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Exchange Income (TSE:EIF)
:EIF

Exchange Income (EIF) AI Stock Analysis

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Exchange Income

(TSX:EIF)

69Neutral
Exchange Income Corporation's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive sentiment from recent earnings. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic acquisitions are key strengths, while high leverage and negative free cash flow pose risks. Despite bearish technical indicators suggesting short-term pressure, the reasonable valuation and high dividend yield provide attractive long-term investment potential.

Exchange Income (EIF) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Exchange Income Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExchange Income Corp is a diversified acquisition-oriented corporation focused on opportunities in two sectors, aerospace, aviation services and equipment, and manufacturing. The business plan of the corporation is to invest in profitable, well-established companies with strong cash flows operating in niche markets. It's Aerospace and Aviation segment recognizes revenue on the provision of flight, flight ancillary services, and the sale or lease of aircraft and aftermarket parts. The Manufacturing segment recognizes revenue on the sales of manufacturing products and services. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Canada and also has a presence in the United States; Europe and Other Countries.
How the Company Makes MoneyExchange Income Corporation generates revenue through its diversified operations in the Aerospace & Aviation and Manufacturing sectors. In the Aerospace & Aviation segment, EIF earns income from passenger and cargo airline services, charter flights, and providing MRO services. The company operates regional airlines serving remote communities, contributing significantly to its revenue. In the Manufacturing segment, EIF produces specialized industrial products, such as precision metal and plastic components, which are supplied to various industries, including telecommunications and defense. The company's growth strategy involves acquiring businesses that complement its existing operations, enhancing its revenue base and market presence. Partnerships with government entities and long-term contracts with key clients also play a crucial role in maintaining steady revenue streams.

Exchange Income Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exchange Income demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability metrics, though the decrease in EBIT margin suggests potential efficiency challenges. A high debt-to-equity ratio signals reliance on debt, which poses a risk amidst economic uncertainties. Despite negative free cash flow, robust operating cash flow indicates sound operational cash generation.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase of 6.45% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross and net profit margins are solid at 24.73% and 4.56% respectively. However, the decrease in EBIT margin from 11.59% in the previous year to 8.75% in TTM indicates rising operational costs or reduced efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.65, indicating significant leverage, which could be a risk if interest rates rise or earnings decline. However, the company maintains a reasonable equity ratio of 30.65%, suggesting a balanced approach to financing growth through equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow is negative, which can be concerning if it persists, but operating cash flow remains strong at 357 million, showing the company's ability to generate cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.66B2.50B2.06B1.41B1.15B
Gross Profit
657.74M594.49M491.35M334.45M273.83M
EBIT
0.00289.70M236.73M149.50M101.87M
EBITDA
616.26M548.71M449.60M332.85M276.78M
Net Income Common Stockholders
121.23M122.31M109.67M68.59M28.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
71.80M103.56M139.90M75.41M69.86M
Total Assets
4.60B4.08B3.55B2.59B2.29B
Total Debt
2.33B2.01B1.78B1.29B1.21B
Net Debt
2.26B1.90B1.64B1.21B1.14B
Total Liabilities
3.19B2.83B2.53B1.79B1.61B
Stockholders Equity
1.41B1.25B1.02B800.27M685.95M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-133.38M-152.61M-31.46M5.62M113.72M
Operating Cash Flow
357.01M353.23M335.12M285.05M259.97M
Investing Cash Flow
-567.54M-650.75M-655.45M-357.94M-196.28M
Financing Cash Flow
176.33M261.35M380.97M79.42M-15.15M

Exchange Income Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price49.90
Price Trends
50DMA
53.34
Negative
100DMA
54.27
Negative
200DMA
50.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Positive
RSI
34.18
Neutral
STOCH
19.10
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EIF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 49.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.02, below the 50-day MA of 53.34, and below the 200-day MA of 50.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:EIF.

Exchange Income Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSFTT
72
Outperform
C$5.35B10.9619.79%2.77%6.45%2.60%
TSWSP
71
Outperform
C$31.48B44.659.33%0.61%11.98%22.53%
TSEIF
69
Neutral
C$2.49B19.589.13%5.29%6.46%-5.54%
TSGDI
68
Neutral
C$725.79M22.556.73%4.84%67.68%
62
Neutral
$8.17B12.760.49%3.07%3.84%-16.79%
TSCHR
61
Neutral
C$551.72M-1.28%-12.40%-529.26%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
49.10
2.94
6.37%
ACDVF
Air Canada
10.51
-2.99
-22.15%
TSE:CHR
Chorus Aviation
20.42
5.86
40.25%
TSE:FTT
Finning International
38.51
2.42
6.71%
TSE:GDI
GDI Integrated
30.69
-7.81
-20.29%
TSE:WSP
WSP Global
240.00
19.35
8.77%

Exchange Income Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.81% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall financial performance with record metrics and strategic growth through acquisitions. However, challenges in specific segments such as the Multi-Storey Windows business and uncertainties related to inflation and tariffs present some concerns. The sentiment remains positive due to the successful integration of strategic acquisitions and robust growth in key segments.
Highlights
Record Financial Performance
Exchange Income Corporation achieved the highest adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, and adjusted net earnings in its history for the year 2024. Revenue was $688 million, adjusted EBITDA was $167 million, and free cash flow was $111 million for Q4 2024.
Strategic Acquisition of Canadian North
The acquisition of Canadian North is a strategic fit for EIC's Essential Air Services business line, with complementary routes and no overlap. This acquisition is expected to enhance service to the North and expand EIC's geographic coverage.
Strong Aerospace & Aviation Segment Growth
The Aerospace & Aviation segment revenue increased by $30 million (8%) to $415 million, with adjusted EBITDA up by 29% to $140 million. Growth was driven by medevac contracts and increased leasing activity.
Environmental Access Solutions Expansion
The acquisitions of Duhamel and Spartan exceeded expectations, contributing to growth in the Environmental Access Solutions business line. The new SYSTEM7-XT mat and FODS product line are seeing strong demand.
Robust M&A Pipeline
EIC's balance sheet is positioned to support future acquisitions without needing new equity capital, with a strong pipeline of merger and acquisition opportunities.
Lowlights
Challenges in Multi-Storey Windows Business
The Multi-Storey Windows Solutions business saw a decrease in adjusted EBITDA by 29% due to project delays, strategic retention of staff, and additional operational costs.
Impact of Inflation and Tariffs
Concerns about inflation, interest rates, and potential tariffs caused some headwinds, impacting customer confidence and resulting in strategic responses to mitigate risks.
Transition Challenges in Aerospace Contracts
Revenue in the aerospace business line was lower due to the planned wind-down of certain training programs and a shift from performance-based logistics to time and materials arrangements, resulting in more revenue variability.
Company Guidance
During the conference call, Exchange Income Corporation (EIC) provided guidance for fiscal 2025, projecting an adjusted EBITDA between $690 million and $730 million. The company highlighted record metrics for 2024, including its highest-ever adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, and adjusted net earnings. Additionally, EIC reported fourth-quarter revenue of $688 million, adjusted EBITDA of $167 million, and free cash flow of $111 million. The Aerospace & Aviation segment saw a revenue increase of 8% to $415 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 29% to $140 million. EIC also discussed strategic acquisitions and growth plans, including the acquisition of Canadian North and opportunities for expansion in various segments, despite macroeconomic challenges and inflationary pressures.

Exchange Income Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exchange Income Corporation Achieves Record Financial Results in 2024
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation reported record financial results for 2024, with revenue reaching $2.7 billion and adjusted EBITDA at $628 million. The company’s diversified business model and strategic acquisitions, such as the recent purchase of Canadian North, have strengthened its market position and resilience, promising further growth and expansion across Canada’s Northern regions.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Exchange Income Corporation to Acquire Canadian North, Expanding Arctic Air Services
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has announced a binding purchase agreement to acquire Canadian North for $205 million, expanding its essential air services business across Canada’s Arctic. This acquisition allows EIC to provide passenger and cargo services to all regions in the far north for the first time, enhancing its service efficiency and infrastructure in a region where air travel is essential due to the lack of road access.

Dividends
Exchange Income Corporation Declares February 2025 Dividend
Positive
Feb 14, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced the declaration of eligible dividends totaling $0.22 per share for February 2025, payable to shareholders on March 14, 2025. This announcement reflects the corporation’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value through its dividend reinvestment plan, potentially enhancing tax benefits for eligible Canadian residents.

Private Placements and Financing
Exchange Income Corporation Completes Debenture Redemption
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation has completed the redemption of its 7-year 5.75% Convertible Unsecured Subordinated Debentures, initially set to mature on March 31, 2026. The redemption involved a conversion of $78,383,000 worth of Debentures into common shares and a cash redemption of $7,574,000, which potentially strengthens the company’s equity base and could positively impact its financial stability and market position.

Exchange Income Corporation Schedules Q4 Financial Results Conference Call
Jan 17, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced it will host a conference call on February 27, 2025, to discuss its 2024 fourth quarter financial results, which will be reported the previous day. This announcement is important for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s performance and future prospects in its key industry segments.

Exchange Income Corporation Declares January 2025 Dividend
Jan 17, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced a dividend of $0.22 per share for January 2025, payable on February 14, 2025. This dividend is designated as an eligible dividend, potentially offering tax benefits to Canadian residents. Shareholders can reinvest dividends through the company’s dividend reinvestment plan. This financial move underscores the company’s ongoing commitment to shareholder value and its strategic positioning in the aerospace, aviation, and manufacturing sectors.

Exchange Income Corporation Announces Early Debenture Redemption
Jan 8, 2025

Exchange Income Corporation announced the early redemption of its 7-year 5.75% Convertible Unsecured Subordinated Debentures due March 31, 2026. The corporation will redeem all outstanding debentures effective February 13, 2025, encouraging holders to consider converting their debentures into common shares at a discounted rate compared to the current market price. This move aligns with EIC’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting investor decisions and the company’s financial positioning as it addresses its debt obligations ahead of schedule.

Exchange Income Corporation Finalizes Debenture Redemption
Dec 20, 2024

Exchange Income Corporation has successfully completed the redemption of its 7-year 5.35% convertible debentures, initially due in 2025. A significant portion of these debentures was converted into common shares before the redemption. This move aligns with the company’s acquisition-oriented strategy in aerospace, aviation, and manufacturing sectors.

Exchange Income Corporation Declares December Dividend
Dec 17, 2024

Exchange Income Corporation has declared a dividend of $0.22 per share for December 2024, payable to shareholders on January 15, 2025. This dividend is designated as ‘eligible’, providing Canadian residents with potential tax benefits. The corporation continues its focus on growth in aerospace, aviation, and manufacturing sectors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.