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Royal Bank Of Canada (TSE:RY)
TSX:RY

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) AI Stock Analysis

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Royal Bank Of Canada

(TSX:RY)

81Outperform
Royal Bank of Canada demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth. Strong earnings results and successful integration of HSBC Canada boost confidence, although increased credit provisions and potential geopolitical risks need monitoring. The stock's fair valuation and attractive dividend yield further support a positive outlook, despite some technical indicators suggesting caution.
Positive Factors
Market Position
The bank is well-positioned to benefit from an anticipated rebound in market-related activities through its Wealth Management and Capital Markets businesses.
Operating Leverage
Royal Bank Of Canada showed strong operating leverage driven by revenue growth.
Return on Equity
Royal Bank Of Canada achieved a strong return on equity of approximately 17%.
Negative Factors
Commercial Banking PCLs
RY experienced significantly higher commercial banking PCLs, partially driven by a group of HSBC’s larger, more economically sensitive clients.
Credit Costs
Total bank PCLs of $1,050M were higher than expected, indicating increased credit costs.
Credit Losses
Provisions for credit losses were higher than expected, reflecting higher impaired provisions across all segments.

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Royal Bank Of Canada Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoyal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. The company's Personal & Commercial Banking segment offers checking and savings accounts, home equity financing, personal lending, private banking, indirect lending, including auto financing, mutual funds and self-directed brokerage accounts, guaranteed investment certificates, credit cards, and payment products and solutions; and lending, leasing, deposit, investment, foreign exchange, cash management, auto dealer financing, trade products, and services to small and medium-sized commercial businesses. This segment offers financial products and services through branches, automated teller machines, and mobile sales network. Its Wealth Management segment provides a suite of advice-based solutions and strategies to high net worth and ultra-high net worth individuals, and institutional clients. The company's Insurance segment offers life, health, home, auto, travel, wealth, annuities, and reinsurance advice and solutions; and business insurance services to individual, business, and group clients through its advice centers, RBC insurance stores, and mobile advisors; digital, mobile, and social platforms; independent brokers; and travel partners. Its Investor & Treasury Services segment provides asset servicing, custody, payments, and treasury services to financial and other investors; and fund and investment administration, shareholder, private capital, performance measurement and compliance monitoring, distribution, transaction banking, cash and liquidity management, foreign exchange, and global securities finance services. The company's Capital Markets segment offers corporate and investment banking, as well as equity and debt origination, distribution, advisory services, sale, and trading services for corporations, institutional investors, asset managers, private equity firms, and governments. The company was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoyal Bank of Canada generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is net interest income, which is earned from the difference between the interest received on loans and mortgages and the interest paid on deposits. Additionally, RBC earns significant revenue from non-interest income sources such as fees and commissions from wealth management services, investment banking, and capital markets activities. The company also generates income from insurance premiums and related services. RBC's diverse business model is supported by strategic partnerships and a broad geographic presence, enabling it to leverage market opportunities and drive sustained growth. Furthermore, the bank invests in digital transformation and innovation to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency, contributing to its revenue generation.

Royal Bank Of Canada Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Royal Bank of Canada showcases a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, and robust cash flow generation. Despite moderate leverage, the bank remains well within industry norms and demonstrates a commendable return on equity.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Royal Bank of Canada demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, evident from a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase to $60.45B from $57.49B in the previous year. The bank maintains robust profitability metrics, including a high gross profit margin of 100% and a solid net profit margin of approximately 29.4%. Although there was a slight decline in EBIT margin to 30.8% in TTM, the EBITDA margin remains healthy at 34.6%. These metrics indicate a highly efficient and profitable operation with well-managed expenses.
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Royal Bank of Canada is robust, showcasing a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 6.1%, reflecting a healthy level of equity relative to total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 3.7, indicating moderate leverage which is typical in the banking industry. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 13.3%, suggesting effective use of equity capital to generate profits. The bank's balance sheet is solidly positioned, although the leverage could be a risk factor if not well-managed.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The cash flow situation for Royal Bank of Canada is excellent, with a significant operating cash flow of $59.89B in TTM, highlighting strong cash-generating capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive at 175% year-over-year, demonstrating substantial improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 3.37, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 3.23, indicating effective conversion of income into cash. This strong cash flow performance supports the bank's ability to invest in growth and manage debt obligations comfortably.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
60.45B57.49B53.66B48.77B49.54B47.10B
Gross Profit
60.45B57.49B56.26B48.77B49.54B47.10B
EBIT
18.60B24.30B27.18B38.15B20.62B14.38B
EBITDA
20.91B27.28B21.45B22.63B23.06B16.92B
Net Income Common Stockholders
17.78B16.23B14.86B15.79B16.04B11.43B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
403.81B167.13B212.00B240.60B231.03B297.64B
Total Assets
2.19T2.17T2.00T1.92T1.71T1.62T
Total Debt
492.66B474.20B439.35B425.18B305.05B9.87B
Net Debt
373.54B351.46B306.28B244.77B111.56B-148.03B
Total Liabilities
2.06T2.04T1.89T1.81T1.61T1.54T
Stockholders Equity
133.17B127.09B117.66B108.06B98.67B86.66B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
57.41B20.86B23.35B19.44B58.86B136.19B
Operating Cash Flow
59.88B23.14B26.08B21.94B61.04B138.82B
Investing Cash Flow
-53.16B-20.89B-28.27B-57.05B-57.35B-39.56B
Financing Cash Flow
-35.97B-8.15B-9.83B-2.19B-5.93B-7.75B

Royal Bank Of Canada Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price166.00
Price Trends
50DMA
168.78
Negative
100DMA
170.65
Negative
200DMA
162.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.80
Negative
RSI
51.85
Neutral
STOCH
87.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 166 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 164.16, below the 50-day MA of 168.78, and above the 200-day MA of 162.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RY.

Royal Bank Of Canada Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSRY
81
Outperform
$234.48B13.2414.39%3.64%11.51%14.79%
BMBMO
77
Outperform
$70.49B12.5410.01%4.65%15.63%66.95%
64
Neutral
$14.46B10.128.75%4.25%17.00%-11.86%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
166.00
35.74
27.43%
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
97.47
6.26
6.86%
BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
48.34
0.95
2.00%
CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
57.58
9.63
20.08%
TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
60.53
3.92
6.92%
NTIOF
National Bank of Canada
83.53
2.15
2.64%

Royal Bank Of Canada Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.16% | Next Earnings Date: May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
RBC reported a strong start to fiscal 2025 with record earnings and growth driven by successful integration of HSBC Canada and robust performance across divisions. However, increased credit provisions, challenges in Commercial Banking, and geopolitical risks pose concerns.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
RBC reported first quarter earnings of $5.1 billion, with adjusted earnings of $5.3 billion, up 29% year-over-year. The return on equity was recorded at 16.8% with strong common equity tier 1 ratio of 13.2%. Net interest income increased by 26% this quarter.
Successful Integration of HSBC Canada
The acquisition of HSBC Canada contributed $267 million to adjusted earnings. RBC has achieved 70% of the targeted $740 million cost synergies, with an annualized run rate savings of over $500 million.
Strong Performance in Capital Markets
Capital Markets reported record pre-provision pre-tax earnings of $1.7 billion, with Global Markets revenue exceeding $2 billion. Corporate Investment Banking was up 24% from last year.
Wealth Management Achievements
Wealth Management revenue surpassed $5.5 billion, generating nearly $1 billion in net income. Assets under management increased 23% year-over-year, surpassing $700 billion for the first time.
Positive Operating Leverage
RBC generated operating leverage of 13% or 8% on an adjusted basis. The bank reported robust adjusted all-bank operating leverage of 7.7%.
Lowlights
Increased Credit Provisions
Impaired loans increased, driven by a significant account in the Capital Markets portfolio. Provisions on impaired loans rose to 39 basis points, with a $1.5 billion new formation in Capital Markets.
Challenges in Commercial Banking
Commercial Banking loan growth may moderate due to clients delaying investments amidst tariff-driven uncertainty. The HSBC Canada portfolio is driving a disproportionate share of Commercial Banking PCL on impaired loans.
Impact of California Wildfires
RBC's provision for the California wildfires amounted to $45 million, impacting City National's performance.
Potential Tariff and Geopolitical Risks
Uncertainty around trade policy and geopolitics may moderate client activity, with risks of recessionary conditions if broad and sustained tariffs are imposed.
Company Guidance
During RBC's 2025 first-quarter earnings call, the company reported record earnings of $5.1 billion, with adjusted earnings of $5.3 billion, representing a 29% year-over-year increase. The return on equity stood at 16.8%, supported by a strong common equity tier 1 ratio of 13.2%. The bank achieved a gross internal capital generation of 76 basis points, contributing to a 13% growth in book value. Net interest income rose by 26%, driven by robust deposit growth in Personal Banking and loan growth in Commercial Banking, while fee-based revenue also saw significant growth across various segments. The acquisition of HSBC Canada significantly contributed to the results, with expected cost synergies of $740 million by early 2026. Operating leverage was reported at 13%, or 8% on an adjusted basis. Despite an increase in provisions for credit losses and impaired loans, RBC maintained its PCL guidance for the year. The bank anticipates ongoing economic uncertainty due to potential tariff impacts but remains confident in navigating these challenges given its diversified business model and strong capital position.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.