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Rivalry Corp (TSE:RVLY)
:RVLY

Rivalry Corp (RVLY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RVLY

Rivalry Corp

(RVLY)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.06
▲(0.00% Upside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial health (loss-making operations, negative operating cash flow, and negative equity/solvency concerns). Technical indicators are comparatively supportive, but valuation remains challenged due to ongoing losses and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained TTM revenue growth at +43% signals strong product-market fit and accelerating user engagement in esports betting. Durable top-line expansion improves scale economics, supports long-term investment in product and marketing, and increases odds of reaching operating leverage.
High Gross Margin
A high gross margin indicates favorable unit economics on bets and casino games, allowing the firm to fund customer acquisition and platform development without immediate profitability. This margin cushion supports sustainable reinvestment and resilience to variable cost pressures over months.
Strategic Partnerships & Market Position
Partnerships with esports orgs and developers strengthen distribution, content exclusivity, and brand affinity with younger cohorts. These ties create a competitive moat and network effects in a structurally growing esports betting market, bolstering durable user acquisition channels.
Negative Factors
Weak Balance Sheet / Negative Equity
Negative equity and elevated leverage signal solvency risk and constrained financial flexibility. Over the medium term this can limit the company's ability to raise capital on favorable terms, increase refinancing risk, and constrain investments necessary to scale the business sustainably.
Persistent Unprofitability
Ongoing negative profitability across net profit, EBIT and EBITDA margins shows core operations are not yet self-sustaining. Without margin improvement, the company will remain reliant on external funding, which risks dilution and hampers the transition to a consistently cash-generative model.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow highlights that reported growth is not yet translating into cash generation. This structural cash shortfall forces dependence on financing, raises liquidity risk, and limits the company’s capacity to invest in product, compliance, and marketing over the next several quarters.

Rivalry Corp (RVLY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rivalry Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRivalry Corp., through its subsidiary, Rivalry Limited, operates as a sport betting and sports media property that offers regulated online wagering on esports, traditional sports, and casino for bettors. It also offers Quest, an on-site engagement experience solution; and Rushlane, a casino game. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRivalry Corp generates revenue primarily through its online betting operations, where users place wagers on esports and traditional sports events. The company earns money by taking a percentage of the total bets placed, known as the 'vig' or 'juice.' Additionally, Rivalry offers casino games, which also contribute to its revenue through a similar model of taking a portion of the wagers. The company has established partnerships with various esports organizations and gaming developers to enhance its platform offerings and attract a larger user base. Furthermore, Rivalry may also generate revenue through promotional partnerships and sponsorships within the esports ecosystem, providing additional income streams outside of direct betting operations.

Rivalry Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 29, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in product offerings and operational efficiency, with record increases in net revenue per user and successful cost reductions. However, these achievements were tempered by a decrease in betting handle and a slight increase in net loss. The positive developments in the crypto segment and successful capital raise indicate a strong foundation for future growth.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Increase in Net Revenue Per User
Average net revenue per user hit all-time records, increasing by 51% compared to the 2024 year-to-date average and by 70% compared to the trailing 3-year average.
Successful Product Overhaul
Completed the largest product overhaul in Rivalry's history, including a revamped registration flow, sportsbook, new crypto-first cashier, redesigned casino offering, and a comprehensive VIP rewards program.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvements
Reduced operating expenses by approximately 50% and achieved a more robust and higher output organization with measurable output climbing over 200%.
Positive Developments in Crypto Segment
Rivalry's native crypto token, NUTZ, generated $3 million in deferred revenue in Q3, signaling positive market reception among target audiences.
Successful Capital Raise
Closed the second tranche of a non-broker private placement, raising $3 million, strengthening the balance sheet and supporting the trajectory to profitability.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Betting Handle
Betting handle was $79.9 million in the third quarter, representing a 9% sequential decrease from quarter 2 of 2024, primarily due to a reduction in marketing expenses.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss of $5.8 million, representing a small increase of $0.2 million from quarter 3 of 2023.
Decline in 9-Month Net Revenue
The 9-month ended net revenue was $12.1 million, down 8% from the comparable period in 2023, attributed to a reduction in marketing spend.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Rivalry Corp (RVLY.V), significant guidance was provided on the company's strategic realignment and financial performance. The executives highlighted a dramatic reduction in operating expenses by approximately 50% and a substantial organizational overhaul, including a 50% reduction in headcount. The company completed a major product overhaul within 90 days, featuring a revamped registration flow, sportsbook, and a new crypto-first cashier, which contributed to a 51% increase in average net revenue per user compared to the 2024 year-to-date average. Additionally, Rivalry's native crypto token, NUTZ, generated $3 million in deferred revenue during Q3. The company also reported a 9% sequential decrease in betting handle to $79.9 million and adjusted revenue of $6 million, including the deferred revenue from NUTZ. These efforts align with Rivalry's aim to capture crypto gambling market share and achieve near-term profitability.

Rivalry Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rivalry Corp is facing significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement shows declining revenues and persistent losses, while the balance sheet reveals high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the company's financial difficulties. The overall financial health of Rivalry Corp is concerning, with risks of insolvency if current trends continue.
Income Statement
Rivalry Corp's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a substantial decline in revenue, with a negative growth rate of -29.28% TTM. Profitability metrics are concerning, with negative net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins, indicating ongoing losses. The gross profit margin remains high at 100%, but this is overshadowed by the negative bottom-line figures. Overall, the income statement reflects a struggling financial performance with declining revenues and persistent losses.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Rivalry Corp shows financial instability. The company has negative stockholders' equity, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates that liabilities exceed assets, posing a risk to financial health. Return on equity is positive due to negative equity, but this is not a sign of strength. The equity ratio is also negative, further highlighting the company's precarious financial position. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high leverage and financial vulnerability.
Cash Flow
Rivalry Corp's cash flow statement indicates challenges in cash management. The company has negative operating and free cash flows, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -39.80% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and reported losses. Overall, the cash flow statement highlights cash management issues and ongoing financial strain.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.32M13.55M16.24M9.81M11.08M1.55M
Gross Profit7.32M13.55M16.24M9.81M2.19M690.31K
EBITDA-15.01M-20.02M-24.31M-30.90M-24.08M-6.59M
Net Income-17.02M-22.41M-23.80M-31.12M-24.30M-6.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47M4.09M15.08M18.06M40.46M7.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments530.17K1.57M10.54M12.19M35.45M620.16K
Total Debt16.46M12.22M10.23M484.99K139.20K320.64K
Total Liabilities23.68M20.88M13.15M3.36M1.47M814.62K
Stockholders Equity-21.21M-16.79M-1.11M14.70M38.98M6.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.05M-12.18M-21.55M-21.39M-10.93M-12.06M
Operating Cash Flow-6.02M-12.04M-21.48M-21.28M-10.87M-12.03M
Investing Cash Flow598.87K-3.01K-105.13K-606.22K-58.76K-25.96K
Financing Cash Flow3.21M3.20M20.64M-124.39K45.30M9.31M

Rivalry Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Negative
100DMA
0.05
Positive
200DMA
0.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
48.54
Neutral
STOCH
76.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RVLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and above the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:RVLY.

Rivalry Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
C$248.16M12.0218.14%5.06%1.01%6.68%
66
Neutral
C$555.16M19.658.11%1.03%6.01%-41.56%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
50
Neutral
C$5.37M-0.25-30.08%49.03%
46
Neutral
C$3.29M-1.76-25.05%-19.86%
43
Neutral
C$2.40M-1.27-113.59%8.58%61.56%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RVLY
Rivalry Corp
0.05
-0.15
-75.00%
TSE:GH
Gamehost
12.25
2.17
21.53%
TSE:PBL
Pollard Banknote
20.26
-4.90
-19.48%
TSE:CGII
CleanGo Innovations
0.45
0.10
28.57%
TSE:RV
Pathfinder Ventures Inc
0.05
-0.03
-37.50%

Rivalry Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rivalry Corp. Achieves Record Growth in Ontario Market
Positive
Dec 17, 2025

Rivalry Corp. has reported record-breaking growth in its key Ontario market in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by a surge in active players, deposits, and wagers after a recent capital restructuring and marketing ramp-up. This performance underscores Rivalry’s robust operational model and highlights Ontario’s increasing significance as a revenue driver, solidifying the company’s market foothold heading into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RVLY) stock is a Hold with a C$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rivalry Corp stock, see the TSE:RVLY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rivalry Corp Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Sustained Revenue Growth
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Rivalry Corp reported its Q3 2025 financial results, highlighting a third consecutive quarter of revenue growth and significant reductions in operating expenses and net loss. The company has completed a debt restructure and recapitalization, positioning itself for a stronger entry into 2026. Key achievements include a 19% sequential increase in net revenue, a 58% reduction in operating expenses, and a 67% improvement in net loss year-over-year. The Ontario market has shown substantial growth, contributing nearly 40% of the company’s net revenue. Rivalry’s strategic focus on high-value users and product enhancements has led to record player economics and improved key performance indicators, underscoring its strengthened market position and operational efficiency.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Rivalry Corp. Extends Private Placement Closing Date to Bolster Growth
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

Rivalry Corp. has announced an extension of the closing date for its non-brokered private placement by 30 days, with the final tranche expected to be completed by December 15, 2025. The proceeds from this private placement are intended for corporate development and general working capital, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on growth and operational stability. This move is significant for Rivalry’s stakeholders as it underscores the company’s commitment to enhancing its market position and financial health in the competitive esports and online gambling industry.

Private Placements and Financing
Rivalry Corp. Completes Second Tranche of Private Placement
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Rivalry Corp. announced the closure of the second tranche of its non-brokered private placement, raising C$1,380,000 through the issuance of 27,600,000 units. The funds will be used for corporate development and general working capital. The company plans additional closings and debt restructuring by October 24, 2025, which could impact its financial stability and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026