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Chorus Aviation V&VV (TSE:CHR)
TSX:CHR

Chorus Aviation (CHR) AI Stock Analysis

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Chorus Aviation

(TSX:CHR)

61Neutral
Chorus Aviation's overall stock score reflects a balance of financial challenges and positive strategic initiatives. While profitability issues and valuation concerns weigh on the score, strong free cash flow, debt reduction, and operational successes provide a stable foundation. The company's proactive steps in enhancing financial flexibility and its commitment to diversity and operational excellence are significant positives.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Voyageur remains a growth lever with record parts sales and a strong pipeline, aiming for $150 million in revenues.
Shareholder Distributions
The announcement of an NCIB for approximately 10% of the public float demonstrates a continued focus on shareholder distributions.
Negative Factors
Deleveraging Efforts
The sale of the leasing segment is on track to be completed, having received necessary approvals, which is expected to aid in deleveraging.

Chorus Aviation (CHR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Chorus Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChorus Aviation Inc. is a Canadian holding company headquartered in Halifax, Nova Scotia, primarily focused on the aviation sector. It operates through its subsidiaries in various aviation segments, including regional aviation services, aircraft leasing, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services. Chorus Aviation is known for its regional airline operations under the Air Canada Express brand, making it a significant player in Canada's regional air transportation market.
How the Company Makes MoneyChorus Aviation generates revenue through multiple streams, with its primary source being its regional aviation services provided under the Air Canada Express brand. The company operates flights on behalf of Air Canada, receiving payments for these services, which include aircraft operations, crew provision, and maintenance. Additionally, Chorus Aviation has a growing aircraft leasing business, leasing regional aircraft to third-party airlines worldwide. This segment provides a stable income stream through long-term lease agreements. The company also earns revenue from its MRO services, offering maintenance and overhaul services to various aviation clients. Strategic partnerships with airlines and participation in the global aircraft leasing market are crucial factors contributing to its earnings.

Chorus Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chorus Aviation's financial performance shows mixed results. The income statement indicates challenges with declining profitability and revenue volatility, while the balance sheet reflects moderate leverage but a concerning decrease in equity ratio. Cash flow generation is relatively strong, providing stability but requiring careful management.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Chorus Aviation has experienced volatility in revenue and profitability. The company reported a substantial decline in net income from a profit in 2023 to a significant loss in 2024, indicating challenges in maintaining consistent profitability. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, and the net profit margin turned negative in 2024. These factors suggest a need for strategic improvements to stabilize and enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of debt relative to equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio declining from 2023 to 2024. However, the equity ratio has decreased over recent years, indicating increased leverage. The return on equity has been negative in 2024, highlighting profitability challenges. While there is some stability, the company's leverage poses potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Chorus Aviation's cash flow position reflects growth in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024, which is a positive sign. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests a strong cash generation capability relative to earnings. However, the reliance on financing activities in previous years indicates potential cash management challenges. Overall, cash flow performance appears stable but requires careful monitoring.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.40B1.68B1.60B1.02B948.72M
Gross Profit
270.89M441.60M423.40M205.63M230.12M
EBIT
92.65M262.36M188.27M70.98M114.55M
EBITDA
165.54M471.94M360.85M270.46M363.12M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-158.50M101.35M48.89M-20.48M41.49M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
222.22M88.83M100.03M123.57M165.72M
Total Assets
1.61B3.85B4.06B3.18B3.34B
Total Debt
516.38M1.76B2.03B1.91B2.19B
Net Debt
294.16M1.67B1.93B1.79B2.03B
Total Liabilities
1.10B2.57B2.79B2.49B2.70B
Stockholders Equity
511.95M1.19B1.18B690.47M641.34M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
212.13M256.51M217.23M110.26M-249.50M
Operating Cash Flow
265.02M299.68M279.51M184.97M156.64M
Investing Cash Flow
818.67M37.56M-231.37M-45.74M-407.59M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.06B-325.55M-71.46M-180.93M334.56M

Chorus Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.48
Price Trends
50DMA
20.14
Positive
100DMA
21.14
Negative
200DMA
19.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
52.64
Neutral
STOCH
37.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CHR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.13, above the 50-day MA of 20.14, and above the 200-day MA of 19.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CHR.

Chorus Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEIF
69
Neutral
C$2.47B19.459.13%5.33%6.46%-5.54%
TSAC
67
Neutral
C$5.27B3.22112.28%1.93%-24.67%
64
Neutral
$7.72B17.49-18.58%9.57%-27.38%
62
Neutral
$8.17B12.760.49%3.07%3.84%-16.79%
TSCHR
61
Neutral
C$558.18M-1.28%-12.40%-529.26%
57
Neutral
C$6.90B17.933.54%0.41%-17.78%-41.13%
TSTRZ
40
Neutral
C$66.47M12.83%7.72%-339.61%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CHR
Chorus Aviation
20.42
5.86
40.25%
TSE:AC
Air Canada
15.19
-3.08
-16.86%
TSE:BBD.B
Bombardier
79.71
24.72
44.95%
TSE:TRZ
Transat AT V & VV
1.54
-2.36
-60.51%
TSE:ONEX
ONEX Corporation
96.56
-3.04
-3.05%
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
49.10
2.94
6.37%

Chorus Aviation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 6.39% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Chorus' strong financial performance, including improved leverage ratios, significant free cash flow, and growth in Voyageur's revenues. However, the reclassification of the RAL segment as discontinued operations and the downward trend in aircraft maintenance expenses were noted as challenges. Overall, the positive developments, such as contract extensions and safety recognitions, outweigh the lowlights.
Highlights
Strengthened Financial Position
Chorus improved its leverage ratio to 3.0, down from 3.3 at the beginning of the year, and expects further improvement following the closure of the RAL segment sale.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Adjusted EBITDA
Generated over $32 million in free cash flow this quarter and reported adjusted EBITDA of almost $54 million for Q3 and $159 million year-to-date.
Successful Contract Extensions and New Partnerships
Extended six Q400 CPA aircraft leases with Air Canada to 2026 and launched a new pilot training program with Cygnet Aviation.
Voyageur's Revenue Growth
Voyageur's revenues increased by 16% year-to-date, reaching $90 million, with record parts sales contributing to this growth.
Recognition for Safety Excellence
Jazz was recognized as an award of Excellence Winner for the eighth consecutive year as part of Canada's Safest Employers.
Lowlights
Discontinued Operations and Segment Sale
The RAL segment has been reclassified to discontinued operations as Chorus plans to sell it by the end of 2024.
Aircraft Maintenance Expense Trends
Aircraft maintenance materials, supplies, and services expenses have been trending down, with no clear seasonality or significant read-through.
Company Guidance
During the Chorus Third Quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The call highlighted a significant focus on the sale of the Regional Aircraft Leasing (RAL) segment, which is expected to conclude by the end of 2024. This transaction will lead to a streamlined balance sheet, with a pro forma leverage ratio projected to decrease to 1.5 from 3.0, enabling better financial flexibility. Chorus reported an adjusted EBITDA of $54 million for the quarter and $159 million year-to-date, alongside a free cash flow of $32 million. On a pro forma basis, free cash flow for the quarter was $37 million, illustrating a robust financial position post-transaction. The company is also committed to enhancing shareholder value through a normal course issuer bid (NCIB) for share repurchases. Operationally, Chorus emphasized its strong contractual relationship with Air Canada, extending leases on six Q400 CPA aircraft to 2026, and highlighted growth at Voyageur with record parts sales and revenue up 16% year-over-year. The call underscored Chorus' focus on capital structure optimization, pilot recruitment advancements, and strengthening its regional aviation services.

Chorus Aviation Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Jazz Aviation Celebrates 14 Years as a Leading Diversity Employer
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Jazz Aviation LP has been recognized for the fourteenth consecutive year as one of Canada’s Best Diversity Employers by Mediacorp Canada Inc. This accolade underscores Jazz’s commitment to diversity, equity, inclusion, and accessibility in the workplace, highlighting its successful initiatives for women, visible minorities, persons with disabilities, Indigenous peoples, and the LGBT community. This recognition, along with other awards, reinforces Jazz’s leadership in the aviation industry and its dedication to creating value for stakeholders.

Stock SplitFinancial Disclosures
Chorus Aviation Reports 2024 Financial Results and Announces Share Consolidation
Neutral
Feb 20, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. reported its fourth quarter and year-end 2024 financial results, highlighting a significant improvement in its leverage ratio from 3.3 to 1.4 due to the sale of the RAL business, which brought in net proceeds of $607.7 million. Despite a net loss from continuing operations, Chorus achieved adjusted earnings of $28.5 million for the year and a free cash flow of $118.8 million, with substantial revenue driven by its Voyageur operation. In Q4, the company faced a net loss but maintained adjusted earnings of $10.6 million. Additionally, Chorus announced a share consolidation effective February 5, 2025, which will impact its per-share figures moving forward.

Delistings and Listing ChangesStock Split
Chorus Aviation Approves Major Share Consolidation
Neutral
Feb 4, 2025

Chorus Aviation announced that its shareholders and board have approved a share consolidation plan aimed at reducing the number of outstanding shares significantly. This consolidation, approved by 95.5% of shareholders and conditionally by the Toronto Stock Exchange, will streamline Chorus’s share structure, potentially affecting the trading dynamics of its stock and impacting stakeholders with a new listing symbol and adjusted securities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chorus Aviation Reduces Debt with Completion of Debenture Purchase
Positive
Feb 3, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. has completed its previously announced offers to purchase convertible senior unsecured debentures, purchasing $43.8 million of Series B and $37.8 million of Series C debentures, resulting in a significant reduction of its outstanding debt. This strategic move not only strengthens Chorus’s financial position by reducing its liabilities but also reflects its proactive approach to managing its capital structure, potentially enhancing its appeal to investors and stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Chorus Aviation Completes Debenture Buyback Post-Leasing Segment Sale
Positive
Jan 28, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. has announced the results of its offers to purchase its Series B and Series C Debentures following the sale of its Regional Aircraft Leasing segment. The company successfully tendered $43.773 million of Series B Debentures and $37.797 million of Series C Debentures, representing 60% and 44% of the outstanding amounts, respectively. This strategic financial maneuver allows Chorus to streamline its financial commitments, potentially improving its liquidity and market positioning.

Financial Disclosures
Chorus Aviation to Announce Year-End 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Jan 20, 2025

Chorus Aviation Inc. has announced that it will present its fourth quarter and year-end 2024 financial results on February 20, 2025. This announcement is crucial for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and operational strategy, potentially affecting its future market positioning and investor relations.

Chorus Aviation Proposes Share Consolidation Vote
Jan 3, 2025

Chorus Aviation has announced a special meeting for shareholders to vote on a proposed share consolidation. The consolidation, if approved, would see shares combined at a ratio determined by the board, pending Toronto Stock Exchange approval. Shareholders are encouraged to review the details in the management proxy circular available online.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.