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Decisive Dividend Corp (TSE:DE)
:DE
Canadian Market

Decisive Dividend (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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Decisive Dividend

(DE)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$8.50
▲(13.79%Upside)
Decisive Dividend demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions that bolster investor confidence. While the high P/E ratio presents a valuation concern, the robust dividend yield and positive technical indicators contribute to an overall positive outlook. The company's ability to manage debt and sustain growth through strategic initiatives enhances its attractiveness in the conglomerate sector.

Decisive Dividend (DE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Decisive Dividend Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDecisive Dividend (DE) is a Canadian-based acquisition-oriented company that focuses on building a diversified portfolio of profitable businesses. Operating primarily within the manufacturing and distribution sectors, Decisive Dividend targets established businesses with strong management teams, stable cash flows, and potential for growth. The company's strategy is to acquire businesses that complement its existing portfolio and enhance shareholder value through strategic management and operational improvements.
How the Company Makes MoneyDecisive Dividend makes money primarily through the acquisition and operation of manufacturing and distribution businesses. The company's revenue model involves generating income from its portfolio companies, which operate in various industries such as industrial, commercial, and consumer products. Decisive Dividend benefits from the cash flows of these acquired businesses and seeks to improve their profitability through strategic oversight and operational efficiencies. Key revenue streams include sales of goods and services offered by its subsidiaries. Additionally, the company may leverage synergies between its portfolio companies to drive further revenue growth. Decisive Dividend's earnings are influenced by factors like market demand for its subsidiaries' products, operational efficiency, and the successful integration of acquired businesses into its portfolio.

Decisive Dividend Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 17.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant sequential improvements in sales and EBITDA in Q3 2024 compared to earlier quarters, driven by strong order activity and new market developments. However, there were challenges compared to the record Q3 2023, and the free cash flow payout ratio remains high. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook is positive with expectations of continued improvement into Q4 2024 and 2025.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Q3 2024
Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 were 12% higher than in Q2 2024, and 10% higher than Q1 2024, while overall adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was 65% higher than in Q2 2024 and 42% higher than in Q1 2024.
Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow less maintenance CapEx increased by 163% and 106% relative to Q2 2024 and Q1 2024, though down 29% from Q3 2023.
Strong Order Activity
Order activity in Q4 2024 is up over 65% relative to Q4 2023, spread across 8 of 12 businesses.
New Product and Market Developments
Blaze King and ACR received regulatory approvals for new product design for the U.K. and Europe, and Slimline enhanced its large scale wastewater evaporator product.
Negative Updates
Decline from Record Q3 2023
Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was down 14% and 28% relative to the record Q3 2023.
Free Cash Flow Payout Ratio High
On a TTM basis, the payout ratio increased to 95% in Q3 2024, which remains above the target payout ratio.
Challenges in Agriculture Sector
The agriculture sector had a challenging year, but order activity has recently picked up.
Company Guidance
During the Decisive Dividend Corporation Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Jeff Schellenberg detailed various metrics reflecting operational improvements and future guidance. Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 rose by 12% compared to Q2 2024 and 10% compared to Q1 2024, while adjusted EBITDA surged by 65% and 42%, respectively, over the same periods. Despite a 14% drop from the record Q3 2023 levels, the EBITDA margin percentage improved by over 5% from Q2 2024 and nearly 4% from Q1 2024. Non-variable operating expenses were reduced by over 2% from Q2 2024 and 3% from Q1 2024, contributing to enhanced free cash flow and a 163% and 106% increase relative to Q2 and Q1 2024, although still down 29% from Q3 2023 records. Looking forward, order activity in Q4 2024 is up more than 65% compared to Q4 2023, supporting expectations for continued sequential improvements in revenue and EBITDA into 2025.

Decisive Dividend Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Decisive Dividend exhibits strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics, indicating a positive financial trajectory. The company has improved its operational efficiency, as reflected in better margins. While leverage remains high, the company has enhanced its cash flow generation capabilities, mitigating some risks associated with high debt levels.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company shows a strong revenue growth with a 40% increase from 2022 to 2023, and further growth in TTM. Gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 28% in TTM. Net profit margin improved to 2% in TTM from 1.6% in 2024. A significant improvement in EBIT margin from 1.8% in 2024 to about 5.1% in TTM indicates better operational efficiency. EBITDA margin also improved from 14.5% in 2024 to 15% in TTM, showing a good capacity to generate earnings before non-operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, reflecting significant leverage, with a ratio of 1.26 in TTM. This could present a risk if not managed well. However, the return on equity improved to 4.9% in TTM, indicating better profitability relative to shareholder's equity. The equity ratio stands at 34.7% in TTM, suggesting moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Free cash flow growth rate is strong, increasing by 39.5% from 2024 to TTM. Operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.57 in TTM indicates strong cash flow generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio improved to 3.00 in TTM, demonstrating efficient conversion of earnings into free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
137.69M127.85M134.88M98.59M62.49M48.46M
Gross Profit
38.68M47.87M52.76M32.85M21.38M18.42M
EBIT
6.98M2.28M16.50M7.56M5.00M3.75M
EBITDA
20.59M18.59M23.44M13.10M8.69M5.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.80M2.01M8.33M4.08M2.28M-736.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.07M3.26M4.05M4.73M2.14M3.00M
Total Assets
163.40M165.23M152.57M98.43M60.30M56.38M
Total Debt
71.71M73.43M55.97M39.01M25.25M24.20M
Net Debt
69.64M70.17M51.92M34.27M23.11M21.20M
Total Liabilities
106.75M108.34M94.82M64.30M38.08M35.12M
Stockholders Equity
56.65M56.88M57.75M34.13M22.22M21.27M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
8.40M6.02M11.87M6.29M1.90M9.99M
Operating Cash Flow
15.59M12.78M15.79M8.43M3.75M10.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-12.21M-14.55M-33.82M-17.20M-1.75M-579.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-7.20M726.00K17.25M11.06M-2.82M-7.50M

Decisive Dividend Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.47
Price Trends
50DMA
6.80
Positive
100DMA
6.41
Positive
200DMA
6.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
60.27
Neutral
STOCH
26.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.52, above the 50-day MA of 6.80, and above the 200-day MA of 6.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DE.

Decisive Dividend Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$105.52M5.6616.38%0.65%7.70%-2.20%
TSDIV
79
Outperform
C$460.71M17.939.37%8.42%10.66%-27.12%
TSDE
76
Outperform
C$147.71M52.794.86%7.25%3.23%-60.49%
TSDCM
73
Outperform
C$105.64M14.6621.19%1.31%-5.30%
69
Neutral
$192.91M-0.21%2.20%89.34%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.225.40%3.63%4.14%-12.01%
62
Neutral
C$133.20M-45.20%17.51%-2.94%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DE
Decisive Dividend
7.47
0.73
10.83%
TSE:ELVA
Electrovaya
4.64
0.87
23.08%
TSE:HMM.A
Hammond Mfg Cl A SV
9.38
-0.02
-0.21%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.87
-0.63
-25.20%
TSE:DIV
Diversified Royalty Corp
2.93
0.51
21.07%
TSE:GRID
Tantalus Systems Holding
2.67
1.30
94.89%

Decisive Dividend Corporate Events

Dividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares July 2025 Dividend
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for July 2025, payable on July 15, 2025. This move aligns with its monthly dividend policy and offers shareholders the option to reinvest dividends through its DRIP plan, potentially enhancing shareholder value and reinforcing its commitment to providing sustainable returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Extends Credit Facility to Bolster Growth
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has extended its $175 million syndicated credit facility by one year, maintaining a three-year term with maturity in June 2028. The extension includes an increase in the leverage covenant, allowing more flexibility for the company’s growth and acquisition strategies. This move, supported by top-tier lenders, provides Decisive with ample liquidity to fund growth in current operations and acquisitions, strategically positioning it in the M&A market to achieve its growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares June 2025 Dividend
Positive
May 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for June 2025, payable on June 13, 2025, to shareholders of record as of May 30, 2025. This move aligns with the company’s monthly dividend policy and offers eligible shareholders the option to reinvest through its dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. The dividend is classified as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax legislation, potentially enhancing shareholder value and reinforcing the company’s commitment to providing steady returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DE) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Decisive Dividend stock, see the TSE:DE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Corporation Achieves Record Q1 2025 Performance
Positive
May 6, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation reported its strongest first quarter in history for Q1 2025, with a 34% increase in consolidated sales and a 76% rise in Adjusted EBITDA compared to Q1 2024. The company has shown significant improvement in its financial metrics, driven by balanced contributions from its diverse portfolio, and expects continued operational improvement despite economic uncertainties, which will enhance its financing capacity and support future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Appoints New COO and Announces Q1 2025 Results Call
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has announced the appointment of Chris Goodchild as Chief Operating Officer, effective June 2, 2025. Goodchild, with his extensive experience in manufacturing from Magna International, is expected to enhance operational efficiency and support the company’s growth strategy through acquisitions. Additionally, the company has issued 5,000 stock options as part of its equity incentive plan. Decisive will also host a conference call on May 7, 2025, to discuss its Q1 2025 financial results, which will be released on May 6, 2025.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares May Dividend and Issues Stock Options
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a dividend of $0.045 per common share for May 2025, in line with its monthly dividend policy. The dividend is payable on May 15, 2025, with shareholders having the option to reinvest through the company’s dividend reinvestment plan. Additionally, the company has granted 5,000 stock options under its equity incentive plan, with vesting over a 36-month period. These announcements reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder returns and incentivizing leadership, which may strengthen its position in the manufacturing sector.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Corporation Achieves Record Fourth Quarter in 2024
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation reported its strongest fourth quarter in history for 2024, with a 5% increase in consolidated sales and a 2% rise in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company’s strategic initiatives and investments in growth capital have positioned it for continued improvement in operating results, supporting its dividend payout and acquisition activities, while new product introductions are expected to enhance performance in 2025.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares April 2025 Dividend
Positive
Mar 14, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for April 2025, payable on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 31, 2025. This move aligns with the company’s monthly dividend policy and offers eligible shareholders the option to reinvest through its dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. The dividend is classified as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax legislation. This announcement underscores the company’s commitment to providing sustainable and growing returns to its shareholders, reinforcing its strategic focus on acquiring and supporting profitable manufacturing businesses.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.