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Power Corp of Canada (TSE:POW)
TSX:POW

Power Corp of Canada (POW) AI Stock Analysis

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Power Corp of Canada

(TSX:POW)

72Outperform
Power Corp of Canada demonstrates a solid overall performance with strengths in cash flow management and valuation. The company's strategic initiatives and dividend increase highlight management's commitment to shareholder value, yet challenges in revenue growth and operational efficiency remain. The moderate technical indicators and attractive dividend yield further bolster the stock's investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Corporate Actions
POW's reorganization simplifies its corporate structure and generates modest EPS accretion.
Earnings Contribution
GBLB's estimated contribution to POW's adjusted earnings was better than expected, at C$20mm versus previous C$11mm estimate.
Share Buybacks
There is an estimated $600 million available for continued share buybacks, which could positively impact the stock.
Negative Factors
Business Performance
The company's standalone businesses and other investments recorded significant non-cash impairment charges, contributing to the weaker financial results.
Earnings Performance
Power Corp of Canada missed its earnings expectations, reporting an adjusted EPS of $0.84 compared to the consensus of $1.13/$1.14.
Subsidiary Reliance
Heavier reliance on GWO/IGM makes it difficult to get constructive on NAV growth given Market Perform ratings on GWO and IGM.

Power Corp of Canada (POW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Power Corp of Canada Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPower Corporation of Canada operates as an international management and holding company in North America, Europe, and Asia. It operates through Lifeco, IGM Financial, and GBL segments. The company offers life, disability, critical illness, accidental death, dismemberment, health and dental protection, and creditor insurance; retirement and investment management; asset management; and reinsurance and retrocession; investment advisory, financial planning, and related services; and fund, protection, and wealth management services. It also provides employer-sponsored defined contribution plan, individual retirement account and drawdown, enrollment, communication material, investment option, and education services, as well as taxable brokerage accounts; private label recordkeeping and administrative services; payout annuities, equity release mortgages, life bonds, mortgage, securities, pension, private equity, debt and thematic fund, and financial services; and investment products, such as equity, fixed income, absolute return and alternative strategies, exchange traded funds, trust funds, and model-based separately managed accounts and portfolios. In addition, the company holds interests in various businesses, such as mineral-based specialty solutions; testing, inspection, and certification; cement, aggregates, and concrete; wines and spirits; sportswear and sports equipment design and distribution; materials technology and recycling of precious metals; disposable hygiene products; Atlantic salmon; customer experience and business process outsourcing; regional leisure parks; mobile game development and publishing; and bicycle manufacturing. Further, it generates renewable energy through solar and wind facilities; and designs, develops, and manufactures specification-grade LED solutions and zero-emission vehicles. The company was incorporated in 1925 and is based in Montréal, Canada. Power Corporation of Canada operates as a subsidiary of Pansolo Holding Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyPower Corporation of Canada generates revenue through its diversified portfolio of subsidiaries primarily in the financial services sector. Key revenue streams include premiums and fees from insurance products offered by Great-West Lifeco, management fees, and investment income from IGM Financial's mutual funds and investment services. Additionally, Power Corp benefits from dividend income and capital appreciation through its investment in Groupe Bruxelles Lambert, a holding company with stakes in European blue-chip companies. The company also seeks to enhance its earnings through strategic partnerships and investments in the renewable energy sector, aiming to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions. This diversified approach helps Power Corp maintain a stable and growing income stream.

Power Corp of Canada Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Power Corp of Canada presents a solid financial standing with consistent revenue growth and stable profitability margins. The company exhibits a balanced approach in handling debt, though high leverage poses a potential risk. Cash flow generation remains robust, providing financial flexibility despite recent declines in operating cash flow.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Power Corp of Canada has shown a consistent increase in revenue over the period, with a notable revenue growth rate of 9.70% from the previous year to the TTM. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins in the TTM, indicating a potential rise in operational costs or reduced operational efficiency. The net profit margin remains stable at around 4.45%, indicating consistent profitability despite fluctuations in other areas.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains relatively high, suggesting a significant use of leverage. However, the equity ratio stands at 2.79% in the TTM, indicating a low level of equity compared to total assets, which is typical in the insurance industry due to large liabilities. Return on Equity (ROE) is moderate at 9.89%, reflecting decent profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Power Corp's cash flow statement shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting effective cash conversion from operations. The free cash flow growth rate is substantial at 67.61%, indicating improved liquidity and financial flexibility. However, the decline in operating cash flow from previous periods raises concerns about long-term cash generation stability.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
46.43B48.74B69.56B64.62B48.84B
Gross Profit
46.43B48.74B69.56B64.62B48.84B
EBIT
6.97B3.09B3.04B1.59B885.00M
EBITDA
4.90B5.89B5.96B4.67B4.62B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.25B3.54B4.67B3.53B3.04B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
21.88B22.25B8.16B9.48B6.80B
Total Assets
749.48B733.65B661.63B629.10B477.25B
Total Debt
20.94B21.17B19.53B21.54B18.25B
Net Debt
11.80B12.31B11.37B12.06B11.45B
Total Liabilities
708.21B689.55B617.90B590.37B440.67B
Stockholders Equity
22.14B24.02B24.34B22.21B14.17B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.76B6.70B10.49B9.71B6.62B
Operating Cash Flow
5.93B7.50B11.05B10.10B6.62B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.62B-6.50B-10.58B-8.41B-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.80B-948.00M-962.00M1.64B-4.63B

Power Corp of Canada Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.58
Price Trends
50DMA
49.46
Positive
100DMA
46.83
Positive
200DMA
44.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
60.58
Neutral
STOCH
87.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:POW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.05, above the 50-day MA of 49.46, and above the 200-day MA of 44.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:POW.

Power Corp of Canada Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSPOW
72
Outperform
C$33.37B12.5312.45%4.41%-7.62%25.47%
TSGWO
68
Neutral
C$48.75B12.5315.52%4.24%-2.40%42.24%
63
Neutral
$12.46B9.568.14%17044.64%12.63%-4.25%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:POW
Power Corp of Canada
51.58
15.66
43.60%
BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
49.83
5.76
13.07%
MFC
Manulife Financial
30.84
7.81
33.91%
SLF
Sun Life Financial
59.12
8.86
17.63%
IGIFF
IGM Financial
31.70
5.41
20.58%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
52.38
12.15
30.20%

Power Corp of Canada Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 19, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 5.96%|
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in core operations with significant growth in key investments and successful asset monetization, despite some challenges in earnings and specific segments. The commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks was emphasized, with optimistic future outlooks.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Great-West Life and IGM Financial each reported a 12% year-over-year growth in earnings per share, contributing to a 15% increase in net asset value (NAV) across the portfolio.
Increased Value of Investments
Significant increases in the value of Wealthsimple and Sagard, with Wealthsimple's valuation up by 46% and Sagard's general partner value increasing by 39%.
Sale of Peak
The sale of Peak represents a substantial step in monetizing stand-alone businesses, expected to generate a USD 200 million gain.
Dividend Declaration
The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.5625 per share, consistent with the previous quarter.
Positive Share Price Momentum
Share price momentum continued post quarter-end, with NAV per share increasing by an additional 6%.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Adjusted Net Earnings
Adjusted net earnings from continuing operations were $542 million, a decrease from $1 billion in the same quarter last year.
Noncash Impairment Charges
Noncash impairment charges at LMPG and Lion affected net asset value, although they were offset by gains in other areas.
Negative Flows in Mackenzie Business
While improvements were noted, Mackenzie is still experiencing negative flows, impacting overall performance.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Power Corporation (POW.TO), executives Robert Orr and Jake Lawrence highlighted several key metrics and developments. The company reported adjusted net earnings of $542 million, down from $1 billion in the previous year, with adjusted net earnings per share at $0.84 compared to $1.52 last year. However, there was a noticeable 15% growth in net asset value (NAV), driven by strong performances from Great-West Life and IGM Financial, both reporting a 12% increase in earnings per share year-over-year. The NAV per share was $57.92 at the end of the quarter, with an additional 6% increase noted post quarter-end to $61.33. The Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.5625 per share, consistent with the previous quarter. The company also continued its share buyback program, contributing approximately a $0.02 improvement in earnings per share. Significant developments included the sale of Peak, projected to yield a gain of nearly USD 200 million, and a 39% increase in the valuation of Sagard's general partner. Despite some reductions in NAV from Lumenpulse and Lion, the overall portfolio exhibited strong growth, with Wealthsimple's valuation notably increasing by 46%.

Power Corp of Canada Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Power Corporation Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results and Dividend Increase
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Power Corporation of Canada reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, with significant increases in net earnings and adjusted net earnings compared to the previous year. The company also announced a 9% dividend increase and highlighted strategic initiatives such as share buybacks and partnerships, which are expected to bolster its market position and enhance shareholder value.

Financial Disclosures
Power Corporation to Release Year-End 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

Power Corporation of Canada is set to release its fourth quarter and year-end 2024 financial results on March 19, 2025, after market close. The announcement will be followed by a conference call and webcast on March 20, 2025, where the company’s executives will discuss the results, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.