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Arrow Exploration Corp (TSE:AXL)
:AXL

Arrow Exploration Corp (AXL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AXL

Arrow Exploration Corp

(AXL)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$0.27
▲(9.20% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily driven by strong valuation metrics, indicating the stock is undervalued. Financial performance shows operational efficiency but is hindered by declining revenue growth and negative free cash flow. Technical analysis suggests short-term bullish momentum, though longer-term trends remain bearish.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
The company's strong operational efficiency and minimal leverage indicate effective management and a stable financial structure, supporting long-term sustainability.
Gross Profit Margins
High gross profit margins reflect efficient cost management, which can enhance profitability and provide a competitive edge in the industry.
Balance Sheet Health
A low debt-to-equity ratio indicates minimal financial risk and a strong capital structure, providing resilience against market volatility.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant drop in sales suggests challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, which could impact long-term growth prospects.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates difficulties in converting earnings into cash, potentially affecting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Declining Net Profit Margin
A declining net profit margin reflects reduced profitability, which could hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.

Arrow Exploration Corp (AXL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Arrow Exploration Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArrow Exploration Corp., a junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in Colombia and Western Canada. As of December 31, 2021, it holds interests in six oil blocks in Colombia that covers an area of approximately 227,005 net acres; and oil and natural gas leases in seven areas in Canada covering an area of approximately 254,003 net acres. Arrow Exploration Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyArrow Exploration Corp generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is built on the exploration of oil and gas reserves, production of hydrocarbons, and subsequent sales in the energy markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of produced oil and natural gas, which is influenced by global commodity prices. Additionally, the company may benefit from strategic partnerships that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include production volume, operational efficiencies, and the ability to navigate regulatory environments effectively.

Arrow Exploration Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arrow Exploration Corp shows strong revenue growth and robust operational margins, indicating a healthy income statement. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, although there is a slight decline in return on equity. Cash flow presents a concern with negative free cash flow, which could pose risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
Arrow Exploration Corp has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 92.5%, reflecting robust expansion. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 69.25% and an EBIT margin of 32.47% in the TTM period. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 12.28% from 16.15% in the previous year, indicating some pressure on net profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0039, indicating minimal leverage. The return on equity has decreased to 19.36% from 24.85%, suggesting a slight decline in efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow performance is mixed. Operating cash flow remains strong, with a coverage ratio of 1.91, but free cash flow has turned negative, with a significant decline of 146.53% in the TTM period. This indicates potential challenges in generating free cash flow, which could impact future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.02M81.56M50.60M28.14M7.17M5.59M
Gross Profit55.33M56.19M32.48M19.45M4.89M3.27M
EBITDA42.71M46.82M15.36M14.43M6.80M-31.70M
Net Income6.90M13.18M-1.11M346.52K5.69M-32.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets93.68M81.27M62.28M53.19M41.20M33.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.37M18.84M12.33M13.06M10.88M11.47M
Total Debt194.32K219.41K320.59K1.96M3.41M5.87M
Total Liabilities35.80M28.25M20.77M27.29M17.24M20.74M
Stockholders Equity57.88M53.02M41.51M25.90M23.96M12.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.99M8.40M-10.61M4.37M-6.22M-3.19M
Operating Cash Flow35.37M39.52M16.48M12.04M-4.51M-2.30M
Investing Cash Flow-45.47M-32.65M-22.58M-8.38M-4.05M12.78M
Financing Cash Flow-62.21K-57.81K5.39M-1.44M8.10M-29.05K

Arrow Exploration Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.23
Positive
100DMA
0.24
Positive
200DMA
0.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
52.28
Neutral
STOCH
28.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AXL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.25, above the 50-day MA of 0.23, and below the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:AXL.

Arrow Exploration Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$71.47M7.3712.74%22.88%2321.43%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
C$52.20M0.9510.62%-7.68%79.37%
49
Neutral
C$65.10M-4.68-467.35%-63.05%
46
Neutral
C$60.08M-10.39-4.64%-23.68%75.45%
45
Neutral
C$64.69M-12.05-6.81%98.92%
42
Neutral
C$47.40M-0.58-188.43%-1886.78%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AXL
Arrow Exploration Corp
0.25
-0.21
-45.65%
TSE:CNE
Canacol Energy
1.53
-2.26
-59.63%
TSE:TXP
Touchstone Exploration
0.19
-0.28
-59.78%
TSE:AFE
Africa Energy
0.14
-0.01
-10.00%
TSE:OYL
CGX Energy
0.14
>-0.01
-3.45%
TSE:NSE
New Stratus Energy
0.49
0.02
5.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025