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Intact Financial Corporation (TSE:IFC)
TSX:IFC

Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IFC

Intact Financial Corporation

(TSX:IFC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$313.00
â–²(10.32% Upside)
Intact Financial Corporation's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust profitability, effective cost management, and strategic growth initiatives are significant strengths. However, the decline in revenue growth and challenges in the UK&I market present areas for improvement. The technical analysis and valuation suggest a neutral to slightly positive outlook, supporting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
The impressive free cash flow growth rate indicates robust cash generation capabilities, providing financial flexibility for investments and debt management.
Effective Margin Management
Maintaining a low combined ratio reflects effective cost control and underwriting discipline, supporting long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
AI Investment Benefits
The successful implementation of AI enhances pricing and underwriting efficiencies, contributing to sustained competitive advantages and operational improvements.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A significant decline in revenue growth can impact future earnings potential and market share, necessitating strategic adjustments to regain momentum.
UK&I Premium Decline
The decline in UK&I premiums due to remediation efforts may affect regional market presence and revenue, requiring effective turnaround strategies.
High Catastrophe Losses
Significant catastrophe losses highlight exposure to natural disasters, which can strain financial resources and impact profitability if not mitigated.

Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Intact Financial Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and the Middle East. It offers personal auto insurance; insurance for motor homes, recreational vehicles, motorcycles, snowmobiles, and all-terrain vehicles; personal property insurance, such as protection for homes and contents from risks, including fire, theft, vandalism, water damage, and other damages, as well as personal liability coverage; and property coverage for tenants, condominium owners, non-owner occupied residences, and seasonal residences. The company also provides insurance products for commercial lines for a group of small and medium sized businesses; commercial property insurance for the protection of physical assets of the business; and liability coverages comprising commercial general, product, and professional liability, as well as cyber endorsement. In addition, it offers commercial vehicle insurance coverages for the protection for commercial auto, fleets, garage operations, light trucks, public vehicles, and the specific needs of the sharing economy. Further, the company provides various personal levels of coverage to customers for their home, motor, pet, and other insurance products; general insurance, specialty lines, and risk management solutions; specialty insurance products for various product and customer groups, including accident and health, technology, ocean and inland marine, public entities, and entertainment, as well as financial services and institutions; and various products to specialty property, surety, tuition reimbursement, management liability, cyber, and environmental institutions. The company was formerly known as ING Canada Inc. and changed its name to Intact Financial Corporation in 2009. Intact Financial Corporation was founded in 1809 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntact Financial Corporation generates revenue primarily through the underwriting of insurance premiums. The company collects premiums from policyholders in exchange for providing coverage against risks such as property damage, liability, and auto accidents. These premiums are a key revenue stream, as they provide the funds necessary to pay claims and cover operational expenses. Additionally, IFC invests the collected premiums in various financial instruments, allowing the company to earn investment income. The company's profit is influenced by its claims experience, underwriting discipline, and investment performance. Significant partnerships with brokers and agents also contribute to its revenue generation, as these relationships help expand market reach and enhance distribution capabilities, ultimately driving policy sales and increasing overall revenue.

Intact Financial Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong financial performance with significant income and ROE growth, especially in North American operations. However, challenges such as UK&I premium decline and high catastrophe losses were noted, though they aligned with expectations.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Operating Income Growth
Net operating income per share of $4.46, showcasing robust underwriting performance across all geographies and lines of business.
Significant ROE Improvement
Operating ROE improved by 4 points year-over-year to 20%, highlighting successful market navigation and earnings growth.
Positive Growth in Personal Lines
Personal auto premiums grew 11% with a 3% increase in units. Personal property premiums grew 10% with a 2% increase in units.
Distribution Income Growth
Distribution income increased 11% to $147 million, with BrokerLink reaching $5 billion in annual premiums.
U.S. Specialty Lines Performance
U.S. premiums up 8% year-over-year with the combined ratio of 83.6% improving by 4 points. Fast-growing segments exceeded 20% growth.
Negative Updates
UK&I Premium Decline
UK&I premiums were down 5% year-over-year due to ongoing remediation efforts within the DLG portfolio.
High Catastrophe Losses
Catastrophe losses totaled $394 million due to wildfires in Newfoundland and other weather events, aligning with expectations but still significant.
Increased Expense Ratio
Consolidated expense ratio rose by 1.7 points to 34.2%, driven by higher broker commissions and employee compensation.
Company Guidance
During Intact Financial Corporation's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on various financial metrics and market conditions. The company reported a net operating income per share of $4.46, driven by strong underwriting performance and top-line growth of 6%. The combined ratio was maintained at a sub-90 level, highlighting effective margin management. The operating return on equity (ROE) improved by 4 points year-over-year to 20%, reflecting robust performance across all regions, particularly in personal and commercial lines. The Canadian market showed an 11% growth in personal auto premiums and a 10% growth in personal property, with the combined ratio in personal lines at 91.5% and 92.4%, respectively. Intact's UK&I business experienced a 5% decline in premiums due to ongoing remediation efforts, but the company expects growth to rebound as these efforts taper off. In the U.S., premiums increased by 8%, with certain segments growing over 20% and maintaining low 80s combined ratios. The company's investments in AI have generated over $150 million in annual recurring benefits, contributing to pricing optimization and underwriting efficiencies. Intact's capital margin stands at $3.3 billion, and it remains well-positioned to pursue M&A opportunities, with a focus on maintaining an operating ROE above mid-teens and achieving net operating income per share growth of 10% annually.

Intact Financial Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intact Financial Corporation demonstrates strong financial health with solid revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and the company shows resilience in generating cash. While there are minor concerns regarding revenue fluctuations and debt levels, the overall financial position remains robust, supporting future growth prospects.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Intact Financial Corporation shows strong revenue growth with a 7.13% increase in TTM. The company maintains robust profitability with a net profit margin of 13.81% and an EBIT margin of 18.38% in TTM. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a slight decline in revenue compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 in TTM, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity is strong at 13.08%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, supporting financial stability. However, the slight increase in debt over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 7.14% growth in free cash flow in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 90.12%, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, which may indicate potential issues in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.57B24.98B23.29B22.54B17.58B12.46B
Gross Profit5.33B4.03B2.99B3.66B8.61B5.58B
EBITDA4.95B3.83B2.62B3.75B3.18B1.79B
Net Income3.07B2.30B1.32B2.45B2.07B1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets62.97B59.53B55.98B53.74B66.35B35.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.74B18.90B17.94B23.85B4.12B2.47B
Total Debt5.46B5.47B5.74B5.28B6.31B3.49B
Total Liabilities43.01B41.38B39.50B37.61B38.20B25.54B
Stockholders Equity19.96B18.15B16.19B15.84B15.67B9.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.07B2.96B1.39B3.25B2.80B2.19B
Operating Cash Flow4.47B3.39B1.85B3.67B3.13B2.35B
Investing Cash Flow-2.20B-1.61B-2.00B-2.75B-5.97B-2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-1.67B-2.01B321.00M-2.21B4.19B79.00M

Intact Financial Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price283.72
Price Trends
50DMA
273.18
Positive
100DMA
272.83
Positive
200DMA
284.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.89
Negative
RSI
59.48
Neutral
STOCH
79.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 283.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 279.68, above the 50-day MA of 273.18, and below the 200-day MA of 284.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IFC.

Intact Financial Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$59.76B8.4118.65%0.85%10.08%24.18%
79
Outperform
C$9.13B18.3713.44%1.00%19.80%-12.93%
76
Outperform
C$60.88B15.4215.09%3.65%-20.64%14.88%
76
Outperform
C$45.98B15.0313.24%3.31%-9.03%44.14%
73
Outperform
C$50.60B16.9716.27%1.88%2.51%44.44%
71
Outperform
C$16.12B14.9714.34%2.16%-25.13%16.40%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
283.72
25.78
9.99%
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,540.97
559.67
28.25%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
66.90
21.58
47.62%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
175.27
45.27
34.82%
TSE:POW
Power Corp of Canada
72.42
28.91
66.44%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
75.11
17.67
30.76%

Intact Financial Corporation Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingDividends
Intact Financial Completes $150 Million Preferred Share Offering
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation has successfully completed a $150 million preferred share offering, with the proceeds intended for general corporate purposes. The Series 13 Preferred Shares will trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange, providing shareholders with quarterly non-cumulative cash dividends. This financial move is expected to strengthen Intact’s operational capabilities and market position, benefiting stakeholders by enhancing the company’s financial flexibility.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Corporation Launches $150 Million Preferred Share Offering
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation announced a $150 million preferred share offering, involving the sale of 6,000,000 Non-Cumulative Class A Shares, Series 13, at $25.00 per share. The shares, yielding 5.50% annually, are expected to close on November 12, 2025, with proceeds used for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Intact’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and support its ongoing operations, potentially impacting its market presence positively.

Financial Disclosures
Intact Financial Reports Strong Q3-2025 Results with Robust Growth
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation reported strong Q3-2025 results, with a 6% increase in operating direct premiums written, driven by growth in commercial and personal lines. The company achieved a combined ratio of 89.8% and a significant increase in net operating income per share to $4.46, reflecting robust underwriting performance and lower catastrophe losses. The operating return on equity rose to 19.6%, highlighting the company’s ability to navigate market cycles effectively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025