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Geodrill (TSE:GEO)
TSX:GEO

Geodrill (GEO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GEO

Geodrill

(TSX:GEO)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
Geodrill's overall stock score reflects strong financial health and positive technical indicators, which are offset by valuation concerns and challenges highlighted in the recent earnings call. The company's strategic expansions and revenue growth are promising, but immediate financial hurdles and the absence of a dividend yield weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 14% revenue growth driven by South American expansion indicates Geodrill's ability to capture new market opportunities and sustain growth.
Strategic Expansion
Doubling the rig count in South America positions Geodrill for long-term growth in a promising market, enhancing its competitive edge.
Balance Sheet Health
A robust balance sheet with substantial equity and net cash provides financial stability and flexibility for future investments.
Negative Factors
Decline in Gross Profit Margin
The significant drop in gross profit margin suggests cost pressures that could affect profitability if not addressed.
Net Loss Reported
Reporting a net loss indicates financial challenges that may require strategic adjustments to return to profitability.
Operational Challenges
Operational challenges in South America could hinder short-term performance, though improvements are expected in Q4.

Geodrill (GEO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Geodrill Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeodrill (GEO) is a leading exploration drilling company primarily serving the mining and mineral exploration sectors. Headquartered in Ghana, Geodrill specializes in providing high-quality drilling services, including core drilling, reverse circulation drilling, and air core drilling. The company operates in several key mining regions across West Africa and has built a reputation for its safety standards, technological innovation, and commitment to sustainable practices.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeodrill generates revenue primarily through its drilling services, which are contracted by mining companies for exploration and resource definition projects. The company's key revenue streams come from various types of drilling contracts, including fixed-price contracts and time-and-materials contracts, depending on the specific needs of their clients. Additionally, Geodrill maintains significant partnerships with major mining companies, which helps secure ongoing projects and stabilize revenue. The company also benefits from a diverse client base across multiple countries, mitigating risks associated with economic fluctuations in any single market. Investments in advanced drilling technology and equipment enhance operational efficiency and service quality, further contributing to its profitability.

Geodrill Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Geodrill's Q3 2025 call highlighted revenue growth and strategic expansions, particularly in South America, which are promising for long-term positioning. However, significant challenges, including a decline in gross profit margins, a net loss, and operational issues in new markets, present immediate financial hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Despite challenges, Geodrill delivered revenue of $39 million in Q3 2025, marking an increase of $4.9 million or 14% compared to Q3 2024, primarily driven by expansion in South America.
Strategic Expansion
The company doubled its rig count in South America, supporting major multiphase drilling contracts, which positions Geodrill for long-term value in a growing market.
Safety Milestone
Achieved 7.8 million man hours LTI (Lost Time Injury) free, reflecting strong operational discipline and safety standards.
Active Bidding Pipeline
Geodrill's bidding pipeline is highly active, indicating potential for future contract wins and revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit for Q3 2025 was $2.4 million, only 6% of revenue, compared to $8.4 million or 24% of revenue in Q3 2024. This decline was driven by various regional challenges, including wet season slowdown in West Africa and upfront costs in South America.
Net Loss Reported
Geodrill reported a net loss of $1.5 million or $0.03 per share for Q3 2025, compared to a net income of $2.6 million in Q3 2024.
Challenges in South America
Operational delays and high upfront costs in South America impacted financial performance, although improvements are expected in Q4 2025.
Currency and Wage Inflation Impact
Appreciation of the Ghana cedi and wage inflation significantly contributed to the decline in gross profit margin in West Africa.
Company Guidance
During Geodrill's Q3 2025 conference call, the company provided guidance reflecting both challenges and strategic advancements. Revenue increased by 14% year-over-year to $39 million, primarily due to expansion in South America, although this was offset by declines in West Africa and Egypt. The gross profit margin dropped to 6% from 24% in Q3 2024, with regional factors contributing to the decline: West Africa was impacted by wet season slowdowns and currency fluctuations, while South America faced costs from rapid rig expansion. Despite these challenges, Geodrill maintained a strong balance sheet with $129 million in shareholders' equity and net cash of $11.1 million, and they anticipate improvements in Q4 as operational issues stabilize, particularly in South America. The company remains focused on capturing value through disciplined growth and strategic positioning, with global rig utilization climbing and favorable commodity prices supporting future performance.

Geodrill Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Geodrill shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, though there is room for improvement in free cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Geodrill's income statement shows strong performance with a consistent revenue growth rate of 5.84% in the TTM period. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 25.95% and a net profit margin of 8.13%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 15.30% and 24.23%, respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.025, suggesting minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity stands at 10.58%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 36.27% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.45, showing adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.13, suggesting room for improvement in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue171.19M143.05M130.54M138.63M115.21M82.44M
Gross Profit34.02M34.68M30.59M40.58M30.10M20.91M
EBITDA37.96M31.16M20.56M38.35M29.45M18.95M
Net Income9.29M9.26M3.90M18.92M14.14M7.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets178.03M161.49M148.61M141.23M116.56M98.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.16M19.52M15.81M15.11M13.53M8.63M
Total Debt3.35M3.45M978.29K5.82M7.61M3.75M
Total Liabilities68.43M41.97M38.65M34.17M29.03M25.28M
Stockholders Equity180.18M119.88M110.12M107.07M87.55M73.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.78M372.49K-4.28M8.40M150.12K-2.69M
Operating Cash Flow31.05M21.05M11.00M25.29M14.78M4.84M
Investing Cash Flow-26.31M-20.68M-15.28M-16.88M-14.63M-7.52M
Financing Cash Flow-5.35M-2.35M5.39M-2.85M2.83M-1.11M

Geodrill Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.92
Price Trends
50DMA
3.70
Positive
100DMA
3.58
Positive
200DMA
3.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
54.61
Neutral
STOCH
36.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GEO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.81, above the 50-day MA of 3.70, and above the 200-day MA of 3.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GEO.

Geodrill Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
C$245.33M10.5518.35%-17.73%-36.29%
69
Neutral
C$181.11M13.777.68%25.76%15.68%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
C$50.03M10.447.13%1.04%107.55%
58
Neutral
C$241.23M-80.00-6.09%8.28%87.46%
55
Neutral
C$98.97M18.1815.11%-73.34%16.21%
35
Underperform
C$48.19M-11.46-32.98%31.55%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GEO
Geodrill
3.84
0.80
26.32%
TSE:FAR
Foraco International
2.49
0.21
9.21%
TSE:GMX
Globex Mining Ent
1.76
0.59
50.43%
TSE:LIS
Lithium South Development
0.42
0.32
320.00%
TSE:OGD
Orbit Garant Drill
1.32
0.53
67.09%
TSE:AGX
Silver X Mining
0.88
0.69
363.16%

Geodrill Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Geodrill Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Strategic Expansion
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Geodrill Limited reported a 14% increase in revenue for Q3 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, despite facing operational challenges that resulted in a net loss of $1.5 million. The company is focusing on strategic expansion, particularly in South America, where it has doubled its rig count to support new contracts. This expansion is part of Geodrill’s strategy to build a resilient and geographically diversified platform, aiming for sustained operational excellence and long-term shareholder value. The company remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, driven by strong demand for drilling services and high commodity prices.

Financial Disclosures
Geodrill to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Geodrill Limited announced it will release its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 13, 2025, before the market opens. The company will also host a conference call to discuss these results, which could provide insights into its operational performance and strategic positioning in the drilling industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025