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TAG Oil Ltd. J (TSE:TAO)
:TAO

TAG Oil (TAO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TAO

TAG Oil

(TAO)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.08
▼(-6.67% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is primarily held back by very weak operating performance and cash flow (losses and ongoing cash burn). A low-leverage balance sheet provides some offset by improving financial flexibility, while technicals are neutral-to-slightly improving and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
TAG Oil's very low debt-to-equity (~0.03) and sizable equity base give the company durable financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this reduces refinancing risk, supports funding of exploration/appraisal activity, and provides runway to pursue asset deals or partner-funded programs without immediate capital markets dependence.
Negative Factors
Negative cash generation
The company is a persistent cash burner with negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow. Over months this drains liquidity and forces reliance on the balance sheet, asset sales, or external financing, constraining ability to fund sustained exploration or move discoveries to development without dilution or partner transactions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
TAG Oil's very low debt-to-equity (~0.03) and sizable equity base give the company durable financial flexibility. Over the next 2–6 months this reduces refinancing risk, supports funding of exploration/appraisal activity, and provides runway to pursue asset deals or partner-funded programs without immediate capital markets dependence.
Read all positive factors

TAG Oil (TAO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

TAG Oil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TAG Oil Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in Canada, the Middle East, and North Africa. The company was formerly known as Durum Cons. Energy Corp. and changed its name to T...
How the Company Makes Money
TAG Oil’s primary way of making money is through upstream oil and gas economics: (1) selling produced hydrocarbons (crude oil, natural gas, and/or associated liquids) into local or international markets when it has producing assets; and (2) moneti...

TAG Oil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak due to deeply negative profitability and ongoing cash burn (very low Income Statement and Cash Flow scores). The main offset is a relatively strong balance sheet with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.03), providing financial runway despite negative returns on equity.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Jun 2023Mar 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.50M864.00K781.33K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-1.38M-1.01M-1.00M-164.00K-122.00K-235.00K
EBITDA-6.86M-8.28M-9.01M-7.39M-3.85M-3.45M
Net Income-4.41M-6.33M-8.20M-3.00M-4.46M-14.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.47M55.09M53.91M41.06M18.20M20.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.95M7.40M16.44M20.66M15.52M17.14M
Total Debt1.13M1.49M208.00K459.00K573.00K98.00K
Total Liabilities2.43M5.74M7.43M2.04M979.00K505.00K
Stockholders Equity45.04M49.35M46.48M39.01M17.23M20.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.46M-23.88M-22.88M-11.94M-4.11M-4.10M
Operating Cash Flow-5.94M-5.98M-3.90M-5.46M-4.08M-3.92M
Investing Cash Flow-515.00K-17.14M-17.28M-4.42M1.33M3.68M
Financing Cash Flow5.47M5.54M17.00M23.57M-55.00K-24.72M

TAG Oil Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.09
Price Trends
50DMA
0.10
Negative
100DMA
0.09
Negative
200DMA
0.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
45.39
Neutral
STOCH
>-0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TAO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.10, and below the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of >-0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TAO.

TAG Oil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
C$41.29M-32.08-3.80%-82.16%70.07%
50
Neutral
C$14.95M-1.71-36.60%295.02%78.28%
48
Neutral
C$20.38M-6.10-9.44%257.86%57.88%
48
Neutral
C$25.46M-18.53-276.15%-3.67%-26.40%
47
Neutral
C$63.71M-10.79-15.82%68.98%
41
Neutral
C$22.08M-2.26-0.63%-47.75%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TAO
TAG Oil
0.09
-0.01
-10.00%
TSE:DME
Desert Mountain Energy Corp
0.43
0.18
72.00%
TSE:AVN
Avanti Energy
0.53
0.42
381.82%
TSE:CWV
Crown Point Energy
0.21
0.08
70.83%
TSE:PEI
Prospera Energy Inc
0.04
0.02
100.00%
TSE:WIL
Wilton Resources
0.33
-0.21
-38.89%

TAG Oil Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
TAG Oil Grants 11.85 Million Stock Options to Support Egypt Growth Strategy
Positive
Mar 4, 2026
TAG Oil Ltd. has granted 11,850,000 stock options at C$0.10 per share to directors, officers, and personnel under its stock option plan, with a five-year term and vesting over two years. The move forms part of the company’s long-term incenti...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
TAG Oil Raises $11.5 Million to Accelerate Unconventional Oil Development in Egypt
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
TAG Oil has raised $11.5 million in gross proceeds through a brokered unit offering priced at $0.10, including the full exercise of the over-allotment option, split between a listed issuer financing exemption tranche and a private placement. Each ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026