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Secure Energy Services (TSE:SES)
:SES

Secure Energy Services (SES) AI Stock Analysis

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Secure Energy Services

(TSX:SES)

75Outperform
Secure Energy Services shows a strong financial performance with robust revenue and cash flow growth, further supported by strategic initiatives and shareholder returns. Its valuation is attractive, though technical indicators suggest short-term challenges. High debt levels and macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks but are offset by positive earnings and corporate events, leading to an overall favorable investment outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Secure delivered solid Q4/24 results, capping an impressive year for the company.
Future Guidance
SES reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, with adjusted EBITDA set between $510-540 million, which is up 7-13% year-over-year.
Share Buybacks
SES' strategy of aggressive share buybacks is expected to continue through 2025.
Negative Factors
Market Comparison
SES continues to demonstrate many similar qualities with its Waste Management/Midstream peer group, and its outperformance should be rewarded by way of additional multiple expansion in the years to come.

Secure Energy Services (SES) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Secure Energy Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSecure Energy Services (SES) is a leading integrated energy services company operating primarily in Canada and the United States. The company specializes in providing midstream infrastructure and environmental and fluid management services to the oil and gas industry. SES offers a diverse range of solutions, including processing, recovering, and disposal of waste by-products generated throughout the lifecycle of oil and gas projects, as well as providing innovative midstream services such as pipeline transportation and oil recovery.
How the Company Makes MoneySecure Energy Services generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source of income is its midstream infrastructure services, which involve the transportation, processing, and storage of crude oil and natural gas. The company earns fees from oil producers for the use of its pipelines and facilities. Additionally, SES provides environmental and fluid management services, which include the treatment and disposal of waste fluids and solids, generating revenue from service fees charged to its clients. Key factors contributing to SES's earnings include its strategic location of facilities near significant oil and gas production areas, long-term contracts with major energy companies, and its ability to offer comprehensive solutions that enhance operational efficiencies for its clients.

Secure Energy Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Secure Energy Services exhibits solid financial health across all verticals, with improvements in revenue, profitability, and cash flow generation. Despite high debt levels posing a potential risk, the company maintains strong operational and financial management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Secure Energy Services demonstrates a robust recovery in revenue growth with a significant increase from previous years, notably from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin has improved, and net profit margin has turned positive, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. Strong EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight profitability improvements. However, the gross profit margin is still relatively low compared to industry standards, suggesting room for further cost management enhancements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio, suggesting a strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating effective debt management. Return on equity has turned positive and indicates a good return for shareholders compared to previous years' negative returns. However, the company's total debt remains substantial, which could pose a risk in fluctuating economic conditions.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth rate and an impressive operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showcasing the company's ability to convert net income into free cash flow. Continued positive cash flows from operations strengthen the company's liquidity position.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.67B8.24B8.00B3.77B1.82B
Gross Profit
422.00M512.00M493.00M-60.00M-2.57M
EBIT
268.00M353.00M324.00M-210.00M-68.54M
EBITDA
931.00M542.00M527.00M-40.00M60.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
582.00M195.00M184.00M-204.00M-87.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
26.00M12.00M12.00M10.00M6.78M
Total Assets
2.28B2.84B2.84B2.94B1.42B
Total Debt
454.00M1.10B1.03B1.32B434.38M
Net Debt
428.00M1.09B1.02B1.31B427.59M
Total Liabilities
1.24B1.66B1.57B1.83B711.08M
Stockholders Equity
1.04B1.19B1.27B1.11B683.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
363.00M227.00M315.00M31.00M77.38M
Operating Cash Flow
497.00M430.00M411.00M74.00M148.72M
Investing Cash Flow
954.00M-155.00M-58.00M-43.00M-60.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.44B-272.00M-346.00M-26.00M-89.32M

Secure Energy Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.64
Price Trends
50DMA
13.98
Negative
100DMA
14.74
Negative
200DMA
13.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Negative
RSI
51.98
Neutral
STOCH
72.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SES, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.92, below the 50-day MA of 13.98, and below the 200-day MA of 13.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:SES.

Secure Energy Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCEU
76
Outperform
$1.40B7.6026.23%2.09%8.79%31.76%
TSTCW
75
Outperform
$785.51M7.6121.89%4.39%0.84%-1.74%
TSSES
75
Outperform
C$3.15B5.9752.24%2.93%28.30%227.26%
TSPSI
72
Outperform
C$919.81M7.5826.63%4.49%12.14%26.17%
64
Neutral
$4.28B11.805.33%250.46%4.10%-9.26%
59
Neutral
C$283.21M151.150.49%0.98%-96.29%
TSHWO
54
Neutral
C$10.16M0.352.07%24.72%-59.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SES
Secure Energy Services
13.64
2.56
23.10%
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
6.25
0.61
10.76%
TSE:HWO
High Arctic Energy Services
0.80
-1.66
-67.48%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
4.17
0.14
3.60%
TSE:PSI
Pason Systems
11.58
-3.36
-22.49%
TSE:STEP
STEP Energy Services
3.93
-0.10
-2.48%

Secure Energy Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong start to 2025 with several strategic initiatives and solid financial performance. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and specific challenges such as extreme weather and commodity price declines tempered the overall positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. reported a solid start to 2025 with high-quality earnings and stable cash flow, driven by recurring waste volumes. Adjusted EBITDA was $121 million, representing a 33% EBITDA margin.
Share Buyback and Capital Return Strategy
SECURE repurchased 5.3 million common shares for $79 million and launched a $200 million Substantial Issuer Bid in April. The company is on track to return nearly $400 million to shareholders in 2025.
Increased Organic Growth Capital Program
The 2025 organic growth capital program was increased to $125 million, supported by a 10-year commercial agreement with a senior Montney producer. Key projects include two new greenfield water disposal facilities in Alberta.
Phase 3 Expansion of Clearwater Terminal
Completed the Phase 3 expansion of the Clearwater terminal, increasing capacities to 75,000 barrels per day and adding treating capabilities for truck and emulsion volumes.
Acquisition of Edmonton-based Metal Recycling Business
Closed the acquisition of an Edmonton-based Metal Recycling business for $162 million, strengthening processing capabilities and improving logistics through investment in railcars.
Negative Updates
Impact of Extreme Cold Weather
Extreme cold weather in February temporarily softened activity levels, impacting processing volumes.
Cautious Stance Due to Macroeconomic Volatility
Ongoing macroeconomic volatility, including uncertainties surrounding tariffs and recessionary concerns, contributed to a weaker economic outlook.
Decline in Commodity Prices
Recent declines in commodity prices have added to the uncertainty for customers, impacting their business outlooks.
Decision Not to Proceed with Metal Recycling Acquisition
SECURE decided not to proceed with an $18 million acquisition in the Metal Recycling business due to due diligence outcomes.
Company Guidance
In the Q1 2025 conference call, SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. maintained its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $510 million to $540 million, despite macroeconomic uncertainties and a recent decline in commodity prices. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $121 million for the quarter, with a 33% EBITDA margin. SECURE executed a share buyback strategy, repurchasing 5.3 million shares for $79 million and launching a $200 million Substantial Issuer Bid. The company increased its 2025 organic growth capital program to $125 million, supported by new 10-year commercial agreements, and highlighted key projects such as new water disposal facilities in Alberta. SECURE closed a significant acquisition in the metals recycling sector for $162 million and maintains a leverage ratio below its target range, showing financial strength and strategic growth focus.

Secure Energy Services Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Secure Waste Infrastructure Corp. Announces Successful Shareholder Meeting Outcomes
Positive
May 3, 2025

Secure Waste Infrastructure Corp. announced the successful election of all proposed directors at its 2025 Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders, along with the reappointment of KPMG LLP as independent auditors. The meeting also saw the approval of the Corporation’s Omnibus Incentive Plan and its approach to executive compensation. These developments are expected to strengthen Secure’s governance and operational strategies, further solidifying its position in the waste management and energy infrastructure sectors.

Spark’s Take on TSE:SES Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:SES is a Outperform.

Secure Energy Services demonstrates robust financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, bolstered by a strong valuation. While technical indicators suggest short-term market challenges, the company’s strategic investments and shareholder return programs support a positive investment outlook. However, caution is advised due to high debt levels.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:SES stock, click here.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Expands Growth Initiatives
Positive
May 2, 2025

SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. reported strong financial results for Q1 2025, achieving an adjusted EBITDA of $121 million and maintaining its guidance for the year. The company is increasing its growth capital program to $125 million, supported by a new water disposal infrastructure project. SECURE is also focusing on strategic growth through share buybacks and the integration of its newly acquired metals recycling business, aiming to enhance its infrastructure footprint and deliver sustainable growth.

Spark’s Take on TSE:SES Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:SES is a Outperform.

Secure Energy Services shows strong fundamentals with solid financial performance, a robust valuation, and strategic corporate events enhancing shareholder value. However, technical indicators point to short-term market challenges, and high debt levels could pose risks. Overall, the stock presents a compelling investment case with some caution advised due to market conditions.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:SES stock, click here.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Secure Energy Services Obtains Exemptive Relief for Substantial Issuer Bid
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Secure Energy Services has announced that it has obtained exemptive relief from the Alberta Securities Commission in connection with its substantial issuer bid. This relief pertains to certain extension, proportionate take-up, and related disclosure requirements. The company has engaged Scotia Capital Inc. as a financial advisor and Odyssey Trust Company as a depositary for the offer. This move is expected to streamline the issuer bid process and potentially enhance shareholder value, reflecting SECURE’s strategic efforts to optimize its financial operations.

Spark’s Take on TSE:SES Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:SES is a Outperform.

Secure Energy Services demonstrates strong financial performance and a solid valuation, making it an attractive investment opportunity. The company’s strategic initiatives and shareholder return programs further bolster its appeal. However, technical analysis indicates potential short-term challenges, and high debt levels present a risk, slightly tempering the overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:SES stock, click here.

Stock Buyback
Secure Energy Services Announces $200 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Secure Energy Services announced a substantial issuer bid to purchase up to $200 million of its outstanding common shares, representing approximately 5.97% to 7.22% of the total shares, depending on the final purchase price. This move, conducted via a modified Dutch auction, aims to optimize the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, pending necessary regulatory approvals.

Spark’s Take on TSE:SES Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:SES is a Outperform.

Secure Energy Services demonstrates solid financial performance and appears undervalued, with ample liquidity and strategic growth initiatives. While technical indicators are mixed, the company’s robust operational management and strong shareholder returns support a positive outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:SES stock, click here.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
SECURE Announces Quarterly Dividend and Upcoming Financial Results
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. has announced a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per common share, payable on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of April 1, 2025. Additionally, the company will release its first quarter financial and operating results for 2025 on May 2, 2025, followed by a conference call to discuss the results. This announcement reflects SECURE’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and transparency in its financial operations.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. Reports Robust 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Growth
Positive
Feb 21, 2025

SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. reported strong financial results for 2024, including an Adjusted EBITDA of $490 million, and returned $761 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The company has made strategic investments in growth projects and acquisitions, such as a metals recycling business, to strengthen its infrastructure network, and has adopted a new name reflecting its core operations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.