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Pollard Banknote (TSE:PBL)
TSX:PBL
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Pollard Banknote (PBL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PBL

Pollard Banknote

(TSX:PBL)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$24.00
▲(21.46% Upside)
Pollard Banknote's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and joint venture performance, tempered by financial risks from increased leverage and negative cash flow. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, while valuation is moderate. Earnings call insights highlight both achievements and challenges.

Pollard Banknote (PBL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pollard Banknote Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPollard Banknote Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells a range of gaming products and services for the lottery and charitable gaming industries worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Lotteries and Charitable Gaming, and eGaming Systems. It designs, manufactures, and distributes instant tickets, as well as offers related services. The company also offers a range of bingo and bingo-related products; manufactures and sells pull-tab tickets, as well as pull-tab ticket vending machines and pull-tab ticket counting machines. In addition, it provides licensed games; and various solutions for licensed games, such as ticket design and manufacturing, prize structure consultation, merchandise selection and fulfillment, publicity and promotional opportunities, and second chance draw management. Further, the company offers lottery ticket dispensers and point-of-sale displays; charitable gaming machines; and lottery management services and information systems, as well as warehouse and distribution services to lotteries. Additionally, it engages in the interactive digital games and website development; and internet-based gaming businesses. The company was formerly known as 7510101 Canada Limited. Pollard Banknote Limited was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada. Pollard Banknote Limited is a subsidiary of Pollard Equities Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyPollard Banknote generates revenue primarily through the sale of its lottery products, including instant tickets and pull-tabs. The company's revenue model is based on contracts with various lottery organizations, where it earns income through product sales as well as through ongoing service agreements. Key revenue streams include the production and distribution of printed lottery tickets, gaming technology solutions, and consulting services for game design and marketing. Significant partnerships with state and provincial lotteries contribute to its earnings, as PBL works closely with these organizations to develop tailored products that meet their specific needs. Additionally, PBL's commitment to innovation and technology integration helps it capture new business opportunities and expand its market reach.

Pollard Banknote Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Pollard Banknote Limited reported record revenues, successful integration of acquisitions, and strong performance from its joint venture. However, these positives were offset by a decline in gross profit, instant ticket sales volume, and net income, along with increased expenses and regulatory challenges in Minnesota. The overall sentiment of the call reflects a mix of significant achievements and notable challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Achieved
Pollard Banknote Limited reported record revenue of $288.9 million for the first six months of 2025 and a record combined revenue of $352.7 million.
Strong Performance of NeoPollard Interactive Joint Venture
The NeoPollard Interactive joint venture achieved record results in Q2 2025, with significant eInstant sales growth in Virginia and North Carolina.
Successful Integration of Acquisitions
The integration of Pacific Gaming and CJ Venne has gone well, leading to increased revenue synergies and a complete suite of products for the charitable gaming market.
Increase in Instant Ticket Selling Price
Higher average selling prices of instant tickets increased sales by $4.5 million compared to 2024 due to repriced contracts.
Positive Impact from Foreign Exchange
The weakening of the Canadian dollar compared to the U.S. dollar and euro resulted in an increase of approximately $3.5 million in sales.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Gross Profit
Gross profit decreased to $23.9 million (16.7% of sales) in Q2 2025 from $29.2 million (21.2% of sales) in Q2 2024 due to lower instant ticket margins, iLottery start-up costs, and decreased eTab sales.
Decline in Instant Ticket Sales Volume
Instant ticket sales volumes decreased by $9.2 million compared to 2024, primarily due to customer orders being pushed later in the year.
Impact of Regulatory Changes in Minnesota
Regulatory changes in Minnesota led to a reduction in eTab gameplay and gross gaming revenue across the entire market, affecting Pollard Banknote's offerings.
Increased Administrative and Selling Expenses
Administrative expenses increased by $1.1 million to $17.6 million in Q2 2025, and selling expenses increased by $0.8 million to $16.5 million.
Net Income Decline
Net income decreased to $8 million in Q2 2025 from $11.9 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to decreased gross profit and increased expenses.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Pollard Banknote Limited reported traditional GAAP sales of $142.7 million, up from $137.8 million in the same period last year, and combined sales including their NeoPollard joint venture reached $174.8 million, compared to $166 million in 2024. Despite a challenging environment with lower instant ticket contributions and startup costs from the Kansas iLottery operation, the company saw higher contributions from their NeoPollard joint venture and increased sales from printed charitable products and retail solutions. Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $29.2 million from $32.3 million in the second quarter of 2024, primarily due to decreased instant ticket volumes and margins, Kansas iLottery startup costs, and lower eTab sales margins in Minnesota. However, the NeoPollard Interactive joint venture achieved record results, driven by strong eInstant sales in Virginia and North Carolina. The company anticipates higher third-quarter volumes and continues to focus on improving instant ticket margins while exploring opportunities in the iLottery and charitable gaming sectors.

Pollard Banknote Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pollard Banknote shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with stable margins and effective equity utilization. However, increased leverage and negative free cash flow highlight potential financial risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Pollard Banknote shows strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 8.42%, indicating robust demand. The gross profit margin is stable around 18.8%, and the net profit margin has improved to 6.92% in TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to previous years, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.62 in TTM, indicating higher leverage but still within manageable levels. Return on equity has improved to 12.16%, showcasing effective use of equity. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Pollard Banknote's operating cash flow has decreased significantly in TTM, leading to a negative free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, suggesting operational profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue582.48M557.10M520.44M482.28M459.01M414.13M
Gross Profit103.55M104.72M86.58M81.82M91.10M91.05M
EBITDA113.43M106.66M93.05M71.46M71.65M82.45M
Net Income36.15M35.20M31.42M19.28M19.70M33.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets683.51M636.31M515.71M499.27M461.40M404.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.66M22.36M8.41M1.48M3.52M1.89M
Total Debt203.65M168.52M137.23M135.28M131.70M148.02M
Total Liabilities327.28M302.17M240.91M247.33M254.45M262.18M
Stockholders Equity356.23M334.13M274.80M251.93M206.96M142.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.38M19.92M26.53M-2.82M21.71M40.72M
Operating Cash Flow40.60M73.90M64.63M30.40M56.54M59.65M
Investing Cash Flow-90.59M-77.19M-52.09M-24.57M-60.59M-61.67M
Financing Cash Flow57.95M16.81M-10.94M-7.73M6.37M-3.94M

Pollard Banknote Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.76
Price Trends
50DMA
21.01
Negative
100DMA
21.28
Negative
200DMA
21.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Positive
RSI
32.51
Neutral
STOCH
6.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PBL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.36, below the 50-day MA of 21.01, and below the 200-day MA of 21.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PBL.

Pollard Banknote Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
C$545.68M15.1110.85%1.01%10.36%-4.77%
68
Neutral
C$1.61B9.309.36%9.72%-2.90%57.43%
66
Neutral
C$1.61B9.179.36%9.79%-2.90%57.43%
64
Neutral
$245.31M10.436.01%6.53%-3.50%-22.76%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
C$740.98M-4.10%1.95%-8.84%-148.15%
44
Neutral
C$579.45M-32.1420.23%-20.36%50.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PBL
Pollard Banknote
19.76
-3.67
-15.66%
TSE:XTC
Exco Technologies
6.43
-1.53
-19.22%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
10.28
-0.49
-4.51%
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
23.97
9.43
64.86%
TSE:TCL.A
Transcontinental
19.40
3.90
25.16%
TSE:TCL.B
Transcontinental Inc. Class B
19.47
5.23
36.73%

Pollard Banknote Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Pollard Banknote to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Pollard Banknote announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 12, 2025, followed by a conference call on November 13 to discuss the results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Buy with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Pollard Banknote Secures Major Contract with Belgium’s National Lottery
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

Pollard Banknote has secured a significant contract with the National Lottery of Belgium to deliver a next-generation omnichannel gaming platform. This 12-year agreement, valued at approximately €177 million, marks a strategic advancement for Pollard Banknote as it deploys its Catalyst™ Gaming Platform for the first time. This platform will enhance the Lottery’s operations across retail and online channels, reinforcing Pollard Banknote’s position as a leader in digital lottery innovation and strengthening its long-standing partnership with Loterie Nationale.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Buy with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Pollard Banknote Secures Primary Contract with California Lottery
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

Pollard Banknote has been awarded the primary contract to supply Scratchers® products and related services to the California Lottery, marking a significant expansion of their long-standing partnership. This contract, expected to start in December 2025, will see Pollard Banknote providing approximately 70% of the Lottery’s Scratchers games, enhancing the Lottery’s offerings with innovative solutions and supporting its mission to fund California public education.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Hold with a C$23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Pollard Banknote Secures Major Contract with Belgium’s Loterie Nationale
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

Pollard Banknote has been selected by Loterie Nationale of Belgium to provide a comprehensive gaming platform, following a competitive procurement process. The 12-year contract, valued at €177 million, will enhance Pollard Banknote’s presence in the digital gaming sector and expand its existing relationship with the Belgian lottery. This contract underscores Pollard Banknote’s strength in offering end-to-end gaming solutions and is expected to bolster its market position and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Hold with a C$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
NeoPollard Interactive Extends Partnership with North Carolina Education Lottery
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

NeoPollard Interactive, in partnership with the North Carolina Education Lottery, has extended its contract to provide online play systems and related services until 2028. This renewal includes the implementation of Aristocrat Interactive’s Fusion content aggregation platform to expand game offerings and enhance player support services, reflecting the success of their collaboration in driving significant revenue growth for education in North Carolina.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Hold with a C$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Pollard Banknote Unveils Innovations at European Lotteries Congress
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Pollard Banknote announced its participation in the 12th European Lotteries Congress and Trade Show in Bern, Switzerland, where it will showcase its innovative solutions aimed at enhancing player engagement and retail operations. The company will present new products such as Digital Menu Boards, HALO lighting solutions, and the easyVEND in-lane vending system, all designed to improve lottery visibility and market presence. Additionally, Pollard Banknote will highlight its digital innovations, including a growing portfolio of eInstant games and the Omnichannel Gaming Solution powered by the Pollard Catalyst™ Gaming Platform, which supports seamless integration and rapid deployment, underscoring its commitment to meeting the evolving needs of lotteries.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Hold with a C$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Pollard Banknote Unveils Cutting-Edge Lottery Innovations at NASPL 2025
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

Pollard Banknote showcased its latest innovations at the NASPL 2025 conference, emphasizing its commitment to transforming the lottery industry through innovative games, retail solutions, and digital advancements. The company introduced new products and services designed to boost player engagement and streamline operations, including a modular cloud-based logistics platform and an omnichannel iLottery solution. These innovations are expected to enhance Pollard Banknote’s market position and offer significant benefits to lottery operators by improving sales and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Hold with a C$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Pollard Banknote’s Earnings Call: Record Revenues Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Pollard Banknote’s recent earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment, showcasing a blend of significant achievements and notable challenges. The company reported record revenues and successful integration of acquisitions, alongside strong performance from its joint venture. However, these positives were tempered by a decline in gross profit, instant ticket sales volume, and net income, as well as increased expenses and regulatory hurdles in Minnesota.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Pollard Banknote Sees Revenue Growth Amid Strategic Expansions
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Pollard Banknote reported a 3.6% increase in revenue for the second quarter of 2025, reaching $142.7 million, despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA and income from operations compared to the previous year. The company completed the acquisition of Pacific Gaming, enhancing its electronic bingo offerings, and saw record profits from its NeoPollard Interactive joint venture. The timing of customer orders impacted margins, but the company anticipates higher ticket volumes and selling prices in the third quarter. Pollard continues to expand its eInstant game portfolio and iLottery operations, including a new partnership with a third-party game designer and a contract extension with the Arizona Lottery.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Buy with a C$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Pollard Banknote Declares Q3 2025 Dividend
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Pollard Banknote Limited has announced a cash dividend of $0.05 per Common Share for the third quarter of 2025, payable on October 15 to shareholders of record as of September 30. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may positively impact its market perception and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Buy with a C$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Pollard Banknote Sees Revenue Growth Amid Strategic Acquisitions and iLottery Expansion
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

Pollard Banknote reported a 3.6% increase in revenue for the second quarter of 2025, reaching $142.7 million, despite a decline in adjusted EBITDA and income from operations compared to the previous year. The company completed the acquisition of Pacific Gaming and saw significant growth in its iLottery profits, particularly through its NeoPollard Interactive joint venture. The timing of customer orders affected instant ticket volumes and margins, but Pollard anticipates higher ticket volumes and prices in the third quarter. The company continues to expand its eInstant game portfolio and has secured a contract extension with the Arizona Lottery, although some ancillary product contributions were lower than in 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Buy with a C$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Pollard Banknote Declares Cash Dividend for Q3 2025
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Pollard Banknote Limited announced a cash dividend of $0.05 per common share for the period from July 1, 2025, to September 30, 2025, with payment scheduled for October 15, 2025. This dividend declaration reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Buy with a C$32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Pollard Banknote Expands into UAE with New Gaming License
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Pollard Banknote has secured a license from the General Commercial Gaming Regulatory Authority to supply gaming-related goods and services in the United Arab Emirates. This development allows the company to expand its operations into the UAE, potentially increasing revenue and supporting charitable causes through its innovative lottery and gaming products.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBL) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pollard Banknote stock, see the TSE:PBL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025