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Groupe Dynamite Inc. (TSE:GRGD)
TSX:GRGD

Groupe Dynamite Inc. (GRGD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRGD

Groupe Dynamite Inc.

(TSX:GRGD)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$90.00
▲(10.28% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability and free cash flow strength) and supportive technical trend signals. These positives are moderated by balance-sheet leverage risk and a rich valuation (high P/E), which reduces the margin of safety if growth or elevated margins soften.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Generation
Robust cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting sustainable growth.
Margin Improvement
Improved margins demonstrate operational efficiency and cost control, contributing to higher profitability and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and interest obligations, potentially impacting financial stability and future growth.
Debt Dependency
Dependency on debt financing may limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations.
Equity Ratio Concerns
A low equity ratio suggests limited buffer against financial distress, potentially affecting long-term resilience and growth capacity.

Groupe Dynamite Inc. (GRGD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Groupe Dynamite Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGroupe Dynamite, Inc. operates retails women's clothing through online. It offers coats and jackets, blazers, camis, shirts, tops, tunics, sweaters, shorts denim and pants. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Mont-Royal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGroupe Dynamite generates revenue primarily through the sale of clothing and accessories in its retail stores and online. The company has established a strong presence in the women's fashion market, leveraging both brick-and-mortar locations and digital sales channels to reach customers effectively. Key revenue streams include direct sales from retail outlets, e-commerce sales, and seasonal promotions that drive traffic and increase sales volume. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various suppliers and manufacturers to ensure a steady flow of inventory, allowing it to remain competitive in pricing and product offerings. Additionally, Groupe Dynamite may engage in promotional campaigns and collaborations that enhance brand visibility and attract a broader audience, further contributing to its overall earnings.

Groupe Dynamite Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Groupe Dynamite Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, improved margins, and efficient operations. However, high leverage poses a potential risk despite robust cash flow generation.
Income Statement
Groupe Dynamite Inc. has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 19.7% increase from 2024 to 2025, continuing a positive trajectory from the previous year. Gross profit margin improved to 54.7% in 2025, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin also saw a notable increase to 14.2%, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins rose significantly, suggesting operational efficiencies and strong earnings performance.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved significantly due to increased stockholders' equity, showing reduced leverage risk. However, the equity ratio remains low at 22.8% in 2025, indicating a high reliance on debt financing. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 96.1%, driven by substantial net income growth, but high leverage may pose future risks.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow increased robustly, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities with a 55.7% growth from 2024 to 2025. Free cash flow exhibited significant growth, enhancing financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.67 demonstrates efficient cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.21 indicates sustainable cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.19B958.52M800.83M697.44M
Gross Profit748.54M524.83M487.19M419.56M
EBITDA406.57M298.92M224.40M169.98M
Net Income203.76M135.77M85.82M62.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets936.82M618.64M516.48M471.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments253.82M74.19M8.13M33.69M
Total Debt437.63M383.10M433.27M469.18M
Total Liabilities630.25M477.32M511.55M547.59M
Stockholders Equity306.57M141.31M4.93M-75.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow289.00M163.67M92.37M106.45M
Operating Cash Flow360.76M226.97M145.76M125.98M
Investing Cash Flow38.24M46.69M-53.39M-129.53M
Financing Cash Flow-158.39M-206.20M-117.34M-56.45M

Groupe Dynamite Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.61
Price Trends
50DMA
73.75
Positive
100DMA
63.83
Positive
200DMA
42.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.06
Positive
RSI
54.48
Neutral
STOCH
48.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRGD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.92, above the 50-day MA of 73.75, and above the 200-day MA of 42.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GRGD.

Groupe Dynamite Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$15.90B44.6330.09%26.51%172.52%
73
Outperform
43.29
69
Neutral
C$9.46B13.2813.16%4.10%-0.13%13.73%
66
Neutral
C$1.80B68.326.07%3.78%-54.87%
64
Neutral
C$55.33B42.40102.01%0.20%14.02%20.11%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
48
Neutral
C$122.74M-4.04-19.60%4.87%-1195.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRGD
Groupe Dynamite Inc.
81.61
64.89
388.10%
TSE:DOL
Dollarama
200.12
66.13
49.36%
TSE:GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings
18.76
4.22
29.02%
TSE:ROOT
Roots Corporation
3.17
0.99
45.41%
TSE:ATZ
Aritzia
135.31
69.44
105.42%
TSE:CTC.A
Canadian Tire
176.17
21.06
13.58%

Groupe Dynamite Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Groupe Dynamite Lifts 2025 Profit Outlook on Strong Holiday, Digital Growth and UK Expansion Plans
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Groupe Dynamite reported a robust holiday trading period, with comparable store sales up 30.8% in the first nine weeks of its fourth quarter and 26.6% year-to-date, prompting the retailer to tighten its full-year fiscal 2025 comparable sales growth guidance to 26.5%-27.0% and raise the lower end of its adjusted EBITDA margin outlook to 36.0%-37.0%. Strong digital performance, where online revenue growth is outpacing brick-and-mortar, is boosting overall margins and online penetration, while the company continues selective physical expansion—expecting 20 gross openings and nine net new stores for a year-end total of 307 locations, all recent openings under the Garage banner in the U.S., and is preparing to launch UK e-commerce and its first UK stores in the latter part of the first quarter of fiscal 2026, alongside slightly reduced capital expenditure guidance mainly due to timing of payments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRGD) stock is a Buy with a C$91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Groupe Dynamite Inc. stock, see the TSE:GRGD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Groupe Dynamite Reports Record Q3 Results and Raises Guidance
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Groupe Dynamite Inc. reported unprecedented third-quarter results for fiscal 2025, with a 31.6% increase in comparable store sales and a record operating income of $120.1 million. The company raised its full-year guidance, reflecting strong performance driven by its luxury-inspired operating model and strategic initiatives. The U.S. distribution center is enhancing the company’s operational capabilities, fulfilling both store and e-commerce demands. A one-time special dividend of $2.30 per share was announced, underscoring the company’s commitment to long-term shareholder value. The company’s financial health remains robust, with significant liquidity available to support future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRGD) stock is a Buy with a C$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Groupe Dynamite Inc. stock, see the TSE:GRGD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026