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Emerge Commerce Ltd (TSE:ECOM)
:ECOM
Canadian Market
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Emerge Commerce Ltd (ECOM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ECOM

Emerge Commerce Ltd

(ECOM)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.08
▼(-40.77% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is driven mainly by improving operations and strong positive cash flow, offset by a materially weak balance sheet due to negative equity. Technicals are moderately supportive but not fully confirmed, while valuation is a headwind given the high P/E and lack of dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & operational recovery
Meaningful TTM revenue growth demonstrates improving product-market fit across Emerge’s portfolio. Sustained top-line expansion helps absorb fixed costs, funds investment in marketing and fulfillment, and provides multi-month runway for scaling brands and diversifying channels without eroding unit economics.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity is a structural balance-sheet weakness that constrains financing options and increases creditor scrutiny. It can force dilutive equity issuances or expensive financing, limit covenant-free borrowing, and materially reduce strategic flexibility during a multi-month growth or investment plan.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & operational recovery
Meaningful TTM revenue growth demonstrates improving product-market fit across Emerge’s portfolio. Sustained top-line expansion helps absorb fixed costs, funds investment in marketing and fulfillment, and provides multi-month runway for scaling brands and diversifying channels without eroding unit economics.
Read all positive factors

Emerge Commerce Ltd (ECOM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Emerge Commerce Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Emerge Commerce Ltd. manages and operates a collection of digital retail platforms, catering to markets across Canada and the United States. The company's prominent online ventures include truLOCAL.ca, UnderPar.com, JustGolfStuff.ca, WagJag.com, B...
How the Company Makes Money
Emerge Commerce makes money primarily by selling products online through its portfolio of e-commerce brands. Revenue is generated when customers purchase merchandise via the company’s direct-to-consumer websites (and, where used, third-party marke...

Emerge Commerce Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 28, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant positive trends in GMS growth, revenue increase, and improved profitability metrics, complemented by a strong debt reduction strategy. However, the continued negative adjusted EBITDA and net loss from operations indicate areas needing further improvement. Overall, the positive aspects and strategic shifts outweigh the negatives.
Positive Updates
Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) Growth
GMS accelerated to 10% organic growth year-over-year, reaching $7.4 million in Q3 2024 compared to $6.8 million in Q3 2023.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Still Negative
Despite improvements, adjusted EBITDA remains negative at $280,000 for Q3 2024.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Negative
Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) Growth
GMS accelerated to 10% organic growth year-over-year, reaching $7.4 million in Q3 2024 compared to $6.8 million in Q3 2023.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for EMERGE Commerce, CEO Ghassan Halazon and CFO Kyle Burt-Gerrans provided a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance and strategic direction. Key highlights included a 10% increase in gross merchandise sales (GMS) year-over-year, reaching $7.4 million, and a 5% rise in revenue to $4.6 million. Excluding the Carnivore Club, revenue grew by 8%. The company reported a gross profit increase of over 6% to $1.8 million, with gross margins improving to 39.3%. Adjusted EBITDA losses were reduced by approximately half compared to the previous year, coming in at negative $280,000. Additionally, EMERGE achieved significant debt reduction, bringing net debt down to $5.5 million after a $10 million debt paydown. The company also implemented cost reductions expected to yield $500,000 in annual savings, which will be fully realized in 2025. These efforts underscore EMERGE's focus on organic growth, operational efficiency, and enhanced profitability as they transition into the new year.

Emerge Commerce Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operational recovery is evident: TTM revenue is meaningfully higher and profitability has improved to positive operating profit, while operating and free cash flow are positive and improving. The major offset is the balance sheet—negative shareholders’ equity in the most recent annual period and TTM remains a significant risk despite reduced debt.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.66M20.42M23.83M58.17M34.83M
Gross Profit9.57M8.25M11.88M23.79M15.11M
EBITDA619.47K908.43K-15.66M-4.50M-1.16M
Net Income-151.52K-1.03M-21.26M-17.38M-6.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.82M7.80M22.99M59.75M80.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.32M3.16M2.54M5.88M7.77M
Total Debt7.36M6.96M18.25M25.98M24.50M
Total Liabilities18.71M16.63M32.86M49.63M53.27M
Stockholders Equity-7.89M-8.83M-9.87M10.11M27.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.65M127.02K2.02M1.02M-3.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.65M129.33K2.03M1.06M-3.43M
Investing Cash Flow-396.50K11.73M7.10M-44.60K-27.34M
Financing Cash Flow-179.94K-11.42M-9.55M-3.09M26.18M

Emerge Commerce Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.13
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Negative
100DMA
0.10
Negative
200DMA
0.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
41.72
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ECOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, above the 50-day MA of 0.09, and above the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ECOM.

Emerge Commerce Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
C$75.70B19.8117.65%1.08%-0.34%7.11%
63
Neutral
C$1.67B10.8212.69%3.11%1.41%-3.11%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
C$9.86B16.4310.24%3.17%0.86%-26.59%
60
Neutral
C$433.44M123.355.50%24.65%-28.30%
57
Neutral
C$1.25B13.11117.77%1.72%6.18%8.58%
55
Neutral
C$13.24M-48.1439.58%83.15%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ECOM
Emerge Commerce Ltd
0.08
0.02
50.00%
TSE:ATD
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
82.44
12.35
17.62%
TSE:LNF
Leon's Furniture
24.31
-1.06
-4.17%
TSE:CTC
Canadian Tire
211.75
-45.04
-17.54%
TSE:KITS
Kits Eyecare
12.75
-0.85
-6.25%
TSE:PET
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.
18.33
-12.72
-40.96%

Emerge Commerce Ltd Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Emerge Commerce Sets April 29 Date for Q4 2025 Results and Investor Call
Neutral
Apr 14, 2026
Emerge Commerce Ltd. will release its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results on April 29, 2026, before markets open, underscoring continued disclosure around the performance of its portfolio of e-commerce brands. Management will host a conference c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026