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Nexus Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:NXR.UN)
TSX:NXR.UN
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Nexus Real Estate Investment (NXR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NXR.UN

Nexus Real Estate Investment

(TSX:NXR.UN)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$9.00
▲(14.65% Upside)
Nexus Real Estate Investment's overall score is driven by strong operational efficiency and positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with improvements in financial metrics, despite some challenges. The valuation is a mixed bag with a high P/E ratio but an attractive dividend yield. The company's high leverage and cash conversion efficiency remain areas of concern.
Positive Factors
Capital Structure Improvement
NXR has made significant progress in disposing of non-core legacy properties and improving its capital structure over the past 12 months.
Development Projects
$10M of annualized NOI upside potential from recent and soon-to-be-completed developments.
Leasing Performance
Leasing performance has been strong with over 90% of 2025 maturities locked down at a 26% spread.
Negative Factors
Leverage and Payout Ratio
Neutral stance reflects NXR's above-average leverage and payout ratio vs. peers, as well as lingering concerns with respect to certain legacy properties.
Valuation Concerns
The relative valuation is not compelling enough compared to large-cap Canadian industrial peers on a leverage-neutral basis.

Nexus Real Estate Investment (NXR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Nexus Real Estate Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexus is a growth oriented real estate investment trust focused on increasing unitholder value through the acquisition, ownership and management of industrial, office and retail properties located in primary and secondary markets in North America. The REIT currently owns a portfolio of 73 properties comprising approximately 4.1 million square feet of rentable area. The REIT has approximately 109,910,000 units issued and outstanding. Additionally, there are Class B LP Units of subsidiary limited partnerships of Nexus REIT issued and outstanding, which are convertible into approximately 25,667,000 REIT Units.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexus Real Estate Investment generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of properties. The company leases its spaces to a variety of tenants, including businesses in retail, industrial, and office sectors. Additionally, NXR.UN may realize income from property management services, as well as potential gains from property sales or refinancing. The REIT benefits from long-term leases with tenants, which provide predictable cash flows. Significant partnerships with real estate developers and local businesses also contribute to its revenue streams, allowing for strategic acquisitions and effective asset management.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment with strong leasing activity, progress in development projects, and financial improvements. However, it was tempered by a net loss, leasing challenges, and increased expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Operating Income Increase
Net operating income increased by 1.7% to $32.2 million compared to a year ago, despite selling 33 properties over the past 12 months.
Strong Leasing Activity
Nearly 400,000 square feet of new leases and renewals were completed, resulting in a rent lift of 38% on renewals.
Successful Lease Backfill
Signed a 15-year lease with a large construction services firm for a 223,000 square foot building in London, Ontario, shortly after it was vacated.
Development Project Progress
Construction of two development properties advanced, with one project expected to deliver an 11% unlevered return on investment.
Financial Metrics Improvement
Normalized FFO increased by 6% to $0.188 per unit and normalized AFFO increased by 7% to $0.159 per unit compared to a year ago.
Credit Facility Upsize
Upsized existing syndicated committed credit facility by $160 million to a total of $785 million, extending its expiry.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Incurred
Posted a net loss of $7.6 million, a significant decrease from a net income of $43.5 million last year, primarily due to lower fair value adjustments.
Challenges in Leasing Out Peavey Mart Building
The building in Red Deer, Alberta, vacated by Peavey Mart, remains unleased, reflecting challenges in finding a specific user for the large space.
Market Slowdown in Hamilton
The leasing market in Hamilton has been slow, impacting the ability to lease a new 115,000 square foot building completed last summer.
Increased General and Administrative Expenses
Total general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $2.2 million, $300,000 higher than a year ago, primarily due to higher compensation expense.
Company Guidance
During the Nexus Industrial REIT's Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported a net operating income increase of 1.7% to $32.2 million compared to the previous year, despite selling 33 properties in the office, retail, and non-core industrial sectors. Key growth drivers included strong leasing activity, which saw nearly 400,000 square feet of new leases and renewals with a 38% rent lift, as well as significant developments and property acquisitions. The REIT completed construction on two projects, with one yielding an 11% unlevered return and another transitioning to a 9% yield on a $55 million development cost. Notably, the REIT's normalized FFO increased by 6% to $0.188 per unit, and AFFO rose by 7% to $0.159 per unit. Additionally, Nexus expanded its credit facility by $160 million, extending its total to $785 million. Despite a net loss of $7.6 million due to fair value adjustments, the REIT remains focused on its strategy as a Canada-focused industrial REIT.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nexus Real Estate Investment shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and efficient cash flow management. Despite increased leverage, the company's financial health remains stable, with a focus on maintaining a strong cash position and effective capital allocation. The fluctuations in net income and ROE suggest potential areas for improved financial stability.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Nexus Real Estate Investment has demonstrated robust revenue growth from 2019 to 2024, with a notable increase in total revenue from $60 million in 2019 to $175.7 million in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin improved significantly from 63.2% in 2019 to 71.6% in 2024. However, the Net Profit Margin fluctuated, peaking in 2021 due to a substantial net income but declining in subsequent years. EBITDA Margin remains strong, reflecting efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased from 1.14 in 2019 to 1.18 in 2024, indicating higher leverage but manageable within the industry norms. Return on Equity (ROE) showed volatility, with a high of 21.7% in 2021, reflecting exceptional net income, followed by a decrease in subsequent years. The Equity Ratio declined slightly over the years, suggesting an increase in liabilities relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating Cash Flow remains strong, although it decreased from $51 million in 2023 to $38.96 million in 2024. Free Cash Flow was positive and stable, despite a slight decline from the previous year. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was robust, highlighting the company's ability to convert net income into free cash flow effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue176.97M175.70M157.65M137.12M83.56M61.39M
Gross Profit128.95M125.87M111.97M95.81M55.95M39.23M
EBITDA83.14M145.87M201.67M142.37M-14.93M41.62M
Net Income29.21M90.88M160.03M91.75M146.36M14.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.58B2.60B2.46B1.97B1.66B710.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.64M11.53M5.92M11.53M82.28M13.99M
Total Debt1.26B1.25B1.19B827.11M679.55M342.72M
Total Liabilities1.51B1.54B1.46B1.09B968.67M410.92M
Stockholders Equity1.07B1.06B1.00B872.54M689.48M299.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.60M24.70M32.08M30.32M19.62M18.69M
Operating Cash Flow27.54M38.96M51.02M41.53M25.00M24.35M
Investing Cash Flow17.83M-78.60M-345.99M-315.73M-469.25M-45.07M
Financing Cash Flow-47.60M45.26M289.36M203.45M512.54M26.84M

Nexus Real Estate Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.85
Price Trends
50DMA
7.67
Positive
100DMA
7.25
Positive
200DMA
7.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
56.97
Neutral
STOCH
17.06
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NXR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.79, above the 50-day MA of 7.67, and above the 200-day MA of 7.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.06 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NXR.UN.

Nexus Real Estate Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$741.09M25.322.47%8.15%4.66%-82.85%
68
Neutral
C$991.96M10.584.86%3.99%3.93%-29.40%
64
Neutral
C$500.54M7.185.89%3.81%-0.69%
63
Neutral
$7.06B13.54-0.50%6.96%4.08%-25.24%
44
Neutral
C$564.73M-43.99%65.84%-20.65%-629.60%
$508.94M-3.37%8.17%
$449.81M3.9016.19%3.25%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NXR.UN
Nexus Real Estate Investment
7.85
0.20
2.64%
TSE:ERE.UN
European Residential Real Estate ate Investment Trust
2.43
0.86
54.78%
TSE:MRG.UN
Morguard NA REIT UN
18.96
1.64
9.47%
ARESF
Artis Real Estate Investment
5.25
0.32
6.49%
TSE:MI.UN
Minto Apartment Real Estate Investment Trust
13.57
-2.50
-15.56%
MHCUF
Flagship Communities REIT Investment Trust
19.00
4.74
33.24%

Nexus Real Estate Investment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nexus Industrial REIT Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results Amid Strategic Shift
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, marking its first quarter as a pure-play industrial REIT. The company achieved a 5.6% growth in normalized FFO per unit and a 2.8% increase in industrial SPNOI. It completed the sale of 33 non-core properties and advanced construction projects that are expected to add significant annual NOI. Despite a net loss due to fair value adjustments, the REIT’s strategic focus on industrial properties is expected to yield positive outcomes for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$6.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Nexus Industrial REIT Schedules Q2 Results Release and Declares Distributions
Positive
Jul 11, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT announced the release of its second-quarter financial results on August 12, 2025, along with a conference call to discuss the results. The company also declared cash distributions for July and August, maintaining a consistent payout to unitholders, reflecting its stable financial performance and commitment to investor returns.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nexus Industrial REIT Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results Amid Strategic Shift
Positive
May 15, 2025

Nexus Industrial REIT announced a successful first quarter of 2025, highlighted by an 8.6% increase in net operating income driven by strategic acquisitions and developments. The company completed its transition to a pure-play industrial REIT, selling 15 retail and one office property to focus on industrial assets, which now account for over 99% of its NOI. This strategic shift positions Nexus to better withstand economic challenges, with a strong start to 2025 leasing activities and significant ongoing development projects expected to enhance future income. The REIT’s financial performance was bolstered by increased occupancy rates and successful lease renewals, demonstrating the strength of its tenant relationships and portfolio quality.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:NXR.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nexus Real Estate Investment stock, see the TSE:NXR.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025