Bank Of Nova Scotia (TSE:BNS)
TSX:BNS

Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) AI Stock Analysis

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Bank Of Nova Scotia

(TSX:BNS)

68Neutral
Scotiabank demonstrates strong fundamentals, with robust financial performance and a strategic focus on shareholder value through dividends and share buybacks. Despite these strengths, technical indicators suggest current bearish momentum, and heightened credit provisions and potential tariffs introduce risk. Overall, the stock offers a balanced mix of value and growth potential, tempered by macroeconomic uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Earnings
BNS reported adjusted cash EPS above consensus expectations, indicating strong earnings performance.
Financial Performance
Total revenue of $9,372M was up 11.1% year-over-year and beat expectations.
Global Banking & Markets
Global Banking and Markets segment outperformed with a 37% year-over-year increase in adjusted pre-tax pre-provision profit.
Negative Factors
Canadian Banking
Canadian Banking earnings were below estimates due to lower risk-adjusted margins and negative operating leverage.
Credit Risk
Higher provisions for credit losses in Canadian and International Banking indicate increased caution regarding credit risk.
International Banking
The bank's loan balance in International Banking declined by 2% year-over-year, indicating challenges in that segment.

Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Bank Of Nova Scotia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and day-to-day banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses, including automotive financing solutions to dealers and their customers. It also provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternative funds, and institutional funds. In addition, the company offers international banking services for retail, corporate, and commercial customers; and lending and transaction, investment banking advisory, and capital markets access services to corporate customers. Further, it provides online, mobile, and telephone banking services. The company operates a network of 954 branches and approximately 3,766 automated banking machines in Canada; and approximately 1,300 branches and a network of contact and support center internationally. The Bank of Nova Scotia was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyScotiabank generates revenue primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is earned from the various lending activities such as personal loans, mortgages, and commercial loans. Non-interest income comes from service charges, fees for wealth management and investment banking, as well as trading revenues. The bank also benefits from its international operations, particularly in Latin America and the Caribbean, which contribute to its diversified earnings. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a role in bolstering its service offerings and expanding its market reach, thereby enhancing its revenue streams.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall, the Bank of Nova Scotia maintains a robust financial position with strong revenue growth and stable cash flows. While profitability margins appear pressured, the bank's solid equity base and cash flow suggest resilience. However, high leverage remains a strategic focus area to mitigate potential financial risks in fluctuating market conditions.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The Bank of Nova Scotia has shown stable revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue for the TTM compared to previous years. However, the net profit margin has been fluctuating, and the EBIT margin for the TTM is lower compared to historical figures, indicating some operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects steady revenue growth but with potential profitability pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is characterized by strong equity, with a relatively stable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a solid foundation amidst high total assets. However, the total debt remains high, which could pose risks if economic conditions change unfavorably. The bank's strong equity position provides a cushion, but leveraging remains an area to watch.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The Bank of Nova Scotia demonstrates a strong cash flow position, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio and consistent operating cash flow. The free cash flow has grown, indicating efficient capital management. The discrepancy between operating cash flow and net income ratio suggests solid cash generation capabilities, which is a positive indicator of liquidity and financial health.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
44.76B33.62B31.79B31.15B30.91B31.29B
Gross Profit
44.76B33.62B31.79B31.15B30.91B31.29B
EBIT
2.10B0.008.69B28.12B12.49B8.32B
EBITDA
0.000.000.0014.20B14.00B9.70B
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.73B7.76B7.41B9.92B9.62B6.78B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
59.44B108.17B140.83B119.31B120.05B116.50B
Total Assets
526.66B1.41T1.41T1.35T1.18T1.14T
Total Debt
5.94B300.67B313.81B310.86B245.66B7.41B
Net Debt
-33.59B236.81B223.50B244.96B159.34B-69.06B
Total Liabilities
498.45B1.33T1.33T1.27T1.11T1.07T
Stockholders Equity
27.63B82.37B76.93B73.22B70.80B68.13B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
17.39B15.16B31.28B16.37B-13.27B55.89B
Operating Cash Flow
17.74B15.65B31.72B16.94B-12.81B56.66B
Investing Cash Flow
-11.51B-7.45B-30.04B-11.29B14.70B-56.46B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.89B-8.84B16.71B-4.58B-2.78B28.13B

Bank Of Nova Scotia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price66.54
Price Trends
50DMA
69.90
Negative
100DMA
72.42
Negative
200DMA
68.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.76
Negative
RSI
34.54
Neutral
STOCH
33.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BNS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 66.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.79, below the 50-day MA of 69.90, and below the 200-day MA of 68.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BNS.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BMBMO
77
Outperform
$69.30B12.4610.01%5.04%15.63%66.95%
TSBNS
68
Neutral
$84.92B13.468.34%6.59%3.72%-17.99%
63
Neutral
$12.86B9.179.14%4.78%16.41%-10.11%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
66.54
2.14
3.32%
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
89.21
-4.23
-4.53%
CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
56.66
8.78
18.34%
RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
110.91
11.52
11.59%
TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
57.04
0.51
0.90%
NTIOF
National Bank of Canada
79.65
-0.76
-0.95%

Bank Of Nova Scotia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.42% | Next Earnings Date: May 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong financial performance and strategic advancements, particularly in Global Wealth Management and Global Banking and Markets. However, it was tempered by elevated credit loss provisions, uncertainties due to potential tariffs, and challenges in Canadian Banking earnings. Despite these challenges, the overall tone was cautiously optimistic about managing through uncertainties and focusing on strategic growth.
Highlights
Strong Start to 2025 with Revenue Growth
Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $2.2 billion or $1.76 per share, with a 15% year-over-year growth in noninterest revenue. The bank's capital ratio improved by approximately 140 basis points since the end of 2022.
Global Wealth Management Momentum
Earnings were up 23% year-over-year, driven by higher mutual fund fees and wealth advisory revenues. Assets under administration reached record levels, exceeding $730 billion.
Global Banking and Markets Performance
Earnings were up 33% year-over-year, with capital markets revenue up 41%. The segment achieved a #1 rank in debt capital markets in Canada and #11 in the U.S.
International Banking Solid Results
Reported earnings of $657 million, with a productivity ratio improvement to 51% due to 4% revenue growth and disciplined 1% expense growth.
Strategic Investment in KeyCorp
The investment in KeyCorp is immediately accretive to earnings growth and return on equity metrics.
Lowlights
Elevated Provisions for Credit Losses
Provisions for credit losses remain high at approximately $1.2 billion, reflecting higher interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty.
Canadian Banking Earnings Decline
Earnings in Canadian Banking were down 6% year-over-year due to higher loan loss provisions and expenses.
Impact of Potential Tariffs
The announcement of potential tariffs has increased macroeconomic uncertainty, with the base case scenario including modest tariff risk.
Challenges in Primary Client Growth
Primary client growth in Canadian Retail has decelerated due to a notable immigration slowdown.
Company Guidance
In Scotiabank's 2025 first-quarter call, Scott Thomson, the CEO, highlighted strong financial outcomes driven by the bank's strategic initiatives. Scotiabank reported adjusted earnings of $2.2 billion, or $1.76 per share, with a notable 15% year-over-year increase in noninterest revenue. The bank's capital ratio improved by approximately 140 basis points since the end of 2022, with an additional $1.6 billion in allowances for credit losses. The bank also achieved a 4% year-over-year deposit growth, reducing its loan-to-deposit ratio to 105%. Global Wealth Management earned $414 million, with assets under administration reaching $730 billion. Global Banking and Markets experienced a 33% year-over-year increase, driven by a 54% contribution from capital markets. Scotiabank's Canadian Banking showed solid revenue growth, despite higher credit provisions, and International Banking demonstrated diversified revenue growth with a productivity ratio improvement to 51%. The bank anticipates 2025 earnings growth towards the higher end of its 5% to 7% range, excluding potential tariffs.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Scotiabank Reports Q1 Earnings Amid Strategic Portfolio Adjustments
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Scotiabank reported a significant drop in its first-quarter net income to $993 million, primarily due to a $1,355 million impairment loss from the sale of its banking operations in Colombia, Costa Rica, and Panama. Despite this, the bank’s adjusted net income rose to $2,362 million, with strong performances in Global Wealth Management and Global Banking and Markets. The bank continues to focus on its North American markets and simplifying its international portfolio, as evidenced by recent strategic moves.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Scotiabank Declares Dividend and Updates Share Purchase Plan
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Scotiabank has announced a dividend of $1.06 per share on its outstanding common shares, payable on April 28, 2025, to shareholders recorded by April 1, 2025. The bank has decided to continue purchasing common shares on the open market rather than issuing new shares from its treasury, with all associated costs covered by the bank. This decision reflects Scotiabank’s strategic approach to managing shareholder value and market operations.

Business Operations and Strategy
Scotiabank Revamps Business Segment Reporting for Improved Strategy Execution
Neutral
Jan 28, 2025

Scotiabank has updated its Supplementary Financial Information package, reflecting changes in business segment presentation effective as of November 1, 2024. These changes, which do not affect the bank’s consolidated financial results, are intended to align with its strategy and improve decision-making on pricing and capital allocation. The update affects the bank’s methodology for funds transfer pricing and the reporting of minority investments, aiming for higher liquidity ratios and better comparability across periods.

Scotiabank Transfers Operations to Davivienda, Secures Strategic Stake
Jan 6, 2025

Scotiabank has entered into an agreement with Davivienda, transferring its banking operations in Colombia, Costa Rica, and Panama in exchange for a 20% ownership stake in the combined entity. This move aligns with Scotiabank’s strategic plan to enhance profitability and operational efficiency in its non-core markets, while also allowing it to maintain a presence in these regions through a mutual referral agreement.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.