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Decisive Dividend Corp (TSE:DE)
:DE

Decisive Dividend (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DE

Decisive Dividend

(DE)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.50
▲(7.46% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is primarily held back by financial risk factors: rising leverage, volatile margins, and weaker free-cash-flow conversion/decline year-over-year. Offsetting these are supportive technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD) and a very high dividend yield, though the P/E remains relatively high.
Positive Factors
Holding-company model with dividend focus
A diversified holding structure that acquires established industrial businesses creates durable cash-flow predictability and operational diversification. The explicit dividend-oriented capital allocation prioritizes upstreaming subsidiary cash to shareholders, reinforcing long-term payout discipline and aligned capital deployment.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Meaningfully higher leverage increases financial vulnerability and reduces strategic flexibility. With debt-to-equity elevated, the firm faces greater interest and covenant risk, limiting capacity to pursue opportunistic acquisitions or sustain payouts if operating results weaken over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Holding-company model with dividend focus
A diversified holding structure that acquires established industrial businesses creates durable cash-flow predictability and operational diversification. The explicit dividend-oriented capital allocation prioritizes upstreaming subsidiary cash to shareholders, reinforcing long-term payout discipline and aligned capital deployment.
Read all positive factors

Decisive Dividend (DE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Decisive Dividend Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Decisive Dividend Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells wood and gas burning stoves, and fireplace inserts in Canada, the United States, and New Zealand. It operates in two segments, Finished Product and Component Manufactu...
How the Company Makes Money
Decisive Dividend makes money primarily through operating income generated by its portfolio of wholly owned operating subsidiaries. Revenue is earned at the subsidiary level from the sale of products and/or services to their respective customer ba...

Decisive Dividend Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant sequential improvements in sales and EBITDA in Q3 2024 compared to earlier quarters, driven by strong order activity and new market developments. However, there were challenges compared to the record Q3 2023, and the free cash flow payout ratio remains high. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook is positive with expectations of continued improvement into Q4 2024 and 2025.
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Q3 2024
Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 were 12% higher than in Q2 2024, and 10% higher than Q1 2024, while overall adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was 65% higher than in Q2 2024 and 42% higher than in Q1 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline from Record Q3 2023
Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was down 14% and 28% relative to the record Q3 2023.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Negative
Sequential Improvement in Q3 2024
Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 were 12% higher than in Q2 2024, and 10% higher than Q1 2024, while overall adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was 65% higher than in Q2 2024 and 42% higher than in Q1 2024.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Decisive Dividend Corporation Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Jeff Schellenberg detailed various metrics reflecting operational improvements and future guidance. Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 rose by 12% compared to Q2 2024 and 10% compared to Q1 2024, while adjusted EBITDA surged by 65% and 42%, respectively, over the same periods. Despite a 14% drop from the record Q3 2023 levels, the EBITDA margin percentage improved by over 5% from Q2 2024 and nearly 4% from Q1 2024. Non-variable operating expenses were reduced by over 2% from Q2 2024 and 3% from Q1 2024, contributing to enhanced free cash flow and a 163% and 106% increase relative to Q2 and Q1 2024, although still down 29% from Q3 2023 records. Looking forward, order activity in Q4 2024 is up more than 65% compared to Q4 2023, supporting expectations for continued sequential improvements in revenue and EBITDA into 2025.

Decisive Dividend Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid multi-year revenue expansion and profitability, but recent results are uneven. Margins were volatile (gross margin fell sharply in 2025; net margin ~3.4%), free cash flow declined year-over-year, and leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~1.45), raising financial risk if earnings soften.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue152.21M127.85M134.88M98.59M62.49M
Gross Profit26.43M47.87M52.76M32.85M21.38M
EBITDA22.48M18.59M23.44M13.10M8.69M
Net Income5.20M2.01M8.33M4.08M2.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets172.38M165.23M152.57M98.43M60.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.54M3.26M4.05M4.73M2.14M
Total Debt80.37M73.43M55.97M39.01M25.25M
Total Liabilities116.90M108.34M94.82M64.30M38.08M
Stockholders Equity55.48M56.88M57.75M34.13M22.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.71M6.02M11.87M6.29M1.90M
Operating Cash Flow16.61M12.78M15.79M8.43M3.75M
Investing Cash Flow-7.01M-14.55M-33.82M-17.20M-1.75M
Financing Cash Flow-9.30M726.00K17.25M11.06M-2.82M

Decisive Dividend Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.91
Price Trends
50DMA
7.44
Positive
100DMA
7.23
Positive
200DMA
7.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Positive
RSI
60.62
Neutral
STOCH
43.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.83, above the 50-day MA of 7.44, and above the 200-day MA of 7.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DE.

Decisive Dividend Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$149.69M18.427.24%-4.76%-40.05%
63
Neutral
C$159.40M27.1510.07%7.88%16.69%111.74%
61
Neutral
C$83.64M10.4911.26%294.30%49.60%
60
Neutral
C$682.65M17.1412.71%7.14%6.88%-13.39%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DE
Decisive Dividend
7.91
2.01
34.07%
TSE:CXI
Currency Exchange International
25.12
4.43
21.41%
TSE:DIV
Diversified Royalty Corp
4.07
1.47
56.72%
TSE:RICH
Raffles Financial Group
2.85
0.00
0.00%
TSE:PNP
Pinetree Capital
8.91
-5.14
-36.58%
TSE:WI
The Western Investment Company of Canada Ltd
0.88
0.33
60.00%

Decisive Dividend Corporate Events

Dividends
Decisive Dividend Declares April 2026 Monthly Payout and Reinvestment Option
Positive
Mar 13, 2026
Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.045 per common share for April 2026, payable on April 15 to shareholders of record as of March 31. The dividend is designated as an eligible dividend for Canadian tax purpose...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Posts Record 2025 Results and Targets Dividend Growth on Acquisition-Led Expansion
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Decisive Dividend reported record quarterly and annual sales for 2025, with consolidated revenue up 14% in the fourth quarter to $42.8 million and 19% for the year to $152.2 million, while Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 rose 25% to a record $25.4 millio...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Sets March 12 Call to Review 2025 Year-End Results
Neutral
Feb 25, 2026
Decisive Dividend Corporation will release its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results after markets close on March 11, 2026, and will hold a conference call the following morning to discuss the performance. The call, led by the compan...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Decisive Dividend Declares February Payout and Grants New Equity Incentive Awards
Positive
Jan 15, 2026
Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.045 per common share for February 2026, payable on February 13 to shareholders of record as of January 30, with the distribution designated as an eligible dividend under Cana...
Dividends
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares January 2026 Dividend
Positive
Dec 15, 2025
Decisive Dividend Corporation has declared a dividend of $0.045 per common share for January 2026, payable to shareholders of record as of December 31, 2025. This announcement aligns with the company’s monthly dividend policy and offers shar...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026