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NXT Energy Solutn J (TSE:SFD)
TSX:SFD
Canadian Market

NXT Energy Solutn (SFD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SFD

NXT Energy Solutn

(TSX:SFD)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.30
▼(-16.39% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by ongoing net losses and persistent negative operating/free cash flow despite improved revenue and operating margins. Technicals also remain weak with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation offers limited support because earnings are negative and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Proprietary SFD technology
Ownership of a proprietary, non-invasive SFD® exploration technology creates a durable competitive advantage. It supports recurring project revenue, reduces client exploration costs, and can be licensed or deployed internationally, helping sustain differentiated demand across cycles.
Strong recent revenue and margin rebound
A sharp TTM revenue rebound with high gross and EBITDA margins indicates the business can scale revenue while preserving unit economics. Sustained margin levels suggest pricing power and operational leverage that could turn this technology-led model profitable if top-line momentum endures.
Moderate leverage and positive equity
Current debt near 0.29x equity and restored positive equity reduce immediate solvency stress versus prior periods. Moderate leverage supports continued investment in commercial deployments or partnerships without acute funding pressure, improving financial flexibility over months.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flow across multiple periods is a durable constraint: the business is not yet self-funding, increasing reliance on external financing. This elevates execution and dilution risk if positive cash generation isn’t achieved within months.
Net losses and earnings volatility
Despite improved top-line and operating margins, persistent net losses and historical large negative margins signal volatile profitability. This undermines retained-earnings buildup and raises the risk that temporary improvements may reverse without consistent, sustained net profitability.
Small scale and concentrated exposure
Very small headcount and concentrated exposure to oil and gas exploration limit commercial reach, delivery capacity, and diversification. Scale constraints raise execution risk for larger contracts and make revenue and cashflow more sensitive to a few clients or cyclical industry shifts.

NXT Energy Solutn (SFD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

NXT Energy Solutn Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNXT Energy Solutions Inc., a technology company, provides services to the oil and gas industry through its proprietary stress field detection (SFD) technology worldwide. Its SFD technology, a remote sensing airborne survey system utilizes quantum-scale sensors to detect gravity field perturbations in an airborne survey method which can be used onshore and offshore to remotely identify traps and reservoirs with hydrocarbon and geothermal exploration potential. The company was formerly known as Energy Exploration Technologies Inc. and changed its name to NXT Energy Solutions Inc. in September 2008. NXT Energy Solutions Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNXT Energy Solutions generates revenue primarily through the provision of its SFD® technology and related services to energy companies engaged in oil and gas exploration. The company earns fees for conducting surveys and analyses that help clients identify potential drilling locations, significantly reducing the risk and costs associated with exploration. Key revenue streams include project contracts with exploration and production companies, consulting services, and technology licensing agreements. Additionally, significant partnerships with major energy firms and collaborations in various regions contribute to the company's earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing its service offerings.

NXT Energy Solutn Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 27, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected both positive developments, such as revenue generation from the Turkish SFD Survey and strategic alliances, as well as challenges including ongoing net losses, negative working capital, and lower than expected margins. Improvements in G&A expenses and working capital suggest cost management is improving, but there are concerns regarding the company's public image and ability to capture growth opportunities. The sentiment leans towards balanced given the mix of progress and challenges.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Turkish SFD Survey Revenue
Recorded SFD-related revenues of approximately $2.15 million for work completed up to December 31, 2023.
Improvement in Net Working Capital
Net working capital improved to negative $1.86 million from approximately negative $3.47 million at September 30, 2023.
Strategic Partnership and Awards
Announced a strategic alliance with Synergy E&P Technologies Ltd. and was a finalist for Best Exploration Technology at the World Oil 2023 Gulf Energy Excellence Awards.
Reduced G&A Expenses
G&A expenses decreased by $316,000 or 8% in 2023 compared to 2022 due to reductions in salaries, professional fees, and business development costs.
Negative Updates
Negative Working Capital
Ended the quarter with negative working capital of $1.86 million despite improvement from previous quarter.
Net Loss
Recorded a net loss of approximately $0.43 million or $0.01 per share for the quarter, and a net loss of $5.45 million or $0.07 per share year-to-date.
Lower Margins
Gross margin on the Turkish contract was lower than expected compared to previous years, attributed to lower volume and fixed costs.
Outdated Public Facing Materials
Concern expressed over outdated company branding and marketing materials, which may impact perception and business development.
Company Guidance
During the NXT Energy Solutions Q4 2023 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and forward-looking statements. Revenue from the Turkish SFD survey was approximately $2.15 million for work completed by December 31, 2023, while cash stood at $0.4 million and net working capital was a negative $1.86 million, improving from a negative $3.47 million in the previous quarter. NXT recorded a net loss of approximately $0.43 million, or $0.01 per share, with 78 million weighted average common shares outstanding, a slight improvement from the previous year's loss of $1.47 million. General and administrative expenses decreased by 5% in the quarter compared to 2022. The company also highlighted its strategic initiatives for 2024, including a focus on diversifying its client base and geographic reach, improving cost efficiency, and enhancing shareholder value through increased revenues.

NXT Energy Solutn Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NXT Energy Solutions is facing severe financial challenges, with declining revenues, persistent losses, insolvency, and liquidity issues. The income statement shows a significant decline in revenue, negative profit margins, and operating inefficiencies. The balance sheet indicates high leverage and negative equity, while the cash flow statement highlights ongoing liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue over the past few years, from $11.98 million in 2019 to $644,294 in 2024. Gross profit margins have been negative, indicating that the company is unable to cover its cost of goods sold. Net profit margins are also deeply negative, reflecting substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are both negative, indicating operating inefficiencies. Overall, the income statement reflects poor financial performance with declining revenues and persistent losses.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity of $262,664 in 2024, indicating the company is insolvent. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity. The equity ratio has deteriorated from 87% in 2019 to negative in 2024, signifying financial instability and increased reliance on debt. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial distress and a weak capital structure.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash flow from operations has been consistently negative, showing the company is unable to generate positive cash flow from its core operations. Free cash flow is also negative, further indicating liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is skewed due to negative figures, reflecting the company's inability to convert its losses into cash flow. Overall, the cash flow statement portrays significant liquidity challenges and cash burn.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.25M644.29K2.15M0.003.13M136.57K
Gross Profit7.34M-3.26M-1.86M-1.77M133.60K-2.74M
EBITDA4.24M-6.44M-3.53M-4.93M-1.31M-4.25M
Net Income-3.88M-9.08M-5.45M-6.77M-3.12M-6.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.06M14.03M15.18M15.58M21.58M24.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments946.38K730.39K401.71K263.44K2.81M3.03M
Total Debt3.58M12.19M4.78M2.18M2.90M2.09M
Total Liabilities5.56M14.29M6.64M3.48M3.43M3.26M
Stockholders Equity12.50M-262.66K8.55M12.09M18.16M20.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-752.18K-4.00M-4.86M-2.93M-1.10M-3.45M
Operating Cash Flow-662.74K-3.98M-4.83M-2.93M-1.03M-3.45M
Investing Cash Flow-21.03K-27.03K-32.32K550.00K-274.05K3.44M
Financing Cash Flow740.16K4.31M5.01M389.22K875.43K-173.62K

NXT Energy Solutn Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.36
Price Trends
50DMA
0.33
Negative
100DMA
0.46
Negative
200DMA
0.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.95
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SFD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.32, above the 50-day MA of 0.33, and below the 200-day MA of 0.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:SFD.

NXT Energy Solutn Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
C$181.70M8.19123.45%14.94%44.44%110.60%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
C$499.45M21.423.20%-8.13%-28.00%
64
Neutral
C$102.39M28.185.09%-7.13%-60.41%
64
Neutral
C$3.74B40.4015.90%0.43%50.38%25.63%
49
Neutral
C$11.17M-51.48-0.80%-75.46%-100.66%
44
Neutral
C$39.49M-5.72-51.99%418.77%56.71%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SFD
NXT Energy Solutn
0.33
0.14
73.68%
TSE:CFW
Calfrac Well Services
4.94
1.02
26.02%
TSE:E
Enterprise
1.35
-0.83
-38.07%
TSE:PSD
Pulse Seismic
3.59
1.51
72.85%
TSE:TVK
TerraVest
163.29
41.33
33.89%
TSE:HWO
High Arctic Energy Services
0.87
-0.24
-21.62%

NXT Energy Solutn Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
NXT Energy Solutions Secures Full Ownership of SFD Technology, Expanding Future Applications
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

NXT Energy Solutions has acquired all remaining rights to its proprietary SFD technology from the heir of company founder and former CEO George Liszicasz, giving the firm full ownership of the system across all current and future applications. Previously limited to hydrocarbon and geothermal uses, NXT can now apply SFD to a broader range of geophysical targets, including mineral systems and other strategic subsurface resources, potentially opening new markets while maintaining its primary focus on the energy industry; the transaction was conducted on arm’s-length terms, and the seller remains a significant shareholder, signaling continued alignment with the company’s long-term strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SFD) stock is a Hold with a C$0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NXT Energy Solutn stock, see the TSE:SFD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
MCAPM Increases Stake in NXT Energy Solutions with New Share Acquisition
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

MCAPM, LP has increased its stake in NXT Energy Solutions Inc. by acquiring 7,050,500 common shares through a non-brokered private placement, raising its ownership to approximately 32.30% of the company. This acquisition, valued at CAD$2,820,200, signals MCAPM’s investment interest in NXT, potentially influencing the company’s strategic direction and market positioning in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SFD) stock is a Sell with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NXT Energy Solutn stock, see the TSE:SFD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
NXT Energy Secures $2M Investment to Expand SFD® Technology in Canada
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

NXT Energy Solutions Inc. has secured a US$2 million strategic investment from Mork Capital to advance its SFD® technology in Western Canada. This investment enhances the company’s financial flexibility, enabling broader application of its technology and potentially unlocking shareholder value from its extensive data library. The appointment of Eugene Woychyshyn as President & CFO is expected to strengthen leadership as the company evaluates strategic pathways with Baycrest Energy Ltd. Mork Capital’s increased stake to 32.3% reflects confidence in NXT’s growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SFD) stock is a Sell with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NXT Energy Solutn stock, see the TSE:SFD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NXT Energy Solutions Reports Strong Revenue Growth in 2025
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

NXT Energy Solutions reported a significant increase in revenue for the first nine months of 2025, reaching $14.21 million compared to $0.60 million in 2024, driven by successful projects in Africa and Southeast Asia. Despite a net loss of $1.08 million due to a non-cash accounting charge, the company’s operational performance improved, with a potential profit of $4.75 million excluding the charge, highlighting a positive commercial trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SFD) stock is a Sell with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NXT Energy Solutn stock, see the TSE:SFD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026