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Nexus Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:NXR.UN)
TSX:NXR.UN

Nexus Real Estate Investment (NXR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NXR.UN

Nexus Real Estate Investment

(TSX:NXR.UN)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.50
▲(3.66% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weakening TTM cash flow/FCF and choppy near-term financial performance alongside elevated leverage. Offsetting this, technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and positive momentum, and valuation is attractive with a low P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
High operational efficiency, as evidenced by strong gross and EBIT margins, indicates effective cost management and a robust business model, which can sustain profitability over the long term.
Cash Flow Generation
Significant growth in free cash flow demonstrates improved cash generation capabilities, providing the company with more resources for reinvestment and debt reduction, enhancing financial stability.
Gross Profit Margin
A strong gross profit margin reflects efficient cost management and pricing power, which can support sustained profitability and competitive positioning in the market.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth suggests potential challenges in expanding market share or increasing sales, which could impact long-term growth prospects and investor confidence.
High Leverage
High leverage can pose financial risks by increasing interest obligations and reducing financial flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Decline
A decline in net profit margin indicates reduced profitability, which may affect the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders and invest in future growth.

Nexus Real Estate Investment (NXR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Nexus Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexus is a growth oriented real estate investment trust focused on increasing unitholder value through the acquisition, ownership and management of industrial, office and retail properties located in primary and secondary markets in North America. The REIT currently owns a portfolio of 73 properties comprising approximately 4.1 million square feet of rentable area. The REIT has approximately 109,910,000 units issued and outstanding. Additionally, there are Class B LP Units of subsidiary limited partnerships of Nexus REIT issued and outstanding, which are convertible into approximately 25,667,000 REIT Units.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexus Real Estate Investment generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. The company leases space to tenants, which provides a consistent cash flow stream. Additionally, NXR.UN may benefit from property appreciation over time, allowing for potential capital gains upon the sale of assets. The company might also engage in strategic partnerships with property management firms or other real estate entities to enhance operational efficiency and maximize rental yields. Furthermore, NXR.UN's ability to leverage financing options and optimize its capital structure plays a critical role in its profitability.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment with strong leasing activity, progress in development projects, and financial improvements. However, it was tempered by a net loss, leasing challenges, and increased expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Operating Income Increase
Net operating income increased by 1.7% to $32.2 million compared to a year ago, despite selling 33 properties over the past 12 months.
Strong Leasing Activity
Nearly 400,000 square feet of new leases and renewals were completed, resulting in a rent lift of 38% on renewals.
Successful Lease Backfill
Signed a 15-year lease with a large construction services firm for a 223,000 square foot building in London, Ontario, shortly after it was vacated.
Development Project Progress
Construction of two development properties advanced, with one project expected to deliver an 11% unlevered return on investment.
Financial Metrics Improvement
Normalized FFO increased by 6% to $0.188 per unit and normalized AFFO increased by 7% to $0.159 per unit compared to a year ago.
Credit Facility Upsize
Upsized existing syndicated committed credit facility by $160 million to a total of $785 million, extending its expiry.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Incurred
Posted a net loss of $7.6 million, a significant decrease from a net income of $43.5 million last year, primarily due to lower fair value adjustments.
Challenges in Leasing Out Peavey Mart Building
The building in Red Deer, Alberta, vacated by Peavey Mart, remains unleased, reflecting challenges in finding a specific user for the large space.
Market Slowdown in Hamilton
The leasing market in Hamilton has been slow, impacting the ability to lease a new 115,000 square foot building completed last summer.
Increased General and Administrative Expenses
Total general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $2.2 million, $300,000 higher than a year ago, primarily due to higher compensation expense.
Company Guidance
During the Nexus Industrial REIT's Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported a net operating income increase of 1.7% to $32.2 million compared to the previous year, despite selling 33 properties in the office, retail, and non-core industrial sectors. Key growth drivers included strong leasing activity, which saw nearly 400,000 square feet of new leases and renewals with a 38% rent lift, as well as significant developments and property acquisitions. The REIT completed construction on two projects, with one yielding an 11% unlevered return and another transitioning to a 9% yield on a $55 million development cost. Notably, the REIT's normalized FFO increased by 6% to $0.188 per unit, and AFFO rose by 7% to $0.159 per unit. Additionally, Nexus expanded its credit facility by $160 million, extending its total to $785 million. Despite a net loss of $7.6 million due to fair value adjustments, the REIT remains focused on its strategy as a Canada-focused industrial REIT.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nexus Real Estate Investment demonstrates strong operational efficiency with high gross and EBIT margins. However, challenges in revenue growth and profitability are evident, alongside a high leverage position that could pose financial risks. Cash flow generation has improved significantly, but cash conversion efficiency remains an area for improvement.
Income Statement
The income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 71.79% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 44.92% from the previous year's 51.73%, reflecting reduced profitability. Revenue growth is slightly negative at -1.09% TTM, suggesting a potential challenge in maintaining top-line growth. Despite this, the EBIT margin remains robust at 75.73%, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity has decreased to 7.56% TTM from 8.56% the previous year, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 41.43%, indicating a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a substantial free cash flow growth of 316.48% TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, suggesting limited cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also relatively low at 0.13, indicating that a smaller portion of net income is being converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue174.74M175.70M157.65M137.12M83.56M61.39M
Gross Profit128.58M125.87M111.97M95.81M55.95M39.23M
EBITDA131.86M145.87M201.67M142.37M-14.93M41.62M
Net Income78.65M90.88M160.03M91.75M146.36M14.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.61B2.60B2.46B1.97B1.66B710.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.37M11.53M5.92M11.53M82.28M13.99M
Total Debt1.28B1.25B1.19B827.11M679.55M342.72M
Total Liabilities1.55B1.54B1.46B1.09B968.67M410.92M
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.06B1.00B872.54M689.48M299.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.91M24.70M32.08M30.32M19.62M18.69M
Operating Cash Flow23.52M38.96M51.02M41.53M25.00M24.35M
Investing Cash Flow29.10M-78.60M-345.99M-315.73M-469.25M-45.07M
Financing Cash Flow-46.06M45.26M289.36M203.45M512.54M26.84M

Nexus Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.20
Price Trends
50DMA
7.74
Positive
100DMA
7.72
Positive
200DMA
7.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
73.77
Negative
STOCH
86.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NXR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.88, above the 50-day MA of 7.74, and above the 200-day MA of 7.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.77 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NXR.UN.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$2.11B3.8818.10%4.42%6.19%79.98%
70
Outperform
C$1.66B5.8017.29%0.09%10.61%43.64%
70
Outperform
C$641.45M8.627.26%3.87%-1.21%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
C$795.58M9.857.32%8.07%0.41%78.32%
54
Neutral
C$6.04B101.130.65%4.20%-6.51%-81.28%
47
Neutral
C$1.86B-18.63-4.40%3.01%1.55%-401.05%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NXR.UN
Nexus Real Estate Investment
8.20
1.25
18.00%
TSE:CAR.UN
Canadian Apartment
38.86
-1.11
-2.78%
TSE:IIP.UN
InterRent REIT Un
13.29
3.52
36.03%
TSE:KMP.UN
Killam Apartment REIT Un
17.38
1.28
7.95%
TSE:MEQ
Mainstreet Equity
179.10
-11.75
-6.16%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
17.51
5.13
41.44%

Nexus Real Estate Investment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Nexus Industrial REIT Boosts Montreal Portfolio With $40.1 Million Acquisition
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT has acquired two industrial buildings in Montreal, Quebec, for $40.1 million, adding a combined 277,000 square feet of gross leasable area under long-term leases expiring in November 2032. The transaction, funded through the REIT’s credit facility, comes with an initial cap rate of 6.6% that is expected to reset to an estimated 10.4% in 2028, making the deal immediately accretive to adjusted funds from operations and net asset value per unit while enhancing Nexus’s footprint in key industrial markets and supporting its strategy to be a leading provider of high-quality industrial properties in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Nexus Industrial REIT Declares January and February 2026 Distributions
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT has declared cash distributions of $0.05333 per unit for both January and February 2026, equivalent to an annualized rate of $0.64 per unit, with payments scheduled for mid-February and mid-March 2026 to unitholders of record at the end of January and February, respectively. The announcement underscores the REIT’s ongoing commitment to return capital to investors and maintain a steady income stream, reinforcing its positioning as an income-focused industrial real estate vehicle in the Canadian market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nexus Industrial REIT Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Key Developments and Leasing Success
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT reported strong third-quarter results for 2025, highlighted by the completion of two significant industrial developments and robust leasing activity. The developments are expected to add $6.6 million in annual stabilized net operating income, with a notable 9.4% return on development costs. The company also achieved a 96% occupancy rate, reflecting successful leasing efforts, including filling a large vacant space and renewing leases at favorable terms. Despite a slight decrease in net operating income due to property dispositions, Nexus continues to transition effectively to a pure-play industrial REIT, enhancing its market position and delivering value to unitholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026