Operating primarily in the entertainment sector, Thunderbird produces a diverse range of programming including scripted dramas, documentaries, and children's content. The company is known for its commitment to high-quality storytelling and innovative content delivery across various platforms, including streaming services, traditional television, and theatrical releases.
How the Company Makes MoneyThunderbird Entertainment generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by producing and licensing television shows and films. The company earns money from selling its content to broadcasters and streaming platforms, as well as through syndication deals. Additionally, Thunderbird receives revenue from production services provided to third-party clients, which can include everything from concept development to post-production work. Significant partnerships with major networks and streaming services enhance its distribution capabilities, contributing to its overall earnings. The company also capitalizes on co-production agreements that allow it to share costs and access larger markets, further bolstering its financial performance.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, positive earnings, and a diverse production portfolio, along with industry accolades. However, significant uncertainties due to potential tariffs and vendor pricing pressures create challenges moving forward. Despite these lowlights, the company's strong financial performance and strategic positioning suggest a robust outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter was $45.5 million, a 29% increase from the same period last year. Year-to-date revenue rose by 22% to $138.3 million.
Strong Licensing and Distribution Performance
Licensing and distribution revenue increased by 302% to $10.8 million this quarter, driven by the delivery of new episodes of Mermicorno: Starfall and Highway Thru Hell.
Positive Earnings and EBITDA Growth
The company recorded its sixth straight quarter of positive earnings with net income of $2.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $5.9 million this quarter, up from $3.3 million in the same period last year.
Diversified Production Slate
The company worked on 24 programs with over 15 clients, including notable series like Super Team Canada and Mermicorno: Starfall, demonstrating a strong and diverse production slate.
Industry Recognition
Molly of Denali won a Children and Family Emmy Award, and Thunderbird Productions received eight Canadian Screen Awards nominations and two BAFTA nominations.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty Due to Potential Tariffs
The potential introduction of tariffs on non-U.S. produced content creates significant uncertainty in the market, affecting buyers' plans and the company's future projections.
Pricing Pressures from Vendors
The company is experiencing pricing pressures from vendors, particularly in software used in production workflows, which could impact operating costs.
Decline in Licensing and Distribution Revenue Year-to-Date
Year-to-date licensing and distribution revenue decreased by 22%, reflecting weaker demand for unscripted IP shows in the current market.
Company Guidance
During the Thunderbird Entertainment Group’s Fiscal 2025 Q3 earnings call, the company reported a robust performance with a 29% increase in revenue to $45.5 million, compared to $35.4 million in the same period last year. Year-to-date revenue reached $138.3 million, marking a 22% increase. The company's gross margin for the quarter stood at 24.2%, slightly up from 23.3% the previous year. Thunderbird highlighted its strong balance sheet, with no corporate debt, allowing financial flexibility despite industry uncertainties, including potential U.S. tariffs on non-U.S. produced content. The company maintained its fiscal 2025 guidance, targeting a 20% growth in revenue and over 10% growth in adjusted EBITDA, which for Q3 increased to $5.9 million from $3.3 million in the same period last year. Thunderbird also emphasized its strategic focus on content diversification across various platforms and markets.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc presents a mixed financial picture. The income statement shows operational efficiency but faces revenue growth challenges. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and a solid equity base, providing financial stability. However, the cash flow statement indicates potential liquidity concerns with negative free cash flow growth. The company should prioritize reversing revenue declines and enhancing cash flow generation to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 21.84% and a net profit margin of 3.69%, which are relatively modest. The company experienced a revenue decline of 4.79% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins of 5.94% and 19.72% respectively suggest operational efficiency. The company needs to focus on reversing the revenue decline to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33, indicating low leverage and a strong equity base. The return on equity (ROE) is 9.79%, showing a decent return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 39.57%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals some concerns for Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. The TTM free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative at -82.63%, highlighting potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, indicating that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.95, suggesting that free cash flows are closely aligned with net income. The company should focus on improving its cash flow generation to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue176.79M185.68M165.32M166.73M149.00M111.52M
Gross Profit28.05M32.16M37.53M36.94M39.26M34.88M
EBITDA31.80M35.04M35.51M35.97M35.45M37.39M
Net Income4.21M6.32M2.38M-5.01M3.60M5.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets188.88M165.29M172.60M215.85M223.72M160.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.96M33.84M25.22M25.36M30.18M22.42M
Total Debt25.41M20.36M39.83M74.49M85.27M57.87M
Total Liabilities114.12M89.49M103.30M149.18M153.90M96.21M
Stockholders Equity74.77M75.80M69.29M66.67M69.82M63.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.75M21.61M37.22M11.37M-9.69M21.36M
Operating Cash Flow4.57M22.86M37.67M13.18M-5.56M22.79M
Investing Cash Flow-810.00K-887.00K-440.00K-1.74M-4.12M-1.43M
Financing Cash Flow-17.43M-19.34M-37.83M-16.46M16.87M-11.34M

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.52
Price Trends
50DMA
1.38
Positive
100DMA
1.42
Positive
200DMA
1.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
59.88
Neutral
STOCH
46.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TBRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.57, above the 50-day MA of 1.38, and above the 200-day MA of 1.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TBRD.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
C$77.76M18.725.78%-0.34%-10.21%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
54
Neutral
C$778.11M-0.23-38.53%-59.51%-545.36%
50
Neutral
C$311.91M-3.0216.65%1.41%
48
Neutral
C$32.31M-2.85-22.90%45.36%-200.67%
40
Underperform
C$7.98M-0.02-11.27%57.50%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TBRD
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc
1.58
-0.19
-10.73%
TSE:CJR.B
Corus Entertainment
0.04
-0.07
-66.67%
TSE:WILD
WildBrain
1.46
-0.06
-3.95%
TSE:QYOU
QYOU Media
0.35
-0.07
-16.67%
TSE:BAMI
Blue Ant Media
8.03
1.33
19.85%
TSE:OAM
OverActive Media Corp
0.26
0.02
10.87%

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Thunderbird Delays Shareholder Vote on Blue Ant Deal After Mailing Oversight
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has postponed its special meeting of shareholders to January 22, 2026, to allow additional time to complete the mailing of its management information circular and related materials after an administrative oversight by its transfer agent delayed delivery to all registered shareholders. The company is keeping the record date unchanged but extending proxy and election form deadlines, confirming that previously submitted proxies remain valid, and is seeking a revised court date for the final order required to complete its proposed plan of arrangement with Blue Ant Media; Thunderbird expects to finalize the transaction promptly once court, regulatory and customary closing conditions are satisfied, suggesting the postponement is procedural rather than a change in strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
ISS Backs Thunderbird Entertainment’s Premium Takeover Offer from Blue Ant Media
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has received a favourable recommendation from influential proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS), which is urging shareholders to vote in favour of the proposed acquisition of Thunderbird by Blue Ant Media Corporation under a statutory plan of arrangement. The deal offers shareholders a choice between Blue Ant subordinate voting shares, cash consideration of $1.77 per share, or a mix of both, with the cash option representing a 50% premium to Thunderbird’s pre-announcement share price, and is backed unanimously by Thunderbird’s board following an independent strategic review. Shareholders are scheduled to vote on the transaction at a special meeting on January 12, 2026, with completion targeted by the end of January 2026, subject to shareholder, court and regulatory approvals, positioning Thunderbird to combine with Blue Ant in a transaction framed as providing both immediate value and an opportunity to participate in the future of the combined company.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Thunderbird Sets January Vote on Blue Ant Media Acquisition Plan
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has filed and begun mailing its management information circular for a January 12, 2026 special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed plan of arrangement under which Blue Ant Media Corporation would acquire all outstanding Thunderbird shares. Shareholders will be able to elect to receive Blue Ant subordinate voting shares, cash, or a mix of both (subject to an overall cash cap of $40 million), and the transaction has received an interim court order, the unanimous support of Thunderbird’s board (with one abstention) and voting support agreements from directors, executives and other investors representing about 37% of the shares, underscoring strong internal backing for the deal and setting the stage for a decisive vote on the company’s future ownership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Thunderbird Entertainment Reports Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results Amid Strategic Developments
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group reported a 19% decrease in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, primarily due to production delays. Despite this, the company remains optimistic about future growth, with 76% of its production slate already approved and in progress. The proposed acquisition by Blue Ant Media Corporation is expected to enhance Thunderbird’s financial and operational capabilities, although it is still subject to approvals. The company also repurchased 250,000 common shares under its Normal Course Issuer Bid, reflecting confidence in its long-term value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Blue Ant Media to Acquire Thunderbird Entertainment for $89 Million
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Blue Ant Media Corporation has announced its acquisition of Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc., a strategic move expected to enhance Blue Ant’s financial and operational scale. The transaction, valued at approximately $89 million, aims to deliver immediate financial benefits, including strong earnings and cash-flow accretion per share, and significant cost synergies. This acquisition is anticipated to strengthen Blue Ant’s studio business, enhance content monetization, and create a powerful platform for future growth, benefiting shareholders of both companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thunderbird Entertainment Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. reported a successful fiscal year 2025, with a 12% increase in revenue to $185.7 million and a net income rise to $6.3 million, driven by strong production service engagements. Despite some challenges in Q4, the company remains confident in its financial position and long-term strategy, supported by a robust creative pipeline and strong industry relationships. The company is actively involved in producing a variety of animated and unscripted series, as well as scripted films, and has received multiple awards for its productions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 26, 2025