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Thunderbird Entertainment Group (TSE:TBRD)
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Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TBRD

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc

(TBRD)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(31.58% Upside)
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc is on a strong upward trajectory with solid financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. While the company faces industry challenges, its robust financial health and strategic positioning suggest continued potential for growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Thunderbird Entertainment Group's Q3/24 results were notably stronger than analyst estimates, with revenues up 37.3% year-over-year.
Future Outlook
Management is guiding to 20% revenue growth in F2025 and over 10% adjusted EBITDA growth, indicating a positive outlook for the company.
Target Price Adjustment
The analyst has raised the target price for the stock to $3.50 per share from $3.00, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.
Negative Factors

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. develops, produces, and distributes film and television programs in Canada, the United States, Denmark, the Republic of Ireland, and internationally. Its portfolio consists of animated, factual, and scripted projects. The company's programs cover various genres with a focus on children's productions, scripted comedy and dramas, and unscripted contents. The company also acquires, licenses, and merchandises distribution rights. Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyThunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams. The company earns income from the production and distribution of its original content across various platforms, including television networks and digital streaming services. It also engages in service production, working on projects for third-party clients, which contributes significantly to its revenue. Licensing and merchandising of its popular titles further supplement its income. The company benefits from partnerships with major media companies and streaming services, which enhance its content reach and monetization potential. Additionally, Thunderbird's strategic focus on producing content that appeals to both domestic and international audiences helps in expanding its revenue base.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, positive earnings, and a diverse production portfolio, along with industry accolades. However, significant uncertainties due to potential tariffs and vendor pricing pressures create challenges moving forward. Despite these lowlights, the company's strong financial performance and strategic positioning suggest a robust outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter was $45.5 million, a 29% increase from the same period last year. Year-to-date revenue rose by 22% to $138.3 million.
Strong Licensing and Distribution Performance
Licensing and distribution revenue increased by 302% to $10.8 million this quarter, driven by the delivery of new episodes of Mermicorno: Starfall and Highway Thru Hell.
Positive Earnings and EBITDA Growth
The company recorded its sixth straight quarter of positive earnings with net income of $2.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $5.9 million this quarter, up from $3.3 million in the same period last year.
Diversified Production Slate
The company worked on 24 programs with over 15 clients, including notable series like Super Team Canada and Mermicorno: Starfall, demonstrating a strong and diverse production slate.
Industry Recognition
Molly of Denali won a Children and Family Emmy Award, and Thunderbird Productions received eight Canadian Screen Awards nominations and two BAFTA nominations.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty Due to Potential Tariffs
The potential introduction of tariffs on non-U.S. produced content creates significant uncertainty in the market, affecting buyers' plans and the company's future projections.
Pricing Pressures from Vendors
The company is experiencing pricing pressures from vendors, particularly in software used in production workflows, which could impact operating costs.
Decline in Licensing and Distribution Revenue Year-to-Date
Year-to-date licensing and distribution revenue decreased by 22%, reflecting weaker demand for unscripted IP shows in the current market.
Company Guidance
During the Thunderbird Entertainment Group’s Fiscal 2025 Q3 earnings call, the company reported a robust performance with a 29% increase in revenue to $45.5 million, compared to $35.4 million in the same period last year. Year-to-date revenue reached $138.3 million, marking a 22% increase. The company's gross margin for the quarter stood at 24.2%, slightly up from 23.3% the previous year. Thunderbird highlighted its strong balance sheet, with no corporate debt, allowing financial flexibility despite industry uncertainties, including potential U.S. tariffs on non-U.S. produced content. The company maintained its fiscal 2025 guidance, targeting a 20% growth in revenue and over 10% growth in adjusted EBITDA, which for Q3 increased to $5.9 million from $3.3 million in the same period last year. Thunderbird also emphasized its strategic focus on content diversification across various platforms and markets.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc has shown solid revenue growth, stable cost management, and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is healthy with reduced leverage, and cash flow statements indicate strong cash generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc has shown solid revenue growth, with the TTM revenue of CAD 180.03 million, up from CAD 165.32 million in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 20.3% TTM, indicating stable cost management. The Net Profit Margin has improved to 2.68% TTM from 1.44% in 2024, showing enhanced profitability. EBIT Margin is at 2.38% TTM, reflecting operational efficiency improvements. However, these margins remain modest, highlighting room for further enhancement. The EBITDA Margin is strong at 16.48% TTM, indicating good cash operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio has decreased, indicating a reduction in leverage and improved financial stability. The current Debt-to-Equity is 0.37 TTM, down from 0.57 in 2024. Return on Equity has improved to 6.68% TTM from 3.43% in 2024, reflecting better efficiency in generating profits from equity. The Equity Ratio is 38.3% TTM, suggesting a healthy balance between debt and equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows improving financial health with reduced leverage risks.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc shows robust cash flow management. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is positive, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. Operating Cash Flow is significantly higher than Net Income, with a ratio of 8.30 TTM, indicating strong cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is impressive at 8.02 TTM, demonstrating effective conversion of earnings into free cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue190.12M165.32M166.73M149.00M111.52M81.29M
Gross Profit41.53M37.53M36.94M39.26M34.88M29.87M
EBITDA37.50M35.51M35.97M35.45M37.39M31.26M
Net Income7.02M2.38M-5.01M3.60M5.74M3.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets172.48M172.60M215.85M223.72M160.14M155.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.89M25.22M25.36M30.18M22.42M12.82M
Total Debt24.62M39.83M74.49M85.27M57.87M69.28M
Total Liabilities97.84M103.30M149.18M153.90M96.21M101.52M
Stockholders Equity74.64M69.29M66.67M69.82M63.93M53.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.17M37.22M11.37M-9.69M21.36M12.23M
Operating Cash Flow29.55M37.67M13.18M-5.56M22.79M15.54M
Investing Cash Flow-1.00M-440.00K-1.74M-4.12M-1.43M-3.31M
Financing Cash Flow-26.59M-37.83M-16.46M16.87M-11.34M-12.99M

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.52
Price Trends
50DMA
1.65
Negative
100DMA
1.56
Negative
200DMA
1.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
39.39
Neutral
STOCH
58.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TBRD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.58, below the 50-day MA of 1.65, and below the 200-day MA of 1.66, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TBRD.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$63.21M10.659.94%25.69%
56
Neutral
$13.75B13.2410.03%0.92%7.13%-12.93%
$13.00M
$311.59M-3581.90%
$15.07M-186.64%
$153.70M9.1285.19%
45
Neutral
C$161.77M-38.53%-59.51%-545.36%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TBRD
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc
1.50
-0.60
-28.57%
CJREF
Corus Entertainment
0.06
-0.04
-40.00%
WLDBF
WildBrain
1.49
0.51
52.04%
QYOUF
QYOU Media
0.02
>-0.01
-33.33%
ZMDTF
Zoomd Technologies
1.52
1.18
347.06%
TSE:BAMI
Boat Rocker Media
7.20
-2.30
-24.21%

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird and tokidoki Launch Exclusive Mermicorno Collectible at Comic-Con
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group, in collaboration with tokidoki, has launched a limited edition Mermicorno: Starfall collectible at San Diego Comic-Con 2025. This initiative, featuring a plush toy and other merchandise, highlights the expansion of the Mermicorno universe beyond its animated series, aiming to engage fans and enhance brand presence in the global market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Appoints New SVP to Boost Global Unscripted Content
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has appointed Laura Crowson as the Senior Vice President of Global Development for Great Pacific Media, its unscripted division. Crowson, formerly with Warner Bros. Discovery, will leverage her extensive experience in development and co-production to enhance GPM’s international content strategy, aiming to create engaging and commercially viable shows. Her appointment is expected to strengthen Thunderbird’s market position in the global unscripted television industry by fostering new partnerships and innovative content.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Promotes Joel Bradley to President of Atomic Cartoons
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has announced the promotion of Joel Bradley to President of its animation division, Atomic Cartoons. Bradley, who has been with Atomic since 2013, will lead business development and production, ensuring the delivery of high-quality projects globally. His promotion is expected to further strengthen Atomic’s reputation for creativity and collaboration, enhancing its position in the animation industry. Additionally, Thunderbird’s investor relations contract with Bristol Capital has concluded.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Partners with Three Part Advisors to Boost Investor Relations
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment has engaged Three Part Advisors, a strategic investor relations firm, to enhance its visibility within the investment community. This partnership aims to broaden Thunderbird’s investor base and support its growth plans by organizing investor presentations and meetings, ultimately strengthening the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Expands Global Reach with New Distribution Deals
Positive
May 21, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has announced new distribution deals for its children’s series BooSnoo!, Mittens & Pants, and Mermicorno: Starfall, expanding its reach into new international markets. The company has also secured sales for a range of catalogue titles across scripted and unscripted genres, reflecting its strategic focus on diversification and strengthening its business through varied revenue sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thunderbird Entertainment Reports Strong Q3 Growth Amid Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 12, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. reported a strong fiscal 2025 Q3 performance with a 29% increase in revenue and a 79% rise in AEBITDA, driven by increased production service engagements. The company maintains a robust financial position with no corporate debt, allowing it to pursue growth opportunities and invest in new content production. Despite potential risks such as US tariffs on non-US content, Thunderbird remains committed to delivering value to shareholders through strategic content alignment and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2025