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Major Drilling Group (TSE:MDI)
TSX:MDI

Major Drilling (MDI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MDI

Major Drilling

(TSX:MDI)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$15.50
▲(13.22% Upside)
Major Drilling's overall stock score is driven by strong technical performance and a positive earnings outlook, despite valuation concerns and financial pressures. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic positioning for future demand are significant strengths, while declining margins and operational challenges present risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The record-setting revenue growth indicates strong demand for drilling services, enhancing the company's market position and potential for future expansion.
Geographic Expansion
Expansion in key markets like Canada and Peru strengthens Major Drilling's competitive advantage and diversifies its revenue streams, reducing regional risk.
Cash Position and Liquidity
Improved cash position and liquidity provide financial flexibility for strategic investments and operational resilience, supporting long-term growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Margin Decline
Declining margins may pressure profitability, indicating potential challenges in maintaining cost efficiency amidst competitive pricing and operational expenses.
Operational Challenges
Operational disruptions in Indonesia highlight vulnerabilities in project execution, potentially impacting regional performance and overall operational efficiency.
Increased G&A Costs
Rising G&A costs could strain profitability, reflecting challenges in integrating new operations and managing overheads efficiently, impacting long-term cost structure.

Major Drilling (MDI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Major Drilling Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMajor Drilling Group International Inc. provides contract drilling services for mining and mineral exploration companies. The company offers a suite of drilling services, including surface and underground coring, directional, reverse circulation, sonic, geotechnical, environmental, water-well, coal-bed methane, shallow gas, underground percussive, longhole drilling, surface drill and blast, and related mining services. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Moncton, Canada with additional offices in Mexico, South America, Asia, Africa, USA, and Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMajor Drilling generates revenue primarily through its drilling services, which are billed on a contract basis. The company's key revenue streams include the provision of surface and underground drilling services, as well as specialized drilling techniques tailored to the specific needs of clients in the mining sector. MDI's earnings are influenced by factors such as commodity prices, exploration budgets, and mining activity levels, which fluctuate based on market demand. Additionally, significant partnerships with major mining companies and long-term contracts contribute to stable revenue generation. The company's focus on expanding its service offerings and geographic reach also plays a crucial role in enhancing its earnings potential.

Major Drilling Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 10, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong revenue growth and strategic positioning for future demand, balanced against challenges in margin decline, operational issues in Indonesia, and increased costs. While the company is optimistic about future opportunities, current financial pressures and operational challenges present notable concerns.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Setting Quarterly Revenue
Quarterly revenue increased by 29% to $244 million, marking the highest quarterly revenue in the company's 45-year history.
Strong Performance in North and South America
Canadian operations saw a 63% year-over-year increase in revenue, with significant growth in the Peruvian market following the acquisition of Explomin.
Increased Cash Position and Liquidity
The company increased its cash position by $17.6 million, ending the quarter with $14.3 million in net cash, and total available liquidity grew to over $149 million.
Positive Outlook for Calendar 2026
Expectations of increased demand for drilling services due to higher gold and copper prices, as well as the growing focus on critical minerals.
Negative Updates
Margin Decline
Adjusted gross margin percentage decreased to 26% from 30.5% in the same period last year due to competitive pricing and training and maintenance programs.
Operational Challenges in Indonesia
Suspension of mine site activity in Indonesia due to operational incidents, affecting the Australasian and African region's performance.
Increased G&A Costs
General and administrative costs increased by $3.6 million to $21.7 million, partly due to the addition of Explomin's operations.
Lower Net Earnings
Net earnings decreased to $13.9 million or $0.17 per share, compared to $18.2 million or $0.22 per share in the prior year period.
Company Guidance
During the conference call for Major Drilling's second quarter of fiscal 2026, the company reported a record-setting quarter with a 29% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $244 million, the highest in its 45-year history. The Canadian operations experienced a notable 63% revenue increase, while revenue in North and South America, particularly Canada and Peru, drove overall growth. The company maintained a positive outlook for calendar 2026, anticipating increased demand and continued proactive efforts to leverage its strong balance sheet for rapid deployment. Despite challenges in the Australasian and African regions, impacted by an operational incident in Indonesia, the company remains well-positioned, with a fleet of 707 drills at 51% utilization. The company generated EBITDA of $37.7 million, with net earnings of $13.9 million or $0.17 per share. The call also highlighted the impact of increased gold and copper prices, with gold accounting for 39% and copper 31% of the revenue. Looking ahead, the company focuses on preparing for a busier year, with significant investments in fleet and inventory, while addressing potential labor cost pressures.

Major Drilling Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Major Drilling's financial performance shows moderate results with revenue growth but declining profit margins. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but cash flow has decreased, indicating potential liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals moderate performance with a declining trend in gross profit margin from 21.6% in 2024 to 17.9% in 2025. The net profit margin decreased from 7.5% to 3.6% over the same period. Despite revenue growth from 2024 to 2025, margins have compressed. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show contraction, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet remains strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio, rising from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.07 in 2025, reflecting prudent financial management. The equity ratio decreased slightly from 80.6% to 72.7%, while return on equity fell from 10.7% to 5.0%, indicating reduced profitability on equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow from 38.5M in 2024 to 28.4M in 2025, indicating potential strain on cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, signaling efficient cash management despite reduced net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue727.58M706.69M727.58M735.74M650.41M432.08M
Gross Profit129.26M152.72M130.54M176.90M139.77M64.09M
EBITDA102.54M125.22M102.54M145.05M114.09M52.05M
Net Income25.95M53.09M25.95M74.92M53.46M10.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets718.74M612.18M718.74M611.68M557.08M388.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.99M96.22M45.99M94.43M71.26M22.36M
Total Debt37.13M4.72M37.13M25.55M55.39M19.21M
Total Liabilities196.64M118.35M196.64M159.11M197.32M108.37M
Stockholders Equity522.10M493.83M522.10M452.58M359.76M280.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.39M38.50M28.39M54.50M44.93M3.15M
Operating Cash Flow100.92M112.03M100.92M113.19M94.87M34.45M
Investing Cash Flow-178.03M-78.39M-178.03M-63.98M-85.84M-29.38M
Financing Cash Flow25.92M-32.52M25.92M-29.61M38.25M-37.23M

Major Drilling Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.69
Price Trends
50DMA
12.54
Positive
100DMA
11.13
Positive
200DMA
9.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Negative
RSI
60.57
Neutral
STOCH
72.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MDI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.87, above the 50-day MA of 12.54, and above the 200-day MA of 9.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MDI.

Major Drilling Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$968.57M48.013.86%20.42%-61.80%
76
Outperform
C$175.45M13.347.68%25.76%15.68%
73
Outperform
C$195.29M0.4018.35%-17.73%-36.29%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
C$61.02M7.987.13%1.04%107.55%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MDI
Major Drilling
13.69
4.93
56.28%
TSE:FAR
Foraco International
2.55
0.28
12.33%
TSE:GEO
Geodrill
3.82
0.75
24.43%
TSE:OGD
Orbit Garant Drill
1.38
0.57
70.37%

Major Drilling Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Major Drilling Successfully Elects Directors with Strong Shareholder Support
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

Major Drilling announced the successful election of all director nominees during its annual general meeting, with over 83% shareholder participation. The company’s executive compensation approach and appointment of Deloitte LLP as auditors received strong approval, reflecting shareholder confidence in its governance and operational strategies.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Major Drilling Sees Revenue Surge in Q1 2026 Amid Strong South American Demand
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Major Drilling reported a 19.3% increase in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by strong activity in Peru and Chile, which offset a slowdown in Australasia. Despite a slight decrease in EBITDA compared to the previous year, the company maintained a strong balance sheet and strategically relocated rigs to meet growing demand. The company anticipates continued growth in the next quarter, with potential margin improvements and increased activity in North America due to rising gold and copper prices and improved junior financing conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025