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Thunderbird Entertainment Group (TSE:TBRD)
:TBRD

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) AI Stock Analysis

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Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc

(TBRD)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$1.50
▼(-5.06%Downside)
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc demonstrates strong financial performance, with notable revenue and profit growth. The strategic initiatives and absence of corporate debt bolster financial stability and potential for growth. Although technical indicators show moderate bullishness, the overall outlook is positive, driven by strong earnings call results and proactive corporate events.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Thunderbird Entertainment Group's Q3/24 results were notably stronger than analyst estimates, with revenues up 37.3% year-over-year.
Future Outlook
Management is guiding to 20% revenue growth in F2025 and over 10% adjusted EBITDA growth, indicating a positive outlook for the company.
Target Price Adjustment
The analyst has raised the target price for the stock to $3.50 per share from $3.00, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.
Negative Factors

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc (TBRD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. develops, produces, and distributes film and television programs in Canada, the United States, Denmark, the Republic of Ireland, and internationally. Its portfolio consists of animated, factual, and scripted projects. The company's programs cover various genres with a focus on children's productions, scripted comedy and dramas, and unscripted contents. The company also acquires, licenses, and merchandises distribution rights. Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyThunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the production and distribution of television and film content. The company earns money by creating original content for networks and streaming services, which includes both commissioned and co-produced projects. Licensing deals also play a significant role, where Thunderbird sells the rights to distribute its content in various markets worldwide. Additionally, the company benefits from merchandising and ancillary product sales related to its popular shows and characters. Strategic partnerships with major broadcasters and digital platforms further enhance its revenue potential, allowing the company to expand its reach and audience base.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 26.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in revenue growth and profitability, despite uncertainties related to potential U.S. tariffs and pricing pressures. The company remains financially robust and continues to diversify its production slate.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q3 was $45.5 million, a 29% increase compared to the same period last year. Year-to-date, total revenue reached $138.3 million, a 22% increase over the previous year.
Strong Licensing and Distribution Performance
Licensing and distribution revenue increased by 302% to $10.8 million this quarter compared to the same period last year.
Consistent Profitability
The company recorded its sixth straight quarter of positive earnings with a net income of $2.2 million, compared to a profit of $5,000 for the same period last year.
Diverse Production Slate
Thunderbird was working with 15 clients on 24 productions during Q3, including both company-owned IP and service productions.
Strong Financial Position
Thunderbird operates with a strong balance sheet with no corporate debt, providing financial flexibility for growth.
Negative Updates
Impact of Potential U.S. Tariffs
There is uncertainty regarding potential tariffs on non-U.S. produced content, which could lead to buyers changing or delaying their plans.
Decrease in Year-to-Date Licensing Revenue
Year-to-date licensing and distribution revenue decreased by $4.3 million or 22% due to weaker demand for unscripted IP shows.
Pricing Pressures
The company is experiencing pricing pressures from vendors and a small impact from tariffs on certain purchases.
Company Guidance
During Thunderbird Entertainment Group's Fiscal 2025 Q3 earnings call, the company reported a 29% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $45.5 million for the quarter, and a 22% increase year-to-date, totaling $138.3 million. Licensing and distribution revenue surged by 302% to $10.8 million, driven by the delivery of Mermicorno: Starfall episodes and Highway Thru Hell Season 13. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $5.9 million, reflecting a 46% year-to-date increase. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with no corporate debt and achieved a net income of $2.2 million. Despite potential industry challenges like U.S. tariffs on foreign content, Thunderbird continues to focus on content diversification and strategic partnerships, aiming for a 20% revenue growth and over 10% adjusted EBITDA growth for the fiscal year.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc shows solid revenue growth, stable profit margins, and improved financial stability with reduced leverage. Strong cash flow management further supports a positive financial trajectory, though there is room for improvement in profitability margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc has shown solid revenue growth, with the TTM revenue of CAD 180.03 million, up from CAD 165.32 million in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 20.3% TTM, indicating stable cost management. The Net Profit Margin has improved to 2.68% TTM from 1.44% in 2024, showing enhanced profitability. EBIT Margin is at 2.38% TTM, reflecting operational efficiency improvements. However, these margins remain modest, highlighting room for further enhancement. The EBITDA Margin is strong at 16.48% TTM, indicating good cash operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio has decreased, indicating a reduction in leverage and improved financial stability. The current Debt-to-Equity is 0.37 TTM, down from 0.57 in 2024. Return on Equity has improved to 6.68% TTM from 3.43% in 2024, reflecting better efficiency in generating profits from equity. The Equity Ratio is 38.3% TTM, suggesting a healthy balance between debt and equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows improving financial health with reduced leverage risks.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc shows robust cash flow management. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is positive, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. Operating Cash Flow is significantly higher than Net Income, with a ratio of 8.30 TTM, indicating strong cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is impressive at 8.02 TTM, demonstrating effective conversion of earnings into free cash.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue180.03M165.32M166.73M149.00M111.52M81.29M
Gross Profit36.57M37.53M36.94M39.26M34.88M30.13M
EBITDA29.67M35.54M36.00M35.49M37.45M31.34M
Net Income4.82M2.38M-5.01M3.60M5.74M4.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets188.48M172.60M215.85M223.72M160.14M155.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.16M25.22M25.36M30.18M22.42M12.82M
Total Debt26.86M39.83M74.49M85.27M57.87M69.28M
Total Liabilities116.33M103.30M149.18M153.90M96.21M101.52M
Stockholders Equity72.15M69.29M66.67M69.82M63.93M53.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.64M37.22M11.37M-9.69M21.36M12.23M
Operating Cash Flow40.00M37.67M13.18M-5.56M22.79M15.54M
Investing Cash Flow-982.00K-440.00K-1.74M-4.12M-1.43M-3.31M
Financing Cash Flow-26.64M-37.83M-16.46M16.87M-11.34M-12.99M

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.58
Price Trends
50DMA
1.46
Positive
100DMA
1.58
Negative
200DMA
1.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
59.78
Neutral
STOCH
88.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TBRD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.49, above the 50-day MA of 1.46, and below the 200-day MA of 1.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TBRD.

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
C$136.86M7.6882.67%105.03%
78
Outperform
C$67.02M11.229.94%25.69%
66
Neutral
¥370.54B13.792.32%2.56%5.41%-19.09%
56
Neutral
C$443.74M-3581.90%8.40%-137.80%
54
Neutral
C$50.05M-49.83%-58.70%-711.28%
45
Neutral
$19.94M175.81%-13.09%88.95%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TBRD
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc
1.58
-0.17
-9.71%
TSE:WILD
WildBrain
2.09
0.96
84.96%
TSE:CJR.B
Corus Entertainment
0.10
-0.07
-42.86%
TSE:ZOMD
Zoomd Technologies
1.38
1.22
762.50%
TSE:BRMI
Boat Rocker Media
0.88
-0.17
-16.19%

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Partners with Three Part Advisors to Boost Investor Relations
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment has engaged Three Part Advisors, a strategic investor relations firm, to enhance its visibility within the investment community. This partnership aims to broaden Thunderbird’s investor base and support its growth plans by organizing investor presentations and meetings, ultimately strengthening the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thunderbird Entertainment Expands Global Reach with New Distribution Deals
Positive
May 21, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. has announced new distribution deals for its children’s series BooSnoo!, Mittens & Pants, and Mermicorno: Starfall, expanding its reach into new international markets. The company has also secured sales for a range of catalogue titles across scripted and unscripted genres, reflecting its strategic focus on diversification and strengthening its business through varied revenue sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thunderbird Entertainment Reports Strong Q3 Growth Amid Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 12, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. reported a strong fiscal 2025 Q3 performance with a 29% increase in revenue and a 79% rise in AEBITDA, driven by increased production service engagements. The company maintains a robust financial position with no corporate debt, allowing it to pursue growth opportunities and invest in new content production. Despite potential risks such as US tariffs on non-US content, Thunderbird remains committed to delivering value to shareholders through strategic content alignment and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TBRD) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc stock, see the TSE:TBRD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thunderbird Entertainment to Announce Fiscal Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. announced it will release its fiscal Q3 2025 results on May 12, 2025, followed by a conference call and webcast on May 13, 2025. During the event, CEO Jennifer Twiner McCarron and CFO Simon Bodymore will provide an overview of business operations and financial statements, respectively, with a Q&A session to follow. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025