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Prairie Provident Resources (TSE:PPR)
TSX:PPR

Prairie Provident Resources (PPR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PPR

Prairie Provident Resources

(TSX:PPR)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
C$0.46
▼(-54.80% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/15/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, sustained losses, negative equity and leverage risk) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data to offset risk.
Positive Factors
Operating Cash Flow
Positive operating cash flow indicates the asset base can generate cash from ongoing operations, providing a near-term runway to fund working capital and selective maintenance capex. Durable cash generation reduces immediate liquidity pressure versus no cash inflows.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Contraction
A near-60% revenue decline materially reduces scale economics and magnifies fixed-cost absorption, eroding margins and cash flow resilience. Restoring pre-decline production or prices can take multiple quarters, limiting reinvestment capacity and strategic flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operating Cash Flow
Positive operating cash flow indicates the asset base can generate cash from ongoing operations, providing a near-term runway to fund working capital and selective maintenance capex. Durable cash generation reduces immediate liquidity pressure versus no cash inflows.
Read all positive factors

Prairie Provident Resources (PPR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Prairie Provident Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Prairie Provident Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Alberta. It principally focuses on the Princess, Michichi, and Provost areas. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Ca...
How the Company Makes Money
Prairie Provident Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas extracted from its operational fields. The company employs a revenue model that includes direct sales to refineries and natural gas processing pl...

Prairie Provident Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak: revenue declined sharply (-57.9% TTM), profitability is deeply negative (net margin -41.6% with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins), and the balance sheet shows negative equity with high leverage risk. Operating cash flow is positive ($4.3M) but free cash flow is negative, limiting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.13M43.25M67.93M120.60M74.82M51.72M
Gross Profit3.73M477.00K4.03M30.93M10.89M-20.64M
EBITDA-3.81M7.66M14.55M28.28M44.61M-43.23M
Net Income-30.54M-16.96M-20.12M-2.40M10.42M-90.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets113.60M117.87M167.33M223.13M232.96M220.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.27M4.72M1.83M6.57M1.85M4.54M
Total Debt66.66M58.15M77.77M127.00M112.21M108.22M
Total Liabilities172.20M166.91M210.22M292.24M299.52M297.23M
Stockholders Equity-58.60M-49.04M-42.89M-69.11M-66.56M-76.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.94M-10.74M-11.37M5.48M-4.63M6.42M
Operating Cash Flow4.29M18.00K-10.65M24.48M9.68M10.18M
Investing Cash Flow-20.98M13.54M-562.00K-20.48M-11.49M-4.98M
Financing Cash Flow8.94M-10.67M6.58M520.00K-885.00K-4.11M

Prairie Provident Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.44
Negative
100DMA
0.57
Negative
200DMA
0.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
33.86
Neutral
STOCH
13.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.43, above the 50-day MA of 0.44, and above the 200-day MA of 0.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PPR.

Prairie Provident Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
55
Neutral
C$44.17M-32.08-3.80%-82.16%70.07%
50
Neutral
C$25.64M10.92-54.38%3.01%84.56%
48
Neutral
C$20.38M-6.10-9.44%257.86%57.88%
48
Neutral
C$28.94M-18.53-276.15%-3.67%-26.40%
40
Underperform
C$18.70M-0.0459.32%-5.45%-4.42%
38
Underperform
C$30.40M-9.89-69.59%-100.00%3.67%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PPR
Prairie Provident Resources
0.40
-0.50
-55.56%
TSE:DME
Desert Mountain Energy Corp
0.46
0.25
119.05%
TSE:JEV
Jericho Energy Ventures
0.10
-0.05
-33.33%
TSE:TAO
TAG Oil
0.09
0.00
0.00%
TSE:WIL
Wilton Resources
0.38
-0.13
-25.00%
TSE:SOU
Southern Energy
0.07
<0.01
7.69%

Prairie Provident Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Prairie Provident Boosts Princess Output but Faces Setbacks at Michichi Wells
Negative
Jan 8, 2026
Prairie Provident Resources reported a successful Ellerslie multi-leg horizontal well at its Princess core area, where initial output has climbed to about 290 boe/d as cleanup continues, alongside the commissioning of a new water disposal facility...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Split
Prairie Provident to Consolidate Shares 30-for-1, Slashing Outstanding Count
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025
Prairie Provident Resources will implement a 30-for-1 consolidation of its common shares, effective December 31, 2025, reducing the number of outstanding shares from about 1.4 billion to roughly 46.7 million. The post-consolidation shares will con...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Prairie Provident Sees Production Rise Amid Financial Adjustments in Q3 2025
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025
Prairie Provident Resources reported a 6% increase in production for Q3 2025 compared to the previous year, driven by enhanced Basal Quartz production. However, the company faced a net loss of $6.9 million, attributed to higher operating expenses ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026