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Stingray Digit SV (TSE:RAY.A)
TSX:RAY.A

Stingray Digit SV (RAY.A) AI Stock Analysis

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Stingray Digit SV

(TSX:RAY.A)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$11.00
▲(10.11%Upside)
The overall score reflects strong financial performance, positive earnings call sentiment, and bullish technical indicators, tempered by valuation concerns and high debt levels. The company's strategic initiatives and growth in advertising revenue are significant positives.

Stingray Digit SV (RAY.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Stingray Digit SV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStingray Group Inc. operates as a music, media, and technology company worldwide. The company offers Stingray Music, a multiplatform music service that gives listeners free access to curated music channels on television (TV), web, and mobile; Stingray Naturescape, a channel in 4K resolution; Stingray Now 4K, a curated 4K TV channel; and Stingray Festival 4K, a television channel that broadcasts exclusively in native 4K and Dolby Digital audio. It also provides Stingray Qello, an over-the-top streaming service on TV, mobile, and the web; Stingray Classica, a TV channel dedicated to classical music, including operas, ballets, concerts, and documentaries; Stingray iConcerts, a source for various live concerts; and Stingray DJAZZ, a TV channel dedicated to jazz and jazz-related genres, such as soul, blues, funk, gospel, hip-hop, fusion, reggae, Latin, swing, and bebop. In addition, the company offers karaoke services comprising The Voice, Yokee Piano, Yokee Karaoke, Yokee Guitar, Piano Academy, The Piano Keyboard, Stingray Kids' Karaoke, and Yokee Music, as well as Stingray Karaoke, a video on demand and TV app. Further, it provides music videos TV channels that include Stingray Country, Stingray cmusic, PalmarèsADISQ par Stingray, Stingray Hits!, Stingray Vibe, Stingray Loud, Stingray Retro, Stingray LiteTV, and Stingray Juicebox; and operates approximately 100 radio stations across Canada, as well as offers advertising solutions. The company distributes its products and services through various platforms that include digital cable TV, satellite TV, IPTV, OTT, the internet, mobile devices, game consoles, and connected cars. It serves cable and telecom companies, retailers, small and medium businesses, and directly to consumers. The company was formerly known as Stingray Digital Group Inc. and changed its name to Stingray Group Inc. in December 2018. Stingray Group Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyStingray Digit SV generates revenue primarily through subscription fees, advertising, and licensing agreements. The company's subscription model includes fees from both individual consumers and businesses who access its music and video streaming services. Advertising revenue is derived from the sale of ad space across its digital platforms and media channels. Additionally, Stingray earns income through licensing its content to third-party platforms and businesses, thereby expanding its reach and monetizing its media assets. Strategic partnerships with telecommunications providers and retail companies further bolster its revenue streams by integrating Stingray's offerings into their services and locations.

Stingray Digit SV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 10, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Stingray Group Inc. reported a strong fiscal year with significant growth in advertising revenue, debt reduction, and improved net income. The company launched new channels and maintained strong cash flow. However, revenue in some regions declined, and certain revenue increases were not sustainable. Overall, the positive highlights outweigh the lowlights, suggesting robust performance.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Advertising Revenue Growth
Advertising revenue in broadcast and commercial music grew over 45% for the second straight year, driven by FAST channels and retail media.
Launch of New Channels
Launched new channels like Cozy Cafe and Stargaze, enhancing leadership in connected TV music and ambient content.
Debt Reduction
Net debt reduced by $27 million, ending the year with a leverage ratio of 2.28x.
Continued Organic Growth
Organic growth hit 12.3%, marking two consecutive years of double-digit growth.
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Broadcasting and commercial music revenue rose 17.8% to $254 million, radio grew 2.3% to $132 million. Adjusted EBITDA grew 19% to $35 million with margins expanding to 36.5%.
Improved Net Income
Net income was $7.7 million compared to a $46.3 million loss last year, with adjusted net income up to $18.6 million from $15.4 million.
Strong Cash Position
Ended the quarter with $14 million in cash and $156.3 million in available credit.
Successful Share Repurchase and Dividends
Repurchased 275,000 shares in Q4, totaling $9.1 million for the year, and paid $20.5 million in dividends.
Negative Updates
Decline in Other Regions
Revenue in other regions declined 5.5% to $11.2 million.
Cash Flow from Operations Slightly Down
Cash flow from operations was $39.7 million, down slightly due to higher taxes and restructuring costs.
One-time Subscription Revenue Bump
A 7% Q4 growth in subscription revenue was a one-time bump from a promotion, not sustainable.
Company Guidance
During the Stingray Group Inc. Q4 2025 Results Conference Call, significant growth metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. Advertising revenue in broadcast and commercial music surged by over 45% for the second consecutive year, buoyed by the success of FAST channels and retail media partnerships. Organic growth reached 12.3%, following a 10.2% increase the previous year. Financially, the company reduced net debt by $27 million, achieving a leverage ratio of 2.28x, with adjusted EBITDA outpacing revenue growth. In Q4, revenue was $96 million, up 14.8% year-over-year, with broadcasting and commercial music revenue rising by 20.9% to $64.6 million. Net income significantly improved to $7.7 million, with adjusted net income at $18.6 million. Cash flow from operations totaled $39.7 million, and adjusted free cash flow was $18.4 million. For fiscal 2026, Stingray aims to reduce leverage below 2x, pursue strategic M&A, and continue shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends.

Stingray Digit SV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stingray Digit SV shows a positive financial trajectory with robust revenue and profit growth, improving equity position, and strong cash flow generation. However, high debt levels require careful management to ensure continued financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company exhibits strong revenue growth with a 12.0% increase from 2024 to 2025 and consistently improving net profit margins, turning from a loss in 2024 to a net income of $36.44 million in 2025. Gross profit margin remains stable, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows improving stockholders' equity and a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio over the years, indicating strengthening financial stability. However, the company's total debt remains high, which could pose risks if not managed properly. The equity ratio has shown improvement, reflecting a stronger financial position.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company demonstrates strong cash flow management with consistent free cash flow generation and a high free cash flow to net income ratio. Operating cash flow has remained robust, supporting the company's ability to cover capital expenditures and debt obligations. However, a slight decline in operating cash flow from 2024 to 2025 should be monitored.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue386.89M345.43M323.94M282.63M249.47M
Gross Profit100.83M87.95M111.67M87.23M83.43M
EBITDA102.08M60.78M94.66M91.59M116.74M
Net Income36.44M-13.74M30.12M33.29M45.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets816.66M811.57M895.20M883.70M822.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.98M9.61M15.45M14.56M9.04M
Total Debt360.16M386.70M412.24M411.96M365.66M
Total Liabilities549.82M562.98M608.93M610.17M548.14M
Stockholders Equity266.83M248.58M286.27M273.53M274.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow89.98M104.48M71.49M66.61M90.81M
Operating Cash Flow105.04M118.53M86.95M83.66M104.25M
Investing Cash Flow-17.40M-16.64M-20.61M-18.63M5.43M
Financing Cash Flow-83.36M-107.72M-65.45M-59.51M-103.15M

Stingray Digit SV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.99
Price Trends
50DMA
8.85
Positive
100DMA
8.72
Positive
200DMA
8.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Negative
RSI
70.51
Negative
STOCH
64.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RAY.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.30, above the 50-day MA of 8.85, and above the 200-day MA of 8.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.51 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RAY.A.

Stingray Digit SV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$674.20M18.6114.14%4.12%12.00%
61
Neutral
$41.22B-1.26-14.49%3.94%2.29%-73.14%
$113.69M7.1240.32%8.88%
$326.91M-3581.90%
TSCGO
74
Outperform
C$625.82M7.1610.38%7.81%0.06%115.11%
73
Outperform
C$674.20M18.4414.14%4.19%12.00%
54
Neutral
C$32.40M-6.62%-2.38%59.61%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RAY.A
Stingray Digit SV
9.94
2.79
39.02%
YLWDF
Yellow Pages
8.22
2.22
37.00%
WLDBF
WildBrain
1.53
0.71
86.59%
TSE:CGO
Cogeco Inc. SV
64.85
19.23
42.15%
TSE:RAY.B
Stingray Dgt Vary SV
10.00
2.30
29.87%
TSE:TVA.B
TVA Group Inc B NV
0.75
-0.44
-36.97%

Stingray Digit SV Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Stingray Group Inc. Reports Robust Financial Growth in Fiscal 2025
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

Stingray Group Inc. reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, showcasing sustained growth and financial strength. The company achieved a 14.8% increase in revenues for the fourth quarter and a 12.0% increase for the full year, alongside a significant turnaround in net income from a loss to a profit. The company’s strategic focus on advertising revenues in its Broadcast and Recurring Commercial Music segment paid off, with a notable 45% growth in advertising revenues for the second consecutive year. This performance underscores Stingray’s successful execution of its growth strategy, enhancing its industry positioning and providing positive implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:RAY.A) stock is a Buy with a C$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stingray Digit SV stock, see the TSE:RAY.A Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Stingray Group CFO Takes Medical Leave; Interim CFO Appointed
Neutral
May 30, 2025

Stingray Group Inc. announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Jean-Pierre Trahan, is taking a medical leave of absence. Marie-Hélène Fournier, a long-time member of the company with extensive experience in acquisitions and investments, has been appointed as the Interim Chief Financial Officer. The company assures stakeholders that its strategic operations will continue smoothly during this transition.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:RAY.A) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stingray Digit SV stock, see the TSE:RAY.A Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Stingray Group to Announce Q4 Fiscal 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Stingray Group Inc. announced it will release its financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 on June 10, 2025, with a subsequent conference call on June 11, 2025. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 18, 2025