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Arrow Exploration Corp (TSE:AXL)
:AXL
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Arrow Exploration Corp (AXL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AXL

Arrow Exploration Corp

(AXL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$0.60
▲(49.25% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/28/26
The score is supported by strong solvency/low leverage and favorable technical trend signals, plus a low P/E valuation. The main constraint is weakened recent earnings quality, with thin TTM net margins and negative TTM free cash flow versus the stronger 2024 period.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Exceptionally low debt provides durable financial flexibility through commodity cycles, reducing solvency risk and enabling the firm to fund development or absorb price shocks without immediate external refinancing. This structural strength supports multi‑month resilience for an E&P operator.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow suggests high capex, working capital draws, or timing issues, limiting ability to return capital or fund growth internally. Over several months this can force external financing or slower reinvestment in production.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Exceptionally low debt provides durable financial flexibility through commodity cycles, reducing solvency risk and enabling the firm to fund development or absorb price shocks without immediate external refinancing. This structural strength supports multi‑month resilience for an E&P operator.
Read all positive factors

Arrow Exploration Corp (AXL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Arrow Exploration Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Arrow Exploration Corp. operates a junior oil and gas company that engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in Colombia and Western Canada. The company is based in Calgary, Canada....
How the Company Makes Money
Arrow Exploration Corp primarily makes money by producing and selling crude oil (and any associated natural gas and natural gas liquids, if produced) from its operated and non-operated upstream assets. Revenue is generated from (1) hydrocarbons sa...

Arrow Exploration Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid operating profitability (about 54% gross margin and ~45% EBITDA margin) and an exceptionally low-leverage balance sheet support resilience. Offsetting this, TTM net margin is thin (~1.8%) and profitability has stepped down materially versus 2024, while free cash flow is negative in TTM (~-$6.8M) and cash conversion is mixed (operating cash flow coverage ~0.84x).
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.69M81.56M50.60M28.14M7.17M
Gross Profit25.78M56.19M32.48M19.45M4.89M
EBITDA34.73M46.82M15.36M14.43M6.80M
Net Income1.47M13.18M-1.11M346.52K5.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets105.21M81.27M62.28M53.19M41.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.45M18.84M12.33M13.06M10.88M
Total Debt200.32K219.41K320.59K1.96M3.41M
Total Liabilities50.86M28.25M20.77M27.29M17.24M
Stockholders Equity54.35M53.02M41.51M25.90M23.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.14M8.40M-10.61M4.37M-6.22M
Operating Cash Flow27.40M39.52M16.48M12.04M-4.51M
Investing Cash Flow-35.19M-32.65M-22.58M-8.38M-4.05M
Financing Cash Flow-77.38K-57.81K5.39M-1.44M8.10M

Arrow Exploration Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.40
Price Trends
50DMA
0.46
Negative
100DMA
0.42
Positive
200DMA
0.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
42.13
Neutral
STOCH
17.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AXL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, below the 50-day MA of 0.46, and above the 200-day MA of 0.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:AXL.

Arrow Exploration Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$131.50M21.046.99%-6.33%-69.06%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
52
Neutral
C$45.68M2.62-4.64%-8.48%38.01%
47
Neutral
C$97.53M-6.0073.97%-15.46%
41
Neutral
C$67.71M-0.62-599.98%957.78%-2905.77%
40
Underperform
C$81.46M-12.47-6.17%96.52%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AXL
Arrow Exploration Corp
0.46
0.12
35.29%
TSE:TXP
Touchstone Exploration
0.13
-0.17
-56.67%
TSE:AFE
Africa Energy
0.17
0.02
13.33%
TSE:OYL
CGX Energy
0.20
0.11
122.22%
TSE:NSE
New Stratus Energy
0.72
0.39
121.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 28, 2026