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Neo Performance Materials Inc (TSE:NEO)
TSX:NEO

Neo Performance Materials Inc (NEO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NEO

Neo Performance Materials Inc

(TSX:NEO)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
C$15.50
▼(-1.34% Downside)
Neo Performance Materials Inc. has a mixed outlook. The most significant factor is the financial performance, which faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the stock. Valuation metrics are unattractive, with a negative P/E ratio. However, the positive earnings call highlights strategic advancements and growth, providing some optimism. Overall, the stock score reflects these mixed signals, with financial and technical weaknesses being the most impactful.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Bosch enhances Neo's market position in advanced materials, providing long-term revenue stability and access to cutting-edge technology applications.
Facility Expansion
The new facility increases production capacity, meeting high demand and supporting growth in the renewable energy and automotive sectors, strengthening Neo's competitive edge.
Revenue Growth
Consistent EBITDA growth reflects strong operational performance and effective cost management, positioning Neo for sustained financial health.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues indicate challenges in cost management and operational efficiency, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Inefficiencies
Poor cash flow conversion limits Neo's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage debt, posing risks to financial flexibility.
Rare Metals Segment Decline
Declining performance in the Rare Metals segment suggests vulnerability to price fluctuations, impacting overall profitability and market competitiveness.

Neo Performance Materials Inc (NEO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Neo Performance Materials Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNeo Performance Materials Inc. manufactures and sells rare earth, magnetic powders, magnets, and rare metal-based functional materials in Canada and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Magnequench, Chemicals and Oxides, and Rare Metals. The Magnequench segment produces magnetic powders that are used in bonded and hot deformed fully dense neodymium-iron-boron magnets. Its powders are used in the production of bonded permanent magnets that are components in automotive motors, micro motors, traction motors, sensors, and other applications. The Chemicals and Oxides segments manufactures and distributes a range of industrial materials for use in auto catalysts, petroleum refining and other chemical catalysts, magnets, hybrid and electric vehicles, water treatment, consumer electronics, and other applications. The Rare Metals segment sources, produces, reclaims, refines, and markets high-temperature metals that include tantalum, niobium, hafnium, and rhenium; and electronic metals, such as gallium and indium. Its products are applied in super alloys for jet engines, medical imaging, wireless technologies, and LED lightings, as well as flat panel displays, solar, steel additives, batteries, and electronic applications. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNeo Performance Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of its advanced materials and rare earth products. The company's revenue model is built on several key streams, including direct sales to manufacturers in the automotive, electronics, and clean technology sectors. NEO also benefits from long-term supply agreements and contracts with strategic partners, which provide stable revenue sources. Additionally, the company engages in value-added services such as material processing and recycling, which further contribute to its earnings. Factors such as the growing demand for electric vehicles and renewable energy technologies, as well as geopolitical dynamics affecting rare earth supply chains, play a significant role in enhancing NEO's profitability.

Neo Performance Materials Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights Neo's strong financial performance and strategic milestones such as the grand opening of their European facility and partnerships with major companies like Bosch. However, there are concerns about market volatility and declines in certain segments like Rare Metals. Overall, the positive aspects, including significant growth and strategic advancements, outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Neo generated $122 million in revenue and $19 million in adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA increased 27% compared to the same period last year, prompting a raise in full-year guidance to $67 million to $71 million.
European Permanent Magnet Facility Expansion
The grand opening of Neo's European Permanent Magnet facility marks a major milestone, with plans to scale capacity up to 5,000 metric tons due to high customer demand.
Strategic Partnership with Bosch
Neo signed an expanded strategic partnership with Bosch, formalizing collaboration on the supply of advanced rare earth magnetics for Bosch's next-generation e-motor platforms.
Magnequench Volume Growth
Magnequench delivered strong profitability and volume growth with volumes up 21% year-over-year and adjusted EBITDA rising 27% to $8.1 million.
Chemicals & Oxides Segment Performance
Adjusted EBITDA for the Chemicals & Oxides segment increased by 213% year-over-year, reflecting higher rare earth prices and portfolio transformation.
Negative Updates
Rare Metals Segment EBITDA Decline
The Rare Metals segment saw adjusted EBITDA of $11.5 million for the quarter, down 30% from last year, reflecting the normalization of hafnium prices after record highs in 2024.
Market Volatility Concerns
Despite strong performance, the company experienced some benefit from customers pulling demand forward, along with favorable movements in rare earth prices, indicating potential short-term volatility.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Neo Performance Materials demonstrated robust performance and strategic advancements, announcing revenue of $122 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $19 million. The company revised its full-year 2025 guidance upward, projecting an adjusted EBITDA between $67 million and $71 million, an increase from the previous range of $64 million to $68 million. This quarter saw a 20% year-over-year increase in magnet volumes and strong contributions from emission catalysts and rare metals recycling. The Chemicals & Oxides segment experienced significant growth, with adjusted EBITDA up 213% year-over-year. Neo's European Permanent Magnet facility, which opened in September, marks a significant milestone, establishing 2,000 metric tons of annual capacity, with plans to expand to 5,000 tons. Neo also announced an expanded strategic partnership with Bosch and continues to engage in qualification programs with additional automotive, industrial, and renewable energy customers. These strategic moves align with Neo's focus on operational efficiency, capital discipline, and positioning as a key player in the global supply chain for critical materials.

Neo Performance Materials Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Neo Performance Materials Inc. shows a mixed financial performance. While the balance sheet is stable with low leverage, the company faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow management, as indicated by negative net profit margins and free cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Neo Performance Materials Inc. shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a slight revenue growth of 1.5%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -3.2%. The gross profit margin is moderate at 27.2%, suggesting some efficiency in production. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, indicating challenges in managing operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -3.7%, pointing to inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows significant challenges, with negative free cash flow and a high free cash flow to net income ratio of -1.65, indicating cash flow issues relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.17, reflecting difficulties in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue493.43M475.83M571.54M640.30M539.25M346.69M
Gross Profit146.18M123.96M108.73M149.37M150.53M80.33M
EBITDA33.21M24.54M23.67M59.05M57.99M18.29M
Net Income-5.88M-12.95M-8.44M25.95M35.18M-61.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets921.78M653.25M627.00M676.46M594.08M486.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments85.54M85.49M86.89M147.49M89.04M72.22M
Total Debt88.83M71.40M29.42M50.00M9.48M5.97M
Total Liabilities359.44M248.37M191.69M198.82M163.57M123.06M
Stockholders Equity403.70M402.17M432.15M474.45M427.63M362.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-44.26M-12.67M19.88M-13.77M-11.63M2.46M
Operating Cash Flow-5.12M51.53M61.62M3.70M-2.16M10.07M
Investing Cash Flow-16.73M-59.42M-59.12M-17.43M-7.01M-7.36M
Financing Cash Flow9.77M13.12M-62.04M74.79M26.20M-17.91M

Neo Performance Materials Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price15.71
Price Trends
50DMA
17.48
Negative
100DMA
17.70
Negative
200DMA
14.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
41.39
Neutral
STOCH
17.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NEO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.44, below the 50-day MA of 17.48, and above the 200-day MA of 14.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:NEO.

Neo Performance Materials Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$1.66B26.2526.65%30.36%181.15%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
C$121.63M-23.80-2.95%3.12%5.06%93.02%
52
Neutral
C$196.68M-20.84-92.59%6.29%-3.71%
50
Neutral
C$653.52M-71.81-1.61%2.55%8.04%-195.66%
49
Neutral
C$232.95M-206.74-2.11%30.76%52.23%
45
Neutral
C$126.74M-8.66-64.59%56.03%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NEO
Neo Performance Materials Inc
15.67
7.96
103.24%
TSE:BOS
Airboss of America
4.48
0.85
23.42%
TSE:ECO
EcoSynthetix
3.99
-0.13
-3.16%
TSE:NANO
Nano One Materials
1.09
0.17
18.48%
TSE:VNP
5N Plus
18.05
10.79
148.62%
TSE:GMG
Graphene Manufacturing Group Ltd
1.69
1.04
160.00%

Neo Performance Materials Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Neo Performance Materials Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Expands European Operations
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

Neo Performance Materials Inc. reported strong third-quarter financial results for 2025, with a notable increase in Adjusted EBITDA and an upward revision of its full-year guidance. The company achieved significant milestones, including the opening of a new permanent magnet plant in Europe and securing key contracts, positioning itself as a crucial player in the localized supply chains for permanent magnets, which are essential for electrification and sustainability efforts.

Financial Disclosures
Neo Performance Materials to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

Neo Performance Materials Inc. announced that it will release its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 14, 2025, before the Toronto market opens. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Neo Performance Materials Opens New Magnet Facility in Estonia
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

Neo Performance Materials Inc. has inaugurated a new permanent magnet manufacturing facility in Narva, Estonia, marking a significant step in establishing a European presence to supply critical components for the energy transition. This facility, co-funded by the European Union, is expected to satisfy up to 15% of the EU’s magnet demand, supporting the electric vehicle and wind energy sectors. Neo has also extended its strategic partnership with Bosch, ensuring a stable supply chain and fostering localized production.

Business Operations and Strategy
Neo Performance Materials Strengthens Partnership with Bosch for Magnet Production
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

Neo Performance Materials Inc. has extended its strategic partnership with Bosch through a multi-year Memorandum of Understanding, securing significant annual magnet production capacity for Bosch. This collaboration aims to enhance supply chain stability and foster localized production, positioning Neo as a key supplier for automotive and other applications. The partnership is a critical step in Neo’s strategy to build a resilient supply chain and optimize its manufacturing capabilities, particularly in its Estonian facility, reinforcing its role as a preferred supplier for major global companies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025