tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Teck Resources (TSE:TECK.B)
TSX:TECK.B

Teck Resources (TECK.B) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
554 Followers

Top Page

TS

Teck Resources

(TSX:TECK.B)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$56.00
▼(-1.06%Downside)
Teck Resources has shown strong operational performance and financial resilience, with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet. However, liquidity concerns due to negative free cash flows and high valuation metrics limit the overall score. The positive earnings call further supports confidence in ongoing profitability improvements.
Positive Factors
Copper Growth
Higher volumes and relatively high prices in copper are expected to lead to strong financial results.
Earnings
Teck Resources reported significantly better-than-expected performance due to operational improvements and good performance at key assets.
Shareholder Returns
Teck Resources has a strong organic growth pipeline and meaningful shareholder returns, supporting the Buy rating and $55 target.
Negative Factors
Guidance Risks
There is a heightened risk of an eventual cut to QB2 guidance, which could remain a near-term overhang.
Production Delays
Production was negatively impacted by extended maintenance outages, challenging weather, and a nationwide power outage, leading to delays in the required lifts for the development of the Tailings Management Facility.
Production Guidance
Teck has lowered its 2025 production guidance for several key operations, including QB, HVC, Carmen, and Red Dog.

Teck Resources (TECK.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Teck Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeck Resources Limited (TECK.B) is a diversified natural resources company headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. It is engaged in mining and mineral development with operations and projects in Canada, the United States, Chile, and Peru. The company primarily produces steelmaking coal, copper, and zinc, and it also has investments in energy assets. Teck Resources is committed to responsible mining practices and sustainable resource development.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeck Resources generates revenue through the extraction, production, and sale of natural resources, primarily focusing on steelmaking coal, copper, and zinc. The company's revenue model involves mining these raw materials from its various operations and selling them to industrial customers worldwide. Steelmaking coal, used in the production of steel, remains a significant contributor to its earnings. Copper, essential for electrical applications and infrastructure, and zinc, used for galvanization and other industrial purposes, also form substantial parts of its revenue streams. Teck Resources' earnings are influenced by commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures in certain projects, which can enhance its production capacity and market reach.

Teck Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Teck Resources reported strong financial performance with increased EBITDA and successful project milestones, indicating resilience and effective operational strategies. However, challenges such as production impacts at QB, geopolitical risks, and a safety incident at Antamina present ongoing challenges. The company maintains a strong balance sheet and continues to return value to shareholders.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $927 million, driven by higher commodity prices and increased copper sales volumes.
Strong Operational Performance
Key operations such as Highland Valley, Carmen de Andacollo, and Trail saw strong profit due to successful initiatives to improve profitability and cash flow generation.
Completion of QB Project Finance Testing
QB successfully achieved completion testing requirements under the $2.5 billion USD project finance facility, providing confidence in ramp-up to steady state by year-end.
Increased Copper Production and Improved Margins
Copper production increased by 7% to 106,000 tons, with a net cash unit cost improvement of 32 cents US per pound to $2.04 US per pound.
Robust Balance Sheet
The company maintained a strong balance sheet with a net cash position of $764 million and liquidity of $10 billion.
Return of Cash to Shareholders
$568 million returned to shareholders year-to-date through share buybacks and dividends.
Negative Updates
Production Challenges at QB
QB production was impacted by extended shutdowns, a nationwide power outage, and challenging weather, impacting the rate of material movement for tailings lifts.
Geopolitical Risks and Trade Challenges
Potential impact from tariffs and retaliatory trade measures, particularly affecting sales of Red Dog concentrate to China, representing less than 20% of zinc and lead concentrate sales.
Fatality at Antamina
A fatality occurred at Antamina, where Teck holds a non-operating interest, highlighting ongoing safety challenges.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Teck Resources Limited reported significant improvements in profitability, driven by higher commodity prices and increased sales volumes. Their adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $927 million, while copper production increased by 7% and copper sales volumes rose by 11% compared to the previous year. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with a net cash position of $764 million and liquidity of $10 billion. Teck continued to return cash to shareholders, with $568 million distributed year-to-date through dividends and share buybacks. The company also achieved significant milestones, including completion testing requirements for the $2.5 billion QB project finance facility, despite facing operational challenges such as a nationwide power outage in Chile. Teck's annual guidance remains unchanged, with expectations for copper production to grow to between 490,000 and 565,000 tons for the full year.

Teck Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Teck Resources demonstrates mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, there are concerns about profitability margins and negative free cash flow, indicating potential liquidity issues. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, providing financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Teck Resources shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 22.37%, a net profit margin of 3.67%, and an EBIT margin of 9.48%. These margins suggest moderate profitability. However, the revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is a robust 30.23%, highlighting significant revenue expansion after a downturn in 2024. The EBITDA margin at 30.62% is strong, indicating efficient operations despite the challenges faced. While the revenue trajectory is positive, net income fluctuations and declining margins from earlier years present a concern for profitability stability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Teck Resources is relatively strong. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.38, reflecting a conservative use of leverage. The TTM return on equity is 1.68%, indicating modest returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is 56.28%, suggesting a strong reliance on equity financing and a solid financial foundation. The stability in equity position and manageable debt levels are positives, though ROE could be improved for better shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Teck Resources' cash flow performance is mixed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 4.38, showcasing strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in maintaining free cash flow after capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate from 2024 to TTM is concerning at -643.23%, pointing to significant cash flow difficulties. The robust operating cash flow is a positive, but negative free cash flows highlight potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.81B9.06B15.01B17.32B13.48B8.95B
Gross Profit2.64B1.61B5.14B8.57B5.08B1.33B
EBITDA3.62B1.78B6.15B8.44B6.37B648.00M
Net Income433.00M406.00M2.41B3.32B2.87B-944.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.89B47.04B56.19B52.36B47.37B41.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.21B7.59B744.00M1.88B1.43B450.00M
Total Debt9.93B9.96B11.09B10.02B9.33B7.88B
Total Liabilities18.93B19.94B27.90B25.85B23.59B20.57B
Stockholders Equity25.82B26.08B26.99B25.47B23.00B20.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-842.00M155.00M-1.70B2.52B25.00M-2.06B
Operating Cash Flow1.90B2.79B4.08B7.98B4.74B1.56B
Investing Cash Flow7.04B6.17B-4.76B-5.68B-4.82B-3.67B
Financing Cash Flow-4.43B-2.56B-469.00M-1.99B1.06B1.53B

Teck Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price56.60
Price Trends
50DMA
50.67
Positive
100DMA
53.26
Positive
200DMA
58.62
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.94
Negative
RSI
63.13
Neutral
STOCH
78.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TECK.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 56.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 52.62, above the 50-day MA of 50.67, and below the 200-day MA of 58.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TECK.B.

Teck Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (43)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAFM
77
Outperform
C$1.04B7.2229.84%14.29%76.60%107.92%
TSALS
70
Outperform
C$1.25B12.2419.46%1.83%-16.14%1038.04%
TSIVN
69
Neutral
$13.75B23.559.67%137.28%
68
Neutral
C$27.67B78.531.40%1.21%-22.39%-77.05%
65
Neutral
$27.67B77.871.32%1.21%-22.39%-77.05%
TSSKE
52
Neutral
C$2.38B-137.38%-19.29%
43
Neutral
AU$1.38B-6.10-40.62%4.25%-4.78%-43.21%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TECK.B
Teck Resources
55.55
-9.71
-14.87%
TSE:IVN
Ivanhoe Mines
10.19
-7.56
-42.59%
TSE:TECK.A
Teck Resources
56.02
-9.20
-14.11%
TSE:AFM
Alphamin Resources
0.82
-0.22
-21.15%
TSE:SKE
Skeena Resources
20.77
13.16
172.93%
TSE:ALS
Altius Minerals
27.03
6.29
30.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025