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Major Drilling Group (TSE:MDI)
TSX:MDI
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Major Drilling (MDI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MDI

Major Drilling

(TSX:MDI)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$11.50
▼(-2.95% Downside)
Major Drilling's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and moderate financial performance. While revenue growth and strategic positioning in South America are positives, declining margins and high valuation are concerns. The balanced sentiment from the earnings call adds a nuanced view, highlighting both opportunities and challenges.

Major Drilling (MDI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Major Drilling Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMajor Drilling Group International Inc. provides contract drilling services for mining and mineral exploration companies. The company offers a suite of drilling services, including surface and underground coring, directional, reverse circulation, sonic, geotechnical, environmental, water-well, coal-bed methane, shallow gas, underground percussive, longhole drilling, surface drill and blast, and related mining services. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Moncton, Canada with additional offices in Mexico, South America, Asia, Africa, USA, and Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMajor Drilling makes money primarily through providing specialized drilling services to mining companies engaged in mineral exploration and development. The company's revenue model is based on contracts with clients for drilling projects, which can range from short-term assignments to long-term exploration programs. Key revenue streams include fees for drilling services, equipment rentals, and related support services. Major Drilling's earnings are significantly influenced by the global demand for minerals, commodity prices, and the level of exploration activity in the mining sector. Additionally, strategic partnerships with mining companies and the expansion of operations into emerging markets contribute to its revenue generation.

Major Drilling Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment. While there is strong revenue growth and optimism in South and Central America, there are significant margin pressures and challenges in North America and Australasia. Despite a positive outlook for commodities, net earnings have declined.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Momentum
Achieved 21% revenue growth over the last 3 months, driven by strong performance in Peru and Chile, despite challenges in the Australasian market.
South and Central American Strength
Continued strong performance in South and Central America, particularly in Peru, contributing significantly to revenue growth.
Increased Fleet Utilization
Fleet utilization reached 50% for the first time in a long time, with specialized work accounting for 60% of total revenue, indicating strong demand for specialized services.
Strong Liquidity Position
Ended the quarter with $2.8 million in net debt and available liquidity of $127 million, positioning the company well for future growth.
Positive Outlook for Commodities
Gold prices at record highs and strong outlook for copper and other base metals, supporting further growth in exploration budgets.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure
Adjusted gross margin decreased to 25.2% from 28.9% due to competitive environment in North America and mobilization costs.
Net Earnings Decline
Net earnings decreased to $10.1 million ($0.12 per share) from $15.9 million ($0.19 per share) in the prior year period.
Challenges in the Australasian Market
Australasian market faced delays due to unexpected modifications to drill programs, affecting activity levels.
North American Market Challenges
North American market impacted by forest fires, permitting delays, and elevated competition, though activity began to improve towards the end of the quarter.
Decline in U.S. Revenue
U.S. revenue down 20% in the quarter, primarily driven by a slowdown in junior customer activity.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Major Drilling achieved a 21% revenue growth compared to the previous quarter, driven primarily by strong performance in South and Central America, particularly in Peru. The company reported total revenue of $226.6 million, marking a 19.3% increase from the same period last year. Despite challenges in the Australasian market and a competitive environment in North America, the adjusted gross margin, excluding depreciation, was 25.2%. The company maintained a net debt of $2.8 million with working capital growing by $13.1 million to $206.8 million. EBITDA for the quarter was $32.1 million, while net earnings were $10.1 million or $0.12 per share. The fleet utilization increased to 50%, driven by strategic relocations and the addition of five new drill rigs. Specialized work accounted for 60% of total revenue, with gold and copper being significant contributors at 41% and 34%, respectively. As they move into the second quarter, Major Drilling anticipates continued revenue growth driven by additional projects in South America and improving conditions in North America.

Major Drilling Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Major Drilling's financial health is solid but with cautionary signs. Revenue has grown, yet profit margins have compressed, likely due to increased costs or competitive pressures. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, while cash flow management is effective; however, declining free cash flow may signal future liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals moderate performance with a declining trend in gross profit margin from 21.6% in 2024 to 17.9% in 2025. The net profit margin decreased from 7.5% to 3.6% over the same period. Despite revenue growth from 2024 to 2025, margins have compressed. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show contraction, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet remains strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio, rising from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.07 in 2025, reflecting prudent financial management. The equity ratio decreased slightly from 80.6% to 72.7%, while return on equity fell from 10.7% to 5.0%, indicating reduced profitability on equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow from 38.5M in 2024 to 28.4M in 2025, indicating potential strain on cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, signaling efficient cash management despite reduced net income.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue727.58M706.69M735.74M650.41M432.08M
Gross Profit130.54M152.72M176.90M139.77M64.09M
EBITDA102.54M125.22M145.05M114.09M52.05M
Net Income25.95M53.09M74.92M53.46M10.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets718.74M612.18M611.68M557.08M388.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.99M96.22M94.43M71.26M22.36M
Total Debt37.13M4.72M25.55M55.39M19.21M
Total Liabilities196.64M118.35M159.11M197.32M108.37M
Stockholders Equity522.10M493.83M452.58M359.76M280.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.39M38.50M54.50M44.93M3.15M
Operating Cash Flow100.92M112.03M113.19M94.87M34.45M
Investing Cash Flow-178.03M-78.39M-63.98M-85.84M-29.38M
Financing Cash Flow25.92M-32.52M-29.61M38.25M-37.23M

Major Drilling Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.85
Price Trends
50DMA
9.66
Positive
100DMA
9.17
Positive
200DMA
8.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
74.28
Negative
STOCH
93.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MDI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.51, above the 50-day MA of 9.66, and above the 200-day MA of 8.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MDI.

Major Drilling Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$162.71M8.7110.19%25.87%389.49%
76
Outperform
C$970.37M48.133.86%9.50%-57.10%
73
Outperform
C$65.66M8.634.31%
66
Neutral
C$220.93M0.4520.82%2.68%-19.84%1114.87%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MDI
Major Drilling
11.64
3.22
38.24%
TSE:FAR
Foraco International
2.13
-0.09
-4.05%
TSE:GEO
Geodrill
3.43
0.91
36.11%
TSE:OGD
Orbit Garant Drill
1.73
1.15
198.28%

Major Drilling Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Major Drilling Sees Revenue Surge in Q1 2026 Amid Strong South American Demand
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Major Drilling reported a 19.3% increase in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, driven by strong activity in Peru and Chile, which offset a slowdown in Australasia. Despite a slight decrease in EBITDA compared to the previous year, the company maintained a strong balance sheet and strategically relocated rigs to meet growing demand. The company anticipates continued growth in the next quarter, with potential margin improvements and increased activity in North America due to rising gold and copper prices and improved junior financing conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDI) stock is a Buy with a C$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Major Drilling stock, see the TSE:MDI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Major Drilling Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results Amid Industry Growth
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Major Drilling reported a revenue increase to $727.6 million for fiscal year 2025, driven by heightened activity and strategic acquisitions like Explomin, enhancing its South American presence. Despite facing challenges such as tariff-related economic uncertainties and increased startup costs, the company anticipates a strong fiscal 2026, supported by larger exploration budgets from senior customers and a robust safety record, positioning itself well amidst rising gold and copper prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDI) stock is a Buy with a C$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Major Drilling stock, see the TSE:MDI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2025