Nexus Real Estate Investment (NXR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$763.56M
• Dividend Yield: 8.07%
• Average Volume (3M): 117.25K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.88
• Revenue Growth: 0.41%
• EPS Growth: 78.32%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 21
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: REIT - Industrial
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 71,751,620
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 121,432
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 117,248
• PEG Ratio: -0.18
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 4.11
• P/FCF Ratio: 29.21
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$8.26
• Price Target Upside: 4.91% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 62 Neutral
• Price Target: C$8.50 ▲(8.01% Upside)

The score is held back primarily by weakening TTM cash flow/FCF and choppy near-term financial performance alongside elevated leverage. Offsetting this, technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and positive momentum, and valuation is attractive with a low P/E and high dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

High operational efficiency, as evidenced by strong gross and EBIT margins, indicates effective cost management and a robust business model, which can sustain profitability over the long term.

Cash Flow Generation

Significant growth in free cash flow demonstrates improved cash generation capabilities, providing the company with more resources for reinvestment and debt reduction, enhancing financial stability.

Gross Profit Margin

A strong gross profit margin reflects efficient cost management and pricing power, which can support sustained profitability and competitive positioning in the market.

Negative Factors

Revenue Growth Challenges

Negative revenue growth suggests potential challenges in expanding market share or increasing sales, which could impact long-term growth prospects and investor confidence.

High Leverage

High leverage can pose financial risks by increasing interest obligations and reducing financial flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Profitability Decline

A decline in net profit margin indicates reduced profitability, which may affect the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders and invest in future growth.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nexus is a growth oriented real estate investment trust focused on increasing unitholder value through the acquisition, ownership and management of industrial, office and retail properties located in primary and secondary markets in North America. The REIT currently owns a portfolio of 73 properties comprising approximately 4.1 million square feet of rentable area. The REIT has approximately 109,910,000 units issued and outstanding. Additionally, there are Class B LP Units of subsidiary limited partnerships of Nexus REIT issued and outstanding, which are convertible into approximately 25,667,000 REIT Units.

How the Company Makes Money

Nexus Real Estate Investment generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. The company leases space to tenants, which provides a consistent cash flow stream. Additionally, NXR.UN may benefit from property appreciation over time, allowing for potential capital gains upon the sale of assets. The company might also engage in strategic partnerships with property management firms or other real estate entities to enhance operational efficiency and maximize rental yields. Furthermore, NXR.UN's ability to leverage financing options and optimize its capital structure plays a critical role in its profitability.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement shows solid multi-year revenue expansion, but TTM revenue growth is sharply negative and margins are inconsistent, reducing earnings quality confidence. Balance sheet is asset-backed but leverage is elevated (~1.18–1.21 debt-to-equity) with cooling ROE. Cash flow is the key weakness: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow have deteriorated materially (FCF down ~59%), limiting flexibility.

Income Statement

Revenue has grown meaningfully over the 2020–2024 period, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a sharp reversal with revenue growth of -126%, signaling volatility and potential non-recurring or timing effects. Profitability looks optically strong with very high gross and net margins in recent periods, but margins are inconsistent year-to-year (including unusual readings where net income exceeds revenue), which reduces confidence in the earnings run-rate. Overall: solid long-term top-line expansion, but near-term growth and earnings quality appear choppy.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is asset-backed and has grown steadily, but leverage is elevated for comfort: debt-to-equity sits around ~1.18–1.21 in 2023–TTM, up from sub-1.0 in 2022. Returns on equity are positive but have cooled from prior peaks (roughly 16% in 2023 to ~7% in TTM), suggesting profitability is moderating while leverage remains high. Overall: decent scale and equity base, offset by higher leverage and declining returns.

Cash Flow

Cash generation has weakened materially. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is low relative to net income, and free cash flow is thin, with free cash flow down ~59% versus the prior period. While prior years (2022–2024) showed healthier free cash flow conversion, the latest TTM indicates rising pressure on cash earnings and less financial flexibility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	174.74M	175.70M	157.65M	137.12M	83.56M	61.39M
Gross Profit	128.58M	125.87M	111.97M	95.81M	55.95M	39.23M
EBITDA	131.86M	145.87M	201.67M	142.37M	-14.93M	41.62M
Net Income	78.65M	90.88M	160.03M	91.75M	146.36M	14.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.61B	2.60B	2.46B	1.97B	1.66B	710.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	14.37M	11.53M	5.92M	11.53M	82.28M	13.99M
Total Debt	1.28B	1.25B	1.19B	827.11M	679.55M	342.72M
Total Liabilities	1.55B	1.54B	1.46B	1.09B	968.67M	410.92M
Stockholders Equity	1.06B	1.06B	1.00B	872.54M	689.48M	299.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.91M	24.70M	32.08M	30.32M	19.62M	18.69M
Operating Cash Flow	23.52M	38.96M	51.02M	41.53M	25.00M	24.35M
Investing Cash Flow	29.10M	-78.60M	-345.99M	-315.73M	-469.25M	-45.07M
Financing Cash Flow	-46.06M	45.26M	289.36M	203.45M	512.54M	26.84M

Nexus Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.87
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NXR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.05, above the 50-day MA of 7.79, and above the 200-day MA of 7.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NXR.UN.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
KMP.UN	71 Outperform	C$2.13B	3.93	18.10%	4.42%	6.19%	79.98%
MEQ	70 Outperform	C$1.63B	5.67	17.29%	0.09%	10.61%	43.64%
MI.UN	70 Outperform	C$638.15M	8.53	7.26%	3.87%	-1.21%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
NXR.UN	62 Neutral	C$763.56M	9.43	7.32%	8.07%	0.41%	78.32%
CAR.UN	54 Neutral	C$5.99B	99.33	0.65%	4.20%	-6.51%	-81.28%
IIP.UN	47 Neutral	C$1.86B	-18.68	-4.40%	3.01%	1.55%	-401.05%

Nexus Real Estate Investment Corporate Events

Nexus Industrial REIT Sets March 6 Date for Q4 and 2025 Year-End Results

Nexus Industrial REIT will release its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, before the opening of trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange on March 6, 2026. The trust will follow the disclosure with a same-day conference call led by management to review its financial performance and operations, providing unitholders and analysts with an opportunity to assess the REIT’s progress and outlook in the Canadian industrial real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Nexus Industrial REIT Boosts Montreal Portfolio With $40.1 Million Acquisition

Nexus Industrial REIT has acquired two industrial buildings in Montreal, Quebec, for $40.1 million, adding a combined 277,000 square feet of gross leasable area under long-term leases expiring in November 2032. The transaction, funded through the REIT’s credit facility, comes with an initial cap rate of 6.6% that is expected to reset to an estimated 10.4% in 2028, making the deal immediately accretive to adjusted funds from operations and net asset value per unit while enhancing Nexus’s footprint in key industrial markets and supporting its strategy to be a leading provider of high-quality industrial properties in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Nexus Industrial REIT Declares January and February 2026 Distributions

Nexus Industrial REIT has declared cash distributions of $0.05333 per unit for both January and February 2026, equivalent to an annualized rate of $0.64 per unit, with payments scheduled for mid-February and mid-March 2026 to unitholders of record at the end of January and February, respectively. The announcement underscores the REIT’s ongoing commitment to return capital to investors and maintain a steady income stream, reinforcing its positioning as an income-focused industrial real estate vehicle in the Canadian market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Nexus Industrial REIT Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Key Developments and Leasing Success

Nexus Industrial REIT reported strong third-quarter results for 2025, highlighted by the completion of two significant industrial developments and robust leasing activity. The developments are expected to add $6.6 million in annual stabilized net operating income, with a notable 9.4% return on development costs. The company also achieved a 96% occupancy rate, reflecting successful leasing efforts, including filling a large vacant space and renewing leases at favorable terms. Despite a slight decrease in net operating income due to property dispositions, Nexus continues to transition effectively to a pure-play industrial REIT, enhancing its market position and delivering value to unitholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.