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Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce (TSE:CM)
TSX:CM

Canadian Bank of Commerce (CM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSCanadian Bank of Commerce
(TSX:CM)
76Outperform
CIBC demonstrates solid financial performance and attractive valuation metrics, supported by strong earnings growth and a robust capital position. However, technical indicators suggest lack of momentum, and economic uncertainties pose potential risks. Despite these challenges, the bank's strong fundamentals provide a stable investment outlook.
Positive Factors
Capital Markets
The optimistic outlook for the Capital Markets segment includes a promising deal pipeline, suggesting continued strong performance.
Earnings
Operating EPS beat consensus expectations by approximately 10% to 12%, driven by record trading in Capital Markets and better revenue across other segments.
Negative Factors
Tariff Uncertainty
The target price for the stock was slightly lowered due to tariff uncertainty, despite consistent execution and delivery at the bank.

Canadian Bank of Commerce (CM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Canadian Bank of Commerce Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is a financial institution, which provides banking and wealth management services to personal, business, public sector, and institutional clients. It operates through the following segments: Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management, and Capital Markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyCIBC makes money through various revenue streams, primarily driven by its core banking operations. The bank earns interest income from loans and mortgages extended to individuals and businesses, as well as from investments in securities. Additionally, CIBC generates significant fee-based income through services such as wealth management, insurance products, and transaction fees. The capital markets division contributes to earnings through underwriting, advisory services, and trading activities. Partnerships with fintech companies and other financial institutions further enhance its product offerings and customer reach, while cost management strategies and technological investments help optimize operational efficiency and profitability.

Canadian Bank of Commerce Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Canadian Bank of Commerce exhibits solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. Income statement shows robust margins, though rising operational costs are a concern. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage, typical for the industry, with strong ROE. Cash flow is healthy, with high operating cash flow to net income ratio, but free cash flow volatility poses a risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The Canadian Bank of Commerce demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 4.1% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are robust at 100% and 28.5%, respectively, reflecting efficient cost management. However, there's a notable decline in EBIT margin from the previous periods, suggesting rising operational costs.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The bank maintains a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.55, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The equity ratio is at 5.67%, which is typical for the banking industry but could be improved. The return on equity shows a solid performance at 12.33%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a TTM figure significantly higher than net income, yielding a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.87. The free cash flow has shown significant growth of 182.2% over the previous year, although fluctuations in free cash flow over the years indicate potential volatility in cash generation capabilities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.57B25.53B21.31B21.76B19.96B18.67B
Gross Profit
26.57B25.53B23.29B21.76B19.96B18.67B
EBIT
8.36B11.19B9.56B17.49B8.30B4.89B
EBITDA
9.25B12.36B8.05B8.97B9.28B5.80B
Net Income Common Stockholders
7.56B7.12B5.00B6.22B6.43B3.79B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
128.96B93.25B80.52B92.72B88.15B117.07B
Total Assets
769.55B1.04T975.72B943.60B837.68B769.55B
Total Debt
45.86B208.49B194.50B187.45B164.17B45.86B
Net Debt
-16.66B152.46B131.33B114.13B94.90B-16.66B
Total Liabilities
728.22B982.98B922.51B893.22B791.85B728.22B
Stockholders Equity
41.15B58.73B52.98B50.18B45.65B41.15B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
28.21B10.00B11.14B21.61B-4.17B59.99B
Operating Cash Flow
29.29B11.09B12.15B22.71B-3.33B60.30B
Investing Cash Flow
-46.90B-20.75B-20.76B-24.39B-3.51B-19.41B
Financing Cash Flow
25.53B-2.61B-2.16B-1.61B-1.95B-1.22B

Canadian Bank of Commerce Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price83.10
Price Trends
50DMA
89.43
Negative
100DMA
89.00
Negative
200DMA
79.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.15
Positive
RSI
28.58
Positive
STOCH
29.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 83.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.41, below the 50-day MA of 89.43, and above the 200-day MA of 79.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.58 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CM.

Canadian Bank of Commerce Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BMBMO
77
Outperform
$73.41B12.9110.01%4.52%15.63%66.95%
TSCM
76
Outperform
$78.12B10.7612.33%4.46%10.79%18.20%
64
Neutral
$14.34B10.619.28%4.07%18.04%-9.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
83.49
20.28
32.09%
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
99.40
11.26
12.78%
BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
48.58
1.81
3.87%
RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
115.13
20.39
21.52%
TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
59.24
1.87
3.26%
NTIOF
National Bank of Canada
81.07
3.91
5.07%

Canadian Bank of Commerce Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.24% | Next Earnings Date: May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CIBC reported record-breaking revenue and growth across all business units, with strong capital and liquidity positions and positive operating leverage. However, the bank faces challenges due to economic and trade uncertainties, elevated expense growth, and increased provisions for credit losses.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
CIBC reported revenues of $7.3 billion, up 17% from the prior year, with record top-line results across all business units. Adjusted earnings per share were $2.20, up 22% from the prior year, and adjusted ROE was strong at 15.3%.
Strong Capital and Liquidity Position
CIBC grew its CET1 ratio to 13.5%, up from 13.3% last quarter, and repurchased 3.5 million common shares. The bank's liquidity coverage ratio remained robust at 132%.
Robust Performance Across Business Segments
Canadian Personal and Business Banking showed strong growth with mass affluent client base growing 4.5 times faster than the rest of the client base. North American Commercial Banking saw loans and deposits up 8% and 10% respectively in Canada.
Positive Operating Leverage and Efficiency
Achieved sixth consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage, with operating leverage at 190 basis points. Non-trading fee income was up 11% from the prior year.
Lowlights
Economic and Trade Uncertainty
Trade tensions between Canada and the United States have led to disruptions in some sectors, creating economic and political volatility, and uncertainty about potential new or increased tariffs.
Elevated Expense Growth
Expense growth was elevated from the low prior year quarter, partly due to legal provisions and foreign exchange translation, with expenses linked to strong revenues and employee-related costs.
Increase in Provisions for Credit Losses
Total provisions for credit losses were $573 million in Q1, up from $419 million last quarter, with an increase in performing credit provisions due to growing macroeconomic risks.
Company Guidance
In the CIBC Q1 2025 conference call, the bank reported impressive financial metrics, indicating strong performance across its business units. The bank achieved revenues of $7.3 billion, a 17% increase from the previous year, with adjusted earnings per share reaching a record high of $2.20, up 22% year-over-year. The adjusted return on equity (ROE) stood at a robust 15.3%. CIBC also enhanced its capital position by repurchasing 3.5 million common shares and increasing its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio to 13.5% from 13.3% the previous quarter. Non-trading fee income surged by 11%, while the bank's non-trading margins improved by 17 basis points. The bank maintained positive operating leverage for the sixth consecutive quarter and reported a total provision for credit losses of $573 million, reflecting a cautious approach amid macroeconomic uncertainties. CIBC's strategy continues to focus on growing its mass affluent and private wealth franchise, expanding digital banking capabilities, and enhancing connectivity with clients, contributing to its sustained strong performance and positioning for future growth.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.