Major Drilling (MDI) AI Stock Analysis

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Major Drilling

(TSX:MDI)

Rating:69Neutral

Price Target:

C$9.00

▼(-0.88%Downside)

Major Drilling's overall score reflects a balance of stable financial performance and optimistic future outlook as highlighted in the earnings call. While technical indicators and valuation are not particularly compelling, the company's strong balance sheet and anticipated growth in senior exploration budgets for 2025 contribute positively.

Major Drilling (MDI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Market Cap

C$743.15M

Dividend YieldN/A

Average Volume (3M)154.69K

Price to Earnings (P/E)28.6

Beta (1Y)1.38

Revenue Growth-2.15%

EPS Growth-44.75%

CountryCA

Employees2,500

SectorBasic Materials

Sector Strength70

IndustryIndustrial Materials

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)0.01

Shares Outstanding81,845,000

10 Day Avg. Volume98,897

30 Day Avg. Volume154,687

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio0.31

Price to Book (P/B)1.98

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio16.44

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

C$14.00

Price Target Upside54.19% Upside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering0

Major Drilling Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMajor Drilling Group International Inc. (MDI) is one of the world's leading drilling services companies, specializing in the mining and mineral exploration sectors. The company offers a broad range of drilling services, including surface and underground coring, directional, reverse circulation, and sonic drilling. Major Drilling operates in various regions globally, catering to the needs of mining industry clients ranging from junior exploration companies to major multinational firms.

How the Company Makes MoneyMajor Drilling makes money primarily by providing specialized drilling services to the mining and mineral exploration industries. Its revenue model is centered around offering contract drilling services, where clients engage the company to conduct exploration and mining drilling operations. The company's key revenue streams come from long-term contracts and project-based work, often dictated by the cyclical nature of the mining industry. Major Drilling's earnings are significantly influenced by global commodity prices, as higher prices typically lead to increased exploration activities. Additionally, the company benefits from its extensive geographic reach and ability to offer a wide array of drilling techniques, positioning it to secure contracts with major mining companies worldwide. Strategic partnerships and a reputation for safety and innovation further bolster its revenue generation capabilities.

Major Drilling Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 11, 2025

(Q4-2025)

% Change Since: 5.83%|

Next Earnings Date:Sep 09, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Positive

While the company faced challenges with decreased margins, lower net earnings, and issues in junior exploration, significant achievements such as record safety statistics, successful acquisitions, and robust revenue growth suggest a positive outlook. The anticipated increase in activity levels and revenue for the next quarter further supports an optimistic sentiment.

Q4-2025 Updates

Positive Updates

Record-Breaking Safety Statistics

Major Drilling set a new safety record with a total recordable incident frequency rate of 0.74 for fiscal year 2025, demonstrating a strong safety culture.

Successful Acquisition of Explomin

The company completed the acquisition of Explomin, increasing its presence in South and Central America with operations in Peru, Colombia, and the Dominican Republic.

Revenue Growth

Fourth quarter revenue was $187.5 million, an increase of 11.6% from the previous year, driven by strength in the South and Central American regions.

Increased Activity Levels and Positive Outlook

The company expects a 20% revenue increase in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the fourth quarter of 2025, with improved margins as mobilization continues.

Strong Demand for Specialized Services

Specialized work accounted for 60% of total revenue, with high demand expected to continue due to the complexity of future deposits.

Negative Updates

Decreased Gross Margin

The adjusted gross margin percentage decreased to 22.8% from 26.9% in the same period last year, primarily due to increased start-up, training, and mobilization costs.

Lower Net Earnings

Net earnings for the quarter were $1 million or $0.01 per share, down from $9.9 million or $0.12 per share in the prior year period.

Challenges in Junior Exploration

Junior activity was impacted by a lack of access to capital, contributing only 8% of revenue in the fourth quarter.

Increased G&A Costs

General and administrative costs rose to $20.9 million, an increase of $3.5 million compared to the same quarter last year, due to the Explomin acquisition and inflationary wage adjustments.

Company Guidance

During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Major Drilling experienced a notable increase in revenue, which rose by 11.6% to $187.5 million compared to the same period last year, despite challenges such as delayed mobilization and start-up costs. The company's total recordable incident frequency rate improved to 0.74, marking a new safety record, and the acquisition of Explomin bolstered their presence in South and Central America. However, the adjusted gross margin percentage dropped to 22.8% from 26.9% due to increased costs. General and administrative expenses rose to $20.9 million, and EBITDA decreased to $20.5 million, leading to net earnings of $1 million or $0.01 per share. The company ended the quarter with $3.9 million in net debt, with available liquidity of $123 million. Looking forward to fiscal 2026, Major Drilling anticipates a 20% revenue increase in the first quarter, supported by expanded exploration budgets from senior mining companies and an expected $70 million in capital expenditures to modernize their fleet.

Major Drilling Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Major Drilling shows stable financial performance with robust balance sheet metrics such as a low debt-to-equity ratio and high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. However, there are concerns about operational efficiency and cash flow conversion, as evidenced by the relatively low EBIT margin and declining free cash flow.

Income Statement

Positive

Major Drilling has demonstrated stable revenue generation with a slight increase to $708 million in TTM compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin stands at 18.8%, indicating efficient cost management, though it has decreased from the prior year. The net profit margin at 4.9% reflects a solid bottom line despite a decline from the previous year. The company's EBITDA margin of 15.3% shows healthy cash earnings, but EBIT margin is relatively low at 5.4%, indicating potential operational efficiency issues. The revenue growth rate is modest, suggesting steady but not aggressive expansion.

Balance Sheet

Positive

The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating conservative leverage and strong equity backing. Return on equity at 6.5% reflects decent profitability for shareholders, though a slight decline from previous figures. The equity ratio is high at 74.5%, showcasing the company's significant equity financing, which is a sign of financial stability and low risk.

Cash Flow

Positive

Operating cash flow is strong at $105 million in TTM, supporting solid cash generation. However, free cash flow has decreased to $32 million from $39 million, signaling potential impacts from increased capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, suggesting that the company's ability to translate profits into free cash flow could be improved.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	708.07M	706.69M	735.74M	650.41M	432.08M	409.14M
Gross Profit	132.91M	152.72M	176.90M	139.77M	64.09M	60.64M
EBITDA	108.26M	125.22M	145.05M	114.09M	52.05M	-14.90M
Net Income	34.87M	53.09M	74.92M	53.46M	10.03M	-70.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	722.17M	612.18M	611.68M	557.08M	388.53M	425.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	62.95M	96.22M	94.43M	71.26M	22.36M	58.43M
Total Debt	39.38M	4.72M	25.55M	55.39M	19.21M	55.18M
Total Liabilities	184.24M	118.35M	159.11M	197.32M	108.37M	128.87M
Stockholders Equity	537.93M	493.83M	452.58M	359.76M	280.16M	297.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	32.32M	38.50M	54.50M	44.93M	3.15M	10.07M
Operating Cash Flow	104.69M	112.03M	113.19M	94.87M	34.45M	42.11M
Investing Cash Flow	-178.51M	-78.39M	-63.98M	-85.84M	-29.38M	-44.73M
Financing Cash Flow	27.49M	-32.52M	-29.61M	38.25M	-37.23M	32.64M

Major Drilling Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price9.08

Price Trends

50DMA

8.62

Positive

100DMA

8.36

Positive

200DMA

8.43

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.13

Positive

RSI

55.94

Neutral

STOCH

73.25

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MDI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.95, above the 50-day MA of 8.62, and above the 200-day MA of 8.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MDI.

Major Drilling Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (44)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GEO	78 Outperform	C$166.49M	9.34	10.72%	―	27.28%	―
OGD	74 Outperform	C$65.73M	10.55	9.73%	―	2.55%	―
MDI	69 Neutral	C$743.15M	28.63	5.11%	―	-2.15%	-44.75%
FAR	68 Neutral	C$180.49M	6.39	24.45%	3.30%	-22.18%	-32.05%
Sector *	44 Neutral	C$979.74M	-6.70	-13.35%	2.68%	17.20%	-32.62%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

TSE:MDI

Major Drilling

9.08

0.03

0.33%

TSE:GEO

Geodrill

3.53

1.28

56.89%

TSE:OGD

Orbit Garant Drill

1.75

1.12

177.78%

TSE:FAR

Foraco International

1.82

-0.74

-28.91%

Major Drilling Corporate Events

Major Drilling Announces New COO for Growth

Dec 13, 2024

Major Drilling has appointed Ashley Martin as the new Chief Operating Officer to drive growth and innovation in operations and technology. With a rich experience in leadership roles within the company, Martin will collaborate with the Chief Technology Officer to implement cutting-edge solutions and enhance operational efficiency. The creation of these roles underscores Major Drilling’s commitment to maintaining its leadership in the specialized drilling market.

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2025