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Africa Energy (TSE:AFE)
:AFE

Africa Energy (AFE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AFE

Africa Energy

(AFE)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.15
▲(32.73% Upside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance: no revenue, persistent losses, and ongoing cash burn alongside equity/asset contraction. Technicals provide only modest support with short-term strength but a still-weak longer-term trend, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Monetization-focused business model
A model focused on selling or farming out equity in exploration assets lets the company capture upside from discoveries without operating producing fields. Over 2–6 months this preserves capital intensity and offers asymmetric returns if partners fund appraisal or buy stakes.
Moderate leverage
Relatively low reported debt reduces near-term financial strain and gives the company flexibility to pursue farm-outs or negotiate partner-funded programs. Moderate leverage supports resilience to commodity swings and lessens immediate liquidity risk versus highly leveraged peers.
Improving cash burn trend
Reduction in negative operating and free cash flow signals better cost control or lower exploration spend, extending runway and reducing immediate external funding needs. If sustained, this improvement enhances execution capacity for farm-outs or selective appraisal activity.
Negative Factors
No revenue and persistent losses
Absent recurring revenue and ongoing operating losses mean the company cannot self-fund activity from cash flow. Over months this structural loss profile heightens dependence on capital markets or partner funding, amplifying dilution and execution risk for exploration programs.
Sharp erosion of equity and assets
Material reductions in equity and asset bases suggest impairments or write-downs that erode shareholder value and reduce collateral for financing. This weakens balance-sheet flexibility, increases refinancing risk, and can constrain the company’s ability to participate in larger farm-ins or deals.
Structurally negative cash generation
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow creates an ongoing need for equity raises, asset sales, or partner funding. Over the medium term this dependence can cause dilution, limit strategic optionality, and make project timelines contingent on volatile capital markets or JV partner decisions.

Africa Energy (AFE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Africa Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAfrica Energy Corp. operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in South Africa and Namibia. It holds a 27.5% participating interest in the Exploration Right for Block 2B offshore that covers an area of 3,062 square kilometers located in the west coast of South Africa; 43.85% interest in the Petroleum Exploration License 37 covering an area of 17,295 square kilometers located in the northern Namibian offshore region; and 49% interest in the Exploration Right for Block 11B/12B covering an area of approximately 19,000 square kilometers located in the Outeniqua Basin off the southern coast of South Africa. The company was formerly known as Horn Petroleum Corporation and changed its name to Africa Energy Corp. in March 2015. Africa Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAfrica Energy makes money through its exploration and development activities in the oil and gas sector. The company generates revenue primarily by participating in exploration projects that lead to the discovery of commercially viable hydrocarbon reserves. Once these reserves are developed, Africa Energy can earn income through production sales, either through direct sales of crude oil and natural gas or by entering into production sharing agreements with host governments. Key revenue streams include the sale of equity stakes in its exploration assets, farm-out agreements, and potential future production revenues. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by its ability to successfully discover and develop oil and gas reserves, as well as its strategic partnerships with other energy companies and stakeholders in the regions where it operates.

Africa Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Africa Energy's financial performance is hindered by continuous losses, negative cash flows, and declining assets. Despite manageable leverage, the company's absence of revenue and liquidity issues pose significant challenges to financial stability.
Income Statement
Income Statement analysis reveals persistent losses with no revenue generation in recent years, leading to negative profit margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows worsening performance with a significant net loss, indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet analysis highlights a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, a decreasing equity base and declining total assets over time raise concerns about financial stability. Equity ratio remains adequate but declining assets need attention.
Cash Flow
Cash Flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash outflows are exceeding inflows. This trend is concerning, as it suggests ongoing liquidity issues. Despite positive financing cash flow, reliance on external funding is not sustainable long-term.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.00-14.00K-32.00K-32.00K
EBITDA-28.93M-1.85M-4.63M-5.81M-5.17M-4.12M
Net Income-30.01M-100.61M-119.78M-35.48M21.56M-4.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets44.66M42.58M138.83M257.42M267.24M244.03M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.06M2.31M1.71M6.79M10.85M19.64M
Total Debt0.0010.36M6.83M5.00M2.00K19.00K
Total Liabilities299.00K10.65M6.99M8.39M1.68M1.80M
Stockholders Equity44.36M31.92M131.85M249.03M265.56M242.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.64M-1.11M-2.13M-11.26M-4.24M-3.50M
Operating Cash Flow-1.64M-1.11M-2.13M-3.02M-4.04M-3.35M
Investing Cash Flow-771.00K-582.00K-3.95M-7.22M-5.00M-32.00M
Financing Cash Flow4.27M2.30M1.00M6.22M287.00K52.59M

Africa Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.11
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Positive
100DMA
0.15
Negative
200DMA
0.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
54.59
Neutral
STOCH
85.19
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AFE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.13, below the 50-day MA of 0.13, and below the 200-day MA of 0.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.19 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AFE.

Africa Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$71.47M7.3712.74%22.88%2321.43%
67
Neutral
C$41.38M-7.42-5.42%-13.32%-811.11%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
C$52.20M0.9510.62%-7.68%79.37%
51
Neutral
C$163.92M-46.43-11.95%86.19%
49
Neutral
C$65.10M-4.68-467.35%-63.05%
45
Neutral
C$64.69M-12.05-6.81%98.92%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AFE
Africa Energy
0.14
-0.01
-10.00%
TSE:CNE
Canacol Energy
1.53
-2.26
-59.63%
TSE:ROK
ROK Resources
0.19
0.00
0.00%
TSE:EOG
Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas
0.52
0.31
141.86%
TSE:AXL
Arrow Exploration Corp
0.25
-0.21
-45.65%
TSE:NSE
New Stratus Energy
0.49
0.02
5.43%

Africa Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Africa Energy Corp. Pauses ESIA Amid Legal Changes, Reports Improved Financials
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Africa Energy Corp. announced its third-quarter 2025 results and corporate update, highlighting a strategic pause in its Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) for Block 11B/12B offshore South Africa due to recent legal changes. Despite challenges, the company remains optimistic about the commercial development of its significant natural gas discoveries, which could play a crucial role in South Africa’s energy transition. Financially, the company reported improved cash and working capital positions, with no debt, compared to the previous year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026