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PharmaCielo (TSE:PCLO)
:PCLO

PharmaCielo (PCLO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PCLO

PharmaCielo

(PCLO)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.07
▲(70.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, large losses, negative equity, high leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals also point to a weak trend with negative momentum signals. Valuation is the main offset, with a low P/E, but it is not enough to outweigh the financial and trend risks.
Positive Factors
Vertical integration / supply-chain position
PharmaCielo operates cultivation, processing and cannabinoid inputs production, a vertically integrated model that supports quality control, supply reliability and margin capture. Over months, integration helps secure medical/pharma contracts and reduces third-party input risk.
Positive gross margins at product level
A ~29% gross margin indicates product-level economics that cover variable costs and can support operating leverage if volumes recover. Durable product margin provides a foundation for eventual fixed-cost absorption and long-term profitability if revenue stabilizes or grows.
Improving cash-burn trend vs prior years
Management has materially reduced cash outflows versus peak years, showing progress in cost control and operational tightening. Sustained improvement in cash burn reduces near-term refinancing needs and increases runway if the trend continues over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and high leverage
Negative shareholders' equity and debt materially exceeding assets indicate a stressed balance sheet and elevated insolvency/refinancing risk. This structurally limits strategic flexibility, increases cost of capital, and can force dilutive financing or asset sales over months if not remediated.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Consistent negative OCF and FCF mean the business requires external funding to sustain operations and service debt. Over a multi-month horizon this constrains investment, raises refinancing risk, and can impair the company's ability to scale or pursue commercial contracts.
Declining revenue and deeply negative margins
Falling and volatile revenues combined with very negative EBIT and net margins indicate the current cost structure is not supported by sales. Structurally poor profitability over multiple quarters challenges sustainability and requires sustained revenue recovery or major cost reduction to reach breakeven.

PharmaCielo (PCLO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

PharmaCielo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPharmaCielo Ltd., together with its subsidiary, cultivates, processes, produces, and supplies medicinal-grade cannabis extracts, tetrahydrocannabinol, and related products. The company also offers telemedicine software. It serves health and wellness product manufacturers, pharmacies, medical clinics, and cosmetic companies in Canada and Colombia. The company has a strategic alliance with AssuredTrans Inc. PharmaCielo Ltd. is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

PharmaCielo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile remains high risk: TTM revenue declined 16.6% (~2.6M), profitability is deeply negative (EBIT margin ~-77%, net margin ~-174%), equity is significantly negative (~-15.4M), leverage is high (debt ~18.6M vs assets ~8.6M), and cash flow is still negative (OCF and FCF about -1.0M). While losses and cash burn improved versus prior years, the company is still far from breakeven with balance-sheet stress.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined 16.6% to ~2.6M, continuing a pattern of volatile sales. Profitability remains very weak: gross margin is positive (~29%) but operating results are deeply negative (EBIT margin ~-77%) and net losses are substantial (net margin ~-174%), indicating the cost structure is not supported by the current revenue base. While margins improved materially versus the extreme losses seen in 2020–2023, the business is still far from breakeven.
Balance Sheet
8
Very Negative
The balance sheet is stressed, with stockholders’ equity turning significantly negative in TTM (~-15.4M) versus positive equity in 2022, reflecting accumulated losses and/or balance sheet deterioration. Debt remains high (~18.6M TTM) relative to the asset base (~8.6M), limiting financial flexibility and raising refinancing/solvency risk. Leverage metrics are distorted by negative equity, but directionally they point to a highly leveraged capital structure.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash generation is still negative, with TTM operating cash flow of about -1.0M and free cash flow also about -1.0M, meaning the company continues to consume cash. The scale of cash burn has improved significantly versus prior years (e.g., much larger outflows in 2020–2022), but free cash flow growth is sharply negative in TTM, showing progress is not yet consistent. Cash flow is also not yet providing support for debt service or reinvestment without external funding.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Jun 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.61M3.48M1.54M5.31M1.94M
Gross Profit756.40K730.88K-1.37M827.06K-4.31M
EBITDA-1.00M-4.60M-12.19M-10.50M-24.84M
Net Income-4.55M-9.14M-16.30M-16.04M-26.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.56M18.39M22.29M25.12M35.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments289.24K147.94K62.18K325.98K5.63M
Total Debt18.65M20.52M18.31M12.59M8.43M
Total Liabilities23.92M25.91M23.97M18.72M16.63M
Stockholders Equity-15.35M-7.52M-1.68M6.39M19.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.02M-1.97M-5.17M-10.23M-21.21M
Operating Cash Flow-1.02M-1.97M-5.15M-9.71M-20.07M
Investing Cash Flow6.66M41.14K391.64K-725.49K-1.66M
Financing Cash Flow-5.52M2.02M4.63M5.30M18.21M

PharmaCielo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.08
Negative
100DMA
0.06
Positive
200DMA
0.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.69
Neutral
STOCH
82.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PCLO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.08, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PCLO.

PharmaCielo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
C$9.29M8.9411.57%-1.14%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
C$54.59M-2.71-19.76%26.91%81.01%
46
Neutral
C$21.99M-5.08-68.32%2.41%74.61%
46
Neutral
C$28.48M-6.72-71.80%-3.94%-17.62%
45
Neutral
C$27.35M-3.68-19.10%18.06%34.58%
44
Neutral
C$9.69M5.1915.64%58.47%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PCLO
PharmaCielo
0.07
<0.01
7.69%
TSE:ATLE
Willow Biosciences Inc
0.16
-0.01
-8.57%
TSE:LABS
MediPharm Labs
0.07
-0.02
-27.78%
TSE:OILS
Nextleaf Solutions
0.06
-0.02
-21.43%
TSE:AVCN
Avicanna
0.18
-0.20
-53.33%
TSE:INNO
InnoCan Pharma
6.24
-6.11
-49.47%

PharmaCielo Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
PharmaCielo Pays Debenture Interest in Shares Ahead of April AGM
Neutral
Mar 17, 2026

PharmaCielo Ltd., the Canadian parent of Colombia-based cannabis cultivator and producer PharmaCielo Colombia Holdings S.A.S., has issued 12,153,937 common shares at an effective price of $0.08 to satisfy $972,317.12 in semi-annual interest owed on its 11% secured debentures, following approval from the TSX Venture Exchange. The share-for-debt transaction, which includes issuances to related parties but falls below the threshold requiring a formal valuation or minority shareholder approval, helps preserve cash for operations as the company prepares for its April 2, 2026 annual general and special meeting in Toronto, where shareholders will address director elections, auditor appointments and other routine matters.

The move to pay debenture interest in shares rather than cash underscores PharmaCielo’s ongoing balance sheet management, potentially reducing near-term cash outflows while moderately diluting existing shareholders. The upcoming AGM provides a forum for investors to review the company’s governance and financial strategy as it operates within the competitive global medicinal and commercial cannabis supply market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PCLO) stock is a Sell with a C$0.06 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PharmaCielo stock, see the TSE:PCLO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
PharmaCielo Turns EBITDA Positive as It Refocuses on Higher-Margin Exports
Positive
Mar 2, 2026

PharmaCielo reported results for the quarter and nine months ended December 31, 2025, highlighting a swing to positive adjusted EBITDA of $293,000 from a loss of $2.3 million a year earlier, despite revenue declining to $1.8 million from $3.2 million. Management said the improvement reflects cost controls, organizational rightsizing and a strategic shift toward higher-margin export opportunities, while the company continues to post a net loss of $2.3 million or $0.01 per share.

Chairman and CEO Marc Lustig described the period as a turning point, noting that the company has rebuilt a foundation to pursue consistent export volumes, deeper relationships with strategic international partners and repeat purchase agreements to support more predictable revenue growth. PharmaCielo also set April 2, 2026, as the date for its next annual general and special meeting in Toronto, where shareholders will vote on directors, auditors and other routine corporate matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PCLO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PharmaCielo stock, see the TSE:PCLO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
PharmaCielo Sets AGM Date and Moves to Pay Debenture Interest in Shares
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026

PharmaCielo Ltd. has scheduled its annual general meeting of shareholders for April 2, 2026, with a record date of February 23, 2026 for investors entitled to receive notice and vote. Meeting materials will be made available to shareholders in line with applicable securities regulations.

The company also plans to issue 12,153,937 common shares at an effective price of $0.08 per share to satisfy $972,317.12 in accrued semi-annual interest owed on its 11% secured debentures, subject to TSX Venture Exchange approval. The move converts cash interest obligations into equity, easing near-term cash outflows while modestly diluting existing shareholders, and the new shares will remain subject to any remaining statutory hold periods under Canadian securities laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PCLO) stock is a Hold with a C$0.08 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PharmaCielo stock, see the TSE:PCLO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PharmaCielo Shares to Resume Trading as Cease Trade Order Lifted and Insider Financing Detailed
Neutral
Dec 30, 2025

PharmaCielo has had its failure-to-file cease trade order revoked by the Ontario Securities Commission after filing overdue audited financial statements, clearing the way for its shares to resume trading on the TSX Venture Exchange. Management says the company is now focused on strengthening its operational footing by building consistent export volumes, deepening relationships with international partners, and selectively expanding into profitable markets, even as recent financials show lower revenue year-over-year but significantly reduced adjusted EBITDA losses. The update also details $2.15 million in secured related-party bridge loans from senior insiders and the completion of a $985,000 debenture unit tranche, underscoring the company’s continued reliance on insider and debenture financing to support operations while it works to stabilize its balance sheet and improve performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026