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Major Drilling Group (TSE:MDI)
TSX:MDI
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Major Drilling (MDI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MDI

Major Drilling

(TSX:MDI)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$10.00
▲(10.38% Upside)
Major Drilling's overall score is driven by solid financial health and positive future revenue projections. However, declining profit margins and a high P/E ratio are significant concerns. Technical indicators suggest neutral market sentiment.

Major Drilling (MDI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Major Drilling Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMajor Drilling Group International Inc. provides contract drilling services for mining and mineral exploration companies. The company offers a suite of drilling services, including surface and underground coring, directional, reverse circulation, sonic, geotechnical, environmental, water-well, coal-bed methane, shallow gas, underground percussive, longhole drilling, surface drill and blast, and related mining services. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Moncton, Canada with additional offices in Mexico, South America, Asia, Africa, USA, and Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMajor Drilling makes money primarily through providing specialized drilling services to mining companies engaged in mineral exploration and development. The company's revenue model is based on contracts with clients for drilling projects, which can range from short-term assignments to long-term exploration programs. Key revenue streams include fees for drilling services, equipment rentals, and related support services. Major Drilling's earnings are significantly influenced by the global demand for minerals, commodity prices, and the level of exploration activity in the mining sector. Additionally, strategic partnerships with mining companies and the expansion of operations into emerging markets contribute to its revenue generation.

Major Drilling Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 11, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Major Drilling achieved significant revenue growth and set a new safety record, margins and net earnings declined due to increased costs and challenges in junior exploration budgets. The acquisition of Explomin and anticipated increases in exploration budgets offer positive prospects for the future.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
New Safety Record Achieved
Major Drilling set a new safety record with a total recordable incident frequency rate of 0.74 for fiscal 2025.
Successful Acquisition of Explomin
The acquisition of Explomin expanded operations in South and Central America, including Peru, Colombia, and the Dominican Republic.
Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter revenue increased by 11.6% to $187.5 million compared to the previous year, driven by strength in the South and Central American region.
Increased Exploration Budgets Expected
Year-over-year exploration budgets have been released by several senior mining companies, which should lead to a strong fiscal 2026.
Projected Revenue Increase
Revenue in the first quarter of 2026 is expected to increase by approximately 20% compared to Q4 2025.
Negative Updates
Decreased Margins
Adjusted gross margin percentage decreased to 22.8% from 26.9% compared to the same period last year, due to increased start-up, training, and mobilization costs.
Reduced Net Earnings
Net earnings dropped to $1 million or $0.01 per share from $9.9 million or $0.12 per share in the prior year period.
Challenges with Junior Exploration Budgets
Junior activity was impacted by a lack of access to capital, contributing only 8% of total revenue in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Major Drilling set a new safety record with a total recordable incident frequency rate of 0.74. The company experienced an 11.6% increase in revenue year-over-year to $187.5 million, driven by strong performance in the South and Central American regions, despite challenges in Canada and the U.S. The adjusted gross margin percentage, excluding depreciation, declined to 22.8% from 26.9% due to increased start-up, training, and mobilization costs. General and administrative costs rose to $20.9 million, influenced by the acquisition of Explomin and inflationary wage adjustments. EBITDA for the quarter stood at $20.5 million, with net earnings of $1 million or $0.01 per share. The company ended the quarter with $3.9 million in net debt and total available liquidity of $123 million. Capital expenditures amounted to $18.6 million, adding 7 new drill rigs, which increased the total rig count to 708 with a utilization rate of 43%. Specialized drilling constituted 60% of total revenue, while gold and copper were the leading commodities, contributing 41% and 35% of revenue, respectively. For fiscal 2026, Major Drilling anticipates a 20% revenue increase in the first quarter, bolstered by heightened senior mining company budgets and strong demand for specialized services.

Major Drilling Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Major Drilling's financial health is solid but with cautionary signs. Revenue has grown, yet profit margins have compressed, likely due to increased costs or competitive pressures. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, while cash flow management is effective; however, declining free cash flow may signal future liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals moderate performance with a declining trend in gross profit margin from 21.6% in 2024 to 17.9% in 2025. The net profit margin decreased from 7.5% to 3.6% over the same period. Despite revenue growth from 2024 to 2025, margins have compressed. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show contraction, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet remains strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio, rising from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.07 in 2025, reflecting prudent financial management. The equity ratio decreased slightly from 80.6% to 72.7%, while return on equity fell from 10.7% to 5.0%, indicating reduced profitability on equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow from 38.5M in 2024 to 28.4M in 2025, indicating potential strain on cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved, signaling efficient cash management despite reduced net income.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue727.58M706.69M735.74M650.41M432.08M
Gross Profit130.54M152.72M176.90M139.77M64.09M
EBITDA102.54M125.22M145.05M114.09M52.05M
Net Income25.95M53.09M74.92M53.46M10.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets718.74M612.18M611.68M557.08M388.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.99M96.22M94.43M71.26M22.36M
Total Debt37.13M4.72M25.55M55.39M19.21M
Total Liabilities196.64M118.35M159.11M197.32M108.37M
Stockholders Equity522.10M493.83M452.58M359.76M280.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.39M38.50M54.50M44.93M3.15M
Operating Cash Flow100.92M112.03M113.19M94.87M34.45M
Investing Cash Flow-178.03M-78.39M-63.98M-85.84M-29.38M
Financing Cash Flow25.92M-32.52M-29.61M38.25M-37.23M

Major Drilling Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.06
Price Trends
50DMA
9.01
Positive
100DMA
8.63
Positive
200DMA
8.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
51.74
Neutral
STOCH
37.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MDI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.98, above the 50-day MA of 9.01, and above the 200-day MA of 8.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MDI.

Major Drilling Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$155.64M8.3311.01%25.87%389.49%
73
Outperform
C$60.50M9.709.73%2.55%
71
Outperform
C$741.90M28.565.11%2.96%-50.61%
66
Neutral
C$188.38M7.1021.84%3.14%-19.84%-34.63%
61
Neutral
$10.31B6.160.76%2.94%3.30%-36.34%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MDI
Major Drilling
9.06
-0.41
-4.33%
TSE:FAR
Foraco International
1.96
-0.36
-15.52%
TSE:GEO
Geodrill
3.30
0.59
21.77%
TSE:OGD
Orbit Garant Drill
1.61
0.97
151.56%

Major Drilling Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Major Drilling Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results Amid Industry Growth
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Major Drilling reported a revenue increase to $727.6 million for fiscal year 2025, driven by heightened activity and strategic acquisitions like Explomin, enhancing its South American presence. Despite facing challenges such as tariff-related economic uncertainties and increased startup costs, the company anticipates a strong fiscal 2026, supported by larger exploration budgets from senior customers and a robust safety record, positioning itself well amidst rising gold and copper prices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDI) stock is a Buy with a C$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Major Drilling stock, see the TSE:MDI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 24, 2025