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Geodrill (TSE:GEO)
TSX:GEO

Geodrill (GEO) AI Stock Analysis

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Geodrill

(TSX:GEO)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$4.00
▲(11.42%Upside)
Geodrill is well-positioned in the mining industry, demonstrating strong financial growth, strategic market expansion, and an attractive valuation. The financial performance is the strongest component, bolstered by positive earnings call results and recent corporate actions. While technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, the overall outlook remains optimistic with opportunities for growth and value creation.

Geodrill (GEO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Geodrill Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeodrill Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mineral exploration drilling services to mining companies in West Africa, Zambia, and Peru. It offers reverse circulation, core, air-core, deep directional, reverse circulation grade control, water borehole, underground, mine blast hole, and horizontal drilling services. The company operates a fleet of multi-purpose, core, air-core, grade control, and underground drill rigs; boosters and auxiliary compressors; and various support vehicles, such as pick-up, MAN, and other trucks, as well as purpose-built crawler-mounted support vehicles and bell tractors. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of 71 drill rigs. Geodrill Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Douglas, Isle of Man.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeodrill makes money by offering specialized drilling services to mining companies, which constitute its primary revenue stream. The company charges clients for its drilling services based on the type and complexity of the drilling operation, the duration of the project, and the logistical requirements of the exploration site. Key partnerships with major mining companies and a consistent track record of successful projects contribute significantly to its earnings. Geodrill's advanced technology and skilled workforce enable it to undertake complex drilling operations efficiently, thereby attracting repeat business and long-term contracts, which are crucial revenue drivers for the company.

Geodrill Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.19%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Geodrill's strong financial performance with record revenue, EBITDA, and earnings per share, driven by strategic expansion and high commodity prices. However, the increase in receivables and the cost of debt were noted as areas for attention. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and EBITDA
Geodrill achieved record revenue of $48.8 million for Q1 2025, marking a 41% increase from $34.7 million in Q1 2024. EBITDA also reached a record high, with over 100% year-over-year improvement.
Earnings Per Share Surge
Earnings per share for Q1 2025 increased by 160% year-over-year, reaching $0.12, just shy of the previous record.
Expansion into New Markets
Significant achievements in securing multi-rig contracts across core markets in West Africa and expanded markets in Egypt and South America, boosting revenue visibility for the next three to five years.
Increased Gross Profit and Margin
Gross profit for Q1 2025 was $13.6 million, with a gross margin of 28%, up from $7.4 million and 21% respectively in Q1 2024, despite inflationary pressures.
Strong Commodity Prices
The strong commodity prices, especially gold, have amplified demand, enhancing Geodrill's financial performance.
High Rig Utilization
Rig utilization reached 75%, effectively 100% of operational capacity, indicating strong demand across all regions.
Negative Updates
Receivables Increase
Receivables for Q1 2025 increased, reflecting higher activity in the latter part of the quarter, but remain a notable consideration for cash flow management.
Debt and Interest Costs
Geodrill carries expensive debt, with interest rates around 10%, indicating a potential area for financial improvement.
Company Guidance
During Geodrill's Q1 2025 financial results call, the company provided robust guidance highlighting several key metrics. They achieved record revenue of $48.8 million, a 41% year-over-year increase from $34.7 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by increased demand for drilling services and strong gold prices. The gross profit reached $13.6 million, accounting for 28% of revenue, up from 21% the previous year. EBITDA also set a record at $13.6 million, representing 28% of revenue, compared to $6.7 million or 19% of revenue in Q1 2024. Net income was reported at $5.6 million, or $0.12 per share, a substantial 160% improvement from $0.04 per share the previous year. The company ended the quarter with a fleet of 98 drill rigs and total shareholder equity of $125 million, an 11% year-over-year increase. The strategic expansion into South America and securing multi-rig contracts in West Africa, Egypt, and South America have enhanced revenue visibility for the next three to five years. The company remains optimistic about continued growth, driven by high commodity prices and strong market demand.

Geodrill Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Geodrill's strong financial performance is highlighted by significant revenue growth and improved profit margins. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low leverage and a solid equity base. While cash flow management has improved, high capital expenditures indicate the need for careful capital allocation. Overall, Geodrill exhibits robust growth prospects in the mining sector.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Geodrill has demonstrated strong revenue growth, increasing from $130.5M in 2023 to $143.1M in 2024, a growth rate of 9.6%. The gross profit margin improved to 24.2% in 2024 from 23.4% in 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins were noteworthy at 12.8% and 21.8%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. Net profit margin also improved to 6.5% in 2024 from 3.0% in 2023. Overall, the company shows robust profitability and growth in the mining sector.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, reflecting low leverage and financial prudence. The equity ratio stands at 74.2%, indicating a strong equity base. Return on equity is modest at 7.7%, showing room for improvement in profitability relative to equity. Geodrill's financial stability is supported by a solid asset base and limited liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Geodrill's free cash flow turned positive in 2024 at $372K after a negative $4.3M in 2023, indicating improved cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.27, reflecting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains low due to significant capital expenditures, suggesting a need for careful capital allocation.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue143.05M130.54M138.63M115.21M82.44M
Gross Profit34.68M30.59M40.58M30.10M20.91M
EBITDA31.16M20.56M38.35M27.86M18.95M
Net Income9.26M3.90M18.92M14.14M7.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets161.49M148.61M141.23M116.56M98.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.52M15.81M15.11M13.53M8.63M
Total Debt3.45M978.29K5.82M7.61M3.75M
Total Liabilities41.97M38.65M34.17M29.03M25.28M
Stockholders Equity119.88M110.12M107.07M87.55M73.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow372.49K-4.28M8.40M150.12K-2.69M
Operating Cash Flow21.05M11.00M25.29M14.78M4.84M
Investing Cash Flow-20.68M-15.28M-16.88M-14.63M-7.52M
Financing Cash Flow-2.35M5.39M-2.85M2.83M-1.11M

Geodrill Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.59
Price Trends
50DMA
3.33
Positive
100DMA
3.14
Positive
200DMA
3.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
55.79
Neutral
STOCH
63.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GEO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.49, above the 50-day MA of 3.33, and above the 200-day MA of 3.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GEO.

Geodrill Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (43)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSGEO
78
Outperform
C$169.32M9.4910.72%27.28%
TSFAR
71
Outperform
C$181.48M6.4624.45%3.24%-22.18%-32.05%
TSOGD
69
Neutral
C$57.84M9.289.73%2.55%
TSCVV
45
Neutral
C$164.49M-55.96%19.32%
43
Neutral
AU$1.35B-6.08-40.62%4.25%-4.78%-43.21%
TSUCU
37
Underperform
C$96.96M-33.11%-112.17%
$130.58M-86.24%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GEO
Geodrill
3.59
1.28
55.41%
TSE:CVV
CanAlaska Uranium
0.88
0.33
60.00%
TSE:FAR
Foraco International
1.90
-0.46
-19.49%
TSE:OGD
Orbit Garant Drill
1.54
0.90
140.63%
TSE:UCU
Ucore Rare Metals
1.11
0.51
85.00%
AZMCF
Arizona Metals
1.02
-0.43
-29.66%

Geodrill Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Geodrill Announces Shareholder Meeting Results and Strategic Resolutions
Positive
May 12, 2025

Geodrill Limited announced the results of its Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders, where all nominated directors were elected, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was re-appointed as the company’s auditors. Additionally, a special resolution was passed allowing the company to purchase its own shares, which could impact its financial strategy and shareholder value. These decisions reflect Geodrill’s ongoing commitment to strengthening its governance and financial position.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Geodrill Achieves Record Q1 2025 Financial Results Amid Strong Commodity Demand
Positive
May 12, 2025

Geodrill Limited reported record financial results for the first quarter of 2025, driven by strong commodity prices and robust demand for its drilling services. The company achieved a 41% increase in revenue to $48.8 million and a 104% rise in EBITDA to $13.6 million compared to the same period in 2024. With an expanded rig fleet and increased utilization, Geodrill strengthened its operations in West Africa and Egypt while expanding its presence in South America. The company is well-positioned for continued growth, focusing on long-term success and shareholder value amidst strong gold and copper prices.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Geodrill Announces Annual Meeting and Q1 2025 Financial Results Release
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Geodrill Limited has announced its Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for May 12, 2025, in the Isle of Man, with provisions for teleconference participation. The company will also release its first quarter financial results for 2025 on the same day, followed by a management-hosted conference call to discuss the results. This announcement highlights Geodrill’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially impacting its market perception and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 17, 2025