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Mattr Corp. (TSE:MATR)
TSX:MATR

Mattr (MATR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MATR

Mattr

(TSX:MATR)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
C$9.00
▲(1.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is driven primarily by moderate financial performance: profitability has returned, but margins are thin, leverage is higher, and cash-flow conversion remains uneven. Technicals are mixed (improving vs short/mid-term averages but still below the 200-day with slightly negative MACD). Valuation is a meaningful headwind due to the high P/E, while the latest earnings call supports a cautiously positive view on growth initiatives but with near-term Q4 softness and macro/tariff risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability Recovery
Mattr's TTM return to profitability and ~9% revenue growth indicate the business can generate positive operating cash and earnings after prior losses. This improves capacity for reinvestment, debt repayment and supports execution of strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Supply‑chain control via strategic acquisition
The acquisition that secures a long‑term exclusive supply agreement materially reduces input cost and tariff exposure risk, improving gross margin sustainability and supply reliability. This structural control helps stabilize production costs and supports competitive pricing over years.
Product adoption and capacity expansion (Flexpipe)
Growing customer adoption of larger diameter Flexpipe and planned productivity expansion (new Texas site) indicate scalable demand for higher‑value products. Durable technology adoption and capacity buildout support sustainable revenue mix improvement and long‑term market penetration.
Negative Factors
Increasing leverage
Debt levels have increased materially, narrowing financial flexibility. Higher leverage makes the company more sensitive to interest costs and cyclical revenue swings, constraining ability to invest, fund capex or smooth dividends and increasing refinancing risk in stressed markets.
Thin, volatile margins
Low single‑digit operating and net margins reduce shock absorption from cyclical downturns and commodity or input cost swings. Historical margin volatility (losses in prior years, peak in 2023) suggests inconsistent pricing power and leaves limited room to fund growth or aggressive deleveraging.
Cyclicality and tariff exposure
Significant exposure to energy, mining and industrial end markets and recent tariff shocks create structural demand and cost volatility. Tariffs and regional economic weakness raise working capital needs and weaken margin visibility, increasing execution risk across project cycles.

Mattr (MATR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Mattr Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMattr Corp. operates as a material sciences company that serves the infrastructure, energy, and transportation markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Composite Systems, Automotive and Industrial, and Pipeline and Pipe Services. The Composite Systems segment manufactures flexible composite that are used for oil and gas gathering, and other applications; fiberglass reinforced plastic underground storage tanks for the retail fuel, water and wastewater, and oil and gas markets. The Automotive and Industrial segment manufactures heat-shrinkable products, including thin, medium, and heavy-walled tubing; sleeves and molded products, as well as heat-shrink accessories and equipment; and low-voltage wires and cables for control, instrumentation, thermocouple, power, and industrial applications. The Pipeline and Pipe Services segment offers ultrasonic and radiographic pipeline girth weld inspection services to pipeline operators and construction contractors. The company was formerly known as Shaw Industries Ltd. and changed its name to Shawcor Ltd. in 2001. Shawcor Ltd. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMattr makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling engineered products and systems to customers in energy infrastructure and industrial end markets. A major revenue driver is the sale of composite pipe products (including pipe, fittings, and associated components) used in new pipeline builds, replacements, and repairs; revenue is recognized as products are delivered (and, where applicable, as projects are executed under customer contracts). The company also generates revenue from engineered solutions tied to customer specifications—often bundling design/engineering support, product customization, and project-related services with product sales—resulting in contract-based or project-based revenue tied to capital spending and maintenance cycles in pipeline and industrial infrastructure. Key factors that influence earnings include demand from oil and gas production and transportation activity, infrastructure integrity and replacement needs, and the timing/scale of customer project awards. Specific details on material partnerships or customer concentration are null.

Mattr Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there were significant achievements, such as strong revenue growth and strategic acquisitions aimed at cost reduction, the company faces challenges from economic weaknesses, tariff impacts, and declining oilfield activity. The outlook for the fourth quarter remains cautious, given macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Year-over-Year Revenue Growth
Mattr delivered year-over-year revenue growth of 39% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 16%, driven by the addition of AmerCable to the Connection Technologies segment.
Connection Technologies Segment Performance
The Connection Technologies segment delivered year-over-year revenue growth of 105% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 62%, with Shawflex setting a new quarterly revenue record.
Strategic Acquisition for Cost Reduction
Mattr acquired an intermediary that facilitated the supply of metallic components, securing a multi-decade exclusive supply agreement, reducing costs, lowering tariff exposure, and enhancing supply chain control.
Success in Larger Diameter Flexpipe Products
Flexpipe continued to drive customer adoption of new technology, with larger diameter products nearing 50% of North American revenue generation during Q3.
Operational Efficiency and Production Output
Productivity expansion from Flexpipe's new Texas site remains on schedule, and the business continues to anticipate the release of additional larger diameter products.
Negative Updates
Economic Weakness Impact
Near-term business performance is likely to be impacted by continued economic weakness in certain key geographies, particularly in the Canadian, European automotive, and energy extraction markets.
Challenges in Wire and Cable Margins
Wire and cable margins moved sequentially lower due to a less favorable revenue mix, impacted by reduced sales into Canadian mining and global oilfield applications.
Tariff and Economic Impacts
U.S. tariffs introduced in early Q3 impacted the primary copper supply chain at both Shawflex and AmerCable, leading to less favorable payment terms and an increase in working capital.
Composite Technologies Segment Decline
Composite Technologies segment's third-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA decreased by 4% and 2% year-over-year, primarily due to declines in oilfield activity.
Anticipated Lower Performance in Q4
Reported business performance in the fourth quarter is expected to be below the third quarter of 2025 due to macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During Mattr's third-quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided several key metrics and insights regarding its financial performance and strategic initiatives. Mattr reported a 39% year-over-year increase in revenue and a 16% growth in adjusted EBITDA, driven primarily by the inclusion of the AmerCable business in their Connection Technologies segment, which alone saw a 105% rise in revenue and a 62% increase in adjusted EBITDA. However, they anticipate a more pronounced seasonal dip in fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA due to economic slowdowns in key markets, particularly impacting the Canadian industrial and mining sectors. The company highlighted challenges such as tariff impacts on supply chains but noted successful mitigation strategies that avoided significant costs. Mattr also discussed capital allocation, emphasizing debt repayment in the near term while pausing share repurchases. The company revised its full-year 2025 capital spending expectations to $50-$60 million, down from previous guidance, and projected long-term growth opportunities driven by new technologies and market expansions in sectors like U.S. infrastructure, data centers, and utilities.

Mattr Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM results show a return to profitability and ~9% revenue growth, but margins are modest and below 2023 levels. Leverage increased materially (debt-to-equity ~0.81 vs ~0.32 in 2023), and free-cash-flow conversion has been uneven despite positive TTM FCF (~$41M), keeping overall financial quality moderate.
Income Statement
63
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a return to profitability with revenue up ~9% and positive operating profit and net income. However, profitability is modest (net margin ~3.1%, operating margin ~3.4%) and down materially versus 2023, highlighting margin compression and earnings volatility (losses in 2024 and 2022, strong profit in 2023). Overall: improving trajectory but still inconsistent through the cycle.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Leverage has increased meaningfully: debt-to-equity rose from ~0.32 (2023) to ~0.81 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), despite equity remaining relatively stable. Returns on equity are positive in TTM (~4.8%) but well below prior peak levels (2023 ~11.9%), suggesting higher balance-sheet risk without a commensurate improvement in profitability.
Cash Flow
51
Neutral
Cash generation improved versus 2024: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is positive (~$104M) and free cash flow is positive (~$41M). That said, cash conversion is weaker than earnings quality would ideally indicate, with free cash flow low relative to net income (~0.05), and operating cash flow coverage remaining modest versus the company’s debt load; 2024 also showed negative free cash flow, underscoring volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.27B885.32M925.27M1.26B1.14B1.18B
Gross Profit300.76M243.84M296.44M364.70M318.12M322.54M
EBITDA128.64M85.07M121.27M147.78M29.86M-107.48M
Net Income46.55M-3.73M87.19M-29.99M-79.11M-234.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.60B1.63B1.28B1.55B1.27B1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.53M375.24M334.06M263.99M124.45M214.51M
Total Debt560.83M640.37M232.46M270.27M346.58M505.55M
Total Liabilities849.48M908.38M548.62M849.44M625.68M808.90M
Stockholders Equity753.81M721.10M730.16M699.38M639.27M712.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.15M-59.05M48.35M161.02M39.61M20.42M
Operating Cash Flow104.43M51.35M124.61M211.10M64.68M44.44M
Investing Cash Flow-437.88M-154.99M109.82M19.50M3.83M106.57M
Financing Cash Flow-101.53M259.84M-161.78M-111.65M-163.53M-36.86M

Mattr Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.86
Price Trends
50DMA
8.48
Positive
100DMA
8.63
Positive
200DMA
10.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
58.23
Neutral
STOCH
37.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MATR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.61, above the 50-day MA of 8.48, and below the 200-day MA of 10.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MATR.

Mattr Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$740.05M7.4910.51%2.57%15.58%47.55%
75
Outperform
C$3.83B13.1522.00%1.29%5.79%-5.08%
75
Outperform
$1.45B10.2318.06%3.57%9.24%6.35%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
C$493.23M15.423.06%-8.13%-28.00%
55
Neutral
C$543.57M57.574.00%27.14%
48
Neutral
$502.65M16.749.34%2.56%8.24%-36.88%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MATR
Mattr
8.86
-1.81
-16.96%
TSE:NOA
North American Construction Group
17.59
-6.01
-25.48%
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
18.27
11.19
158.05%
TSE:CFW
Calfrac Well Services
4.95
1.38
38.77%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
20.31
11.11
120.76%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
6.87
2.58
59.95%

Mattr Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Mattr’s AmerCable-Fueled Expansion Drives Strong 2025 Profit Turnaround
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

Mattr Corp. reported strong year-over-year growth for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, driven by its expanded exposure to North American wire and cable demand following the AmerCable acquisition and steady demand for Composite Technologies products. Revenue rose 50.4% in the fourth quarter to $312.5 million and 43.3% for the full year to $1.27 billion, while adjusted EBITDA nearly 1.5 times in the quarter and rose 43.1% for the year, with total net income swinging to a $46.6 million profit in 2025.

The company’s Connection Technologies and Composite Technologies segments both delivered higher operating income and improved margins, helping lift net income from continuing operations to $48.3 million and diluted EPS to $0.75 for 2025. Management cautioned that softer economic and cross-border trade conditions may pressure some end markets in 2026, but emphasized that Mattr’s differentiated technologies, rising manufacturing efficiency and disciplined capital allocation are expected to support stronger long-term sales, margins and cash generation, providing a constructive backdrop for shareholders despite near-term volatility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MATR) stock is a Hold with a C$10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mattr stock, see the TSE:MATR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026