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Nexus Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:NXR.UN)
:NXR.UN
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Nexus Real Estate Investment (NXR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Nexus Real Estate Investment

(OTC:NXR.UN)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$9.00
▲(16.73%Upside)
Nexus Industrial REIT's strong financial performance and attractive valuation drive a positive stock score. The company's strategic repositioning to focus on industrial assets supports future growth, despite economic challenges and tenant risks highlighted in the earnings call. Technical indicators signal bullish momentum, although caution is warranted due to near-overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet
Dispositions are favourably impacting the balance sheet and portfolio composition.
Development Projects
Lease-up/completion of several development projects is also a source of potential upside.
Negative Factors
Leverage and Payout Ratio
Neutral stance reflects NXR's above-average leverage and payout ratio vs. peers.

Nexus Real Estate Investment (NXR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Nexus Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexus Real Estate Investment Trust (NXR.UN) is a Canadian real estate investment trust focused on acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of commercial properties. The company primarily invests in industrial, office, and retail sectors across major Canadian markets, aiming to provide stable and growing cash distributions to its unitholders through strategic property acquisitions and active asset management.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexus Real Estate Investment Trust generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. The trust leases space to a variety of tenants, including businesses in the industrial, office, and retail sectors. Revenue is further supported by property management fees and potential capital appreciation from strategic property acquisitions and disposals. The company benefits from long-term lease agreements, which provide consistent cash flow, and actively manages its properties to enhance value and occupancy rates. Additionally, Nexus may engage in joint ventures or partnerships to expand its investment opportunities and leverage its expertise in real estate management.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook overall due to successful strategic repositioning, strong leasing performance, and income growth. However, challenges persist with economic conditions and tenant issues, slightly tempering the enthusiasm.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Repositioning Completion
Nexus Industrial REIT completed its strategic repositioning by selling 15 of its 16 retail properties, making it a Canada-focused pure play industrial REIT.
Robust Industrial Occupancy
Industrial occupancy increased to 97% in the first quarter, with successful lease renewals and pre-leasing exceeding expectations.
Net Operating Income Growth
Total net operating income increased by $2.6 million or 8.6% to $32.1 million, driven by acquisitions, organic growth, and development.
Strong Lease Renewals
Over 80% of expiring GLA was renewed, with a 30% growth on expiring rents, adding $3.5 million to NOI.
Positive Development Progress
Significant progress in development projects, including a 325,000 sq ft expansion in St. Thomas and a new 115,000 sq ft building in Calgary.
Negative Updates
Economic Challenges Due to Tariff War
The ongoing tariff war is negatively impacting the Canadian industrial sector, though Nexus remains relatively insulated.
Tenant Creditor Protection
Two tenants entered creditor protection, potentially impacting 2025 results, though rent was paid through April.
Unleased Property in Hamilton
A 115,000 sq ft project in Hamilton remains unleased, presenting challenges in a tough market.
Red Deer Tenant Exit
PV Mart terminated its lease in Red Deer, with expectations of a longer time to find a new tenant.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Nexus Industrial REIT provided robust guidance, highlighting several key metrics and strategic actions. The REIT completed the sale of 15 out of 16 retail properties for $47 million, marking a strategic shift to become a Canada-focused pure-play industrial REIT with over 99% of its Net Operating Income (NOI) derived from industrial assets. The REIT's industrial occupancy rose to 97%, and it achieved a 6.6% growth in industrial same-property NOI, contributing to a total NOI increase of $2.6 million or 8.6% year-over-year. The company reported a normalized Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) of $0.1504 per unit, up from $0.1305 per unit the prior year. Development projects are advancing with anticipated unlevered returns of 9% and 11% on new properties in St. Thomas and Calgary, respectively. Despite economic challenges, the REIT expects mid-single-digit industrial same-property NOI growth for the year.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nexus Real Estate Investment shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and efficient cash flow management. Despite increased leverage, the company's financial health remains stable, with a focus on maintaining a strong cash position and effective capital allocation.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Nexus Real Estate Investment has demonstrated robust revenue growth from 2019 to 2024, with a notable increase in total revenue from $60 million in 2019 to $175.7 million in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin improved significantly from 63.2% in 2019 to 71.6% in 2024. However, the Net Profit Margin fluctuated, peaking in 2021 due to a substantial net income but declining in subsequent years. EBITDA Margin remains strong, reflecting efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased from 1.14 in 2019 to 1.18 in 2024, indicating higher leverage but manageable within the industry norms. Return on Equity (ROE) showed volatility, with a high of 21.7% in 2021, reflecting exceptional net income, followed by a decrease in subsequent years. The Equity Ratio declined slightly over the years, suggesting an increase in liabilities relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating Cash Flow remains strong, although it decreased from $51 million in 2023 to $38.96 million in 2024. Free Cash Flow was positive and stable, despite a slight decline from the previous year. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was robust, highlighting the company's ability to convert net income into free cash flow effectively.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.70M157.65M137.12M83.56M61.39M
Gross Profit125.87M111.97M95.81M55.95M39.23M
EBITDA145.87M201.67M142.37M-14.93M41.62M
Net Income90.88M160.03M91.75M146.36M14.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.60B2.46B1.97B1.66B710.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.53M5.92M11.53M82.28M13.99M
Total Debt1.25B1.19B827.11M679.55M342.72M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.46B1.09B968.67M410.92M
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.00B872.54M689.48M299.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.70M32.08M30.32M19.62M18.69M
Operating Cash Flow38.96M51.02M41.53M25.00M24.35M
Investing Cash Flow-78.60M-345.99M-315.73M-469.25M-45.07M
Financing Cash Flow45.26M289.36M203.45M512.54M26.84M

Nexus Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.71
Price Trends
50DMA
7.40
Positive
100DMA
7.05
Positive
200DMA
7.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
49.89
Neutral
STOCH
20.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NXR.UN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.67, above the 50-day MA of 7.40, and above the 200-day MA of 7.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:NXR.UN.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$717.12M8.897.47%8.30%9.21%-61.37%
75
Outperform
C$958.41M8.655.83%4.14%3.85%-31.81%
71
Outperform
C$539.27M6.089.03%3.52%-0.29%
60
Neutral
C$597.31M-37.33%24.83%-7.34%-966.70%
59
Neutral
C$1.25B-2.56-8.19%4.96%10.84%-23.78%
57
Neutral
$750.94M-1.80%7.82%-13.42%86.55%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NXR.UN
Nexus Real Estate Investment
7.71
0.44
6.10%
TSE:AX.UN
Artis Real Estate Investment
7.67
1.44
23.13%
TSE:ERE.UN
European Residential Real Estate ate Investment Trust
2.60
1.03
65.61%
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
18.20
1.82
11.11%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
14.80
-0.73
-4.70%

Nexus Real Estate Investment Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Nexus Industrial REIT Schedules Q2 Results Release and Declares Distributions
Positive
Jul 11, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT announced the release of its second-quarter financial results on August 12, 2025, along with a conference call to discuss the results. The company also declared cash distributions for July and August, maintaining a consistent payout to unitholders, reflecting its stable financial performance and commitment to investor returns.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nexus Industrial REIT Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results Amid Strategic Shift
Positive
May 15, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT announced a successful first quarter of 2025, highlighted by an 8.6% increase in net operating income driven by strategic acquisitions and developments. The company completed its transition to a pure-play industrial REIT, selling 15 retail and one office property to focus on industrial assets, which now account for over 99% of its NOI. This strategic shift positions Nexus to better withstand economic challenges, with a strong start to 2025 leasing activities and significant ongoing development projects expected to enhance future income. The REIT’s financial performance was bolstered by increased occupancy rates and successful lease renewals, demonstrating the strength of its tenant relationships and portfolio quality.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 12, 2025