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TAG Oil Ltd. J (TSE:TAO)
:TAO
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TAG Oil (TAO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TAO

TAG Oil

(TAO)

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Neutral 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
TAG Oil's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by persistent losses and negative cash flows. Technical analysis further indicates bearish momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and approaching oversold levels. The negative P/E ratio highlights valuation concerns, as the company struggles to generate profits. These factors collectively result in a low overall stock score.

TAG Oil (TAO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

TAG Oil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTAG Oil Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in Canada, the Middle East, and North Africa. The company was formerly known as Durum Cons. Energy Corp. and changed its name to TAG Oil Ltd. in June 2002. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTAG Oil generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells its production to domestic and international markets, capitalizing on fluctuations in oil and gas prices. Key revenue streams include direct sales of oil and gas, as well as any potential royalty payments from production agreements. Additionally, TAG Oil may engage in strategic partnerships with other companies in the energy sector to optimize resource extraction and explore new opportunities, which can further enhance its revenue through collaborative projects or joint ventures.

TAG Oil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TAG Oil faces significant financial difficulties, characterized by persistent losses and negative cash flows. Despite revenue growth, profitability remains elusive with negative margins and cash flow issues. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but negative return on equity and cash flow challenges pose substantial risks.
Income Statement
25
Negative
TAG Oil's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative margins across the board. The gross profit margin is deeply negative, indicating costs far exceed revenues. The net profit margin is also negative, reflecting substantial losses. Despite a revenue growth rate of 59.7% in the latest year, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting limited leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, but the overall financial health is undermined by persistent losses.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights severe issues, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but this is due to substantial net losses rather than strong cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.57M864.00K781.33K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-1.33M-1.01M-1.00M-164.00K-122.00K-235.00K
EBITDA-7.82M-8.28M-9.01M-7.39M-3.85M-3.45M
Net Income-5.58M-6.33M-8.20M-3.00M-4.46M-14.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.99M55.09M53.91M41.06M18.20M20.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.34M7.40M16.44M20.66M15.52M17.14M
Total Debt1.24M1.49M208.00K459.00K573.00K98.00K
Total Liabilities2.71M5.74M7.43M2.04M979.00K505.00K
Stockholders Equity45.28M49.35M46.48M39.01M17.23M20.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.81M-23.88M-22.88M-11.94M-4.11M-4.10M
Operating Cash Flow-8.28M-5.98M-3.90M-5.46M-4.08M-3.92M
Investing Cash Flow-4.28M-17.14M-17.28M-4.42M1.33M3.68M
Financing Cash Flow5.47M5.54M17.00M23.57M-55.00K-24.72M

TAG Oil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.09
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Negative
100DMA
0.12
Negative
200DMA
0.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
41.04
Neutral
STOCH
38.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TAO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, below the 50-day MA of 0.12, and below the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TAO.

TAG Oil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
C$26.90M-57.62%-10.88%80.32%
C$42.38M-6.13%-82.16%70.07%
C$11.62M
C$22.65M-12.39%462.37%35.49%
C$57.55M-0.71-180.57%-2034.82%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TAO
TAG Oil
0.09
-0.05
-35.71%
TSE:DME
Desert Mountain Energy Corp
0.46
0.12
35.29%
TSE:OYL
CGX Energy
0.16
-0.04
-20.00%
TSE:SNV
Sonoro Energy
0.04
-0.02
-33.33%
TSE:PQE.H
Petroteq Energy
0.02
0.00
0.00%
TSE:SOU
Southern Energy
0.07
-0.05
-41.67%

TAG Oil Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TAG Oil Reports Q2-2025 Financial Results and Strategic Developments
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

TAG Oil Ltd. has reported its financial results for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, showing an increase in cash and cash equivalents to C$5.3 million and maintaining a working capital of C$4.9 million, with no debt. The company produced an average of 110 barrels of oil per day from its Badr Oil Field wells, with sales averaging 91 barrels per day. TAG Oil is actively participating in a bid for strategic asset acquisition in Egypt and is seeking industry partners to accelerate drilling efforts at the BED-1 field, with expressions of interest due by September 30, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025