Taseko Mines (TKO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$2.75B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.18M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.07
• Revenue Growth: 1.17%
• EPS Growth: -169.37%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 191
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Copper
• EPS (TTM): 0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 360,410,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,856,483
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,180,448
• PEG Ratio: 0.53
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.64
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.36
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.53
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$6.99
• Price Target Upside: -8.46% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: C$7.50 ▼(-1.83% Downside)

Taseko Mines' overall stock score is driven by a mix of strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights, offset by weak financial performance and unattractive valuation. The company's operational improvements and project advancements are promising, but financial risks and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score.

Positive Factors

Operational Improvements

Improved operational metrics, such as higher mining rates and copper grades, indicate enhanced efficiency and potential for increased production output, supporting long-term growth.

Florence Project Progress

The near completion of the Florence project positions Taseko for future production increases, enhancing its capacity and potential revenue streams.

Strengthened Balance Sheet

Strengthening the balance sheet through equity offerings and debt repayment improves financial stability, providing more flexibility for future investments.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage can increase financial risk, limit strategic options, and strain cash flows, potentially impacting long-term financial health.

Declining Profitability

Persistent profitability challenges, indicated by negative margins, may hinder the company's ability to reinvest and grow sustainably.

Negative Cash Flow Trends

Declining free cash flow limits the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, posing risks to long-term financial stability.

Taseko Mines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Taseko Mines Limited (TKO) is a mining company based in Canada that focuses on the production of copper, gold, and molybdenum. The company operates primarily in the mining sector, with significant assets including the Gibraltar Mine, which is one of the largest open-pit copper-molybdenum mines in Canada. Taseko is engaged in the exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties, and is committed to sustainable mining practices and environmental stewardship.

How the Company Makes Money

Taseko Mines generates revenue primarily through the sale of copper, gold, and molybdenum produced at its mining operations. The company has a significant focus on copper, which is a critical metal used in various industries, including construction, electronics, and renewable energy. Revenue is derived from the extraction and processing of these minerals, with copper sales typically constituting the largest portion of their earnings. Taseko also benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts that help stabilize its revenue streams. Additionally, fluctuations in commodity prices, operational efficiencies, and cost management play crucial roles in determining the company's profitability.

Taseko Mines Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Taseko Mines faces challenges across its financial statements, with declining profitability and high leverage being key concerns. While there is some revenue growth, the company's ability to convert this into profit is lacking. The high debt levels and negative cash flow trends highlight potential financial risks that need to be addressed to improve overall financial health.

Income Statement

Taseko Mines shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a slight revenue growth of 3.16%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -9.34%. The gross profit margin has declined from previous years, and EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased significantly, indicating challenges in operational efficiency and cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.58, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of assets financed by equity.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth by -44.75% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating that operating cash flow is not sufficiently covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	596.94M	608.09M	524.97M	391.61M	433.28M	343.27M
Gross Profit	83.96M	117.16M	207.35M	54.23M	163.81M	23.73M
EBITDA	101.34M	170.94M	233.23M	71.62M	176.63M	97.88M
Net Income	-55.74M	-13.44M	82.73M	-25.97M	36.47M	-23.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.33B	2.20B	1.57B	1.28B	1.18B	910.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	92.58M	173.63M	97.81M	123.43M	239.88M	86.90M
Total Debt	863.78M	790.57M	637.89M	586.57M	533.10M	363.40M
Total Liabilities	1.78B	1.69B	1.13B	922.27M	824.68M	592.99M
Stockholders Equity	547.49M	503.22M	434.15M	356.41M	358.52M	317.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	42.00M	149.48M	33.16M	1.59M	87.04M	40.70M
Operating Cash Flow	191.62M	232.62M	151.09M	81.27M	174.77M	106.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-455.97M	-317.89M	-167.60M	-166.41M	-147.71M	-59.64M
Financing Cash Flow	140.62M	157.16M	-7.05M	-35.24M	125.79M	-11.94M

Taseko Mines Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.64
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TKO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.26, above the 50-day MA of 6.52, and above the 200-day MA of 4.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TKO.

Taseko Mines Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
III	76 Outperform	C$1.71B	8.71	20.90%	―	45.15%	449.29%
ARG	71 Outperform	C$696.03M	25.76	18.67%	4.11%	10.41%	-0.23%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
TKO	58 Neutral	C$2.75B	-42.44	-10.53%	―	1.17%	-169.37%
ASCU	53 Neutral	C$990.71M	-73.59	-6.09%	―	―	22.26%
MARI	43 Neutral	C$1.30B	-37.13	-15.90%	―	―	-104.52%
LA	39 Underperform	C$269.66M	78.68	4.21%	―	―	-41.70%

Taseko Mines Corporate Events

Taseko Mines Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Advances Florence Copper Project

Taseko Mines reported improved financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with an Adjusted EBITDA of $62 million and revenues of $174 million from copper and molybdenum sales. Gibraltar Mine saw significant improvements in copper production and recovery rates, while the Florence Copper project reached key milestones, with the SX/EW plant nearing commissioning and first copper cathode production expected early next year. The company’s financial position was bolstered by a $173 million equity financing, allowing for debt repayment and accelerated wellfield drilling at Florence Copper, positioning Taseko favorably amidst strong copper market fundamentals.