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Alimentation Couche-Tard (Cl. A) (TSE:ATD)
:ATD
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Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ATD

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc

(TSX:ATD)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$79.00
▲(12.57% Upside)
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. The company's valuation is fair, and its technical indicators show mixed signals. Despite some challenges in the U.S. market, the company's focus on growth in Europe and Canada and investments in technology and M&A opportunities contribute positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Company Strategy
ATD outperformed its TTE synergy target in F25, is now running at €40m in annualized synergies, and reiterated confidence in its €170m F29 target.
Market Valuation
The stock appears cheap (<9x EBITDA); skew constructive into F26.
Sales Performance
Management noted US merch SSS trends improved throughout the quarter and exited at a positive rate, which persisted into FQ1.
Negative Factors
Expense Growth
Higher-than-expected SG&A and D&A growth are currently outpacing gross profit growth.
Sales Challenges
It is difficult to see substantial same-store sales improvement unless food sales accelerate significantly or there is a notable tailwind in another category.
US Market Conditions
US fuel segment likely comes up short due to weak industry trends and weather-related pressures.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlimentation Couche-Tard Inc. operates and licenses convenience stores. Its convenience stores sell tobacco products, grocery items, candies and snacks, beer, wine, beverages, and fresh food offerings; road transportation fuels; and aviation fuels, as well as energy for stationary engines. The company operates its convenience stores chain under the Circle K, Couche-Tard, Holiday, Ingo, and Mac's brands. It is also involved in the sale of lottery tickets, calling and gift cards, postage stamps, and bus tickets; issuance of money orders; and provision of automatic teller machines and car wash services. As of April 24, 2022, it operated and licensed 12,166 convenience stores, which include 9,808 company-operated stores in North America, Europe, and Asia, as well as approximately 1,800 stores operated under the Circle K banner in Cambodia, Egypt, Guam, Guatemala, Honduras, Indonesia, Jamaica, Macau, Mexico, New Zealand, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Vietnam. The company was formerly known as Actidev Inc. and changed its name to Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. in December 1994. Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Laval, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlimentation Couche-Tard Inc. generates revenue through its extensive network of convenience stores that sell a variety of products including fuel, food, and beverages. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of fuel, which constitutes a significant portion of its income, and the sale of merchandise within its stores. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its market reach and enhance its offerings. Couche-Tard's ability to effectively manage its supply chain and optimize store operations also contributes to its profitability. The company leverages its strong brand presence and customer loyalty programs to drive sales and maintain a competitive position in the convenience retail market.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 27, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a balanced view of the company's performance, with strong growth in Europe and Canada, significant progress in meal deals, and expansion in the EV charging network. However, there were challenges in the U.S. market with declines in same-store sales, net earnings, and softness in traffic and fuel demand. Strategic investments and legal reserves also impacted financial results.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Europe and Canada
Same-store sales increased by 3.4% in Europe and other regions and 3.5% in Canada. Europe's performance was supported by cigarette sales in the Netherlands, while Canada's growth was boosted by the alcohol category.
Record Progress in Organic Growth
Opened nearly 45 stores in the quarter and over 110 stores in North America during the fiscal year. Over 1,000 sites are in the real estate development pipeline.
Significant Growth in Meal Deals
In the U.S., meal deals sold over 500,000 each week by the end of Q4, up over 35% from Q3. In Canada, food bundle sales increased over 50% from the previous quarter.
Expansion in EV Charging Network
Nearly 3,480 charge points in Europe, up nearly 40% from the same quarter last year, with Circle K becoming the most preferred brand for charging in Sweden.
Recognition for Innovative Technology
Awarded the 2025 NACS Convenience Retail Technology Award Europe for an AI-driven digital people platform and advancing the deployment of RELEX in North America for inventory management.
Negative Updates
Decrease in U.S. Same-Store Merchandise Revenue
Same-store merchandise revenues decreased by 0.4% in the United States, impacted by challenging economic and inflationary conditions.
Decline in Net Earnings
For fiscal 2025, net earnings stood at $2.6 billion, a decrease of $149.3 million or 5.5% compared with fiscal 2024.
Traffic and Fuel Demand Softness in the U.S.
Softness in traffic and fuel demand in the United States as low-income consumers were impacted by challenging economic conditions.
Impact of Higher Depreciation and Expenses
Higher depreciation, finance, and operating expenses linked to acquisitions and strategic investments impacted net earnings.
Legal and Environmental Reserves
Approximately $20 million in legal, general liabilities, and environmental reserves tied to specific events in the quarter.
Company Guidance
During the call, Alimentation Couche-Tard provided guidance for its fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported same-store merchandise revenue changes, with a 0.4% decrease in the United States, a 3.4% increase in Europe and other regions, and a 3.5% increase in Canada. In the fuel segment, same-store road transportation fuel volumes decreased by 1.9% in the United States and 0.6% in Europe, while increasing by 3.7% in Canada. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter saw a 6% increase compared to the previous year. The company also emphasized the growth of its meal deals in North America, with sales rising over 35% from Q3 to over 500,000 meal deals sold weekly by the end of Q4. Loyalty membership in the U.S. reached nearly 10.5 million members, contributing to incremental sales and traffic. Additionally, the company noted its progress in EV charging, with nearly 3,480 charge points in Europe, marking a 40% increase from the previous year. Looking forward, the company remains focused on cost control, aiming for expense growth below inflation, and continues to explore M&A opportunities, including a potential acquisition of Seven & i Holdings.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue and cash flow growth. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with manageable leverage and effective capital allocation. While net profit margins have faced slight pressure, operational efficiency remains strong, positioning the company well for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc has shown consistent growth in revenue, with a notable increase from $62.8 billion in 2022 to $72.9 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin improved, reaching approximately 17.9% in 2025, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin slightly decreased to 3.5% in 2025, reflecting pressure on net income. EBIT and EBITDA margins remained stable, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position, with an equity ratio improving to around 39.0% in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio decreased slightly to 0.93, signifying prudent debt management. Return on equity is healthy, reflecting strong shareholder value creation. The balance sheet shows stability, with manageable leverage levels.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has shown consistent growth, reaching $5.0 billion in 2025, supporting strong free cash flow generation at $2.7 billion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash conversion. The company effectively manages its capital expenditures, supporting sustainable cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue74.18B72.86B69.26B71.86B62.81B45.76B
Gross Profit12.87B13.02B12.10B12.05B11.00B10.12B
EBITDA6.01B6.08B5.73B5.82B5.27B5.05B
Net Income2.59B2.58B2.73B3.09B2.68B2.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.57B38.30B36.94B29.05B29.59B28.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.78B2.31B1.87B929.20M2.17B3.03B
Total Debt13.91B13.96B14.47B9.47B9.44B9.60B
Total Liabilities22.23B23.21B23.64B16.48B17.15B16.21B
Stockholders Equity14.20B14.95B13.19B12.56B12.44B12.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.53B2.71B2.87B2.54B2.28B2.86B
Operating Cash Flow4.77B5.04B4.82B4.34B3.94B4.09B
Investing Cash Flow-1.47B-1.58B-6.60B-2.28B-1.80B-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow-2.59B-2.54B2.21B-3.35B-2.95B-3.43B

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price70.18
Price Trends
50DMA
71.41
Negative
100DMA
70.72
Positive
200DMA
73.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Positive
RSI
46.30
Neutral
STOCH
6.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 70.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.15, below the 50-day MA of 71.41, and below the 200-day MA of 73.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ATD.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (70)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$67.34B18.7718.50%1.07%8.61%-0.93%
70
Neutral
€33.73B36.0112.32%5.79%13.44%23.46%
$7.51B17.4114.70%2.63%
$7.51B12.2514.70%3.79%
79
Outperform
C$2.45B26.58126.66%1.28%5.18%17.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATD
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
71.03
-7.81
-9.91%
CDNTF
Canadian Tire
191.68
43.70
29.53%
CDNAF
Canadian Tire
134.89
34.03
33.74%
TSE:PET
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.
35.92
12.01
50.23%

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alimentation Couche-Tard Reports Resilient Fiscal 2025 Results Amid Global Challenges
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, highlighting resilience amid challenging economic and geopolitical conditions. The company maintained stable same-store sales in the U.S. and achieved positive results in Canada and Europe. Despite a slight decrease in net earnings compared to the previous year, Couche-Tard demonstrated strong operational effectiveness and continued investment in technology and customer value. The integration of TotalEnergies assets progressed as planned, and the company focused on strategic initiatives and cost control to support long-term growth. Key highlights include a 2.0% increase in total merchandise and service revenues, a decrease in same-store merchandise revenues in the U.S., and an increase in fuel volumes in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATD) stock is a Buy with a C$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc stock, see the TSE:ATD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025