Rise Gold (RISE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$43.06M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 26.49K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.99
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: 2.75%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 1
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Gold
• EPS (TTM): -0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 123,020,470
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 8,918
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 26,491
• PEG Ratio: 0.64
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.52
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -12.61
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 42 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.34 ▲(12.00% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/17/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/17/26

Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and negative free cash flow). Technicals add risk with bearish moving-average positioning and negative MACD despite oversold RSI. Valuation provides little support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Clear project development focus

Rise Gold’s business model is a clear, single-objective development path focused on advancing the Idaho‑Maryland project through studies and permitting. That focused strategy creates discrete, durable milestones (technical work, permits) which, if achieved, materially increase the probability of eventual monetization via production, sale, JV or royalties and provide a long‑term roadmap for value realization.

Manageable leverage

Reported low absolute debt relative to equity gives the company structural financial cushioning while it advances development work. Lower leverage reduces near‑term creditor strain and bankruptcy risk, preserving flexibility to pursue permitting and technical studies and improving the company’s ability to negotiate project finance or partner arrangements versus highly leveraged peers.

Historic asset with de‑risking pathway

The Idaho‑Maryland asset’s historical status and an explicit program of technical studies and permitting create a durable de‑risking pathway. Known geology and progressive engineering/permitting work reduce exploration uncertainty versus greenfield prospects, increasing the structural likelihood that the asset can be converted into a financed development, JV, sale, or royalty stream over time.

Negative Factors

No revenue; persistent net losses

Rise Gold is a pre‑revenue explorer/developer and reports recurring net losses, which is a durable fundamental constraint: without operating revenue the company cannot self‑fund development, equity is eroded over time, and long‑term viability depends on securing external financing or a partner—outcomes that are uncertain and dilute existing holders.

Consistent negative cash generation

Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicates ongoing cash burn to fund studies and overhead. This creates a structural financing need: the company must repeatedly access capital markets or enter partner/financing transactions, exposing it to dilution risk and market conditions until operations produce positive cash generation or a non‑dilutive funding solution is secured.

Dependence on capital markets and single‑asset concentration

The company’s reliance on equity or financing to fund development is a durable vulnerability. Single‑asset concentration means that delays, permitting hurdles, or technical setbacks directly threaten corporate prospects. Dependence on external capital increases dilution risk and links the firm’s progress to market appetite and financing windows rather than operational cash flows.

Rise Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rise Gold Corp. explores for mineral properties in the United States. It primarily holds a 100% interest in the Idaho-Maryland Gold Mine property that comprises approximately 175 acres surface land and approximately 2,800 acres of mineral rights located in the Grass Valley of Nevada County in northern California. The company was formerly known as Rise Resources Inc. and changed its name to Rise Gold Corp. in April 2017. Rise Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Rise Gold does not have publicly available information indicating recurring operating revenue from producing mines; its business model is primarily project advancement rather than current mineral production. As a result, the company typically funds operations through capital markets activities (e.g., issuing equity and/or other financing) to pay for exploration, engineering studies, environmental work, permitting, and corporate overhead. If the Idaho-Maryland project is successfully permitted and developed, future monetization would generally be expected to come from gold sales from mining operations and/or alternative outcomes such as selling the project, forming a joint venture, or receiving royalties/streaming consideration; however, specific commercial terms, partners, or committed revenue arrangements are not available here and are therefore null.

Rise Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial profile remains high-risk: no revenue reported, recurring net losses, and persistent negative operating/free cash flow indicating ongoing cash burn. The main offset is modest debt relative to equity, which reduces near-term leverage pressure but does not resolve the lack of profitability and cash generation.

Income Statement

The company continues to report no revenue across annual periods and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), consistent with an early-stage/pre-production profile. Losses remain substantial: TTM net income is -4.4M with deeply negative profitability, and recent annual results show persistent net losses (roughly -1.8M to -4.5M). A modest positive is that losses are not accelerating dramatically versus prior years, but the absence of revenue and ongoing negative earnings profile keep the income statement very weak.

Balance Sheet

Leverage looks manageable overall: debt is low in TTM (0.32M) against equity (13.27M), implying modest balance-sheet risk at present. However, the capital structure has been volatile year-to-year (debt-to-equity ranged from ~0.05 to ~0.75 in recent annual filings), and returns on equity are consistently negative due to ongoing losses. The balance sheet provides some cushioning, but profitability is not supporting equity value creation yet.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is consistently negative, with operating cash flow and free cash flow below zero in every period shown. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is -1.3M and free cash flow is also about -1.3M, indicating continued cash burn to fund operations. While the reported free cash flow growth is positive in the latest periods, it is improving from a negative base rather than reflecting sustainably positive cash generation, leaving financing needs as an ongoing risk.

Breakdown	TTM	Jul 2025	Jul 2024	Oct 2023	Oct 2022	Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	0.00	0.00	-16.67K	-23.36K	-24.14K	-26.11K
EBITDA	-3.98M	-3.90M	0.00	―	―	―
Net Income	-3.79M	-4.55M	-3.51M	-3.66M	-3.46M	-1.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.46M	4.44M	5.16M	5.66M	5.69M	5.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	13.19M	3.85M	243.67K	758.27K	471.92K	773.28K
Total Debt	319.60K	171.43K	1.77M	1.44M	1.36M	976.59K
Total Liabilities	2.19M	1.18M	2.78M	2.09M	2.09M	1.62M
Stockholders Equity	13.27M	3.26M	2.38M	3.57M	3.60M	4.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-903.87K	-1.17M	-2.21M	-2.48M	-2.69M	-2.85M
Operating Cash Flow	-903.87K	-1.17M	-2.21M	-2.48M	-2.69M	-2.85M
Investing Cash Flow	2.53M	2.61M	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Financing Cash Flow	10.56M	1.10M	1.70M	2.76M	2.39M	248.20K

Rise Gold Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.30
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RISE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.54, below the 50-day MA of 0.48, and above the 200-day MA of 0.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.25 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of >-0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:RISE.

Rise Gold Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
EDG	54 Neutral	C$91.67M	-167.95	5.12%	―	―	―
GLDC	53 Neutral	C$80.39M	-8.79	-78.97%	―	―	-592.74%
HWG	47 Neutral	C$42.77M	-72.72	-24.99%	―	―	69.15%
RPX	46 Neutral	C$78.47M	-9.01	-177.75%	―	―	47.21%
GPAC	43 Neutral	C$81.14M	-5.68	-50.93%	―	―	―
RISE	42 Neutral	C$43.06M	-6.13	-93.26%	―	―	2.75%

Rise Gold Corporate Events

Rise Gold Strikes Strategic Deal to Advance Idaho-Maryland Mine as U.S. Critical-Minerals Asset

Rise Gold has entered into an 18-month strategic development partnership with U.S.-based Morgan Hughes Energy to advance the Idaho-Maryland Mine as a domestic gold and critical-minerals project. Morgan Hughes will support development planning, capital formation and alignment with federal critical-minerals and industrial initiatives, with its compensation structured through 18 million milestone-based warrants exercisable at USD $0.40 through 2029.

The deal aims to position the mine as a key U.S. source of gold and tungsten at a time when China dominates global tungsten supply and U.S. domestic production has lapsed since 2015. The partnership proceeds in parallel with Rise Gold’s ongoing legal effort to overturn Nevada County’s denial of permits and vested rights for mine operations, a case now before the California Superior Court with oral arguments set for March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RISE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.62 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rise Gold stock, see the TSE:RISE Stock Forecast page.

Rise Gold Faces Court-Ordered Delay in Idaho-Maryland Mine Vested Rights Case

Rise Gold Corp. reported that the Superior Court of California for Nevada County has postponed oral arguments on the company’s Writ of Mandamus regarding its claimed vested right to operate the Idaho-Maryland Mine from January 9, 2026, to March 6, 2026, without providing a reason. The writ seeks to overturn the Nevada County Board of Supervisors’ 2023 rejection of Rise Gold’s vested rights petition, a decision the company argues conflicts with a key California Supreme Court precedent on abandonment of mining rights; management expressed frustration at the delay but emphasized that the case could have significant implications for property and mining rights across California.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RISE) stock is a Hold with a C$0.38 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rise Gold stock, see the TSE:RISE Stock Forecast page.