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Decisive Dividend Corp (TSE:DE)
:DE

Decisive Dividend (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DE

Decisive Dividend

(DE)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$7.50
▲(6.08% Upside)
Decisive Dividend's strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and improving profitability, is a key strength. However, technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, and the valuation is moderate with a high dividend yield. The absence of recent earnings call insights or notable corporate events leaves the financial and valuation aspects as the primary drivers of the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and enhance the performance of its subsidiaries, contributing to long-term value creation.
Profitability Improvement
Improved profitability indicates better cost management and operational efficiency, which can lead to sustainable earnings growth and increased shareholder value.
Cash Flow Generation
Positive cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and affecting its long-term financial health if not managed carefully.
Moderate Cash Flow Efficiency
Moderate cash flow efficiency suggests there is room for improvement in converting earnings into cash, which is crucial for sustaining operations and funding future growth.
Margin Improvement Needed
Further improvement in operating margins is necessary to enhance profitability and competitiveness, ensuring the company can withstand market pressures and maintain growth momentum.

Decisive Dividend (DE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Decisive Dividend Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDecisive Dividend Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells wood and gas burning stoves, and fireplace inserts in Canada, the United States, and New Zealand. It operates in two segments, Finished Product and Component Manufacturing. The company also designs, manufactures, and markets air blast sprayers for use in agricultural industry under the Turbo Mist brand; and wastewater evaporator systems that are used in mining, oil and gas, and waste management industries. In addition, it produces and distributes wear parts and valves, including diverter valves, apron feeder pans, ball mill liners and grates, rotors, bull gears, pinion gears, hammers, blow bars, grizzly panels, wobbler bars, jaw plates, bowl liners and mantles, gyratory crusher parts, and various kiln parts and cooler grates for the mining, aggregate and cement industries. Further, the company offers professional manufacturing, machine work, assembly, and testing services for various industries. Additionally, the company offers truck and automotive components, fuel-hydraulic fluid tanks, j-brackets and straps, bumpers, truck chassis components, cab panels, architectural components, tool and battery boxes, and steel under-decking products for the commercial vehicle, forestry, agriculture, marine, environmental, mining, and oil and gas sectors; and distributes fast fuel filling valve systems. Decisive Dividend Corporation was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Kelowna, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDecisive Dividend generates revenue primarily through the ownership and operation of its subsidiary companies. The company acquires businesses that demonstrate stable cash flow and growth potential. Its revenue model is based on the performance of these subsidiaries, which contribute earnings through the sale of products and services in their respective markets. Key revenue streams include direct sales from manufacturing operations, service contracts, and ongoing operational improvements that increase efficiency and profitability. Additionally, Decisive Dividend may engage in strategic partnerships that enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Decisive Dividend Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant sequential improvements in sales and EBITDA in Q3 2024 compared to earlier quarters, driven by strong order activity and new market developments. However, there were challenges compared to the record Q3 2023, and the free cash flow payout ratio remains high. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook is positive with expectations of continued improvement into Q4 2024 and 2025.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Q3 2024
Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 were 12% higher than in Q2 2024, and 10% higher than Q1 2024, while overall adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was 65% higher than in Q2 2024 and 42% higher than in Q1 2024.
Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow less maintenance CapEx increased by 163% and 106% relative to Q2 2024 and Q1 2024, though down 29% from Q3 2023.
Strong Order Activity
Order activity in Q4 2024 is up over 65% relative to Q4 2023, spread across 8 of 12 businesses.
New Product and Market Developments
Blaze King and ACR received regulatory approvals for new product design for the U.K. and Europe, and Slimline enhanced its large scale wastewater evaporator product.
Negative Updates
Decline from Record Q3 2023
Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was down 14% and 28% relative to the record Q3 2023.
Free Cash Flow Payout Ratio High
On a TTM basis, the payout ratio increased to 95% in Q3 2024, which remains above the target payout ratio.
Challenges in Agriculture Sector
The agriculture sector had a challenging year, but order activity has recently picked up.
Company Guidance
During the Decisive Dividend Corporation Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Jeff Schellenberg detailed various metrics reflecting operational improvements and future guidance. Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 rose by 12% compared to Q2 2024 and 10% compared to Q1 2024, while adjusted EBITDA surged by 65% and 42%, respectively, over the same periods. Despite a 14% drop from the record Q3 2023 levels, the EBITDA margin percentage improved by over 5% from Q2 2024 and nearly 4% from Q1 2024. Non-variable operating expenses were reduced by over 2% from Q2 2024 and 3% from Q1 2024, contributing to enhanced free cash flow and a 163% and 106% increase relative to Q2 and Q1 2024, although still down 29% from Q3 2023 records. Looking forward, order activity in Q4 2024 is up more than 65% compared to Q4 2023, supporting expectations for continued sequential improvements in revenue and EBITDA into 2025.

Decisive Dividend Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Decisive Dividend demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability improvements. While leverage is relatively high, the company maintains a balanced capital structure. Cash flow generation is a significant strength, providing financial flexibility. Continued focus on improving profit margins and reducing leverage will enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a solid revenue growth rate of 5.49% in the TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. Gross profit margin is stable at 33.36%, though slightly lower than previous periods. Net profit margin improved to 4.02%, reflecting better profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 9.59% and 16.82%, respectively, suggesting efficient operations. However, the decline in gross profit margin from previous years is a concern.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.30, indicating a relatively high leverage, which could pose risks in volatile markets. Return on equity is moderate at 10.31%, showing decent profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is 34.50%, suggesting a balanced capital structure but with room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Free cash flow growth is robust at 39.38%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.79, showing good cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.58, reflecting efficient cash utilization. Overall, cash flow metrics are strong, supporting the company's financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue145.25M127.85M134.88M98.59M62.49M48.46M
Gross Profit48.46M47.87M52.76M32.85M21.38M18.42M
EBITDA24.43M18.59M23.44M13.10M8.69M5.93M
Net Income5.84M2.01M8.33M4.08M2.28M-736.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.06M165.23M152.57M98.43M60.30M56.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.00M3.26M4.05M4.73M2.14M3.00M
Total Debt73.44M73.43M55.97M39.01M25.25M24.20M
Total Liabilities107.46M108.34M94.82M64.30M38.08M35.12M
Stockholders Equity56.60M56.88M57.75M34.13M22.22M21.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.71M6.02M11.87M6.29M1.90M9.99M
Operating Cash Flow20.25M12.78M15.79M8.43M3.75M10.75M
Investing Cash Flow-6.76M-14.55M-33.82M-17.20M-1.75M-579.00K
Financing Cash Flow-12.70M726.00K17.25M11.06M-2.82M-7.50M

Decisive Dividend Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.07
Price Trends
50DMA
7.26
Negative
100DMA
7.38
Negative
200DMA
7.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
46.92
Neutral
STOCH
31.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.11, below the 50-day MA of 7.26, and below the 200-day MA of 7.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DE.

Decisive Dividend Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
C$104.67M3.7438.03%294.30%49.60%
78
Outperform
C$576.79M20.8910.28%7.12%6.88%-13.39%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
68
Neutral
C$138.55M23.507.24%-4.76%-40.05%
66
Neutral
C$139.64M24.6610.07%7.88%16.69%111.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DE
Decisive Dividend
7.07
1.53
27.62%
TSE:CXI
Currency Exchange International
22.72
-1.21
-5.06%
TSE:DIV
Diversified Royalty Corp
3.70
1.03
38.58%
TSE:RICH
Raffles Financial Group
2.85
0.00
0.00%
TSE:PNP
Pinetree Capital
11.29
1.27
12.67%
TSE:WI
The Western Investment Company of Canada Ltd
0.64
0.10
18.52%

Decisive Dividend Corporate Events

Dividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Announces December 2025 Dividend
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a dividend of $0.045 per common share for December 2025, payable on December 15 to shareholders of record as of November 28. This announcement aligns with the company’s monthly dividend policy and offers eligible shareholders the option to reinvest dividends through its dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. The dividend is classified as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax legislation, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to providing sustainable shareholder returns.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Market Challenges
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation reported a 5% increase in consolidated sales to $34 million for Q3 2025, with a significant 21% rise in sales for the first nine months compared to 2024. Despite challenges in the Canadian manufacturing sector and specific demand declines due to U.S. economic conditions, the company demonstrated resilience with a 3% increase in Adjusted EBITDA and a strong dividend payout ratio improvement. The company’s strategic acquisitions and diversified product offerings are expected to support continued growth, even amidst potential demand declines in certain sectors.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Declares November Dividend and Schedules Q3 Results Call
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a monthly dividend of $0.045 per common share for November 2025, payable on November 14, 2025, to shareholders of record by October 31, 2025. The company will also host a conference call on November 5, 2025, to discuss its Q3 2025 financial results, which will be released on November 4, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder returns and maintaining transparency with stakeholders through regular financial updates.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares October 2025 Dividend
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for October 2025, payable on October 15 to shareholders of record as of September 30. Eligible shareholders can reinvest dividends through the company’s dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. This announcement aligns with the company’s strategy to provide sustainable and growing shareholder returns, reinforcing its commitment to maintaining steady cash flows and supporting the long-term success of its acquisitions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025