tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Great-West Lifeco (TSE:GWO)
TSX:GWO

Great-West Lifeco (GWO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
460 Followers

Top Page

TS

Great-West Lifeco

(TSX:GWO)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$57.00
▲(10.04%Upside)
Great-West Lifeco's robust earnings performance and strategic corporate events are major strengths, while technical indicators and valuation suggest moderate near-term potential. Revenue consistency and liability management remain areas to watch.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company has increased its medium-term base ROE target to over 19%, reflecting a strong focus on generating higher returns.
Growth Potential
Empower's 'double-digit' targeted growth is identified as a key driver for the company's future earnings potential.
Shareholder Value
Great-West Lifeco earmarks $500mm for share buybacks, enhancing shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Earnings Visibility
Earnings visibility is challenged by the often lumpy and opaque Empower, Europe, and Capital & Risk Solutions segments.
Leverage
Great-West Lifeco's pro forma leverage remains elevated at an estimated 29%.
Valuation Concerns
The generally full valuation at 11.8x NTM base EPS and earnings visibility challenges in the Europe/Capital & Risk Solutions segments create concerns.

Great-West Lifeco (GWO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Great-West Lifeco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreat-West Lifeco Inc., a financial services holding company, engages in the life and health insurance, retirement and investment services, asset management, and reinsurance businesses in Canada, the United States, and Europe. The company offers a portfolio of financial and benefit plan solutions for individuals, families, businesses, and organizations; life, disability, critical illness, accidental death, dismemberment, health and dental protection, and creditor insurance products; and retirement savings and income, annuity, and other specialty products. It also provides employer-sponsored retirement savings plans, individual retirement and taxable brokerage accounts, enrollment services, communication materials, investment options, and education services; and fund management, investment, and advisory services. In addition, the company offers private-label recordkeeping and administrative services; and investment products, including equity, fixed income, absolute return, and alternative strategies. Further, it provides protection and wealth management products, including payout annuity products; pension products; and life, annuity/longevity, mortgage surety, and property catastrophe reinsurance products. The company offers its products under the Canada Life, Irish Life, Empower, Putnam Investments, and PanAgora brand names. It distributes its products through a network of advisors, dealers, brokers, managing general agencies, financial institutions, consultants, third-party administrators, sales force, financial planners, employee benefit consultants, banks, and multi-tied agents. The company was founded in 1891 and is based in Winnipeg, Canada. Great-West Lifeco Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Power Financial Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreat-West Lifeco generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from premiums collected on life and health insurance policies, as well as fees from investment management and retirement services. The company earns money from underwriting insurance policies, where it charges premiums to its policyholders and invests the premiums in a variety of assets to generate returns. Additionally, Great-West Lifeco earns management fees from its asset management services, which include mutual funds and other investment products. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions, which expand its market reach and diversify its product offerings. Interest income from its invested assets and reinsurance agreements further contribute to its earnings.

Great-West Lifeco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance in terms of base earnings, client asset growth, and positive momentum in the Retirement and Wealth segments. However, challenges such as the impact of the California wildfires, unfavorable mortality experience, and commercial mortgage loan write-downs presented significant obstacles. Despite these issues, the overall performance remained robust, with strategic initiatives and operational strengths providing a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Base Earnings
Great-West Lifeco exceeded $1 billion in base earnings this quarter, marking a 5% increase year-over-year. Base EPS rose 6% to $1.11, and base ROE reached 17.2%, up 20 basis points over the prior year.
Strong Growth in Retirement and Wealth Businesses
The Retirement segment saw base earnings increase 24% year-over-year, supported by margin expansion at Empower, where operating margins rose nearly 400 basis points to roughly 30%. Net flows at Empower also improved, indicating continued momentum in this business.
Significant Increase in Client Assets
Total client assets increased by 13% over the prior year, reaching more than $3 trillion. Of that, $1 trillion represents assets and advice solutions or under management, showcasing the strengths and scale of the retirement and wealth platforms.
Cash and Capital Generation
Lifeco's cash position grew to $2.5 billion, supported by a solid capital base. This provides flexibility to deploy capital confidently in line with strategic priorities.
Empower's Successful Quarter
Empower achieved net inflows of $5.2 billion in the Retirement business driven by new plan wins and strong plan retention. Wealth net flows more than doubled year-over-year to $2.8 billion.
Group Benefits and Insurance & Risk Solutions Performance
Group Benefits base earnings rose by 4% year-over-year, with strong premium growth in Europe. Insurance & Risk Solutions delivered solid results despite the impact of mortality experience.
Negative Updates
Impact of California Wildfires
A claims provision of $21 million after tax was related to the California wildfires in January 2025, impacting Insurance & Risk Solutions results.
Unfavorable Mortality Experience
Unfavorable mortality experience across the business impacted results by approximately $30 million before tax, affecting Insurance & Risk Solutions and other segments.
Commercial Mortgage Loan Write-downs
There were write-downs of 3 U.S. commercial mortgage loans totaling $45 million after tax, mostly related to a single property, reflecting specific asset issues rather than a broader economic environment change.
Seasonal and Market Volatility Impacts
Market volatility and the impacts of seasonality, including fewer days in the quarter due to the previous leap year, affected earnings growth by reducing it by $0.01 to $0.02 per share.
Company Guidance
During the Great-West Lifeco First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, several key financial metrics and strategic updates were highlighted. The company reported over $1 billion in base earnings for the quarter, reflecting a 5% increase year-over-year. Base earnings per share (EPS) rose by 6% to $1.11, and the base return on equity (ROE) improved by 20 basis points to reach 17.2%. Total client assets grew to over $3 trillion, a 13% increase from the previous year, with $1 trillion in assets and advice solutions or under management. The cash position of Lifeco stood at $2.5 billion, underpinning a robust financial foundation. Additionally, the company experienced double-digit growth in its Retirement and Wealth segments, with Retirement base earnings up 24% year-over-year, supported by a significant margin expansion at Empower, where operating margins improved by nearly 400 basis points to approximately 30%. Despite challenges such as market volatility and seasonally impacted insurance experience, the company's diversified business model and strong capital generation continue to provide resilience and growth opportunities.

Great-West Lifeco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Great-West Lifeco presents a generally robust financial position with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management. Despite some inconsistencies in revenue growth and a relatively high reliance on liabilities, the company has maintained sound profitability margins and leverage ratios. Continued focus on revenue stability and leveraging cash flow effectively will be crucial for sustaining its financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Great-West Lifeco shows a solid gross profit margin at 83.48% for TTM, indicating strong profitability. The net profit margin for TTM is 17.34%, which is healthy given the industry's nature. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable decline from 2022 to 2023, impacting the overall score. The EBIT margin for TTM at 31.65% is strong, but the EBITDA margin is lower than EBIT due to adjustments, highlighting some volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.32, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity for TTM is 13.27%, reflecting efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio of 3.72% shows a heavy reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks if market conditions change. Overall, the balance sheet suggests a well-managed but highly leveraged financial structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights strong free cash flow generation with a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.09 for TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 1.09, indicating effective cash management. However, the decrease in free cash flow compared to previous periods reflects in the score, suggesting potential areas for improvement in cash flow sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.88B17.22B25.27B44.70B64.45B60.60B
Gross Profit19.10B17.22B25.27B44.70B64.45B60.60B
EBITDA5.58B5.93B4.00B3.72B4.74B3.82B
Net Income3.97B4.07B2.87B3.73B3.26B3.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets804.14B802.16B713.23B701.46B630.49B600.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.99B24.71B19.38B18.84B17.23B7.95B
Total Debt9.54B10.23B9.65B11.29B9.73B10.71B
Total Liabilities771.05B771.01B683.38B669.14B600.00B573.48B
Stockholders Equity29.91B29.54B26.84B29.01B27.22B24.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.33B4.75B5.20B7.05B10.37B9.61B
Operating Cash Flow4.33B4.75B5.20B7.05B10.37B9.61B
Investing Cash Flow-196.00M-408.00M-786.00M-5.49B-11.21B-8.20B
Financing Cash Flow-2.44B-2.29B-3.55B-620.00M-992.00M2.01B

Great-West Lifeco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.80
Price Trends
50DMA
51.27
Positive
100DMA
51.68
Positive
200DMA
48.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
56.37
Neutral
STOCH
86.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GWO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.02, above the 50-day MA of 51.27, and above the 200-day MA of 48.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GWO.

Great-West Lifeco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSGWO
73
Outperform
C$48.07B12.5714.65%6.47%17.48%25.54%
67
Neutral
$16.66B11.449.71%3.92%11.61%-10.70%
MFMFC
$54.76B16.6310.17%3.97%
SLSLF
$37.26B16.7013.18%3.89%
$43.19B9.7017.21%0.84%
TSIAG
81
Outperform
C$13.53B15.3612.54%3.34%-7.31%28.65%
TSPOW
74
Outperform
C$34.18B12.8011.92%6.22%7.63%8.84%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
51.80
13.86
36.53%
MFC
Manulife Financial
31.99
6.74
26.69%
SLF
Sun Life Financial
65.93
19.19
41.06%
FRFHF
Fairfax Financial Holdings
1,780.86
655.15
58.20%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
147.38
63.74
76.21%
TSE:POW
Power Corp of Canada
54.04
16.79
45.07%

Great-West Lifeco Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canada Life Reinsurance Shifts Focus to Structured Reinsurance
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

Canada Life Reinsurance, a subsidiary of Great-West Lifeco, announced a strategic shift by ceasing new business for its U.S. traditional life mortality risk reinsurance line to focus more on structured reinsurance markets. This decision aims to allocate more resources to structured solutions, longevity reinsurance, and catastrophe retrocession, while ensuring a smooth transition for existing clients and maintaining high service levels for its inforce business.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Hold with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great-West Lifeco Appoints Lindsey Rix-Broom as CEO of European Operations
Positive
May 22, 2025

Great-West Lifeco has appointed Lindsey Rix-Broom as CEO of its European operations, effective July 1, 2025. Rix-Broom, who currently leads Canada Life U.K., is recognized for her leadership and strategic focus, having driven significant growth and modernization in the U.K. market. Her appointment is part of a broader leadership transition, with David Harney taking over as President & CEO of Great-West Lifeco and Canada Life. This strategic move aims to strengthen Lifeco’s presence in Europe, particularly in the U.K., Ireland, and Germany, as the company continues to focus on delivering sustainable growth and value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GWO) stock is a Hold with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great-West Lifeco stock, see the TSE:GWO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Great-West Lifeco Elects Full Slate of Directors, Ensuring Leadership Stability
Positive
May 8, 2025

Great-West Lifeco announced the election of all 19 director nominees during its Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders. The election results showed strong support for the nominees, indicating stability and continuity in the company’s governance. This decision is expected to reinforce Great-West Lifeco’s strategic direction and maintain its robust position in the financial services industry, benefiting stakeholders by ensuring consistent leadership.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great-West Lifeco Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results with Focus on U.S. Growth
Positive
May 7, 2025

Great-West Lifeco reported strong first quarter 2025 results, with base earnings of $1.0 billion, marking a 5% increase from the previous year, driven by growth in its Retirement and Wealth businesses. Despite a 17% decline in net earnings from continuing operations due to unfavorable market conditions, the company maintained a robust capital position with a LICAT ratio of 130% and continued its strategic focus on capital-efficient growth, particularly in the U.S. segment, which contributed significantly to its performance.

Executive/Board Changes
Great-West Lifeco Announces Leadership Transition
Neutral
May 1, 2025

Great-West Lifeco announced the retirement of Paul Mahon as President and CEO, effective July 1, 2025, with David Harney set to succeed him. Mahon, who has been instrumental in repositioning the company and leading it through significant transformations, will remain as a Senior Advisor until early 2026 to ensure a smooth transition. Harney, with over 35 years at the company and a proven track record in leadership roles, is expected to continue driving Lifeco’s growth strategy and strengthening its market presence.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Great-West Lifeco to Announce Q1 2025 Results and Hold Annual Meetings
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

Great-West Lifeco announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 7, with a subsequent earnings conference call and webcast scheduled for May 8. The company will also hold its Annual and Special Meetings on May 8, allowing registered shareholders and policyholders to participate in person or virtually. These events are significant as they provide stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great-West Lifeco Updates Financial Objectives at 2025 Investor Day
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Great-West Lifeco Inc. hosted its 2025 Investor Day in Toronto, focusing on the theme ‘Driving Growth, Delivering Lasting Value.’ The company updated its medium-term financial objectives, including an increase in its Base Return on Equity objective to 19% or more, up from 16-17%. Additionally, it introduced a new objective for Base Capital Generation of 80% or more and reaffirmed its confidence in achieving Base EPS growth of 8-10% and a Base Dividend Payout Ratio of 45-55%. These updates reflect the company’s strategic focus on building market-leading franchises and delivering value for shareholders through strong cash and capital generation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025