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Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TSE:TBRD)
:TBRD

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TBRD

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc

(TBRD)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$1.50
▼(-1.32% Downside)
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and positive technical indicators. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic diversification efforts are significant strengths. However, challenges in cash flow and potential external risks like U.S. tariffs slightly temper the outlook. The stock is moderately valued, reflecting a balanced risk-reward profile.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for Thunderbird's content, enhancing its market position and financial health.
Licensing and Distribution Performance
The surge in licensing revenue reflects successful content distribution strategies, expanding revenue streams and market reach.
Strong Financial Position
A debt-free balance sheet provides financial flexibility, allowing Thunderbird to invest in growth opportunities without financial strain.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue suggests challenges in maintaining consistent growth, which could impact long-term financial stability if not addressed.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow growth indicates potential liquidity issues, which could limit Thunderbird's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Potential U.S. Tariffs
Potential tariffs could disrupt content distribution plans, affecting revenue and strategic partnerships in the U.S. market.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. (TBRD) is a Canadian media company that specializes in the production and distribution of television and film content. Operating primarily in the entertainment sector, Thunderbird produces a diverse range of programming including scripted dramas, documentaries, and children's content. The company is known for its commitment to high-quality storytelling and innovative content delivery across various platforms, including streaming services, traditional television, and theatrical releases.
How the Company Makes MoneyThunderbird Entertainment generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by producing and licensing television shows and films. The company earns money from selling its content to broadcasters and streaming platforms, as well as through syndication deals. Additionally, Thunderbird receives revenue from production services provided to third-party clients, which can include everything from concept development to post-production work. Significant partnerships with major networks and streaming services enhance its distribution capabilities, contributing to its overall earnings. The company also capitalizes on co-production agreements that allow it to share costs and access larger markets, further bolstering its financial performance.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, positive earnings, and a diverse production portfolio, along with industry accolades. However, significant uncertainties due to potential tariffs and vendor pricing pressures create challenges moving forward. Despite these lowlights, the company's strong financial performance and strategic positioning suggest a robust outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter was $45.5 million, a 29% increase from the same period last year. Year-to-date revenue rose by 22% to $138.3 million.
Strong Licensing and Distribution Performance
Licensing and distribution revenue increased by 302% to $10.8 million this quarter, driven by the delivery of new episodes of Mermicorno: Starfall and Highway Thru Hell.
Positive Earnings and EBITDA Growth
The company recorded its sixth straight quarter of positive earnings with net income of $2.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $5.9 million this quarter, up from $3.3 million in the same period last year.
Diversified Production Slate
The company worked on 24 programs with over 15 clients, including notable series like Super Team Canada and Mermicorno: Starfall, demonstrating a strong and diverse production slate.
Industry Recognition
Molly of Denali won a Children and Family Emmy Award, and Thunderbird Productions received eight Canadian Screen Awards nominations and two BAFTA nominations.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty Due to Potential Tariffs
The potential introduction of tariffs on non-U.S. produced content creates significant uncertainty in the market, affecting buyers' plans and the company's future projections.
Pricing Pressures from Vendors
The company is experiencing pricing pressures from vendors, particularly in software used in production workflows, which could impact operating costs.
Decline in Licensing and Distribution Revenue Year-to-Date
Year-to-date licensing and distribution revenue decreased by 22%, reflecting weaker demand for unscripted IP shows in the current market.
Company Guidance
During the Thunderbird Entertainment Group’s Fiscal 2025 Q3 earnings call, the company reported a robust performance with a 29% increase in revenue to $45.5 million, compared to $35.4 million in the same period last year. Year-to-date revenue reached $138.3 million, marking a 22% increase. The company's gross margin for the quarter stood at 24.2%, slightly up from 23.3% the previous year. Thunderbird highlighted its strong balance sheet, with no corporate debt, allowing financial flexibility despite industry uncertainties, including potential U.S. tariffs on non-U.S. produced content. The company maintained its fiscal 2025 guidance, targeting a 20% growth in revenue and over 10% growth in adjusted EBITDA, which for Q3 increased to $5.9 million from $3.3 million in the same period last year. Thunderbird also emphasized its strategic focus on content diversification across various platforms and markets.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc presents a mixed financial picture. The income statement shows operational efficiency but faces revenue growth challenges. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and a solid equity base, providing financial stability. However, the cash flow statement indicates potential liquidity concerns with negative free cash flow growth. The company should prioritize reversing revenue declines and enhancing cash flow generation to strengthen its financial position.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 21.84% and a net profit margin of 3.69%, which are relatively modest. The company experienced a revenue decline of 4.79% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins of 5.94% and 19.72% respectively suggest operational efficiency. The company needs to focus on reversing the revenue decline to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33, indicating low leverage and a strong equity base. The return on equity (ROE) is 9.79%, showing a decent return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio stands at 39.57%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals some concerns for Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. The TTM free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative at -82.63%, highlighting potential cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.37, indicating that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.95, suggesting that free cash flows are closely aligned with net income. The company should focus on improving its cash flow generation to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue176.79M185.68M165.32M166.73M149.00M111.52M
Gross Profit28.05M32.16M37.53M36.94M39.26M34.88M
EBITDA31.80M35.04M35.51M35.97M35.45M37.39M
Net Income4.21M6.32M2.38M-5.01M3.60M5.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets188.88M165.29M172.60M215.85M223.72M160.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.96M33.84M25.22M25.36M30.18M22.42M
Total Debt25.41M20.36M39.83M74.49M85.27M57.87M
Total Liabilities114.12M89.49M103.30M149.18M153.90M96.21M
Stockholders Equity74.77M75.80M69.29M66.67M69.82M63.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.75M21.61M37.22M11.37M-9.69M21.36M
Operating Cash Flow4.57M22.86M37.67M13.18M-5.56M22.79M
Investing Cash Flow-810.00K-887.00K-440.00K-1.74M-4.12M-1.43M
Financing Cash Flow-17.43M-19.34M-37.83M-16.46M16.87M-11.34M

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.52
Price Trends
50DMA
1.31
Positive
100DMA
1.43
Positive
200DMA
1.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
59.94
Neutral
STOCH
13.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TBRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.53, above the 50-day MA of 1.31, and above the 200-day MA of 1.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TBRD.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$64.46M18.365.78%-0.34%-10.21%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
54
Neutral
C$760.67M-0.23-38.53%-59.51%-545.36%
46
Neutral
C$418.72M-4.0616.65%1.41%
46
Neutral
C$32.95M-2.90-22.90%45.36%-200.67%
40
Underperform
$6.98M-0.02-11.27%57.50%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TBRD
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc
1.55
-0.29
-15.76%
TSE:CJR.B
Corus Entertainment
0.04
-0.05
-61.11%
TSE:WILD
WildBrain
1.96
0.43
28.10%
TSE:QYOU
QYOU Media
0.31
-0.18
-36.46%
TSE:BAMI
Blue Ant Media
7.80
1.80
30.00%
TSE:OAM
OverActive Media Corp
0.26
0.01
4.00%

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird and tokidoki Launch Exclusive Mermicorno Collectible at Comic-Con
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group, in collaboration with tokidoki, has launched a limited edition Mermicorno: Starfall collectible at San Diego Comic-Con 2025. This initiative, featuring a plush toy and other merchandise, highlights the expansion of the Mermicorno universe beyond its animated series, aiming to engage fans and enhance brand presence in the global market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Appoints New SVP to Boost Global Unscripted Content
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has appointed Laura Crowson as the Senior Vice President of Global Development for Great Pacific Media, its unscripted division. Crowson, formerly with Warner Bros. Discovery, will leverage her extensive experience in development and co-production to enhance GPM’s international content strategy, aiming to create engaging and commercially viable shows. Her appointment is expected to strengthen Thunderbird’s market position in the global unscripted television industry by fostering new partnerships and innovative content.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Promotes Joel Bradley to President of Atomic Cartoons
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has announced the promotion of Joel Bradley to President of its animation division, Atomic Cartoons. Bradley, who has been with Atomic since 2013, will lead business development and production, ensuring the delivery of high-quality projects globally. His promotion is expected to further strengthen Atomic’s reputation for creativity and collaboration, enhancing its position in the animation industry. Additionally, Thunderbird’s investor relations contract with Bristol Capital has concluded.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Partners with Three Part Advisors to Boost Investor Relations
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment has engaged Three Part Advisors, a strategic investor relations firm, to enhance its visibility within the investment community. This partnership aims to broaden Thunderbird’s investor base and support its growth plans by organizing investor presentations and meetings, ultimately strengthening the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Expands Global Reach with New Distribution Deals
Positive
May 21, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has announced new distribution deals for its children’s series BooSnoo!, Mittens & Pants, and Mermicorno: Starfall, expanding its reach into new international markets. The company has also secured sales for a range of catalogue titles across scripted and unscripted genres, reflecting its strategic focus on diversification and strengthening its business through varied revenue sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thunderbird Entertainment Reports Strong Q3 Growth Amid Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 12, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. reported a strong fiscal 2025 Q3 performance with a 29% increase in revenue and a 79% rise in AEBITDA, driven by increased production service engagements. The company maintains a robust financial position with no corporate debt, allowing it to pursue growth opportunities and invest in new content production. Despite potential risks such as US tariffs on non-US content, Thunderbird remains committed to delivering value to shareholders through strategic content alignment and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025