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Intact Financial Corporation (TSE:IFC)
TSX:IFC
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Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IFC

Intact Financial Corporation

(TSX:IFC)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$327.00
▲(17.20% Upside)
Intact Financial Corporation's overall stock score of 77 reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights. While technical indicators suggest caution, the company's robust balance sheet and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for future growth. The valuation is reasonable, and recent corporate events further support the company's positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Intact Financial's management team is recognized for consistently delivering results, enhancing the company's reputation as a proven acquirer.
Market Position
Intact Financial exhibits strong defensive characteristics and competitive advantage in data analytics, contributing to its superior market positioning.
Strategic Growth
The company maintains a favorable market and growth outlook, with unchanged 2025 guidance and strategic growth targets.
Negative Factors
CAT Losses
The announcement of CAT losses of $244 million, driven by weather events and commercial fires, is higher than previously estimated.
Market Conditions
The outsized CAT losses are expected to prolong firm market conditions, especially in personal property.

Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Intact Financial Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and the Middle East. It offers personal auto insurance; insurance for motor homes, recreational vehicles, motorcycles, snowmobiles, and all-terrain vehicles; personal property insurance, such as protection for homes and contents from risks, including fire, theft, vandalism, water damage, and other damages, as well as personal liability coverage; and property coverage for tenants, condominium owners, non-owner occupied residences, and seasonal residences. The company also provides insurance products for commercial lines for a group of small and medium sized businesses; commercial property insurance for the protection of physical assets of the business; and liability coverages comprising commercial general, product, and professional liability, as well as cyber endorsement. In addition, it offers commercial vehicle insurance coverages for the protection for commercial auto, fleets, garage operations, light trucks, public vehicles, and the specific needs of the sharing economy. Further, the company provides various personal levels of coverage to customers for their home, motor, pet, and other insurance products; general insurance, specialty lines, and risk management solutions; specialty insurance products for various product and customer groups, including accident and health, technology, ocean and inland marine, public entities, and entertainment, as well as financial services and institutions; and various products to specialty property, surety, tuition reimbursement, management liability, cyber, and environmental institutions. The company was formerly known as ING Canada Inc. and changed its name to Intact Financial Corporation in 2009. Intact Financial Corporation was founded in 1809 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntact Financial Corporation generates its revenue primarily through the sale of insurance policies and the management of premiums collected from policyholders. The company's key revenue streams include personal insurance lines, such as automobile and property insurance, and commercial insurance products, which cover various industries and business needs. IFC also benefits from investment income earned on the premiums collected, which are invested in a diversified portfolio of assets. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships further enhance IFC's market position and revenue potential, enabling it to expand its product offerings and geographic reach.

Intact Financial Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.59%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant growth in net operating income and a stable combined ratio. Strategic expansions and a robust balance sheet further emphasized positive aspects. However, challenges in commercial lines and specific regional declines, such as in the UK&I, presented notable concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Operating Income
Net operating income per share increased to $5.23, an 8% growth from last year, driven by strong underwriting performance across all segments.
Improved Combined Ratio
Overall combined ratio improved to 86.1%, a 1-point improvement year-over-year despite higher CAT losses.
Canadian Personal Lines Growth
Premiums grew 11% in personal auto and 10% in personal property, driven by rate actions and a 2% increase in units.
Expansion and Strategic Initiatives
Intact is entering new verticals in the U.S. and Europe, expanding broker relationships in the U.K., and leveraging technology in Canada.
Resilient Balance Sheet
Maintained a strong financial position with a total capital margin of $3.1 billion and adjusted debt total capital ratio decreasing to 18.4%.
Positive Outlook for Distribution Income
Distribution income of $165 million was achieved despite a decline in some segments, with continued M&A activities and a positive outlook for growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Commercial Lines
Premium growth in commercial lines was only 1% due to elevated competition in large accounts, with continued pressure anticipated.
UK&I Premium Decline
Premiums in the UK&I were 5% lower year-over-year due to continued remediation in the direct line portfolio and some delegated arrangements.
Catastrophe Losses Impact
Second quarter catastrophe losses totaled $137 million, $41 million higher than last year, despite being below expectations for the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Intact Financial Corporation Q2 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported a net operating income per share of $5.23, with strong underwriting performance contributing to a book value per share increase of 12% year-over-year and an operating ROE above 16%. Top-line growth improved by 4%, with a notable 11% increase in personal auto premiums and a 10% rise in personal property premiums, driven by rate actions and unit growth. The combined ratio was robust at 86.1%, a 1-point improvement year-over-year, despite higher catastrophe losses. The Canadian personal auto segment's combined ratio improved to 90.3%, while personal property saw a strong combined ratio of 84.5%. In Commercial Lines in Canada, premium growth was modest at 1%, with a combined ratio of 74%. In the UK&I, premiums were down 5% year-over-year, with a combined ratio of 92.9%, while the U.S. maintained a strong combined ratio of 87.8%. The company remains focused on leveraging technology to enhance customer and broker experiences and anticipates continued growth through new verticals and expanded broker relationships globally.

Intact Financial Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intact Financial Corporation presents a strong financial foundation with healthy profitability margins and efficient cash flow management. While revenue decline is a concern, the company's operational efficiency and prudent leverage provide stability. Continued focus on revenue growth and maintaining robust margins will be crucial for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Intact Financial Corporation shows a robust income statement with a strong Gross Profit Margin of 104.8% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The Net Profit Margin is healthy at 12.0% TTM, reflecting profitability. However, Total Revenue has decreased by 21.5% from the previous year, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain solid at 15.9% and 19.4% TTM, respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.29 TTM, showcasing prudent leverage. The Return on Equity stands at a strong 12.3%, indicating effective use of equity. However, the Equity Ratio is at 31.0% TTM, suggesting a balanced mix of debt and equity, though slightly lower equity backing could imply potential risk in volatility.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Intact Financial Corporation demonstrates a solid cash flow position with a Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 10.7%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.61 TTM, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.42 TTM, both reflecting strong cash conversion and liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.50B23.74B22.07B19.67B723.00M12.46B
Gross Profit19.53B4.03B22.09B398.00M570.00M12.46B
EBITDA3.98B3.83B2.40B3.08B3.03B1.74B
Net Income2.42B2.30B1.32B2.45B2.07B1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.85B59.53B55.98B53.74B66.35B35.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.51B18.90B17.94B23.85B4.12B2.47B
Total Debt5.43B5.47B5.74B5.28B6.31B3.49B
Total Liabilities41.64B41.38B39.50B37.61B38.20B25.54B
Stockholders Equity19.22B18.15B16.19B15.84B15.67B9.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.51B2.96B1.39B3.25B2.80B2.19B
Operating Cash Flow3.90B3.39B1.85B3.67B3.13B2.35B
Investing Cash Flow-2.42B-1.61B-2.00B-2.75B-5.97B-2.44B
Financing Cash Flow-1.59B-2.01B321.00M-2.21B4.19B79.00M

Intact Financial Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price279.00
Price Trends
50DMA
304.61
Negative
100DMA
298.64
Negative
200DMA
282.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.35
Positive
RSI
29.62
Positive
STOCH
9.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 279 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 297.22, below the 50-day MA of 304.61, and below the 200-day MA of 282.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.62 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:IFC.

Intact Financial Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$49.76B21.3813.23%1.82%5.25%15.06%
62
Neutral
AU$10.28B9.9613.11%4.73%33.44%22.25%
$32.00B13.9513.38%4.28%
$41.58B8.2118.70%0.87%
75
Outperform
C$13.08B13.0813.43%2.49%-4.55%42.41%
74
Outperform
C$49.26B13.3014.19%4.37%15.27%4.72%
71
Outperform
C$8.75B21.2211.48%0.97%18.98%0.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
279.00
35.31
14.49%
SLF
Sun Life Financial
56.54
10.53
22.89%
FRFHF
Fairfax Financial Holdings
1,718.50
633.20
58.34%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
53.28
13.20
32.93%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
141.27
44.98
46.71%
TSE:DFY
Definity Financial Corp.
71.94
24.09
50.34%

Intact Financial Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Intact Financial Corporation Achieves Strong Q2-2025 Results Amidst Challenging Conditions
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation reported a solid performance in Q2-2025, with a 4% growth in operating direct premiums written, driven by personal lines. The company achieved a strong combined ratio of 86.1% and an 8% increase in net operating income per share, reflecting robust underwriting and stable investment income. Despite higher catastrophe losses, Intact maintained a solid operating ROE of 16.3%, supported by a resilient balance sheet and strategic growth in personal lines. The company remains well-positioned to capture opportunities and continue delivering on its financial objectives, with expectations of favorable market conditions in the coming year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFC) stock is a Buy with a C$275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intact Financial Corporation stock, see the TSE:IFC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Completes $2.9 Billion Note Amendment
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation announced the successful completion of its consent and proxy solicitation regarding $2.9 billion of medium term notes. The company received the necessary consents to amend the indenture governing these notes, allowing for a proposed amendment to take effect. This move reflects Intact’s strategic financial management and could enhance its operational flexibility, potentially impacting stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFC) stock is a Buy with a C$263.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intact Financial Corporation stock, see the TSE:IFC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Seeks Amendments to $2.9 Billion Medium-Term Notes
Neutral
May 14, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation has initiated a consent and proxy solicitation to amend the indenture governing ten series of its Canadian dollar-denominated medium-term notes, totaling $2.9 billion in principal. The company seeks approval from noteholders for a proposed amendment, with a meeting scheduled if the required consent threshold is not met. This move could impact Intact’s financial operations and stakeholder relations, as it involves potential changes to the terms of significant debt instruments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IFC) stock is a Buy with a C$275.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intact Financial Corporation stock, see the TSE:IFC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intact Financial Corporation Announces Shareholder Meeting Results
Positive
May 8, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders virtually, where the election of directors, appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as auditor, and the approach to executive compensation were approved by shareholders. The results indicate strong support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction, which may reinforce its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Financial Disclosures
Intact Financial Corporation Reports Strong Q1-2025 Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

Intact Financial Corporation reported a strong start to 2025, with a 3% growth in operating direct premiums written, driven by momentum in personal lines. The company maintained a stable combined ratio of 91.3% despite increased catastrophe losses, and achieved a 10% increase in net operating income per share to $4.01. The company’s operating return on equity stood at 16.5%, supported by solid underwriting results and increased investment and distribution income. Intact Financial is well-positioned to continue achieving its financial objectives amidst economic uncertainties, with expectations of continued premium growth in both personal and commercial lines.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025