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Decisive Dividend Corp (TSE:DE)
:DE
Canadian Market

Decisive Dividend (DE) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Decisive Dividend

(DE)

75Outperform
Decisive Dividend shows robust revenue growth and profitability improvements, supported by positive technical momentum. However, high leverage and a stretched valuation add caution. The company’s strategic initiatives and strong dividend yield provide additional support, with a generally positive future outlook.

Decisive Dividend (DE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Decisive Dividend Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDecisive Dividend Corp. is a Canada-based acquisition-oriented company focused on opportunities in manufacturing. The company strategically acquires businesses that produce durable, high-quality products within niche markets. By leveraging its expertise in operations and management, Decisive Dividend aims to enhance the value of its acquired entities through operational improvements and synergies.
How the Company Makes MoneyDecisive Dividend makes money through its acquisition strategy by owning and operating a diverse portfolio of manufacturing businesses. The company generates revenue from the sales of products manufactured by its subsidiaries, which are involved in producing various industrial and consumer goods. Key revenue streams include direct sales to customers, distribution agreements, and long-term contracts with businesses requiring specialized manufacturing solutions. The company also benefits from operational efficiencies and cost synergies achieved through its integrated management approach, enhancing profitability. Additionally, Decisive Dividend focuses on maintaining a steady and predictable cash flow, which supports its dividend distribution strategy, attracting investors seeking regular income.

Decisive Dividend Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Decisive Dividend demonstrates solid revenue growth and efficient operations, but with a challenge of declining profit margins. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage and stable equity, while cash flow management remains strong despite a recent decrease in free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company's revenue shows a strong growth trajectory with a significant increase over the past years. The TTM gross profit margin is 25.81%, and the net profit margin is 2.04%. While the net profit margin has decreased compared to the previous year, indicating potential cost pressures, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 6.04% and 14.77% respectively, showing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.27, reflecting moderate leverage, which is typical for the industry. The return on equity (ROE) is 4.54%, which is a slight decline from the previous year, suggesting a decrease in profitability. The equity ratio is 34.24%, indicating a stable capital structure but with room for improvement in terms of equity financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The company shows positive free cash flow growth and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.52, reflecting robust cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.43, indicating efficient cash flow management. However, the free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if it continues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
125.96M134.88M98.59M62.49M48.46M47.39M
Gross Profit
32.52M52.76M32.85M21.38M18.42M17.59M
EBIT
7.61M16.50M7.56M5.00M3.75M2.81M
EBITDA
18.60M23.44M13.10M8.69M5.93M5.36M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.57M8.33M4.08M2.28M-736.00K759.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.81M4.05M4.73M2.14M3.00M435.00K
Total Assets
44.33M152.57M98.43M60.30M56.38M59.39M
Total Debt
13.28M55.97M39.01M25.25M24.20M27.72M
Net Debt
11.46M51.92M34.27M23.11M21.20M27.28M
Total Liabilities
20.91M94.82M64.30M38.08M35.12M37.53M
Stockholders Equity
23.42M57.75M34.13M22.22M21.27M21.86M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.24M11.87M6.29M1.90M9.99M3.42M
Operating Cash Flow
11.62M15.79M8.43M3.75M10.75M3.98M
Investing Cash Flow
-13.52M-33.82M-17.20M-1.75M-579.00K-11.79M
Financing Cash Flow
2.16M17.25M11.06M-2.82M-7.50M5.62M

Decisive Dividend Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.26
Price Trends
50DMA
6.12
Positive
100DMA
6.03
Positive
200DMA
6.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
55.37
Neutral
STOCH
73.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.18, above the 50-day MA of 6.12, and above the 200-day MA of 6.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DE.

Decisive Dividend Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSDE
75
Outperform
C$123.77M60.423.51%8.63%-5.21%-78.70%
TSEIF
72
Outperform
C$2.51B19.179.13%5.41%6.46%-5.54%
63
Neutral
C$208.28M39.431.98%5.36%5.42%
63
Neutral
$4.29B11.055.73%232.30%4.75%-5.69%
TSKPT
59
Neutral
C$79.95M32.803.53%9.00%
TSAFN
55
Neutral
C$602.78M26.96-6.52%1.86%-7.99%-128.98%
44
Neutral
$19.78B-4.87%6.65%22.01%-183.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DE
Decisive Dividend
6.26
-2.39
-27.63%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
29.83
2.58
9.48%
TSE:ADW.A
Andrew Peller A NV
4.59
0.81
21.43%
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
48.84
5.13
11.74%
TSE:KPT
KP Tissue
8.00
0.39
5.12%
TSE:AFN
Ag Growth International
32.31
-28.15
-46.56%

Decisive Dividend Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -1.42% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant sequential improvements in sales and EBITDA in Q3 2024 compared to earlier quarters, driven by strong order activity and new market developments. However, there were challenges compared to the record Q3 2023, and the free cash flow payout ratio remains high. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook is positive with expectations of continued improvement into Q4 2024 and 2025.
Highlights
Sequential Improvement in Q3 2024
Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 were 12% higher than in Q2 2024, and 10% higher than Q1 2024, while overall adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was 65% higher than in Q2 2024 and 42% higher than in Q1 2024.
Improvement in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow less maintenance CapEx increased by 163% and 106% relative to Q2 2024 and Q1 2024, though down 29% from Q3 2023.
Strong Order Activity
Order activity in Q4 2024 is up over 65% relative to Q4 2023, spread across 8 of 12 businesses.
New Product and Market Developments
Blaze King and ACR received regulatory approvals for new product design for the U.K. and Europe, and Slimline enhanced its large scale wastewater evaporator product.
Lowlights
Decline from Record Q3 2023
Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024 was down 14% and 28% relative to the record Q3 2023.
Free Cash Flow Payout Ratio High
On a TTM basis, the payout ratio increased to 95% in Q3 2024, which remains above the target payout ratio.
Challenges in Agriculture Sector
The agriculture sector had a challenging year, but order activity has recently picked up.
Company Guidance
During the Decisive Dividend Corporation Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Jeff Schellenberg detailed various metrics reflecting operational improvements and future guidance. Consolidated sales in Q3 2024 rose by 12% compared to Q2 2024 and 10% compared to Q1 2024, while adjusted EBITDA surged by 65% and 42%, respectively, over the same periods. Despite a 14% drop from the record Q3 2023 levels, the EBITDA margin percentage improved by over 5% from Q2 2024 and nearly 4% from Q1 2024. Non-variable operating expenses were reduced by over 2% from Q2 2024 and 3% from Q1 2024, contributing to enhanced free cash flow and a 163% and 106% increase relative to Q2 and Q1 2024, although still down 29% from Q3 2023 records. Looking forward, order activity in Q4 2024 is up more than 65% compared to Q4 2023, supporting expectations for continued sequential improvements in revenue and EBITDA into 2025.

Decisive Dividend Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Decisive Dividend Corporation Achieves Record Fourth Quarter in 2024
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation reported its strongest fourth quarter in history for 2024, with a 5% increase in consolidated sales and a 2% rise in Adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company’s strategic initiatives and investments in growth capital have positioned it for continued improvement in operating results, supporting its dividend payout and acquisition activities, while new product introductions are expected to enhance performance in 2025.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Decisive Dividend Corporation Declares April 2025 Dividend
Positive
Mar 14, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.045 per common share for April 2025, payable on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 31, 2025. This move aligns with the company’s monthly dividend policy and offers eligible shareholders the option to reinvest through its dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. The dividend is classified as an ‘eligible’ dividend under Canadian tax legislation. This announcement underscores the company’s commitment to providing sustainable and growing returns to its shareholders, reinforcing its strategic focus on acquiring and supporting profitable manufacturing businesses.

Decisive Dividend Announces February Dividend and Equity Incentive Awards
Jan 15, 2025

Decisive Dividend Corporation announced its February 2025 dividend of $0.045 per common share, payable on February 14, 2025, with eligible shareholders having the option to reinvest through the dividend reinvestment and cash purchase plan. Additionally, the company granted equity incentive awards, including deferred share units, restricted share units, and performance share units, to its directors, officers, and employees, with vesting periods set over 36 months. These initiatives underscore the company’s commitment to shareholder returns and its strategic focus on supporting its workforce and maintaining competitive advantages.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.