Falco Resources (FPC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$151.11M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 493.76K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.22
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: 54.00%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 502
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): -0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 347,378,630
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 533,940
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 493,764
• PEG Ratio: 0.88
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.36
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -9.88
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): -0.1
• Revenue Forecast (FY): C$295.49M

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: C$0.43 ▼(-9.15% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/20/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/20/26

The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance typical of a pre-revenue company (ongoing losses and negative free cash flow). Technicals are mixed but currently soft (negative MACD, RSI below 50, price below short-term averages), while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend yield support.

Positive Factors

Flagship asset: Horne 5 Project

Horne 5 is a flagship development asset in the prolific Rouyn-Noranda camp, giving Falco structural exposure to a high-quality mining jurisdiction. A tangible, advanced project anchors the business model and supports long-term value capture if development and permitting proceed.

Strong community engagement

Sustained, structured collaboration with a local advisory committee reduces permitting and social-license risk over the project lifecycle. Continued community support is a durable advantage for timely approvals and lower operational friction during development and construction phases.

Meaningful equity base and moderate leverage

A sizable equity base and only moderate leverage for a pre-revenue developer provide financial flexibility to fund near-term advancement. Positive equity and asset growth help absorb capital spending while the project moves through feasibility and permitting stages.

Negative Factors

Pre-revenue and persistent losses

Remaining pre-revenue with recurring operating losses means the company has not yet demonstrated an ability to generate sustainable earnings. This structural lack of revenue keeps long-term returns uncertain and prolongs dependence on capital markets until production is achieved.

Negative operating and free cash flow

Sustained negative operating and free cash flow reflect ongoing cash burn from development activities. Over the medium term this necessitates external financing or asset monetization, increasing dilution or financing costs and constraining the firm's ability to self-fund construction.

Postponed streaming funding milestones

An amendment delaying milestone deadlines for a silver stream postpones expected external funding tranches. This materially raises financing and timing risk for project advancement, potentially forcing alternative, costlier financing or slowing development progress.

Falco Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Falco Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral properties in Canada. It explores for base and precious metals, such as gold, zinc, copper, and silver deposits. The company owns mining claims and contractual rights in relation to mining concessions covering approximately 70,000 hectares of land in the Rouyn-Noranda mining camp located in the Province of Québec. Its principal asset is the Horne 5 Project located in the former Horne mine. The company was formerly known as Falco Pacific Resource Group Inc. and changed its name to Falco Resources Ltd. in July 2014. Falco Resources Ltd. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

The company makes money through the exploration and development of its mineral properties, primarily focusing on gold and other valuable metals. Falco Resources generates revenue by advancing its projects towards production, which involves various stages of exploration, feasibility studies, and eventual mining operations. The company's future revenue streams are expected to come from the sale of extracted minerals once commercial production begins. Additionally, Falco Resources may form strategic partnerships or joint ventures with other mining companies to leverage resources and expertise, potentially leading to additional revenue through shared project developments or royalty agreements.

Falco Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Pre-revenue profile with no revenue reported and persistent operating/net losses (TTM net loss ~-$3.5M) weighs heavily. Cash flow remains negative (TTM operating cash flow ~-$4.0M; TTM free cash flow ~-$5.3M), implying ongoing reliance on external funding. Partially offset by a meaningful equity base (~$64.2M) and moderate leverage for this stage (debt-to-equity ~0.75), providing some financial flexibility.

Income Statement

The company continues to report no revenue across the annual periods and in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating it remains pre-commercial. Profitability is weak and persistent, with recurring operating losses (EBIT and EBITDA negative each period) and ongoing net losses (TTM net loss of about $3.5M). While losses fluctuate year to year, there is no visible inflection toward positive earnings, which keeps the income statement quality and trajectory low.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate leverage profile for a pre-revenue issuer, with debt-to-equity around ~0.75 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and equity still meaningfully positive (TTM stockholders’ equity about $64.2M). Assets have also grown versus earlier years, which can support ongoing project development. That said, returns remain negative (TTM return on equity is negative), and total debt is sizable (~$37.0M TTM), leaving the company sensitive to continued cash burn and potential future financing needs.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is currently weak, with negative operating cash flow in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (about -$4.0M) and negative free cash flow (about -$5.3M), consistent with a business funding operations and investment without revenue. Free cash flow has been volatile year to year (including a larger burn in FY2025 and a period of positive operating cash flow in FY2022), but the overall pattern remains sustained cash outflows. While free cash flow has recently improved versus the prior annual period, it is still materially negative, implying continued reliance on external capital.

Breakdown	TTM	Sep 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	-27.56K	-29.49K	-30.55K	-15.85K	-21.06K	-33.81K
EBITDA	-3.71M	-1.94M	-3.28M	-3.23M	-2.96M	-3.59M
Net Income	-3.47M	-2.40M	-3.41M	-3.40M	-3.15M	-3.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	177.96M	163.00M	151.73M	142.93M	137.88M	112.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	9.53M	1.52M	3.68M	5.92M	12.02M	4.15M
Total Debt	37.00M	38.40M	36.19M	33.06M	30.20M	27.53M
Total Liabilities	113.74M	109.01M	101.11M	90.81M	82.80M	71.79M
Stockholders Equity	64.22M	53.99M	50.63M	52.13M	55.08M	40.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-5.32M	-7.41M	-5.12M	-5.98M	-8.41M	-9.33M
Operating Cash Flow	-3.98M	-3.90M	-2.57M	-2.97M	5.49M	-3.59M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.33M	-3.51M	-1.64M	-12.98K	-16.90M	-5.74M
Financing Cash Flow	12.06M	5.25M	1.98M	-116.91K	16.28M	9.85M

Falco Resources Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.47
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.46, above the 50-day MA of 0.46, and above the 200-day MA of 0.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FPC.

Falco Resources Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
CVV	53 Neutral	C$193.65M	-9.98	-68.08%	―	―	-69.65%
CCCM	51 Neutral	C$121.86M	-35.19	-4.33%	―	―	10.13%
ELBM	51 Neutral	C$103.23M	-0.60	-49.48%	―	―	62.30%
ANDC	49 Neutral	C$222.44M	-40.23	-9.75%	―	―	85.71%
LRA	48 Neutral	C$157.19M	-45.65	-50.05%	―	―	-1816.67%
FPC	44 Neutral	C$151.11M	-41.48	-4.06%	―	―	54.00%

Falco Resources Corporate Events

Falco Secures Extension of Key Deadlines Under Horne 5 Silver Stream Deal

Falco Resources has amended its 2019 silver purchase agreement with OR Royalties Inc. tied to the Horne 5 Project, extending certain deadlines for Falco to meet milestones that are conditions precedent to OR funding the remaining instalments of the silver stream deposit. The extension provides Falco with additional time and flexibility to satisfy project-related conditions, potentially supporting continued advancement and financing of Horne 5 while maintaining its development timeline under a revised framework with its streaming partner.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FPC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.51 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Falco Resources stock, see the TSE:FPC Stock Forecast page.

Falco Resources Deepens Community Collaboration Around Horne 5 Project

Falco Resources has reported that 2025 was marked by strengthened collaboration with the local community around its flagship Horne 5 Project in Rouyn-Noranda, Québec, largely driven by the work of its Advisory Committee. The 26-member, multi-sector committee, renewed in 2025 to include local citizen representatives, met throughout the year to address key issues such as seismicity, air quality, water protection, socio-economic benefits, and community engagement. This led to the creation of an Integrity Program – Residences and Infrastructure, designed to protect homes and infrastructure and formalize complaint and claims management, as well as a reference framework for managing community interactions and the groundwork for a future Good Neighbour Guide, all aimed at ensuring long-term harmonious coexistence. Looking to 2026, Falco plans to deepen this dialogue with continued focus on training, employment, housing, and improved public consultation practices, while working with the City of Rouyn-Noranda and technical health-sector experts to ensure the project’s integration delivers durable social benefits and safeguards the long-term activities of regional health and social services, reinforcing the project’s social licence and stakeholder trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FPC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Falco Resources stock, see the TSE:FPC Stock Forecast page.

Falco Resources Targets Key 2026 Milestones as Horne 5 Nears Québec Decree

Falco Resources has outlined its 2026 strategy as it pushes its flagship Horne 5 Project through the final stages of Québec’s environmental acceptability process toward a ministerial decree, a key milestone that would move the large underground polymetallic mine closer to construction readiness. The company is updating its 2021 feasibility study to incorporate current metal prices, revised costs and refined development plans, aiming to support future financing and strategic engagement while stepping up institutional, analyst and community outreach; it has also granted 400,000 stock options to Achievers’ Unlimited as part of a new mandate to bolster corporate development, marketing and strategic advisory efforts, underscoring Falco’s broader effort to close its valuation gap and strengthen its profile as a leading Canadian development-stage miner.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FPC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.44 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Falco Resources stock, see the TSE:FPC Stock Forecast page.

Falco Targets Pivotal 2026 as Horne 5 Nears Québec Decree and Feasibility Update

Falco Resources has outlined its 2026 roadmap as it pushes its flagship Horne 5 Project through the final stages of Québec’s environmental and permitting process toward a ministerial decree, positioning the large underground polymetallic mine for construction readiness. The company is updating its 2021 feasibility study to reflect current metal prices, cost assumptions and refined development plans, while prioritizing technical and permitting work, institutional and analyst outreach, and community consultation in a bid to close its valuation gap and strengthen its standing as a leading Canadian polymetallic development story; in parallel, Falco has granted 400,000 stock options to advisory firm Achievers’ Unlimited as part of a mandate to support corporate development, marketing and strategic advisory efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FPC) stock is a Hold with a C$0.44 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Falco Resources stock, see the TSE:FPC Stock Forecast page.

Falco Resources Announces Leadership Changes and Debt Transaction Closures

Falco Resources Ltd. has announced significant changes in its leadership and financial arrangements. Alexander Dann has been appointed as the new Chair of the Board, succeeding Mario Caron, who will remain as lead director. The company also closed its senior debt transactions with OR Royalties and Glencore, which include amendments to existing loans and the issuance of new warrants. These developments are expected to strengthen Falco’s financial position and support its long-term strategic goals.

Falco Resources Updates Feasibility Study for Horne 5 Project

Falco Resources has initiated an update to its 2021 feasibility study for the Horne 5 Project in Rouyn-Noranda, Québec, anticipating completion by the second quarter of 2026. This update aims to incorporate current commodity prices, potentially enhancing the project’s economic returns. The Horne 5 Project is one of Canada’s largest gold projects, expected to produce over 220,000 ounces of gold annually over a 15-year lifespan. The project also positions Falco as a significant producer of copper and zinc in Québec. Recent major project acquisitions in Québec highlight the value of Falco’s project, and the company is working towards obtaining a ministerial decree to authorize the project.