Rise Gold (RISE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$48.59M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 26.49K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.64
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: 2.75%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 1
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Gold
• EPS (TTM): -0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 123,020,470
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 8,918
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 26,491
• PEG Ratio: 0.64
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.52
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -12.61
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.39 ▲(29.00% Upside)

The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and continued cash burn). Technicals provide a partial offset with a clear uptrend, but overbought momentum signals add near-term risk. Valuation remains unattractive/unclear given negative earnings and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Project Asset Focus

Owning and advancing a known historic gold project provides a clear long-term path to value creation: successful permitting, studies and development can convert a long-lived asset into a producing mine or JV/royalty monetization, anchoring the company’s business model beyond speculation.

Modest Leverage

Low reported debt relative to equity reduces near-term solvency risk and provides financial flexibility to progress permitting and studies. Manageable leverage lowers probability of distress and preserves optionality to raise project financing on better terms if development milestones are met.

Improving Cash Flow Trend

Improving free cash flow from a negative base signals early operational and cost-control progress in project advancement. If sustained, this trend reduces reliance on continual equity raises and supports longer-term funding of technical and permitting work without constant dilution.

Negative Factors

No Operating Revenue

As a pre‑production explorer/developer, the firm has no recurring operating revenue, leaving its long-term viability contingent on successfully permitting and developing the Idaho-Maryland asset or securing a sale/JV. This structural dependency raises execution risk over months.

Persistent Cash Burn

Consistent negative operating and free cash flow means the company must repeatedly access capital markets to fund exploration and permitting. Over a multi‑month horizon this dilution risk can constrain strategic choices and slow project timelines if financing conditions tighten.

Volatile Capital Structure & Negative ROE

Historical swings in leverage and persistent negative returns on equity signal inconsistent funding and lack of profitability. This undermines investor confidence and can raise the cost of future financing, complicating long-term planning for project development and scaling.

Rise Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rise Gold Corp. explores for mineral properties in the United States. It primarily holds a 100% interest in the Idaho-Maryland Gold Mine property that comprises approximately 175 acres surface land and approximately 2,800 acres of mineral rights located in the Grass Valley of Nevada County in northern California. The company was formerly known as Rise Resources Inc. and changed its name to Rise Gold Corp. in April 2017. Rise Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Rise Gold Corp generates revenue through the exploration, extraction, and sale of gold and other precious metals from its mining operations. The company's primary revenue stream is expected to come from the successful extraction and sale of gold from the Idaho-Maryland Gold Mine. Additionally, Rise Gold may also engage in partnerships or joint ventures with other mining companies to enhance its mining operations and share the costs and profits associated with mineral extraction. Factors such as fluctuations in gold prices, mining efficiency, and operational costs significantly influence the company's earnings.

Rise Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Very weak operating profile: no revenue, recurring net losses (TTM net income about -4.4M), and persistent negative operating/free cash flow (TTM about -1.3M). Balance-sheet leverage is currently modest (low debt vs equity), but ongoing cash burn and negative returns keep overall financial strength near the low end.

Income Statement

The company continues to report no revenue across annual periods and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), consistent with an early-stage/pre-production profile. Losses remain substantial: TTM net income is -4.4M with deeply negative profitability, and recent annual results show persistent net losses (roughly -1.8M to -4.5M). A modest positive is that losses are not accelerating dramatically versus prior years, but the absence of revenue and ongoing negative earnings profile keep the income statement very weak.

Balance Sheet

Leverage looks manageable overall: debt is low in TTM (0.32M) against equity (13.27M), implying modest balance-sheet risk at present. However, the capital structure has been volatile year-to-year (debt-to-equity ranged from ~0.05 to ~0.75 in recent annual filings), and returns on equity are consistently negative due to ongoing losses. The balance sheet provides some cushioning, but profitability is not supporting equity value creation yet.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is consistently negative, with operating cash flow and free cash flow below zero in every period shown. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is -1.3M and free cash flow is also about -1.3M, indicating continued cash burn to fund operations. While the reported free cash flow growth is positive in the latest periods, it is improving from a negative base rather than reflecting sustainably positive cash generation, leaving financing needs as an ongoing risk.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	0.00	-16.67K	-23.36K	-24.14K	-26.11K
EBITDA	-3.90M	0.00	―	―	―
Net Income	-4.55M	-3.51M	-3.66M	-3.46M	-1.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.44M	5.16M	5.66M	5.69M	5.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	3.85M	243.67K	758.27K	471.92K	773.28K
Total Debt	171.43K	1.77M	1.44M	1.36M	976.59K
Total Liabilities	1.18M	2.78M	2.09M	2.09M	1.62M
Stockholders Equity	3.26M	2.38M	3.57M	3.60M	4.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-1.17M	-2.21M	-2.48M	-2.69M	-2.85M
Operating Cash Flow	-1.17M	-2.21M	-2.48M	-2.69M	-2.85M
Investing Cash Flow	2.61M	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Financing Cash Flow	1.10M	1.70M	2.76M	2.39M	248.20K

Rise Gold Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 0.30
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RISE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.42, below the 50-day MA of 0.33, and above the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:RISE.

Rise Gold Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
HWG	53 Neutral	C$41.47M	-24.35	-19.38%	―	―	69.15%
EDG	51 Neutral	C$109.30M	129.17	5.12%	―	―	―
RPX	48 Neutral	C$81.74M	-7.05	-133.51%	―	―	47.21%
RISE	46 Neutral	C$48.59M	-5.32	-67.07%	―	―	2.75%
GLDC	43 Neutral	C$61.93M	-7.41	-38.12%	―	―	-592.74%
GPAC	43 Neutral	C$67.78M	-4.11	-43.89%	―	―	―

Rise Gold Corporate Events

Rise Gold Faces Court-Ordered Delay in Idaho-Maryland Mine Vested Rights Case

Rise Gold Corp. reported that the Superior Court of California for Nevada County has postponed oral arguments on the company’s Writ of Mandamus regarding its claimed vested right to operate the Idaho-Maryland Mine from January 9, 2026, to March 6, 2026, without providing a reason. The writ seeks to overturn the Nevada County Board of Supervisors’ 2023 rejection of Rise Gold’s vested rights petition, a decision the company argues conflicts with a key California Supreme Court precedent on abandonment of mining rights; management expressed frustration at the delay but emphasized that the case could have significant implications for property and mining rights across California.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RISE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.38 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rise Gold stock, see the TSE:RISE Stock Forecast page.

Rise Gold Appoints New CEO Amid Legal Challenges

Rise Gold Corp. has appointed David Watkinson as its new President and CEO, succeeding Joe Mullin. Watkinson, who has extensive experience in mine development and a long-standing connection with the Idaho-Maryland Mine, is expected to lead the company through its ongoing legal challenges and operational strategies. The company also announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions were passed, including the re-appointment of auditors and the approval of a long-term incentive plan. The appointment of Watkinson is seen as a strategic move to leverage his technical expertise and local community ties to advance the company’s interests, particularly in light of ongoing legal disputes with Nevada County regarding mining rights.

Rise Gold Revives Tungsten Exploration at Historic Idaho-Maryland Mine

Rise Gold Corp. has initiated a review of historical data suggesting significant tungsten deposits at its Idaho-Maryland Mine in California. This move comes as tungsten is recognized as a critical metal by the U.S. Department of Energy, and with recent export restrictions by China, the U.S. is keen on reshoring its defense industries. The mine, which was a major gold producer until the mid-20th century, shifted focus to tungsten in the 1950s under a U.S. Department of Defense program. However, operations ceased in 1957 due to a drop in tungsten prices and the discontinuation of the defense minerals program. The company’s renewed focus on tungsten exploration aligns with federal interests, potentially positioning Rise Gold as a key player in the domestic supply of this critical mineral.