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EcoSynthetix Inc. J (TSE:ECO)
TSX:ECO

EcoSynthetix (ECO) AI Stock Analysis

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EcoSynthetix

(TSX:ECO)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▼(-2.44%Downside)
The overall stock score reflects EcoSynthetix's significant financial challenges, particularly in achieving profitability and stable revenue growth. Although the balance sheet is strong, cash flow inconsistencies and negative earnings weigh heavily. Technical indicators show a neutral stance, and the valuation is poor due to a negative P/E ratio.

EcoSynthetix (ECO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

EcoSynthetix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEcoSynthetix Inc. is a renewable chemicals company operating within the specialty chemicals sector. The company is focused on the development and commercialization of bio-based technologies as alternatives to traditional petroleum-based products. Its core products include bio-based polymers and additives that serve industries such as paper, packaging, and personal care, offering sustainable and environmentally friendly solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEcoSynthetix makes money primarily through the sale of its bio-based products, which are used as sustainable alternatives to conventional petroleum-based materials. The company's revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers in industries like paper and packaging, where their products are used as adhesives, binders, and coating agents. Additionally, EcoSynthetix benefits from strategic partnerships with leading global manufacturers and suppliers, which help expand its market reach and drive sales growth. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, thus enhancing its competitive edge and revenue potential.

EcoSynthetix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -3.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with significant sales growth, transition to profitability, and increased demand across all markets. However, there were challenges in the tissue and paperboard market and a decrease in average selling prices. Overall, the sentiment leans towards optimism with noticeable highlights outweighing the lowlights.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Sales Growth
Sales were up 38% to $5.2 million in Q3 from the same period last year, driven by a 56% increase in demand for products.
Transition to Profitability
Achieved profitability with $365,000 in positive adjusted EBITDA and $1.6 million in cash from operating activities.
Increased Demand Across All Markets
Growth observed in all target end markets including wood composites, tissue, paperboard, pulp, and personal care, indicating successful diversification strategy.
Successful Pulp Trial Program
Made significant progress with a large global pulp manufacturer, becoming an important strategic and commercial account.
Stable Supply Chain
Stable period with no significant movements in raw materials, a better macro environment compared to previous years.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Tissue and Paperboard Market
Winning new lines or accounts is taking longer than anticipated, leading to frustration despite ongoing trials and engagement.
Lower Average Selling Price
Sales were negatively impacted by $700,000 or 18% due to lower average selling prices, primarily from lower manufacturing costs passed to customers.
Company Guidance
During the EcoSynthetix Q3 2024 earnings call, the company reported a robust quarter with sales increasing by 38% to $5.2 million compared to the same period last year. The surge in demand, up 56% for the quarter and 47% year-to-date, was a major driver behind this growth. The company achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA of $365,000 and generated $1.6 million in cash from operating activities. Gross profit rose by 51% to $1.7 million, with a margin of 36.8%, despite a lower average selling price impacting sales by $700,000. SG&A expenses increased to $1.5 million, primarily due to higher variable-based compensation, while R&D expenses remained relatively stable at $540,000. The cash position stood at $33.5 million as of September 30, 2024, with significant investments made in share buybacks. The company emphasized the success of its diversification strategy and highlighted progress in trials and partnerships across various end markets, including wood composites, pulp, and personal care.

EcoSynthetix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EcoSynthetix faces significant financial challenges, with a history of negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational issues. The balance sheet provides some stability with a high equity ratio and low leverage, but declining stockholders' equity and inconsistent cash flows are concerns.
Income Statement
35
Negative
EcoSynthetix shows a consistent pattern of negative EBIT and net income, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Although there is a slight improvement in gross profit margin, the company has not yet achieved profitability. Revenue fluctuations suggest instability, with recent periods showing revenue decline.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. Despite low leverage, the company has seen declining stockholders' equity over recent periods. The debt-to-equity ratio is favorable, suggesting limited financial risk from debt.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating and free cash flows have been inconsistent, with recent periods showing negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests operational inefficiencies, although the company has managed to maintain positive operating cash flow in the TTM period.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.89M18.54M12.66M19.03M18.16M13.66M
Gross Profit5.04M5.31M2.78M4.15M3.97M2.74M
EBITDA-1.99M-2.02M-3.24M-1.77M-1.86M-1.57M
Net Income-1.35M-1.37M-2.82M-1.32M-3.12M-1.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.01M41.28M42.84M48.19M50.98M51.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.43M32.20M33.28M25.86M42.23M41.98M
Total Debt160.53K237.79K584.36K819.47K1.08M1.31M
Total Liabilities2.36M1.94M1.87M3.14M3.18M2.25M
Stockholders Equity38.65M39.35M40.97M45.06M47.80M49.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-578.23K236.11K-1.31M-5.17M94.09K-21.37K
Operating Cash Flow161.00K1.10M316.99K-4.90M474.07K226.78K
Investing Cash Flow3.07M3.47M2.00M-31.15M24.69M9.75M
Financing Cash Flow-1.51M-1.73M-2.27M-1.51M474.28K-1.43M

EcoSynthetix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.10
Price Trends
50DMA
4.07
Negative
100DMA
4.31
Negative
200DMA
4.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
48.88
Neutral
STOCH
47.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ECO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.07, above the 50-day MA of 4.07, and below the 200-day MA of 4.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ECO.

EcoSynthetix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSNEO
70
Outperform
C$567.14M-3.70%2.87%-12.01%-698.83%
TSBOS
58
Neutral
C$127.60M-11.69%2.98%-2.69%66.63%
TSGMG
54
Neutral
C$64.49M-72.52%-9.37%22.80%
TSHG
49
Neutral
C$56.04M-96.25%203.80%16.89%
TSECO
46
Neutral
C$257.41M-3.46%29.27%42.35%
45
Neutral
C$79.16M-51.47%13.34%
44
Neutral
C$958.76M-6.68-13.31%2.79%17.55%-32.28%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ECO
EcoSynthetix
4.10
-0.42
-9.29%
TSE:BOS
Airboss of America
4.60
-0.85
-15.60%
TSE:NEO
Neo Performance Materials Inc
13.67
5.81
73.92%
TSE:NANO
Nano One Materials
0.74
-0.65
-46.76%
TSE:GMG
Graphene Manufacturing Group Ltd
0.59
-0.08
-11.94%
TSE:HG
Hydrograph Clean Power
0.22
0.02
10.00%

EcoSynthetix Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
EcoSynthetix Elects New Board Members and Appoints New Chair
Neutral
May 23, 2025

EcoSynthetix announced the election results for its Board of Directors at the recent Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Five nominees were elected, with Gregory Yull joining as a new member, replacing Paul Lucas who retired after a decade of service. Jeffrey Nodland was appointed as the new chair. The company anticipates leveraging Yull’s extensive experience in industrial manufacturing and sales to enhance its operations. All other resolutions at the meeting were also approved.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
EcoSynthetix Reports Q1 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges
Neutral
May 8, 2025

EcoSynthetix reported a 14% decrease in net sales for Q1 2025, attributed to an inventory buildup by a distributor and uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Despite this, the company maintained a strong balance sheet with $31.4 million in cash and term deposits. EcoSynthetix secured new commercial lines for its SurfLock™ strength aids with international pulp manufacturers, highlighting the product’s value across tissue, paperboard, and pulp markets. The company continues to focus on growing with strategic accounts and partners, leveraging its bio-polymers’ sustainability benefits to drive industrial change. With disciplined capital allocation, EcoSynthetix is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in its target markets.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
EcoSynthetix Reports Q1 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges
Neutral
May 8, 2025

EcoSynthetix reported a 14% decline in net sales for Q1 2025, primarily due to an inventory buildup by a distributor and an uncertain macro environment. Despite the decrease in sales, the company maintained a strong balance sheet with $31.4 million in cash and term deposits. The company secured new commercial lines for its SurfLock™ strength aids, indicating continued demand and strategic partnerships in its key markets. EcoSynthetix remains committed to growing with strategic accounts and partners, focusing on the long-term potential of its bio-polymers in various industries.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025