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RB Global (TSE:RBA)
TSX:RBA

RB Global (RBA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RBA

RB Global

(TSX:RBA)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$158.00
â–²(14.49% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven mainly by solid financial performance (scaled revenue base, positive earnings, and strong free cash flow) and supportive earnings-call guidance for continued GTV/EBITDA growth. These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum and a demanding valuation (high P/E), with rising leverage and margin compression as key fundamental watch items.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent near‑billion operating cash flow and material free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. Over the medium term this supports debt service, targeted tuck‑ins, disciplined capex, dividends and potential buybacks without relying on external funding.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Material leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to revenue shocks. Higher debt limits discretionary capital allocation, raises interest expense sensitivity, and constrains ability to execute opportunistic M&A or buybacks during a downturn.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent near‑billion operating cash flow and material free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility. Over the medium term this supports debt service, targeted tuck‑ins, disciplined capex, dividends and potential buybacks without relying on external funding.
Read all positive factors

RB Global (RBA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

RB Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
RB Global, Inc., an omnichannel marketplace, provides insights, services, and transaction solutions for buyers and sellers of commercial assets and vehicles worldwide. Its marketplace brands include Ritchie Bros., an auctioneer of commercial asset...
How the Company Makes Money
RB Global generates revenue primarily through transaction fees collected from vehicle sales facilitated on its platforms. This includes fees from both sellers who list their vehicles for auction and buyers who purchase them. Additionally, RBA earn...

RB Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized disciplined execution, margin expansion, product innovation and tangible commercial wins (renewals and pipeline), supported by clear 2026 guidance for mid-single-digit GTV growth and low-double-digit EBITDA growth. Headwinds include modest full-year GTV growth, sector cyclicality (notably CC&T and a bankruptcy impact), potential pressure on take rates for select contracts, and comparability noise from prior-year catastrophes. Overall, positive operational momentum and multiple strategic initiatives outweigh the near-term and cyclical challenges.
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 10% in the fourth quarter and 7% for the full year; adjusted EBITDA margin (as a percent of GTV) expanded to 8.9% from 8.4% year-over-year, reflecting operating leverage and tight cost management.
Negative Updates
Modest Full-Year GTV Growth
While Q4 showed improvement, full year total GTV grew only 2%, indicating that growth was uneven across the year and some sectors faced headwinds.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 10% in the fourth quarter and 7% for the full year; adjusted EBITDA margin (as a percent of GTV) expanded to 8.9% from 8.4% year-over-year, reflecting operating leverage and tight cost management.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
RB Global guided 2026 GTV growth of 5–8% and full‑year adjusted EBITDA of $1.47–$1.53 billion (≈7% growth at the midpoint), expecting volume‑led service‑revenue growth and continued market‑share gains; management also forecast full‑year CapEx of $350–$400 million and a GAAP and adjusted tax rate of 23–25%, and said it will convert incremental volume to EBITDA through operational excellence. For context, Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 8.9% (from 8.4% prior year), the service‑revenue take rate was ~21.4%, full‑year 2025 adjusted EBITDA rose ~7% (adjusted EPS +15%), the company generated nearly $1.0 billion of operating cash flow in 2025 and finished the quarter at ~1.4x net debt‑to‑adjusted EBITDA—metrics management cited as informing capital allocation (debt paydown, capex, tuck‑ins, dividends and possible share‑repurchase authorization).

RB Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue scaling and solid 2025 profitability, supported by healthy operating cash flow (~$995M) and free cash flow (~$732M). Offsets include meaningful margin compression versus earlier years and rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.91), which reduces flexibility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.67B4.28B3.68B1.73B1.42B
Gross Profit1.67B2.02B1.79B967.00M822.70M
EBITDA1.48B1.23B1.03B417.20M357.70M
Net Income435.90M413.10M206.50M319.70M151.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.12B11.81B12.04B2.86B3.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments693.54M533.90M576.20M494.30M326.11M
Total Debt5.50B4.56B4.77B759.80M1.87B
Total Liabilities6.06B6.09B6.53B1.57B2.52B
Stockholders Equity6.04B5.71B5.50B1.29B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow731.79M727.60M447.74M430.80M302.60M
Operating Cash Flow995.32M886.97M679.34M461.82M312.25M
Investing Cash Flow-562.58M-287.12M-3.16B75.03M-210.47M
Financing Cash Flow-469.48M-614.22M2.72B-1.22B944.77M

RB Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price138.00
Price Trends
50DMA
141.41
Negative
100DMA
142.95
Negative
200DMA
146.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.96
Negative
RSI
52.37
Neutral
STOCH
76.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RBA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 138 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.42, below the 50-day MA of 141.41, and below the 200-day MA of 146.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:RBA.

RB Global Risk Analysis

RB Global disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RB Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Combining the businesses of Ritchie Bros. and IAA may be more difficult, costly or time-consuming than expected, and we may fail to realize the anticipated benefits of the acquisition, which may adversely affect our business results and negatively affect the value of our common shares. Q1, 2023
2.
We may be unable to realize the anticipated cost synergies and other opportunities expected from the acquisition of IAA, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Q1, 2023
3.
Completion of the acquisition may trigger change in control, assignment or other provisions in certain agreements to which IAA is a party, which may have an adverse impact on the Company's business and results of operations. Q1, 2023

RB Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$52.16B38.7512.40%1.83%5.89%-21.32%
64
Neutral
C$25.65B43.777.25%1.16%11.26%17.45%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RBA
RB Global
138.00
6.95
5.30%
TSE:TRI
Thomson Reuters
117.27
-112.24
-48.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026