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Ivanhoe Mines (TSE:IVN)
TSX:IVN

Ivanhoe Mines (IVN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IVN

Ivanhoe Mines

(TSX:IVN)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$16.50
▼(-1.32% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow generation and mixed operating profitability despite strong revenue growth and a manageable balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, but near-term momentum looks stretched. Valuation is a notable risk due to the high P/E, while the latest earnings call was cautiously constructive on liquidity and project milestones despite ongoing operational and cost headwinds.

Ivanhoe Mines (IVN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Ivanhoe Mines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIvanhoe Mines Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and recovery of minerals and precious metals located primarily in Africa. It explores for platinum, palladium, nickel, copper, gold, rhodium, zinc, silver, germanium, and lead deposits. The company's projects include the Platreef project located in the Northern Limb of South Africa's Bushveld Complex; the Kipushi project located in Haut-Katanga Province, Democratic Republic of Congo; and the Kamoa-Kakula project located within the Central African Copperbelt. It also holds a 100% interest in the Western Foreland exploration project covering an area of approximately 2,407 square kilometers located in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company has a strategic partnership agreement with China Nonferrous Metal Mining (Group) Co., Ltd. to examine exploration, development, and acquisition of mineral projects, as well as production, smelting, and logistics opportunities in Africa. Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. was formerly known as Ivanplats Limited and changed its name to Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. in August 2013. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyIvanhoe Mines generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of minerals and metals from its mining operations. The Kamoa-Kakula project, one of the world's largest copper discoveries, is a significant contributor to the company's revenue due to its large-scale production capacity and high-grade copper deposits. The company sells its extracted metals to various industrial clients and commodity markets globally. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other mining companies and stakeholders, such as Zijin Mining Group and CITIC Metal, provide financial support and shared expertise, further enhancing Ivanhoe Mines' operational efficiency and market reach. These partnerships often lead to joint ventures, reducing financial risk and optimizing resource utilization, thereby contributing significantly to the company's earnings.

Ivanhoe Mines Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements such as the Qatar Investment Authority investment, successful dewatering at Kamoa-Kakula, and record zinc production at Kipushi. However, these were balanced by challenges including lower production and increased costs at Kamoa-Kakula, ongoing impacts from a seismic event, and power supply issues. The sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as recovery plans and new projects are underway.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Qatar Investment Authority Investment
Ivanhoe Mines secured a $500 million equity investment from the Qatar Investment Authority, strengthening their institutional shareholder base.
First Ore Fed to Platreef Concentrator
The first ore was successfully fed to the concentrator at the Platreef project, marking a significant milestone in the largest precious metals development.
Successful Dewatering and Recovery at Kamoa-Kakula
Significant progress in dewatering efforts at Kamoa-Kakula, with expectations to return to copper production of over 550,000 tonnes in the future.
Record Zinc Production at Kipushi
Kipushi achieved record quarterly revenue of $129 million with almost 50,000 tonnes of payable zinc sold.
Completion of Kipushi Debottlenecking Program
The debottlenecking program at Kipushi was completed ahead of schedule and under budget, positioning the mine as the third largest zinc producer globally.
Launch of Kamoa-Kakula Smelter
The smelter project at Kamoa-Kakula is on track to be heated up in November and start feeding first concentrate in December, reducing logistics costs and generating acid credits.
Negative Updates
Lower Production at Kamoa-Kakula
Lower ore grades and production levels at Kamoa-Kakula impacted quarterly EBITDA, resulting in a margin of 35%.
Increased Cash Costs at Kamoa-Kakula
Cash costs for the third quarter were higher at $2.62 per pound of payable copper due to lower production and lower grade feed.
Seismic Event Impact on Kamoa-Kakula
The recovery from a seismic event in May 2025 continues to affect operations, though significant progress has been made in rehabilitation.
Challenges in Power Supply
The Inga turbine project was completed, but the power supply network remains fragile, requiring further upgrades to ensure stability.
Company Guidance
During the Ivanhoe Mines Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and updates were provided. The company reported a quarterly revenue of $566 million from Kamoa-Kakula at a realized copper price of $4.42 per pound, with EBITDA recorded at $196 million, indicating a 35% margin. The mine sold nearly 62,000 tonnes of payable copper, while the contained copper in concentrate inventory increased to 59,000 tonnes. Kipushi achieved a record revenue of $129 million, contributing $27 million to Ivanhoe's EBITDA. Ivanhoe Mines holds a strong liquidity position with $1 billion cash on hand, bolstered by a $500 million equity investment from Qatar Investment Authority. The company is on track to meet production and cash cost guidance at both Kipushi and Kamoa-Kakula, with expected improvements as recovery progresses. Additionally, the Platreef project commenced ore feeding to its concentrator, marking a significant milestone. Ivanhoe is planning to release updated life-of-mine plans in early 2026 and anticipates copper production at Kamoa-Kakula to exceed 550,000 tonnes in the future.

Ivanhoe Mines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ivanhoe Mines displays promising revenue growth and improved profitability in recent periods, indicative of strong operational performance. The company maintains a robust balance sheet with low debt levels and high equity, enhancing financial resilience. However, cash flow challenges persist, with negative free cash flow and cash conversion issues, requiring careful management to sustain growth.
Income Statement
Ivanhoe Mines has shown a significant increase in revenue in the TTM period, with a Gross Profit Margin of 21.63% and a Net Profit Margin of 359.31%. The company has achieved substantial growth in EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting improved operational efficiency. However, the historical lack of revenue before 2024 is a concern for long-term stability.
Balance Sheet
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.22 indicates low leverage, suggesting financial stability. With an Equity Ratio of 77.69%, Ivanhoe Mines maintains a strong equity base, supporting its financial health. However, the Return on Equity (ROE) for TTM is 8.26%, indicating moderate returns relative to equity.
Cash Flow
Ivanhoe Mines has a negative Free Cash Flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations after capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, suggesting that the company is not converting profit into cash efficiently. Despite this, strong financing cash flows provide liquidity support.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue392.82M40.82M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-10.28M-8.64M0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA12.83M-124.00M-93.74M-85.48M-102.02M-86.55M
Net Income318.68M228.13M318.93M410.86M55.24M-19.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.30B5.74B5.00B3.97B3.22B2.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47B102.08M560.27M597.45M608.18M263.13M
Total Debt1.62B369.19M953.98M741.88M490.63M50.89M
Total Liabilities2.46B901.91M1.42B1.13B841.21M80.61M
Stockholders Equity8.07B4.99B3.70B2.93B2.49B2.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-564.13M-644.14M-509.46M18.43M-59.69M-102.46M
Operating Cash Flow-187.76M-152.43M-31.57M177.09M-7.09M-60.47M
Investing Cash Flow-473.19M-495.40M-477.00M-173.63M-208.58M-380.31M
Financing Cash Flow1.71B206.95M500.27M-9.69M561.97M1.13M

Ivanhoe Mines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.72
Price Trends
50DMA
14.18
Positive
100DMA
13.88
Positive
200DMA
12.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.66
Negative
RSI
65.26
Neutral
STOCH
58.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.24, above the 50-day MA of 14.18, and above the 200-day MA of 12.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IVN.

Ivanhoe Mines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$33.68B28.444.88%0.78%-29.29%178.41%
65
Neutral
C$33.68B28.504.99%0.78%-29.29%178.41%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
C$23.04B52.405.71%97.71%
55
Neutral
C$2.98B-133.10-2.00%-103.83%
53
Neutral
C$4.31B-35.41-131.76%44.04%
53
Neutral
$6.13B-55.04-122.57%-122.31%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IVN
Ivanhoe Mines
16.72
0.03
0.18%
TSE:TECK.B
Teck Resources
70.15
9.66
15.96%
TSE:FOM
Foran Mining
5.67
1.68
42.11%
TSE:SKE
Skeena Resources
36.73
22.81
163.86%
TSE:TECK.A
Teck Resources
70.14
9.47
15.61%
TSE:NGEX
NGEx Minerals
29.78
15.42
107.42%

Ivanhoe Mines Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ivanhoe Mines Advances Platreef Ramp-Up and Secures Funding for Major Expansion
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Ivanhoe Mines reports that ramp-up of the Phase 1 concentrator at its Platreef Mine in South Africa is progressing according to plan following first concentrate production and an initial sale, with underground development advancing on multiple levels ahead of a major increase in hoisting capacity. Shaft #3 remains on schedule to be ready for hoisting in April 2026, which will lift total hoisting capacity from 0.8 million tonnes to about 5 million tonnes per year and support a Phase 2 expansion expected to boost annual production to roughly 450,000 ounces of platinum, palladium, rhodium and gold within 24 months. The company has secured a US$700 million senior project finance facility to fund Phase 2, as the Platreef metals basket now exceeds US$2,500 per ounce, supported by record copper and recovering nickel prices, and is underpinned by a very large, thick Flatreef orebody hosting tens of millions of ounces of precious metals that management believes will enable long-life, mechanized, lower-cost operations and may justify accelerating a potential third phase of expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ivanhoe Mines Starts First Anode Production at Africa’s Largest Copper Smelter
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

Ivanhoe Mines has produced the first copper anodes from its new 500,000-tonne-per-year direct-to-blister smelter at the Kamoa-Kakula complex in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, marking the start of ramp-up toward making it Africa’s largest copper smelter. The on-site facility, backed by a $1.1 billion investment and extensive commissioning work, will allow Kamoa-Kakula to process most of its own concentrate, reduce stockpiles and lift 2026 copper sales by around 20,000 tonnes above production, enabling the company to capture value from near-record copper prices; at the same time, dewatering at Kakula Mine Stage Two has been completed ahead of schedule and selective mining has resumed, while a major uninterruptible power system and large solar-plus-storage project aim to bolster reliability and sustainability of operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Hold with a C$16.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ivanhoe Mines Sets Ambitious Copper Production Targets for 2026 and 2027
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines has announced its copper production guidance for the Kamoa-Kakula complex for 2026 and 2027, with expected outputs ranging from 380,000 to 420,000 tonnes and 500,000 to 540,000 tonnes, respectively. The company is making significant progress in its recovery and dewatering efforts at the Kakula Mine, which is expected to enhance production rates and improve copper grades. The establishment of the Kamoa-Kakula Copper Smelter will transition the complex from producing copper concentrate to copper anodes, positioning it as a major player in the global copper market. This transformation is anticipated to have a lasting impact on the company’s operations and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ivanhoe Mines Launches Africa’s Largest Copper Smelter
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines has commenced the heat-up of Africa’s largest and greenest copper smelter at its Kamoa-Kakula site, marking a significant milestone for the company and the Congolese mining industry. The smelter, which is expected to begin processing concentrate by the end of the year, represents a transformative step in sustainable copper production, with implications for the local community and the broader African continent.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Ivanhoe Mines Announces Key Leadership Changes to Drive Future Growth
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines has announced key leadership changes, with Mark Farren transitioning to a Strategic Advisor role and Tom van den Berg being appointed as the new Chief Operating Officer. These changes are part of Ivanhoe’s strategic plan to enhance operational capabilities and support its next phase of growth, including the expansion of the Platreef Project and development of the Western Forelands. Additionally, Nick Popovic joins as a Strategic Advisor, bringing extensive industry experience, while Xianwen Wu replaces Manfu Ma on the board, signaling continued collaboration with CITIC Metal Group. These appointments are expected to strengthen Ivanhoe’s operational and strategic positioning in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ivanhoe Mines Completes Hydropower Ramp-Up at Inga II
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines has successfully completed the ramp-up of the 178-megawatt Turbine #5 at the Inga II hydroelectric facility, providing an initial 50 megawatts of clean power to the Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex. This power delivery is expected to increase to 100 megawatts by the first quarter of 2026 and 150 megawatts by 2027 as grid improvements are completed. This development marks a significant milestone in Ivanhoe’s partnership with the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s state utility, SNEL, in refurbishing renewable energy capacity, enhancing the company’s sustainable energy strategy and reducing reliance on non-renewable power sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Ivanhoe Mines and Qatar Investment Authority Forge Strategic Alliance for Critical Minerals Exploration
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines and the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) have signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to collaborate on the exploration, development, and mining of critical minerals essential for global energy transition and advanced technologies. This agreement, following QIA’s recent $500 million investment in Ivanhoe Mines, aims to leverage QIA’s extensive network to support Ivanhoe’s growth projects, including the Western Forelands exploration in the DRC, and to explore future partnerships in mining projects across various development phases. The collaboration may involve strategic M&A, infrastructure development, and downstream processing of critical minerals, enhancing Ivanhoe Mines’ industry positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ivanhoe Mines Celebrates Opening of Platreef Mine in South Africa
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines announced the official opening of the Platreef Mine in Mokopane, South Africa, by President Cyril Ramaphosa. The mine, which is expected to be the largest for precious metals on the African continent, marks a significant milestone for the company and the local community, with substantial local employment and ownership. The event highlighted the mine’s potential to contribute to the region’s economic development and the importance of sustainable practices, as evidenced by the opening of the Masodi Wastewater Treatment Works.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Ivanhoe Mines to Inaugurate World’s Largest Undeveloped Precious Metals Mine in South Africa
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines is set to inaugurate the Platreef Mine, a significant milestone for the company and South Africa’s mining industry. The mine, which is the world’s largest undeveloped precious metals mine, is expected to contribute significantly to South Africa’s industrial growth and economic potential. The opening coincides with major international events, highlighting South Africa’s role in the global economy. Ivanhoe Mines aims to expand the Platreef Mine into one of the world’s largest producers of platinum, palladium, rhodium, gold, nickel, and copper.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ivanhoe Mines Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Project Milestones
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

Ivanhoe Mines reported a Q3 2025 profit of $31 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $87 million, with significant contributions from the Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex. The company is advancing several key projects, including the completion of Stage Two dewatering at Kakula Mine, the startup of Africa’s largest copper smelter, and the commissioning of a 178-megawatt turbine at Inga II. Additionally, the Platreef Mine has begun processing ore, and Kipushi has achieved record zinc production. These developments position Ivanhoe Mines as a major player in the production of critical metals, with plans to significantly increase copper production and expand its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IVN) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ivanhoe Mines stock, see the TSE:IVN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025