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Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (TSE:ATD)
TSX:ATD
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Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATD

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc

(TSX:ATD)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$77.00
▲(10.09% Upside)
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including strategic expansions and robust food service growth. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. The company's ability to manage costs effectively and expand strategically supports its stability, despite challenges in certain regions and segments.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of GetGo stores enhances growth opportunities and expands the brand's footprint, strengthening market position and revenue potential.
Food Service Growth
Significant growth in food services indicates successful product offerings and margin improvements, contributing to long-term profitability.
Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow management ensures financial flexibility and supports strategic investments, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Challenges in U.S. Fuel Margins
Decreasing fuel margins in the U.S. due to competitive pressures may impact profitability and require strategic adjustments.
Illicit Trade Impact
Illicit trade affecting tobacco sales poses a risk to revenue streams, necessitating regulatory and strategic responses.
Decline in European Fuel Volumes
Declining fuel volumes in Europe indicate market challenges that could affect revenue and require strategic market adaptations.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (ATD) is a Canadian multinational convenience store operator, renowned for its extensive network of retail locations, primarily under the Circle K brand. The company operates in the convenience store sector, offering a wide range of products including fuel, groceries, snacks, beverages, and quick-service food items. Couche-Tard has a significant presence in North America and Europe, focusing on delivering convenience and quality to its customers while also expanding its footprint through strategic acquisitions.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlimentation Couche-Tard generates revenue primarily through the sale of fuel and convenience store products. Its revenue model is diversified into several key streams: first, the retail sales of fuel, which accounts for a substantial portion of its income, particularly in regions with high traffic and demand. Second, the convenience store sales encompass a variety of merchandise including food, beverages, and personal care items. The company also benefits from ancillary services such as lottery sales, car washes, and foodservice operations. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and brands enhance its product offerings and promotions, driving customer traffic and sales. Additionally, Couche-Tard's aggressive expansion strategy through acquisitions of other convenience store chains has bolstered its market share and revenue potential, further contributing to its financial performance.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 02, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted significant positive developments such as the acquisition of GetGo stores, positive same-store sales in the U.S., and robust growth in food services. However, challenges remain, particularly in southern U.S. states and with regard to fuel margins. The sentiment is mixed but leans towards positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Same-Store Sales in the U.S.
The U.S. market reported positive same-store sales for the first time in several quarters, indicating a positive trend and successful strategies in place.
Acquisition of GetGo Stores
Couche-Tard closed the acquisition of nearly 270 GetGo stores, enhancing growth opportunities and expanding the brand's footprint.
Strong Performance in Canada
Same-store merchandise revenues increased by 4.1% in Canada, driven by strong growth in the alcohol category.
Expansion in Europe
Continued expansion of Circle K branding in Europe with 65 sites branded and over 30 car wash and EV charging sites established.
Robust U.S. Food Program
The North American meal deals saw a 40% increase, showcasing strong food service growth and significant margin improvement.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Southern U.S. States
Reduced traffic in southern border states like Florida, Texas, and Arizona, impacting fuel sales.
Decline in U.S. Fuel Margins
Road transportation fuel gross margin in the U.S. decreased due to competitive pressures, especially in southern markets.
Impact of Illicit Trade in Canada
Tobacco sales in Canada continue to be impacted by illicit trade and the removal of popular nicotine products.
Decline in European Fuel Volumes
Same-store road transportation fuel volumes decreased by 1.3% in Europe and other regions, reflecting challenging market conditions.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Alimentation Couche-Tard reported positive same-store sales across its network, with a notable 0.4% increase in the United States, 3.8% in Europe and other regions, and 4.1% in Canada. The company also saw a 40% increase in meal deal sales in North America, with 8.6 million food bundles sold, contributing to a significant improvement in food gross margins by approximately 500 basis points. In the fuel segment, same-store road transportation fuel volumes decreased by 0.9% in the U.S. and 1.3% in Europe, while increasing by 2.2% in Canada. European fuel margins improved, averaging USD 0.1141 per liter, partly due to better fuel market conditions. Additionally, the company's Inner Circle loyalty program in the U.S. reached nearly 11.5 million members, and its European EV charging network expanded to nearly 3,660 charge points, marking a 50% increase in charging transactions compared to the previous year. Overall, the first quarter highlighted strong execution in food service, strategic expansion in fuel and EV infrastructure, and effective cost management, despite a slight decrease in adjusted net earnings to $757 million.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue and cash flow growth. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with manageable leverage and effective capital allocation. While net profit margins have faced slight pressure, operational efficiency remains strong, positioning the company well for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc has shown consistent growth in revenue, with a notable increase from $62.8 billion in 2022 to $72.9 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin improved, reaching approximately 17.9% in 2025, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased to 3.5% in 2025, reflecting pressure on net income. EBIT and EBITDA margins remained stable, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position, with an equity ratio improving to around 39.0% in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased slightly to 0.93, signifying prudent debt management. Return on equity is healthy, reflecting strong shareholder value creation. The balance sheet shows stability, with manageable leverage levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow has shown consistent growth, reaching $5.0 billion in 2025, supporting strong free cash flow generation at $2.7 billion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash conversion. The company effectively manages its capital expenditures, supporting sustainable cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.93B72.86B69.26B71.86B62.81B45.76B
Gross Profit13.16B13.02B12.10B12.05B11.00B10.12B
EBITDA5.80B5.28B5.02B5.18B4.52B4.52B
Net Income2.57B2.58B2.73B3.09B2.68B2.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.68B38.32B37.40B28.99B29.47B28.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.25B2.32B1.89B940.68M2.18B3.03B
Total Debt15.30B13.96B14.86B10.24B9.40B9.59B
Total Liabilities24.85B23.22B24.02B16.45B17.08B16.20B
Stockholders Equity15.70B14.95B13.25B12.53B12.39B12.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.98B2.74B2.84B2.48B2.23B3.05B
Operating Cash Flow5.29B5.08B4.76B4.25B3.86B4.35B
Investing Cash Flow-3.28B-1.60B-6.53B-2.23B-1.74B-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow-1.43B-2.56B2.18B-3.28B-2.89B-3.65B

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.94
Price Trends
50DMA
72.72
Negative
100DMA
71.81
Negative
200DMA
71.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
35.57
Neutral
STOCH
32.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.52, below the 50-day MA of 72.72, and below the 200-day MA of 71.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ATD.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$9.57B12.6213.84%4.15%0.05%99.91%
C$71.06B19.8617.53%1.12%2.74%-0.73%
$9.55B18.8013.84%2.87%0.05%99.91%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
C$2.46B26.48126.66%1.35%5.18%17.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATD
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
69.94
-1.90
-2.64%
TSE:CTC
Canadian Tire
253.00
30.31
13.61%
TSE:CTC.A
Canadian Tire
166.12
22.62
15.77%
TSE:PET
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.
34.75
9.68
38.61%

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Corporate Events

Alimentation Couche-Tard’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth
Sep 6, 2025

Alimentation Couche-Tard’s recent earnings call revealed a generally positive sentiment, driven by significant developments such as the acquisition of GetGo stores, positive same-store sales in the U.S., and robust growth in food services. Despite challenges in the southern U.S. states and fuel margins, the overall tone of the call leaned towards optimism, highlighting the company’s strategic successes and growth opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Alimentation Couche-Tard Reports Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results with Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. reported its first quarter results for fiscal year 2026, showing a slight decrease in net earnings to $782.5 million compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company experienced positive same-store sales growth, particularly in the U.S. market, and improved performance in its fuel business in Canada and Europe. The quarter also saw the successful integration of 270 GetGo Café + Market sites, contributing to the company’s strategic growth. The company maintained a disciplined approach to cost control, resulting in an enhanced gross profit margin and operational efficiency, while continuing its share repurchase program to optimize shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATD) stock is a Buy with a C$79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc stock, see the TSE:ATD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025