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Decisive Dividend Corp (TSE:DE)
:DE
Canadian Market
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Decisive Dividend (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DE

Decisive Dividend

(DE)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$9.00
▲(13.21%Upside)
Decisive Dividend is on a strong financial trajectory with significant revenue growth and improved efficiency. Positive corporate events signal strategic growth, but high leverage and potential overvaluation pose risks. Strong dividend yield provides a buffer to valuation concerns.

Decisive Dividend (DE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Decisive Dividend Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDecisive Dividend Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells wood and gas burning stoves, and fireplace inserts in Canada, the United States, and New Zealand. It operates in two segments, Finished Product and Component Manufacturing. The company also designs, manufactures, and markets air blast sprayers for use in agricultural industry under the Turbo Mist brand; and wastewater evaporator systems that are used in mining, oil and gas, and waste management industries. In addition, it produces and distributes wear parts and valves, including diverter valves, apron feeder pans, ball mill liners and grates, rotors, bull gears, pinion gears, hammers, blow bars, grizzly panels, wobbler bars, jaw plates, bowl liners and mantles, gyratory crusher parts, and various kiln parts and cooler grates for the mining, aggregate and cement industries. Further, the company offers professional manufacturing, machine work, assembly, and testing services for various industries. Additionally, the company offers truck and automotive components, fuel-hydraulic fluid tanks, j-brackets and straps, bumpers, truck chassis components, cab panels, architectural components, tool and battery boxes, and steel under-decking products for the commercial vehicle, forestry, agriculture, marine, environmental, mining, and oil and gas sectors; and distributes fast fuel filling valve systems. Decisive Dividend Corporation was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Kelowna, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDecisive Dividend makes money primarily through the acquisition and management of its portfolio companies. The company targets businesses that are cash flow positive and have a track record of financial stability. By taking an active role in the management and operations of these subsidiaries, Decisive Dividend seeks to enhance their efficiency, profitability, and growth potential. This approach ensures a steady stream of revenue from the operating earnings of these businesses. Additionally, the company benefits from any capital appreciation of its investments over time. Significant partnerships with banks and financial institutions also provide the necessary capital for acquisitions, further contributing to its revenue generation strategy.

Decisive Dividend Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 25.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant sequential improvements in sales and EBITDA in Q3 2024 compared to earlier quarters, driven by strong order activity and new market developments. However, there were challenges compared to the record Q3 2023, and the free cash flow payout ratio remains high. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook is positive with expectations of continued improvement into Q4 2024 and 2025.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Q3 2024
Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 were 12% higher than in Q2 2024, and 10% higher than Q1 2024, while overall adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was 65% higher than in Q2 2024 and 42% higher than in Q1 2024.
Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow less maintenance CapEx increased by 163% and 106% relative to Q2 2024 and Q1 2024, though down 29% from Q3 2023.
Strong Order Activity
Order activity in Q4 2024 is up over 65% relative to Q4 2023, spread across 8 of 12 businesses.
New Product and Market Developments
Blaze King and ACR received regulatory approvals for new product design for the U.K. and Europe, and Slimline enhanced its large scale wastewater evaporator product.
Negative Updates
Decline from Record Q3 2023
Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was down 14% and 28% relative to the record Q3 2023.
Free Cash Flow Payout Ratio High
On a TTM basis, the payout ratio increased to 95% in Q3 2024, which remains above the target payout ratio.
Challenges in Agriculture Sector
The agriculture sector had a challenging year, but order activity has recently picked up.
Company Guidance
During the Decisive Dividend Corporation Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Jeff Schellenberg detailed various metrics reflecting operational improvements and future guidance. Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 rose by 12% compared to Q2 2024 and 10% compared to Q1 2024, while adjusted EBITDA surged by 65% and 42%, respectively, over the same periods. Despite a 14% drop from the record Q3 2023 levels, the EBITDA margin percentage improved by over 5% from Q2 2024 and nearly 4% from Q1 2024. Non-variable operating expenses were reduced by over 2% from Q2 2024 and 3% from Q1 2024, contributing to enhanced free cash flow and a 163% and 106% increase relative to Q2 and Q1 2024, although still down 29% from Q3 2023 records. Looking forward, order activity in Q4 2024 is up more than 65% compared to Q4 2023, supporting expectations for continued sequential improvements in revenue and EBITDA into 2025.

Decisive Dividend Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Decisive Dividend shows strong revenue growth with a 40% increase from 2022 to 2023 and continued growth in TTM. Improved profitability metrics, better operational efficiency, and enhanced cash flow generation mitigate some risks associated with high debt levels.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company shows a strong revenue growth with a 40% increase from 2022 to 2023, and further growth in TTM. Gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 28% in TTM. Net profit margin improved to 2% in TTM from 1.6% in 2024. A significant improvement in EBIT margin from 1.8% in 2024 to about 5.1% in TTM indicates better operational efficiency. EBITDA margin also improved from 14.5% in 2024 to 15% in TTM, showing a good capacity to generate earnings before non-operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, reflecting significant leverage, with a ratio of 1.26 in TTM. This could present a risk if not managed well. However, the return on equity improved to 4.9% in TTM, indicating better profitability relative to shareholder's equity. The equity ratio stands at 34.7% in TTM, suggesting moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Free cash flow growth rate is strong, increasing by 39.5% from 2024 to TTM. Operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.57 in TTM indicates strong cash flow generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio improved to 3.00 in TTM, demonstrating efficient conversion of earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue127.85M134.88M98.59M62.49M48.46M
Gross Profit47.87M52.76M32.85M21.38M18.42M
EBITDA18.59M23.44M13.10M8.69M5.93M
Net Income2.01M8.33M4.08M2.28M-736.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets165.23M152.57M98.43M60.30M56.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.26M4.05M4.73M2.14M3.00M
Total Debt73.43M55.97M39.01M25.25M24.20M
Total Liabilities108.34M94.82M64.30M38.08M35.12M
Stockholders Equity56.88M57.75M34.13M22.22M21.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.02M11.87M6.29M1.90M9.99M
Operating Cash Flow12.78M15.79M8.43M3.75M10.75M
Investing Cash Flow-14.55M-33.82M-17.20M-1.75M-579.00K
Financing Cash Flow726.00K17.25M11.06M-2.82M-7.50M

Decisive Dividend Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.95
Price Trends
50DMA
7.56
Positive
100DMA
6.86
Positive
200DMA
6.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
68.75
Neutral
STOCH
72.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.78, above the 50-day MA of 7.56, and above the 200-day MA of 6.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DE.

Decisive Dividend Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$157.78M56.184.86%7.57%3.23%-60.49%
67
Neutral
CHF7.02B25.5714.57%2.27%-2.32%-30.70%
$180.31M-0.21%
82
Outperform
C$109.94M5.9016.38%0.62%7.70%-2.20%
78
Outperform
C$510.35M20.139.37%7.66%10.66%-27.12%
66
Neutral
C$91.26M12.6621.19%3.03%-5.30%
61
Neutral
C$161.58M-45.20%17.51%-2.94%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DE
Decisive Dividend
7.95
1.69
27.00%
ELVA
Electrovaya
4.50
1.98
78.57%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.65
-0.99
-37.50%
TSE:DIV
Diversified Royalty Corp
3.29
0.75
29.53%
TSE:HMM.A
Hammond Mfg Cl A SV
9.70
-0.68
-6.55%
TSE:GRID
Tantalus Systems Holding
3.16
1.68
113.51%

Decisive Dividend Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Expands with Strategic Acquisitions in the UK
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation, through its UK-based subsidiary Techbelt Ltd., has completed two strategic tuck-in acquisitions, acquiring Blackburn Conveyor Systems and the assets of NK Technics’ UK conveyor belt business for $0.8 million. These acquisitions enhance Techbelt’s product offerings in polyurethane and polyvinyl chloride belting, and add conveyor fabrication and servicing capabilities, allowing the company to better serve existing customers and expand into new industries. The acquisitions align with Decisive’s strategy of acquiring within its established industry verticals and are expected to integrate smoothly into Techbelt’s operations, benefiting Decisive’s shareholders by leveraging Techbelt’s leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Corporation Announces 2025 AGM Results
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation announced the results of its 2025 Annual General and Special Meeting of Shareholders, where 45% of the company’s shares were represented. Shareholders approved all proposed items, including the election of directors, fixing the number of directors at nine, re-appointment of auditors, and the approval of an amended equity incentive plan. This plan allows the issuance of various share units and stock options up to 10% of the outstanding shares, reflecting the company’s focus on sustainable growth and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Hold with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares July 2025 Dividend
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for July 2025, payable on July 15, 2025. This move aligns with its monthly dividend policy and offers shareholders the option to reinvest dividends through its DRIP plan, potentially enhancing shareholder value and reinforcing its commitment to providing sustainable returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Extends Credit Facility to Bolster Growth
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has extended its $175 million syndicated credit facility by one year, maintaining a three-year term with maturity in June 2028. The extension includes an increase in the leverage covenant, allowing more flexibility for the company’s growth and acquisition strategies. This move, supported by top-tier lenders, provides Decisive with ample liquidity to fund growth in current operations and acquisitions, strategically positioning it in the M&A market to achieve its growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares June 2025 Dividend
Positive
May 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for June 2025, payable on June 13, 2025, to shareholders of record as of May 30, 2025. This move aligns with the company’s monthly dividend policy and offers eligible shareholders the option to reinvest through its dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. The dividend is classified as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax legislation, potentially enhancing shareholder value and reinforcing the company’s commitment to providing steady returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Corporation Achieves Record Q1 2025 Performance
Positive
May 6, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation reported its strongest first quarter in history for Q1 2025, with a 34% increase in consolidated sales and a 76% rise in Adjusted EBITDA compared to Q1 2024. The company has shown significant improvement in its financial metrics, driven by balanced contributions from its diverse portfolio, and expects continued operational improvement despite economic uncertainties, which will enhance its financing capacity and support future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025