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Orbit Garant Drill (TSE:OGD)
TSX:OGD
Canadian Market

Orbit Garant Drill (OGD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGD

Orbit Garant Drill

(TSX:OGD)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(77.30% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score reflects improving fundamentals and manageable leverage, but with thin profitability and inconsistent free-cash-flow conversion. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, while valuation appears middling at ~16.7x earnings and no dividend data. The latest earnings call was constructive on utilization and demand, but near-term margin and cost inflation risks remain meaningful.
Positive Factors
Rising drill utilization & demand
Higher utilization indicates better fleet productivity and revenue per rig, improving fixed-cost absorption. Sustained commodity-driven RFP activity and guidance to reach ~65% utilization imply multi-month contract visibility and the ability to scale activity with minimal mobilization, supporting durable revenue growth.
Recovering profitability and revenue growth
Return to positive TTM margins and solid revenue growth after multi-year losses reflects operational recovery and improved project mix. This trend suggests the company can sustain earnings through the cycle if utilization and contract mix hold, and indicates recovering ROE and financial resilience versus prior loss years.
Manageable leverage and available liquidity
Moderate leverage plus active net repayments and a sizable revolving facility provide balance sheet flexibility for capex and seasonal working capital. Stable equity and improving ROE reduce refinancing risk and support continued equipment deployment and debt paydown over the coming months.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
A 3 percentage-point gross margin decline signals persistent pricing pressure and lower productivity on some projects. If competitive pricing and ramp-up lower-margin work persist, this will structurally reduce earnings power and limit the company's ability to convert revenue gains into durable net income over the medium term.
Volatile free cash flow and weak conversion
Sharp swings in free cash flow and poor conversion to net income indicate working capital variability and episodic capex timing (e.g., equipment shipments). That unpredictability undermines reliable self-funding for growth, debt reduction, or buybacks and increases dependence on credit during troughs.
Operational disruptions and cost inflation risk
Project delays, regional disruptions and rising input costs create ongoing schedule and margin variability. These factors can defer utilization benefits, raise unit costs, and require client renegotiation to preserve margins, making near-term operational performance and profitability less predictable and more cyclical.

Orbit Garant Drill (OGD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orbit Garant Drill Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrbit Garant Drilling Inc. provides mineral drilling services in Canada, the United States, South America, and West Africa. It provides underground and surface diamond drilling services to mining companies through various stages of mineral exploration, mine development, and production. The company also offers geotechnical and water drilling services to mining or mineral exploration companies, engineering and environmental consultant firms, and government agencies. In addition, it manufactures and sells conventional and specialized drill rigs. As of June 30, 2021, the company operated 223 drill rigs, including 101 underground drills and 122 drill rigs. Orbit Garant Drilling Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Val-d'Or, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrbit Garant Drill generates revenue primarily through its drilling services, which are billed on a per-project basis or through long-term contracts with mining companies and exploration firms. Key revenue streams include surface and underground drilling operations, geotechnical services, and environmental drilling projects. The company benefits from significant partnerships with major mining companies, which provide a steady stream of contracts. Additionally, OGD's focus on maintaining a modern fleet of drilling equipment and investing in technology enhances its operational efficiency and service offerings, further contributing to its earnings.

Orbit Garant Drill Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but constructive picture: top-line growth (+10.5% revenue) and stronger adjusted EBITDA and net earnings were reported alongside meaningful operational progress (highest utilization in >2 years, ramp-up of new projects, strong commodity-driven demand). However, margin compression (adjusted gross margin down 3.0 percentage points), temporary South America project disruptions, competitive pricing, lower productivity on some Canadian projects, and expected cost inflation temper the upside. Management remains optimistic on demand and is targeting continued utilization improvements and debt paydown, but near-term margin pressure and weather-related timing effects create uncertainty.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $47.9M, up 10.5% year-over-year (from $43.5M).
Canada and International Revenue Increases
Canada revenue of $33.8M (+9.8% YoY) driven by higher activity and a larger mix of specialized drilling; International revenue of $14.1M (+12.1% YoY) from increased activity in Chile and Guyana.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA and Net Earnings
Adjusted EBITDA rose to $5.1M from $4.5M (+13.3%); net earnings improved to $1.3M ($0.03/share) from $0.5M ($0.01/share), an increase of ~160% (benefitting from lower income tax expense and favorable FX, partially offset by lower operating earnings).
Higher Drill Utilization and Ramp-Up of New Projects
Drill utilization reached its highest level in more than two years (management cited an increase from ~56% in Q1 to ~62% in Q2) and management expects further increase to ~65% in Q3 as new contracts ramp up.
Strong Market Demand Backed by Commodity Prices
Record gold prices and elevated copper prices are supporting strong demand, increased RFP activity, and rising requests from junior explorers (including longer multi‑month programs), improving the outlook for future contract opportunities.
Liquidity and Shareholder Actions
Entered a sixth amended credit agreement (revolving facility $30.0M plus USD 5.0M standby LC capacity, maturity Dec 22, 2029). Net repayment on credit facility of $3.3M in the quarter. Working capital of $51.9M (vs $50.4M FY2025 year-end). Repurchased 141,450 shares under NCIB at a weighted average price of $1.29.
Negative Updates
Margin Compression
Adjusted gross margin (ex-depreciation) declined to 18.5% from 21.5% a year ago (down 3.0 percentage points). Gross profit fell to $6.5M (13.5% of revenue) from $7.2M (16.5% of revenue).
Project Delays and Modifications in South America
Revenue and margins were constrained by a customer-initiated temporary delay on one South American project and an unexpected modification to another; these issues partially weighed on Q2 results (one delayed project fully resumed in January).
Competitive Pricing and Lower Productivity
Management cited competitive pricing on new projects and renewals plus lower drilling productivity on certain Canadian projects as contributors to the year-over-year margin decline.
Weather-Related Operational Disruption
Severe winter weather in Canada (January into February) may defer realization of some utilization gains until Q4 and create short-term operational challenges.
Cost Inflation Risk
Management expects cost inflation across supplies, materials and wages and will need to work with customers to accommodate input cost increases, posing margin pressure going forward.
Higher Debt vs Prior Year-End Due to Capex/Shipments
Long-term debt under the credit facility was $16.0M at quarter end (down from $19.3M at end of Q1 but up from $14.0M at fiscal 2025 year-end), driven by annual equipment shipments to Nunavut and Nunavik.
Company Guidance
Management guided that drilling utilization — which rose from ~56% in Q1 to ~62% in the quarter (the highest in >2 years) — should increase to about 65% in Q3, with some gains only fully realized in Q4, and can be accommodated with minimal mobilization costs; demand is expected to remain strong on record gold and elevated copper prices and high RFP activity (including junior programs now exceeding 5k–20k meters). They warned of cost inflation for supplies, materials and wages and noted ramp‑up projects typically yield lower gross margins, but expect to continue net debt paydown (long‑term debt $16.0M vs $19.3M in Q1 and $14.0M at FY2025 year‑end) while operating under a $30.0M revolving credit facility (+ unused USD5.0M LC capacity) expiring Dec 22, 2029. Recent Q2 metrics cited alongside this guidance: revenue $47.9M (+10.5% YoY; Canada $33.8M, +9.8%; International $14.1M, +12.1%), gross profit $6.5M (13.5% of revenue), adjusted gross margin 18.5% (vs 21.5% LY), adjusted EBITDA $5.1M, net earnings $1.3M ($0.03/diluted), working capital $51.9M, $3.3M net credit‑facility repayment in the quarter, and an NCIB with 141,450 shares repurchased at a $1.29 weighted average (of a 500,000‑share program).

Orbit Garant Drill Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operations are in recovery with TTM profitability returning (gross ~14.0%, operating ~6.6%, net ~2.5%) and strong TTM revenue growth. Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.48–0.55) with ROE improving versus 2022–2024 losses. Offsetting positives are thin net margins and uneven cash generation, with sharp TTM free-cash-flow growth decline and weak FCF conversion versus net income.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Results have improved meaningfully versus the loss-making period in 2022–2024. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows positive profitability with ~14.0% gross margin, ~6.6% operating margin, and ~2.5% net margin. Revenue growth is strong in TTM (2.435), and margins are notably better than 2023–2024. Offsetting this, profitability remains relatively thin at the bottom line, and the company has a recent history of negative net income (2022–2024), which suggests earnings can be cyclical and less durable.
Balance Sheet
61
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity around ~0.48 (FY2025) to ~0.55 (TTM), indicating moderate balance sheet risk rather than aggressive leverage. Equity has been generally stable, and returns on equity have recovered to ~11.0% (FY2025) and ~7.1% (TTM) after being negative in 2022–2024. The key weakness is the volatility in profitability (and therefore equity returns) over the last several years, which can pressure balance sheet flexibility during downcycles.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive and improved versus weaker years (TTM operating cash flow of ~$17.4M; FY2025 ~$18.5M), supporting ongoing operations. However, cash conversion is uneven: free cash flow is positive in TTM (~$6.3M) but shows a very sharp decline in the provided growth figure (TTM free cash flow growth -878.352) and is also shown as negative relative to net income in TTM (free cash flow to net income -0.067). This points to variability in working capital and/or capital spending needs, making cash generation less predictable than earnings.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue191.84M189.05M181.24M200.98M195.47M163.29M
Gross Profit25.29M28.28M20.37M16.82M13.74M20.29M
EBITDA20.81M20.47M9.16M14.87M9.97M17.58M
Net Income4.45M7.54M-1.32M-669.00K-6.65M2.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets136.36M130.64M119.88M127.56M137.06M138.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.96M3.54M332.00K2.18M1.02M3.26M
Total Debt39.29M32.66M34.12M37.01M40.31M37.30M
Total Liabilities65.46M62.22M59.65M65.92M74.55M67.79M
Stockholders Equity70.90M68.42M60.23M61.64M62.51M70.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.33M7.32M481.00K4.92M-6.14M1.93M
Operating Cash Flow17.39M18.52M9.22M14.35M5.86M9.79M
Investing Cash Flow-9.00M-8.57M-5.98M-8.44M-10.78M-6.70M
Financing Cash Flow-7.13M-6.67M-5.56M-4.43M2.71M-3.79M

Orbit Garant Drill Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.41
Price Trends
50DMA
1.75
Positive
100DMA
1.62
Positive
200DMA
1.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
62.54
Neutral
STOCH
64.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.07, below the 50-day MA of 1.75, and below the 200-day MA of 1.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGD.

Orbit Garant Drill Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
C$85.06M18.927.13%1.04%107.55%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
C$106.34M-46.34-50.65%62.70%
47
Neutral
C$49.45M-30.83-1.53%5.26%
46
Neutral
C$49.16M-68.25-1.60%88.42%
41
Neutral
C$60.36M-55.8147.56%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGD
Orbit Garant Drill
2.24
1.10
96.49%
TSE:ESK
Eskay Mining
0.57
0.35
153.33%
TSE:PX
Pelangio Exploration
0.24
0.18
300.00%
TSE:TK
Tinka Resources
0.37
0.07
23.75%
TSE:AZT
Aztec Minerals
0.35
0.16
86.49%
TSE:CNRI
Canadian North Resources, Inc.
0.43
-0.60
-58.25%

Orbit Garant Drill Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orbit Garant Grows Q2 Revenue on Strong Drilling Demand Despite Margin Pressure
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Orbit Garant reported a 10.5% year-over-year rise in second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue to $47.9 million, driven by higher drilling activity and a greater share of specialized work in Canada, as well as stronger volumes in Chile and Guyana. Despite this growth, gross margin and adjusted gross margin contracted due to lower productivity on some Canadian projects, competitive pricing pressures and customer-driven delays and changes to programs in South America, though net earnings improved to $1.3 million and adjusted EBITDA rose on favourable foreign exchange.

Management highlighted the full resumption of delayed projects, record-high drill utilization rates not seen in more than two years and a strengthening pipeline of requests from both major and junior mining clients, underpinned by record gold and high copper prices. The company expects further utilization gains in the second half of fiscal 2026 and into fiscal 2027, although some benefits may be deferred by severe winter weather in Canada, indicating solid underlying demand but ongoing operational and pricing challenges for stakeholders to monitor.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGD) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orbit Garant Drill stock, see the TSE:OGD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026