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Rubicon Organics Inc (TSE:ROMJ)
:ROMJ

Rubicon Organics (ROMJ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ROMJ

Rubicon Organics

(ROMJ)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.51
▲(8.72% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/25/26
The score is driven primarily by improving operating performance and a strengthened balance sheet, tempered by weak current cash flow conversion (negative TTM operating and free cash flow) and only modest technical momentum. Valuation is a notable positive due to the very low P/E.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growth and scale
Sustained multi-year revenue growth to ~59.5M TTM indicates the company has scaled distribution and product acceptance. Greater scale supports fixed-cost absorption, stronger negotiating leverage with provincial channels, and a more durable base to invest in premium brands and operations.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Negative operating and free cash flow despite reported net income signals earnings quality and working-capital challenges. Persistent cash deficits raise funding risk, may force external financing or capex delays, and constrain ability to self-fund growth or weather inventory cycles over months ahead.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue growth and scale
Sustained multi-year revenue growth to ~59.5M TTM indicates the company has scaled distribution and product acceptance. Greater scale supports fixed-cost absorption, stronger negotiating leverage with provincial channels, and a more durable base to invest in premium brands and operations.
Read all positive factors

Rubicon Organics (ROMJ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Rubicon Organics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Rubicon Organics Inc. (ROMJ) is a Canadian cannabis company focused on the cultivation, production, and distribution of premium organic cannabis products. Operating in the legal cannabis sector, Rubicon Organics is dedicated to sustainable farming...
How the Company Makes Money
Rubicon Organics makes money primarily by selling regulated cannabis products into the Canadian adult-use (recreational) market. Its core revenue stream is wholesale and/or direct-to-board sales of packaged cannabis (notably dried flower, and othe...

Rubicon Organics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Rubicon Organics demonstrated strong performance in Q2 2025 with record-breaking revenue growth, improved gross margins, and positive cash flow. Strategic expansion and innovation in product offerings indicate a solid position for future growth. However, the company faces challenges with share erosion in topicals, licensing delays for a new facility, and inventory management.
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Rubicon Organics delivered a record net revenue of $15 million in Q2 2025, marking the highest ever for a single quarter, up 24% year-over-year and 21% sequentially.
Negative Updates
Share Erosion in Topicals
Experienced some share erosion in the topical category with competitors entering the market with more SKUs at lower price points.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Rubicon Organics delivered a record net revenue of $15 million in Q2 2025, marking the highest ever for a single quarter, up 24% year-over-year and 21% sequentially.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Rubicon Organics' Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported record net revenue of $15 million, marking a 24% increase year-over-year and a 21% sequential rise. Gross profit reached $5.9 million with a gross margin of 34%, up from 30% the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA was $1.4 million, contributing to a year-to-date total of $2.1 million. The company's growth was driven by its expanding 1964 brand, particularly in the pre-roll and vape segments, which saw a significant increase in SKUs and captured over 15% of the market. Rubicon also maintained a strong presence in premium edibles and topicals, holding the #1 position in premium edibles and #2 in topicals. The company completed a $4.5 million private placement and finalized the acquisition of its Hope facility to increase production capacity by 40%, positioning itself for further growth amid a global cannabis supply shortage. Rubicon closed the quarter with $7.3 million in cash and $18.7 million in working capital, supported by disciplined cost control and a prudent capital structure.

Rubicon Organics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and improving margins led to positive TTM net income, supported by a healthier, low-leverage balance sheet with sharply reduced debt. The main offset is weak cash conversion: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative despite profitability, and EBIT remains negative, raising sustainability and funding-risk concerns.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.45M48.70M40.12M35.52M22.61M
Gross Profit-6.79M15.42M13.14M13.81M1.51M
EBITDA-15.33M1.86M1.95M217.00K-10.87M
Net Income1.05M-2.56M-1.82M-3.86M-14.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.89M56.61M54.89M56.11M54.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.99M9.86M10.91M8.29M11.58M
Total Debt12.42M9.89M10.40M10.22M9.82M
Total Liabilities22.84M19.21M17.00M17.77M15.94M
Stockholders Equity44.06M37.40M37.89M38.33M38.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.04M1.85M2.32M-2.50M-15.94M
Operating Cash Flow-3.63M3.40M5.05M1.95M-10.44M
Investing Cash Flow-8.42M-1.55M-2.73M-4.45M-5.50M
Financing Cash Flow6.25M-1.77M-804.01K-838.56K15.30M

Rubicon Organics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.47
Price Trends
50DMA
0.47
Positive
100DMA
0.48
Positive
200DMA
0.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
55.43
Neutral
STOCH
60.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ROMJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.49, below the 50-day MA of 0.47, and below the 200-day MA of 0.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ROMJ.

Rubicon Organics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
C$34.93M29.797.78%28.55%
61
Neutral
C$8.44M8.9411.57%-1.14%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
C$29.96M-19.43-71.80%-3.94%-17.62%
46
Neutral
C$18.85M-5.08-68.32%2.41%74.61%
45
Neutral
C$27.35M-3.68-19.10%18.06%34.58%
45
Neutral
C$8.46M5.1915.64%58.47%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ROMJ
Rubicon Organics
0.52
-0.01
-1.89%
TSE:LABS
MediPharm Labs
0.07
-0.03
-31.58%
TSE:PCLO
PharmaCielo
0.06
>-0.01
-8.33%
TSE:OILS
Nextleaf Solutions
0.05
0.00
0.00%
TSE:AVCN
Avicanna
0.15
-0.10
-40.00%
TSE:INNO
InnoCan Pharma
6.66
-5.04
-43.08%

Rubicon Organics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Rubicon Organics Posts Record 2025 Results and Scales Up Premium Cannabis Capacity
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
Rubicon Organics reported record 2025 net revenue of $59.5 million, up 22% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA rising to $5.0 million and operations turning from a loss to a $1.8 million profit. The company strengthened its balance sheet with new...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rubicon Organics Delivers Record 2025 Results and Ramps Up Cascadia Facility
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
Rubicon Organics reported record 2025 net revenue of $59.5 million, up 22% from 2024, with gross profit before fair value adjustments rising 27% to $19.5 million and adjusted EBITDA reaching $5.0 million. The company generated $1.8 million in inco...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rubicon Organics Sets Date to Report Q4 2025 Results Amid Capacity Expansion
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
Rubicon Organics will release its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025 after markets close on March 23, 2026, followed by a conference call and webcast the next day to discuss its performance. The timing o...
Business Operations and Strategy
Rubicon Organics Boosts Premium Cannabis Output with Cascadia Facility Launch
Positive
Feb 19, 2026
Rubicon Organics has completed the first harvest at its new Cascadia facility in Hope, B.C., marking a key operational milestone in expanding its premium cannabis production base. The 47,500-square-foot indoor site is fully planted and is estimate...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Rubicon Organics Grants Over 2 Million Equity Awards to Staff Under Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 16, 2026
Rubicon Organics has awarded 1,002,773 restricted share units and 1,002,773 performance share units to selected executives and employees under its Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, with RSUs vesting over one to three years and PSUs vesting after thre...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 25, 2026