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Thomson Reuters (TSE:TRI)
TSX:TRI

Thomson Reuters (TRI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TRI

Thomson Reuters

(TSX:TRI)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$149.00
▲(9.52% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is supported primarily by strong financial performance and constructive guidance/capital-return commitments from the latest earnings call. This is meaningfully offset by very weak technical conditions (deeply negative trend and momentum). Valuation is moderately demanding on P/E, with the dividend providing partial support.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription business model
Thomson Reuters’s subscription-heavy model embeds content and software into daily professional workflows, producing high renewal rates and predictable recurring revenue. Multi-year enterprise agreements and in‑product integration support durable revenue visibility and organic expansion over quarters and years.
Strong cash generation and capital flexibility
Robust free cash flow and conservative leverage give management scope for disciplined capital allocation: sizeable buybacks, a raised dividend and $11B of capital capacity through 2028. Consistent FCF supports strategic M&A tuck‑ins and shareholder returns while preserving balance sheet resilience.
Commercial traction from GenAI-enabled products
Early commercial adoption of AI-enabled offerings (28% of ACV) plus notable customer wins point to sustainable product-led revenue expansion and cross-sell opportunities. Internal AI productivity gains also reduce operating costs, supporting longer‑term margin improvement and competitive differentiation.
Negative Factors
Structural print revenue decline
Ongoing print declines are a structural headwind in legacy product lines, shrinking a portion of addressable revenue and pressuring segment-level margins. Transitioning customers and offsetting lost print revenue with higher‑margin digital services is multi-year work and can compress near-term growth until adoption scales.
Government contract volatility
Exposure to government contracts introduces timing and renewal uncertainty: cancellations materially affected Legal segment growth. This creates durable quarter‑to‑quarter variability and could limit predictability of organic growth if public budgets or procurement cycles remain uneven.
Margin and profitability volatility
While management targets continued EBITDA expansion, historical swings—including a gross margin dip and moderated net margins—signal execution and mix risk. Persistent margin volatility weakens earnings predictability and could constrain sustainable returns on equity during business or macro stress periods.

Thomson Reuters (TRI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thomson Reuters Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThomson Reuters Corporation provides business information services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in five segments: Legal Professionals, Corporates, Tax & Accounting Professionals, Reuters News, and Global Print. The Legal Professionals segment offers research and workflow products focusing on legal research and integrated legal workflow solutions that combine content, tools, and analytics to law firms and governments. The Corporates segment provides a suite of content-enabled technology solutions for legal, tax, regulatory, compliance, and IT professionals. The Tax & Accounting Professionals segment offers research and workflow products focusing on tax offerings and automating tax workflows to tax, accounting, and audit professionals in accounting firms. The Reuters News segment provides business, financial, and international news to media organizations, professional, and news consumers through news agency and industry events. The Global Print segment offers legal and tax information primarily in print format to legal and tax professionals, governments, law schools, and corporations. The company was formerly known as The Thomson Corporation and changed its name to Thomson Reuters Corporation in April 2008. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Thomson Reuters Corporation is a subsidiary of The Woodbridge Company Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyThomson Reuters generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models and software licensing. Its key revenue streams include: 1) Legal Professionals: Providing legal research tools, case law databases, and analytics solutions. 2) Financial Professionals: Offering financial market data, trading platforms, and analytical tools for investment professionals. 3) Tax and Accounting: Supplying software and services for compliance, tax planning, and accounting professionals. 4) Media: Licensing news content and providing insights to media organizations. Additionally, strategic partnerships with technology firms enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, contributing substantially to its revenue growth.

Thomson Reuters Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational and financial strengths—consistent organic revenue growth across core segments, margin expansion, healthy free cash flow, a clear AI product roadmap with early commercial validation, and disciplined capital allocation (dividend increase, completed buyback, strategic tuck-ins). Near-term challenges were acknowledged (print decline, government cancellations, severance costs, and some finance-related impacts), but management reaffirmed 2026 guidance and outlined confidence in continued margin expansion and stronger revenue acceleration driven by AI-enabled offerings. Overall, the positives (growth, margins, cash generation, AI traction, capital returns) materially outweigh the highlighted headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Revenue Growth
Full-year organic revenue grew 7% (2025). Fourth-quarter organic revenue grew 7% year-over-year. The Big Three segments collectively delivered 9% organic revenue growth in the quarter (Legal Professionals +9%, Corporates +9%, Tax, Audit & Accounting +11%, Reuters +5%).
Profitability and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA for the full year increased to $2.9 billion (up ~6% year-over-year) with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 100 basis points to 39.2% for 2025. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $777 million, up 8% versus Q4 2024, with a margin of 38.7% (up 110 bps). Adjusted EPS for the year was $3.92 versus $3.77 prior year; Q4 adjusted EPS was $1.07 versus $1.01 prior year.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
Full-year free cash flow was $1.95 billion, slightly ahead of the ~$1.9 billion outlook. The company completed a $1 billion share repurchase program, invested ~$850 million in four strategic bolt-on acquisitions, and announced a 10% increase in the annual dividend to $2.62. Management estimates $11 billion of capital capacity through 2028 and reiterated a balanced capital allocation approach.
Reaffirmed 2026 Financial Framework
Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance: total organic revenue growth 7.5%–8% and ~9.5% for the Big Three, adjusted EBITDA margin expected to expand another 100 basis points in 2026 (and management expects the same annual expansion in 2027 and 2028). 2026 free cash flow is forecast at approximately $2.1 billion.
AI Product Launches and Early Commercial Success
Launched and expanded AI-enabled product portfolio (Westlaw Advantage, CoCounsel legal, CoCounsel for Tax & Audit, Ready to Advise/Review). Early commercial momentum and customer wins highlighted (including Microsoft). GenAI-enabled products represent 28% of annualized contract value (ACV), up from 24% last quarter.
Operational Productivity Gains from AI
Notable internal AI-driven improvements: >85% of employees active on OpenArena; ~300 AI use cases in development; call center average handle time reduced by 15% and first-call resolution increased by 10%; US content delivery to Westlaw accelerated by 25% through content-processing automation.
Negative Updates
Print Revenue Decline
Global Print organic revenues declined 6% in Q4 and declined 5% for the full year (ongoing structural print headwinds remain).
Government Business Headwinds
Legal Professionals growth was impacted by government cancellations; government growth slowed (5% in the quarter) and management expects government-related weakness to slow growth in Q1 2026, creating potential quarter-by-quarter variability.
One-time and Restructuring Costs
Q4 included $19 million of severance related to automation and productivity initiatives. Management expects an additional ~$10 million in severance in Q1 2026 and estimated roughly $20 million of similar charges for 2026 in total—a near-term headwind to operating results.
Interest / Finance-Related Impact
Interest expense was higher than forecast (partly attributed to the pace of the share repurchase program) and lower market interest rates reduced interest income. Currency had a modest negative impact of $0.01 on Q4 adjusted EPS.
GenAI One-time Licensing Variability and Small Reuters AI Revenue
GenAI-related one-time content licensing revenue declined from $33 million in 2024 to $13 million in 2025, which affected comparables for Reuters. Reuters' agency business included only $5 million of generative-AI related transactional content licensing revenue in the quarter—small relative to company scale.
Market / M&A Uncertainty
Management acknowledged recent share-price volatility and broader software-market pullbacks that create uncertainty in private-market valuations, which could complicate timing or valuation of larger strategic M&A despite $11 billion of available capital.
Company Guidance
Thomson Reuters reiterated its 2026 financial framework: total organic revenue growth of 7.5–8.0% (Big Three ~9.5%), with segment targets Legal Professionals 8–9%, Corporates 9–11%, and Tax, Audit & Accounting 11–13%; management expects adjusted EBITDA margin to expand 100 basis points from 39.2% (and to deliver 100 bps of annual margin expansion in 2026–2028), an effective tax rate of ~19% (cash tax roughly 5 percentage points lower), accrued CapEx of ~8% of revenue, and free cash flow of about $2.1 billion (up from $1.95B in 2025). For Q1 they guide organic revenue ~7% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~42%; at year‑end Q4 GenAI‑enabled ACV was 28% (up from 24%), capital capacity is ~$11 billion through 2028, year‑end cash was ~$500 million with an undrawn $2.0 billion revolver and $1.7 billion commercial paper capacity, and leverage was 0.6x on Dec. 31. Capital allocation includes a 10% dividend increase to $2.62/share, a commitment to return 75% of free cash flow (implying roughly $500M of buybacks in 2026 to hit that target), following a $1.0 billion repurchase in 2025 (6M shares); 2025 results to frame the outlook: organic revenue +7%, Big Three +9%, adjusted EBITDA $2.9B (39.2% margin), adjusted EPS $3.92, and FCF $1.95B. They also noted $19M of severance in Q4 and expect ~$10M in Q1 (roughly $20M total severance-related charges in 2026).

Thomson Reuters Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall financial quality with steady revenue growth, generally healthy profitability, conservative and improving leverage, and solid free cash flow generation. Main offsets are volatility in reported margins (including a notable gross margin dip in the latest year) and moderation in net profitability/returns versus peak years.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily across the period, with the latest year showing a re-acceleration in growth. Profitability is generally strong with healthy operating and EBITDA margins, and results improved materially after the 2021 loss. However, reported margins are volatile year-to-year (including an outlier drop in gross margin in 2025 versus prior years), and net margin stepped down from the very high levels seen in 2023–2024.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Leverage looks conservative and improving, with debt-to-equity declining meaningfully over the last several years and remaining low in the most recent year. Equity is sizable relative to assets, supporting balance-sheet resilience. The main watch-out is that returns on equity have moderated versus the stronger 2022–2024 levels (and were negative in 2021), suggesting profitability has become less efficient recently despite the stronger capital position.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash generation is solid and trending upward: operating cash flow and free cash flow have both increased over time, and the most recent year shows strong free cash flow growth. Free cash flow remains consistently substantial relative to earnings, indicating good earnings quality. That said, cash flow conversion is not perfect—operating cash flow runs below net income in the latest years—and free cash flow growth has been uneven, with slower growth in several years before the recent jump.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.61B7.26B6.79B6.63B6.35B
Gross Profit2.00B5.76B2.70B4.22B3.87B
EBITDA3.06B3.05B2.95B3.01B2.02B
Net Income1.53B2.21B2.69B1.89B-553.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.91B18.44B18.68B21.71B22.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments510.07M1.89B1.36B1.27B886.00M
Total Debt2.12B3.08B3.54B4.76B3.79B
Total Liabilities6.02B6.43B7.62B9.76B8.31B
Stockholders Equity11.89B12.01B11.06B11.95B13.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.05B1.85B1.80B1.32B1.29B
Operating Cash Flow2.70B2.46B2.34B1.92B1.77B
Investing Cash Flow-1.31B680.00M3.51B-462.00M-504.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.88B-2.46B-5.63B-1.16B-2.27B

Thomson Reuters Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price136.05
Price Trends
50DMA
152.93
Negative
100DMA
175.80
Negative
200DMA
214.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.27
Negative
RSI
51.31
Neutral
STOCH
82.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TRI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 136.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.51, below the 50-day MA of 152.93, and below the 200-day MA of 214.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:TRI.

Thomson Reuters Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$1.96B11.408.95%8.32%-2.45%44.20%
69
Neutral
C$60.52B28.0912.40%1.83%5.89%-21.32%
66
Neutral
C$956.85M34.266.36%1.98%3.69%92.38%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
C$79.20M7.7326.87%5.99%-7.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TRI
Thomson Reuters
136.05
-117.74
-46.39%
TSE:CGY
Calian Group
83.77
43.41
107.54%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.44
-0.42
-22.58%
TSE:TCL.A
Transcontinental
23.41
7.89
50.79%

Thomson Reuters Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Thomson Reuters Delivers Strong 2025 Organic Growth, Sets Higher 2026 Targets and Raises Dividend
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

Thomson Reuters reported continued revenue momentum for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, with total revenues up 3% for the year and 5% in the quarter, and organic revenue rising 7% overall and 9% in its key “Big 3” segments, which now account for 82% of total revenues. While operating profit and diluted EPS declined year-on-year due largely to prior-year gains from asset sales and higher software amortization, underlying performance improved as adjusted EBITDA grew 8% and margin expanded to 38.7%, supported by strong recurring and transaction revenue growth and operating leverage. Management highlighted benefits from sustained investment in AI and product innovation, a more strategically aligned portfolio following recent acquisitions, and set a 2026 outlook calling for mid‑ to high‑single‑digit organic revenue growth and further margin expansion, while also signaling confidence through a 10% increase in the annual dividend, extending its multi-decade record of dividend growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TRI) stock is a Buy with a C$142.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thomson Reuters stock, see the TSE:TRI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026